How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
TUL 3 Steelheads 4 +0.5
+0.2
RC 8 UTA 3 +0.1
KAL 4 QC 5 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
TUL vs COL-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
KAL vs IND-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Steelheads finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsBrabham1234567891011121314Count
111-116In84.0%100712*
110282-2In39.2991186*
109283-1In34.19630417*
108273-2In25.895501,099*
107274-1In17.6881202,459*
106264-2In11.8801915,088*
105254-3In7.47027309,751*
104255-2In4.359365017,776*
103245-3In2.246449030,750*
102246-2In1.13449161050,193*
101236-3In0.42351233077,833*
100237-2In0.115483250115,368*
99227-3In0.0841401000162,181*
98228-2In0.0433461600218,499*
97218-3In0.0224482410280,779*
96219-2In0.01164634300347,709*
95209-3In0.00104143600410,486*
942010-2InNo0533501210466,587*
931910-3InNo03245319200507,828*
921911-2InNo01165128400243,769
1810-4InNo01155128500291,380*
911811-3InNo094537910254,877
1912-1InNo0094536910282,314*
901812-2InNo0535431610525,752*
891712-3100.0%No02254524400489,730*
881713-2100.0No01164233800443,451*
871613-3100.0No00935401410383,183*
861614-2100.0No0526442330322,056*
851514-399.9No0217423270260,347*
841515-299.8No011036411200203,213*
831415-399.5No0527472100152,384*
821416-298.9No0218473110111,203*
811316-397.6No0111444220077,719*
801317-295.4No005365441052,721*
791217-391.8No02276262033,876*
781218-286.6No011967851021,081*
771118-379.7No001168992012,756*
761119-270.4No06641016407,435*
751019-358.7No03551022914,075*
741020-247.8No2467271622,260*
73920-337.6No1375292451,170*
72921-224.0No024530338579*
71821-316.9No01712940120278*
70822-211.2No11012046201134*
69722-39.1No994733266*
68723-23.4No37345529*
67623-3OutNo1750336*
66624-2OutNo67333*
63526-1OutNo1001
52032-0OutNo07722633
Total:99.7%0.1%2717272114830000006,884,182

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
TUL 3 Steelheads 4 -0.4
MAN 2 JAX 4 -0.1
KAL 4 QC 5 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
MAN vs JAX+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
KAL vs IND+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627
116320-08812
114300-2100
113301-16733
112291-25050
111292-14654
110282-23961
109283-1346320
108273-2267050
107274-11871110
106264-212691810
105254-37632630
104255-24523670
103245-3241431310
102246-21294621400
101236-30184430710
100237-201037371420
99227-305284122400
98228-202183931910
97218-30111333716200
96219-2005244025500
95209-30021637341010
942010-2018304018300
931910-3004204027710
921911-20112353514200
911811-30062538246100
901812-200215353213200
891712-301826372261000
881713-20031634311320000
871613-3001826352271000
861614-2003163231143000
851514-3001824342481000
841515-20031430321640000
831415-30016213426910000
821416-20021229341840010
811316-3015193428910200
801317-20021028351830410
791217-3004183528606200
781218-201928341318510
771118-300417362038920
761119-201102925681561
751019-304192698201120
741020-20110231452020610
73920-30071615218241340
72921-2210122152720101
71821-3141301027281331
70822-21191514322843
69722-32822322427222
68723-23331212417
67623-3503317
66624-2333333
63526-1100
52032-0067321
Total:01481317161410753210000000000000