Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsBrabhamChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPI3/17
ADKat WOR592288-304099.9%+0.032.1%-3.254319311000000001.7-0.027Adirondack Thunder
KCRC563279-204499.9-0.023.0-2.4472816521000000001.9-0.063Kansas City Mavericks
BOIat TR5422611-204799.7+0.09.4-1.22329271153210000002.7-0.074Boise Steelheads
GVLTOL592911-101799.3+1.620.3+7.4373914621001000002.1+0.521at JAXGreenville Swamp Rabbits
TOLat GVL543248-603298.6+0.311.9+1.82730231052101000002.6+0.185at ATLToledo Walleye
ORL4642011-601581.6+4.41.2-0.241021181484214311005.0+0.228Orlando Solar Bears
TULat IND4131916-301780.4-0.40.1-0.00249121422182455317.1-0.1021Tulsa Oilers
SCTFLA 1-14622214-211473.8-1.30.5-0.526151816105218421105.8-0.286at SAVSouth Carolina Stingrays
INDTUL4432014-40-372.4-2.30.2-0.01491716148313842106.2-0.1510at CINIndy Fuel
JAX4712215-301971.9+5.90.4-0.126151715105220421105.8+0.269GVLJacksonville Icemen
FLATSC 1-14532012-511869.4-11.70.5-1.726151615105221521106.0-1.162Florida Everblades
NORat UTA4211917-401067.1+0.00.0-0.00136914171631096427.8+0.0920at UTANorfolk Admirals
FWat CIN462116-40-264.7-2.70.1-0.013714151493151153106.8-0.1515Fort Wayne Komets
WORADK4121816-50-1663.7-0.00.0-0.00136913161631097528.0+0.0816Worcester Railers
WHLat IA4232016-201461.2-2.80.1-0.012613141493161163217.1-0.1511Wheeling Nailers
MNEREA3741616-50053.5-0.00.0-0.0002471114163111210738.7+0.0719REAMaine Mariners
CINFW4221916-401451.9+11.40.1+0.001410121393171485317.7+0.8413INDCincinnati Cyclones
RCat KC3811820-20-2350.2+14.40.0+0.000124612263611131179.5+0.9017Rapid City Rush
NFL411717-70-2547.6+0.00.000135913164121311849.1+0.0618Newfoundland Growlers
ALNat KAL3711821-10-2741.6-1.30.0-0.000013511213713151389.9-0.0812at KALAllen Americans
KALALN3841817-20-441.3-2.80.0-0.00137911831816117528.4-0.1414ALNKalamazoo Wings
REAat MNE3631618-40-1639.0-0.00.0-0.0001247111431214131169.7+0.0525at MNEReading Royals
TRBOI381720-40-3329.2-0.00.00001258123121516151010.4+0.0424Trois Rivieres Lions
UTANOR3221623-00-2218.3-12.30.0-0.0000011412251117242311.6-0.9227NORUtah Grizzlies
IAWHL3611519-60-349.9-1.20.00001233110151817171411.1-0.0826Iowa Heartlanders
WIC2931221-50-469.8-0.50.00000012713814224212.4-0.0228Wichita Thunder
SAV3311421-50-242.6+0.70.0000001115101217243012.2+0.0423SCSavannah Ghost Pirates
ATL3021423-20-261.4+0.40.00000000037914234312.7+0.0222TOLAtlanta Gladiators

Automation via bash scripting and the ECHL's Leaguestat XML. Updated script as of 2018-10-25 takes into account the current home win, OT, and SO percentages for the league once a minimum number of games has been reached (currently set to 100).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
UTA 2 RC 3
7:10 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
RC+14.8
+1.0
UTA-12.8
-0.9
FLA 3 GVL 4
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.2
KC+0.2
GVL+0.1
+0.1
ORL+2.4
SC-3.2
-0.3
JAX+3.3
+0.2
FLA-3.4
-0.3
-0.3
SAV 1 JAX 6
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL+2.3
SC-3.5
-0.3
-0.4
JAX+3.3
+0.2
FLA-3.0
-0.3
SAV+0.4
No
+0.0
REA 3 WHL 8
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND-1.0
NOR+1.2
FW-1.2
WOR+1.3
WHL+5.4
+0.4
MNE+1.3
CIN-1.2
NFL+1.4
KAL-1.2
REA-6.5
-0.5
TR+1.2
IA-0.7
SC 7 WIC 1
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL-1.1
SC+4.8
+0.4
JAX-1.8
FLA-1.2
RC+1.1
ALN+0.8
UTA+0.8
WIC-3.4
No
-0.3
KAL 2 FW 5
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW+6.7
+0.5
KAL-7.5
-0.5
TR 1 MNE 8
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
MNE+6.6
+0.5
TR-7.3
-0.5
TUL 2 BOI 4
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
BOI-0.9
TUL-0.1
ADK 4 NFL 0
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+4.6
KC-1.7
GVL-1.1
TOL-0.9
NOR+1.1
WOR+1.3
MNE+1.4
NFL-6.7
-0.5
REA+1.4
TR+1.4
KC 1 ALN 3
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.4
KC+0.2
BOI+0.2
GVL+0.4
+0.2
TOL+0.2
ALN+0.1
+0.0
WOR 6 NOR 3
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NOR-6.6
-0.5
WOR+6.4
+0.5
IND 4 IA 1
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND+5.6
+0.4
CIN-0.3
KAL-0.3
IA-4.6
-0.4
CIN 3 TOL 2 (ot)
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.2
KC+0.2
TOL-0.7
-0.0
IND-0.9
FW-1.3
WHL-1.2
CIN+5.3
+0.4
KAL-1.2
Saturday
REA vs WHLIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
WHL54.960.260.265.266.466.5
7.57.17.16.86.76.7
REA44.444.443.237.937.932.6
9.39.39.49.89.810.1
MNE vs NFLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
MNE60.559.158.051.251.345.8
8.38.38.48.98.99.2
NFL39.545.545.653.153.454.8
9.79.39.38.88.78.7
CIN vs FWHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW57.462.663.069.170.271.3
7.36.96.96.56.46.3
CIN58.857.656.450.249.644.3
7.27.37.47.87.88.2
WOR vs NORHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NOR59.965.565.471.772.473.5
8.37.97.97.57.47.4
WOR70.068.968.662.162.156.6
7.67.67.78.18.18.6
UTA vs RCHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:10 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
RC42.547.848.254.856.157.2
10.09.69.69.19.19.0
ALN43.141.141.340.539.740.7
9.99.99.99.910.09.9
UTA23.522.121.316.316.112.9
0.00.0NoNoNo0.0
11.211.311.311.711.712.0
SC vs WICHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
SC78.278.277.473.373.368.6
0.70.60.60.40.40.2
5.45.45.55.85.86.2
WIC7.19.29.211.612.112.1
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
12.712.512.512.212.212.2
IND vs IAHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND77.677.276.471.471.366.5
0.40.30.30.20.20.1
5.85.85.96.36.36.7
IA6.58.68.712.012.313.0
0.0NoNoNo0.00.0
11.511.211.210.810.810.7
TOL vs KALHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:15 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
TOL99.299.199.198.598.597.8
14.714.714.311.211.38.7
2.42.42.42.62.62.8
KAL35.040.340.245.746.646.8
8.98.58.58.18.08.0
KC vs ALNHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC27.227.226.422.222.118.0
1.81.81.82.02.02.1
RC52.850.750.848.748.048.0
9.49.49.49.59.59.5
ALN35.540.540.645.746.846.9
10.310.010.09.69.59.5
ADK vs TRHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK37.237.136.831.331.226.1
1.61.61.61.71.71.9
KC21.421.421.4*23.223.324.8
TR23.528.028.233.234.034.1
0.00.0No0.00.00.0
10.810.510.510.110.010.0
JAX vs SAVHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
JAX76.676.475.671.271.166.5
0.60.50.50.30.30.2
5.45.55.55.95.96.3
SAV1.52.12.13.23.43.7
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
12.512.312.312.012.011.9
FLA vs GVLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
GVL98.999.299.299.699.699.7
15.619.419.423.624.324.4
2.32.12.11.91.91.9
FLA73.973.873.368.768.864.1
0.70.60.60.30.30.2
5.65.65.66.06.06.4
TUL vs BOIHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
BOI99.5*99.7*99.799.899.899.8
6.78.88.711.411.811.9
2.92.72.72.52.52.4
TUL84.184.083.680.180.076.1
6.76.76.87.27.27.6
ORL vs ATLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL85.185.084.681.181.177.4
1.61.61.51.11.00.7
4.64.64.75.05.05.4
ATL0.71.11.11.71.82.0
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
12.912.712.712.512.512.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Kevin Hartley, Victor Hayslip for adding this league.