Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Greenville Swamp Rabbits Playoff Chances 20-21 50/50

Lost to FLA 0-4, playoff odds down 4.3 to 38%

4 points 2 5-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
GRN 0 FLA 4	-5.2		-0.5		-0.5
REA 5 NOR 2	+0.6
ADK 5 UTA 4					-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
GRN vs FLA	+4.6+3.9+3.2-1.2-1.4-5.1		+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4		+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4
REA vs NOR	+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
SC vs ORL	+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.6+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the GRN finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Brabham		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

111	-134						In		Yes		100														39,150	*
110		51	10		-	4	In		99.4	%	99	1													157	*
109		51	11		-	3	In		99.7		100	0													338	*
107	-108						In		99.7		100														1,862	*
106		49	12		-	4	In		99.5		100	0													2,319	*
105		49	13		-	3	In		99.5		100	0													4,409	*
104		48	13		-	4	In		99.0		99	1													7,365	*
103		48	14		-	3	In		98.6		99	1													13,110	*
102		47	14		-	4	In		98.0		99	1													22,307	*
101		47	15		-	3	In		97.0		99	1													36,810	*
100		46	15		-	4	In		95.5		98	2	0												59,153	*
99		46	16		-	3	In		93.4		97	3	0												93,142	*
98		45	16		-	4	In		90.5		96	4	0												145,970	*
97		45	17		-	3	In		86.4		94	6	0	0											220,994	*
96		44	17		-	4	In		81.0		91	9	0	0	0										329,241	*
95		43	17		-	5	In		74.2		88	12	0	0											481,360	*
94		43	18		-	4	In		65.9		83	16	1	0	0										690,356	*
93		42	18		-	5	In		56.1		77	21	2	0	0										971,167	*
92		42	19		-	4	In		45.2		70	27	3	0	0	0									1,341,562	*
91		41	19		-	5	100.0	%	34.0		62	33	5	0	0	0			0						1,818,556	*
90		41	20		-	4	100.0		23.3		52	38	9	1	0	0	0		0						2,419,109	*
89		40	20		-	5	100.0		14.3		42	42	14	2	0	0	0		0						3,163,354	*
88		40	21		-	4	100.0		7.6		31	44	20	4	0	0	0	0	0	0					4,057,829	*
87		39	21		-	5	100.0		3.3		22	42	28	8	1	0	0	0	0	0					5,111,022	*
86		39	22		-	4	100.0		1.2		13	37	34	13	2	0	0	0	0	0					6,337,460	*
85		38	22		-	5	100.0		0.3		7	28	37	21	6	1	0	0	0	0					7,710,120	*
84		38	23		-	4	99.9		0.1		3	19	35	29	11	2	0	0	0	0					9,215,273	*
83		37	23		-	5	99.7		0.0		1	10	28	34	19	5	1	0	0	0					10,836,886	*
82		37	24		-	4	99.0		0.0		0	5	19	33	28	12	2	0	1	0	0				12,519,542	*
81		36	24		-	5	97.3		0.0		0	2	10	26	33	20	5	0	3	0	0				14,223,496	*
80		36	25		-	4	93.6		No		0	0	4	16	31	29	12	2	6	0	0	0			15,894,406	*
79		35	25		-	5	86.5		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	20	4	12	1	0	0			17,457,009	*
78		35	26		-	4	75.5		No		0	0	0	3	12	27	25	8	21	3	0	0			18,858,510	*
77		34	26		-	5	60.8		No			0	0	1	5	17	25	13	31	8	0	0	0		20,017,552	*
76		34	27		-	4	44.7		No			0	0	0	1	8	19	16	38	15	2	0	0		20,912,933	*
75		33	27		-	5	29.6		No				0	0	0	3	11	15	39	26	5	0	0		21,492,778	*
74		33	28		-	4	17.7		No				0	0	0	1	5	12	33	35	12	2	0		21,720,407	*
73		32	28		-	5	9.6		No					0	0	0	2	8	24	40	22	5	0		21,599,117	*
72		32	29		-	4	4.7		No					0	0	0	1	4	15	37	31	11	1		21,131,126	*
71		31	29		-	5	2.1		No					0	0	0	0	2	8	30	37	19	3		20,325,703	*
70		31	30		-	4	0.9		No					0	0	0	0	1	4	21	39	28	7		19,237,139	*
69		30	30		-	5	0.4		No						0	0	0	0	2	13	35	37	13		17,922,799	*
68		30	31		-	4	0.1		No						0	0	0	0	1	7	29	42	21		16,415,466	*
67		29	31		-	5	0.1		No							0	0	0	0	4	21	45	30		14,789,010	*
66		29	32		-	4	0.0		No							0	0	0	0	2	15	43	40		13,117,485	*
65		28	32		-	5	0.0		No								0	0	0	1	9	39	50		11,439,729	*
64		28	33		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	0	0	6	34	60		9,814,535	*
63		27	33		-	5	0.0		No								0	0	0	0	3	28	69		8,281,427	*
62		27	34		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	0	0	2	22	76		6,882,972	*
61		26	34		-	5	0.0		No									0	0	0	1	17	82		5,618,140	*
60		26	35		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	0	0	1	13	86		4,515,554	*
59		25	35		-	5	0.0		No									0		0	0	10	90		3,563,385	*
58		25	36		-	4	0.0		No									0		0	0	7	93		2,770,151	*
57		24	36		-	5	0.0		No									0		0	0	5	95		2,113,494	*
56		24	37		-	4	Out		No											0	0	3	97		1,591,333	*
55		23	37		-	5	Out		No												0	2	98		1,172,886	*
54		23	38		-	4	Out		No												0	2	98		852,365	*
53		22	38		-	5	Out		No												0	1	99		608,930	*
52		22	39		-	4	Out		No												0	1	99		427,421	*
51		21	39		-	5	Out		No												0	1	99		293,581	*
50		21	40		-	4	Out		No													0	100		199,361	*
49		20	40		-	5	Out		No													0	100		133,415	*
48		20	41		-	4	Out		No													0	100		87,322	*
47		19	41		-	5	Out		No													0	100		56,137	*
46		19	42		-	4	Out		No													0	100		35,249	*
45		18	42		-	5	Out		No													0	100		21,984	*
44		18	43		-	4	Out		No													0	100		13,289	*
43		18	44		-	3	Out		No													0	100		7,937	*
42		17	44		-	4	Out		No													0	100		4,730	*
41		17	45		-	3	Out		No														100		2,733	*
40		16	45		-	4	Out		No													0	100		1,586	*
39		16	46		-	3	Out		No													0	100		885	*
4	-38						Out		No														100		39,962	*

Total:							38.0	%	1.2	%	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	4	11	12	12	12	15		423,315,352

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
GRN 0 FLA 4	+1.0
MNE 7 TR 8 (ot)	*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
GRN vs FLA	-0.9-0.8-0.6+0.2+0.2+1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27

111	-134						100
110		51	10		-	4	99	1
109		51	11		-	3	100	0
108		50	11		-	4	100	0
107		50	12		-	3	100	0
106		49	12		-	4	99	1
105		49	13		-	3	99	1
104		48	13		-	4	99	1	0
103		48	14		-	3	99	1
102		47	14		-	4	98	2	0
101		47	15		-	3	97	3	0
100		46	15		-	4	95	4	0
99		46	16		-	3	93	6	0	0
98		45	16		-	4	91	9	0	0
97		45	17		-	3	86	13	1	0
96		44	17		-	4	81	18	1	0	0	0
95		43	17		-	5	74	23	3	0	0
94		43	18		-	4	66	29	5	0	0	0
93		42	18		-	5	56	35	8	1	0	0
92		42	19		-	4	45	39	13	2	0	0	0
91		41	19		-	5	34	41	20	5	1	0	0	0									0
90		41	20		-	4	23	39	26	9	2	0	0	0	0								0
89		40	20		-	5	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0	0								0
88		40	21		-	4	8	24	32	23	10	3	0	0	0	0	0						0	0
87		39	21		-	5	3	15	28	28	17	7	2	0	0	0	0						0	0
86		39	22		-	4	1	7	19	28	24	13	5	1	0	0	0	0					0	0
85		38	22		-	5	0	3	10	21	27	22	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
84		38	23		-	4	0	1	4	12	22	26	20	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
83		37	23		-	5	0	0	1	5	12	22	25	20	11	4	1	0	0	0	0		0	0
82		37	24		-	4	0	0	0	1	4	12	21	24	20	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
81		36	24		-	5	0	0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	12	5	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0
80		36	25		-	4		0	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	21	13	5	1	0	0	6	0	0	0
79		35	25		-	5			0	0	0	0	0	2	7	15	21	21	14	5	1	0	12	2	0	0	0
78		35	26		-	4					0	0	0	0	1	5	12	19	20	13	5	1	19	5	1	0	0	0
77		34	26		-	5						0	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	18	11	3	24	12	3	0	0	0	0
76		34	27		-	4							0	0	0	0	1	2	7	14	14	6	22	22	9	2	0	0	0	0
75		33	27		-	5						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	12	9	15	26	19	8	2	0	0	0	0
74		33	28		-	4									0	0	0	0	0	2	6	9	7	21	26	18	8	2	0	0	0	0
73		32	28		-	5											0	0	0	0	3	7	2	11	23	26	18	8	2	0	0	0	0
72		32	29		-	4											0	0	0	0	1	4	1	4	13	24	25	18	8	2	0	0	0
71		31	29		-	5											0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	7	2	0	0
70		31	30		-	4												0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	7	16	25	25	16	6	1	0
69		30	30		-	5													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	19	27	25	14	4	1
68		30	31		-	4													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	22	29	23	10	2
67		29	31		-	5														0	0	0		0	0	0	1	5	14	27	30	18	4
66		29	32		-	4														0	0	0		0	0	0	0	2	8	21	33	27	9
65		28	32		-	5															0	0		0	0	0	0	1	4	14	30	35	17
64		28	33		-	4															0	0			0	0	0	0	2	8	25	40	26
63		27	33		-	5															0	0				0	0	0	1	4	18	41	37
62		27	34		-	4															0	0				0	0	0	0	2	12	38	48
61		26	34		-	5																0				0	0	0	0	1	8	33	58
60		26	35		-	4															0	0						0	0	0	4	28	67
59		25	35		-	5																0						0	0	0	2	22	75
58		25	36		-	4																0							0	0	1	17	82
57		24	36		-	5																0							0	0	1	12	87
56		24	37		-	4																							0	0	0	9	91
55		23	37		-	5																								0	0	6	93
54		23	38		-	4																									0	4	95
53		22	38		-	5																								0	0	3	97
52		22	39		-	4																								0	0	2	98
51		21	39		-	5																									0	1	99
50		21	40		-	4																									0	1	99
49		20	40		-	5																										1	99
48		20	41		-	4																										0	100
47		19	41		-	5																										0	100
46		19	42		-	4																									0	0	100
45		18	42		-	5																										0	100
44		18	43		-	4																										0	100
43		18	44		-	3																										0	100
42		17	44		-	4																										0	100
41		17	45		-	3																										0	100
40		16	45		-	4																										0	100
39		16	46		-	3																										0	100
37	-38																																100
36		14	47		-	4																										1	99
4	-35																																100

Total:							1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	7	7