Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsBrabhamChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPI3/17
KCRC563279-204499.9%-0.023.0%-2.4472816521000000001.9-0.063Kansas City Mavericks
BOIat TR5422611-204799.7+0.09.4-1.22329271153210000002.7-0.074Boise Steelheads
TOLat GVL543248-603298.6+0.311.9+1.82730231052101000002.6+0.185at ATLToledo Walleye
TULat IND4131916-301780.4-0.40.1-0.00249121422182455317.1-0.1021Tulsa Oilers
INDTUL4432014-40-372.4-2.30.2-0.01491716148313842106.2-0.1510at CINIndy Fuel
FWat CIN462116-40-264.7-2.70.1-0.013714151493151153106.8-0.1515Fort Wayne Komets
WHLat IA4232016-201461.2-2.80.1-0.012613141493161163217.1-0.1511Wheeling Nailers
CINFW4221916-401451.9+11.40.1+0.001410121393171485317.7+0.8413INDCincinnati Cyclones
RCat KC3811820-20-2350.2+14.40.0+0.000124612263611131179.5+0.9017Rapid City Rush
ALNat KAL3711821-10-2741.6-1.30.0-0.000013511213713151389.9-0.0812at KALAllen Americans
KALALN3841817-20-441.3-2.80.0-0.00137911831816117528.4-0.1414ALNKalamazoo Wings
UTANOR3221623-00-2218.3-12.30.0-0.0000011412251117242311.6-0.9227NORUtah Grizzlies
IAWHL3611519-60-349.9-1.20.00001233110151817171411.1-0.0826Iowa Heartlanders
WIC2931221-50-469.8-0.50.00000012713814224212.4-0.0228Wichita Thunder

Automation via bash scripting and the ECHL's Leaguestat XML. Updated script as of 2018-10-25 takes into account the current home win, OT, and SO percentages for the league once a minimum number of games has been reached (currently set to 100).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
UTA 2 RC 3
7:10 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
BOI+0.2
TUL-0.4
RC+14.8
+1.0
ALN-1.3
UTA-12.8
-0.9
WIC-0.4
SAV 1 JAX 6
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC+0.3
WHL+2.6
CIN+2.7
KAL-11.6
IA+1.1
FLA 3 GVL 4
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC+0.2
TOL-0.3
+0.1
IND-2.1
FW-2.8
WHL-2.6
CIN-2.7
KAL+11.6
IA-1.1
KAL 2 FW 5
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND+0.2
FW+6.7
+0.5
WHL+0.2
CIN+0.2
KAL-7.5
-0.5
IA+0.1
IND 4 IA 1
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND+5.6
+0.4
FW-0.3
WHL-0.2
CIN-0.3
KAL-0.3
IA-4.6
-0.4
REA 3 WHL 8
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND-1.0
-0.1
FW-1.2
-0.1
WHL+5.4
+0.4
CIN-1.2
-0.1
KAL-1.2
-0.1
IA-0.7
CIN 3 TOL 2 (ot)
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC+0.2
TOL-0.1
-0.7
-0.0
IND-0.9
FW-1.3
-0.1
WHL-1.2
-0.1
CIN+5.3
+0.4
KAL-1.2
-0.1
IA-0.6
SC 7 WIC 1
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
TUL+0.6
RC+1.1
+0.1
ALN+0.8
+0.1
UTA+0.8
+0.1
WIC-3.4
No
-0.3
KC 1 ALN 3
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC+0.2
BOI+0.2
TOL+0.2
ALN+0.1
+0.0
TUL 2 BOI 4
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC-2.2
BOI-0.9
TOL-0.8
TUL-0.1
ADK 4 NFL 0
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC-1.7
BOI-0.6
TOL-0.9
Saturday
CIN vs FWIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW57.462.663.069.170.271.3
7.36.96.96.56.46.3
CIN58.857.656.450.249.644.3
7.27.37.47.87.88.2
UTA vs RCHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:10 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
RC42.547.848.254.856.157.2
10.09.69.69.19.19.0
ALN43.141.141.340.539.740.7
9.99.99.99.910.09.9
UTA23.522.121.316.316.112.9
0.00.0NoNoNo0.0
11.211.311.311.711.712.0
IND vs IAHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND77.677.276.471.471.366.5
0.40.30.30.20.20.1
5.85.85.96.36.36.7
CIN51.551.051.3*51.851.752.7
KAL40.840.440.341.141.042.1
IA6.58.68.712.012.313.0
0.0NoNoNo0.00.0
11.511.211.210.810.810.7
TOL vs KALHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:15 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
TOL99.299.199.198.598.597.8
14.714.714.311.211.38.7
2.42.42.42.62.62.8
IND73.6*72.572.771.671.471.5
6.26.26.26.36.36.3
FW66.0*64.8*64.663.763.663.6
WHL62.561.4*61.360.260.060.1
7.07.17.17.17.17.1
CIN53.3*52.052.250.950.750.8
7.67.77.77.77.77.7
KAL35.040.340.245.746.646.8
8.98.58.58.18.08.0
REA vs WHLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
IND73.672.5*72.671.871.471.4
6.26.26.26.36.36.3
FW66.164.9*64.963.763.563.5
6.76.8*6.86.86.96.9
WHL54.960.260.265.266.466.5
7.57.17.16.86.76.7
CIN53.452.352.451.050.750.7
7.67.77.77.77.77.7
KAL42.841.5*41.540.440.140.1
8.48.4*8.48.58.58.5
KC vs ALNHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC27.227.226.422.222.118.0
1.81.81.82.02.02.1
TUL81.880.7*80.479.479.279.2
7.17.17.17.27.27.1
RC52.850.750.848.748.048.0
9.49.49.49.59.59.5
ALN35.540.540.645.746.846.9
10.310.010.09.69.59.5
UTA19.718.618.717.317.217.2
11.511.611.611.711.711.7
TUL vs BOIHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
BOI99.5*99.7*99.799.899.899.8
6.78.88.711.411.811.9
2.92.72.72.52.52.4
TUL84.184.083.680.180.076.1
6.76.76.87.27.27.6
RC49.249.049.2*50.350.451.5
9.59.59.5*9.59.59.4
ALN40.540.540.6*41.6*41.743.1
9.99.99.9*9.99.99.8
UTA17.617.717.6*18.3*18.319.2
SC vs WICHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
RC51.150.450.549.649.449.5
9.49.5*9.49.59.59.5
WIC7.19.29.211.612.112.1
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
12.712.512.512.212.212.2
FLA vs GVLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC24.223.323.222.221.921.9
ADK vs TRHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC21.421.421.4*23.223.324.8
BOI8.78.78.7*9.69.510.4
TOL11.011.011.312.112.113.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.