Rapid City Rush Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.2%

50 points 21 25-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
UTA 2 KC 5	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
IND vs WIC			+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the RC finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in			Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Brabham	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

86	18	0		-	0	99.5	%	No		0	5	29	47	17	1	0	1						10,881
84	16	0		-	2	90.9		No				9	18	45	18		9						11	*
83	16	1		-	1	79.6		No					11	57	11		20						54	*
82	15	1		-	2	69.0		No					5	42	22	0	31						226	*
81	15	2		-	1	61.0		No					3	29	25	4	39	0					835	*
80	14	2		-	2	49.6		No					1	17	25	7	50	0					2,972	*
79	14	3		-	1	38.4		No					0	8	20	10	61	1	0				8,515	*
78	13	3		-	2	28.1		No					0	3	13	11	68	3	0				23,868	*
77	12	3		-	3	19.7		No					0	1	7	12	71	9	0				57,692	*
76	12	4		-	2	13.5		No					0	0	3	10	66	19	2	0			133,294	*
75	11	4		-	3	8.9		No						0	1	8	54	32	5	0			281,988	*
74	11	5		-	2	5.4		No						0	0	5	39	43	12	0			555,299	*
73	10	5		-	3	3.2		No						0	0	3	25	49	23	0			1,012,011	*
72	10	6		-	2	1.8		No						0	0	2	13	47	36	1			1,736,106	*
71	9	6		-	3	0.9		No							0	1	6	40	50	3			2,764,620	*
70	9	7		-	2	0.4		No							0	0	2	29	61	7	0		4,160,355	*
69	8	7		-	3	0.2		No								0	1	19	67	13	0		2,809,760
	9	8		-	1	0.2		No								0	1	19	67	13	0		3,012,059	*
68	8	8		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	11	67	21	0		3,915,500
	7	7		-	4	0.1		No								0	0	11	67	22	0		3,786,894	*
67	7	8		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	6	62	32	0		4,575,893
	8	9		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	6	63	32	0		4,917,486	*
66	7	9		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	3	55	43	0		5,663,871
	6	8		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	2	54	44	0		3,484,078
	8	10		-	0	0.0		No								0	0	3	55	42	0		1,898,057	*
65	6	9		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	1	44	55	0		5,761,703
	7	10		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	1	45	53	0		4,213,396
	5	8		-	5	0.0		No								0	0	1	43	56	0		2,017,331	*
64	6	10		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	0	34	65	1		6,422,176
	5	9		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	0	33	66	1		3,735,470
	7	11		-	0	0.0		No								0	0	0	34	64	1		2,115,048	*
63	5	10		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	0	24	74	2		5,556,651
	6	11		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	0	24	74	2		6,111,808	*
62	5	11		-	2	0.0		No								0		0	16	80	4		5,635,893
	4	10		-	4	0.0		No								0		0	16	80	4		4,809,757	*
61	4	11		-	3	0.0		No								0		0	9	83	8		4,036,927
	5	12		-	1	0.0		No								0		0	10	83	8		4,592,960	*
60	4	12		-	2	0.0		No								0		0	5	81	13		4,744,594	*
	3	11		-	4	Out		No										0	5	81	14		1,945,281	*
59	4	13		-	1	Out		No										0	3	77	21		2,145,683
	3	12		-	3	Out		No										0	2	76	22		2,598,696	*
58	3	13		-	2	Out		No										0	1	68	31		3,139,799	*
57	3	14		-	1	Out		No										0	0	58	42		1,868,624	*
56	2	14		-	2	Out		No											0	47	53		1,029,213	*
55	2	15		-	1	Out		No											0	36	64		493,918	*
54	1	15		-	2	Out		No											0	26	74		218,894	*
53	1	16		-	1	Out		No												17	83		78,348	*
52	1	17		-	0	Out		No												10	90		25,603	*
51	0	17		-	1	Out		No												6	94		5,485
50	0	18		-	0	Out		No												3	97		11,991

Total:						0.2	%	No		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	35	53	5		118,127,574

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
SC vs NOR	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
IND vs WIC	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27

86	18	0		-	0				0	1	10	29	36	19	4	0	0					1
84	16	0		-	2									36	18	36						9
83	16	1		-	1								6	24	26	19	6					20
82	15	1		-	2								1	11	19	19	12	6	1			31
81	15	2		-	1								0	3	9	19	17	10	3	0		39	0
80	14	2		-	2								0	0	3	10	14	14	7	1	0	48	2	0
79	14	3		-	1									0	1	3	7	12	10	5	1	55	6	0	0
78	13	3		-	2										0	0	2	6	9	8	2	54	16	2	0
77	12	3		-	3										0	0	0	2	5	8	5	43	28	8	1	0	0
76	12	4		-	2												0	0	2	5	6	26	35	20	5	1	0
75	11	4		-	3												0	0	0	2	6	11	29	31	16	4	0	0
74	11	5		-	2													0	0	1	5	3	16	31	28	13	3	0	0
73	10	5		-	3													0	0	0	3	1	6	20	32	26	11	2	0	0
72	10	6		-	2														0	0	2	0	1	8	23	34	24	7	1	0
71	9	6		-	3															0	1	0	0	2	11	29	35	19	2	0
70	9	7		-	2															0	0	0	0	0	4	18	37	33	8	0	0
	8	6		-	4															0	0	0	0	0	4	17	37	33	8	1	0
69	8	7		-	3																0		0	0	1	8	28	44	17	2	0
	9	8		-	1															0	0	0	0	0	1	8	29	43	16	2	0
68	8	8		-	2																0		0	0	0	3	18	46	28	5	0
	7	7		-	4																0			0	0	2	17	46	29	5	0
67	7	8		-	3																0			0	0	1	8	39	40	11	0	0
	8	9		-	1																0			0	0	1	8	40	40	11	0	0
66	7	9		-	2																0				0	0	3	29	47	21	0	0
	6	8		-	4																0			0	0	0	3	29	47	21	0	0
65	6	9		-	3																0				0	0	1	18	47	33	1	0
	7	10		-	1																0				0	0	1	19	47	32	1	0
	5	8		-	5																0				0	0	1	18	47	34	1	0
64	6	10		-	2																0					0	0	10	42	45	2	0
	5	9		-	4																0					0	0	10	41	46	2	0
	7	11		-	0																0					0	0	10	42	45	2	0
63	5	10		-	3																0					0	0	5	32	57	5	0
	6	11		-	1																0					0	0	5	33	57	5	0
62	5	11		-	2																0					0	0	2	23	64	11	0
	4	10		-	4																0					0	0	2	22	65	11	0
61	4	11		-	3																0						0	1	13	66	19	1
	5	12		-	1																0						0	1	14	66	19	1
60	4	12		-	2																0						0	0	7	61	28	3
	3	11		-	4																						0	0	7	61	29	3
59	4	13		-	1																						0	0	3	52	38	7
	3	12		-	3																							0	3	51	39	7
58	3	13		-	2																							0	1	39	46	13
57	3	14		-	1																							0	0	27	50	22
56	2	14		-	2																							0	0	17	49	33
55	2	15		-	1																								0	10	44	46
54	1	15		-	2																								0	5	35	60
53	1	16		-	1																									2	26	72
52	1	17		-	0																									1	17	82
51	0	17		-	1																									0	10	90
50	0	18		-	0																									0	5	94

Total:									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	16	26	35	9	2