How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW 5 ALN 3 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
KC 3 TOL 1 -0.1
+0.1
ORL 2 FLA 3 (ot)-0.1
WIC 3 COL 1 +0.1
TUL 3 Steelheads 4 -0.0
KAL 4 QC 5 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW vs ALN+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
KC vs TOL-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
ORL vs FLA+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
TUL vs COL+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the FW finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsBrabham1234567891011121314Count
118340-0In96.5%1000635
117330-1InYes1003
116331-0In81.394616*
115321-1In81.194653*
114311-2In72.3973191*
113312-1In65.5946444*
112302-2In56.69281,231*
111303-1In49.489112,702*
110293-2In38.6841606,011*
109294-1In29.37921011,706*
108284-2In21.77227021,618*
107285-1In15.06535136,085*
106275-2In9.75742259,104*
105276-1In6.048493089,869*
104266-2In3.5395550132,606*
103256-3In1.9316090182,157*
102257-2In0.92463130242,708*
101247-3In0.417632000305,186*
100248-2In0.211612710370,848*
99238-3In0.17553620427,997*
98239-2In0.044844400479,238*
97229-3In0.023951800511,441*
962210-2In0.0130551310531,768*
952110-3In0.0021562120526,917*
942111-2InNo0135229500507,144*
932011-3InNo08443710100465,972*
922012-2InNo04344217200418,958*
911912-3100.0%No022443265000361,021*
901913-2100.0No0115393411100301,865*
891813-3100.0No08313919300242,768*
881814-299.9No04224028600189,382*
871714-399.7No021336371210142,993*
861715-299.2No01728422021104,243*
851615-398.2No0318413052073,054*
841616-296.3No01103638104050,194*
831516-393.1No0052744167033,158*
821517-287.3No0217432412021,428*
811417-379.2No1103732201013,121*
801418-270.6No0529372727,788*
791318-359.6No02203735504,590*
781319-244.9No011232451002,529*
771219-336.5No0729471611,390*
761220-225.7No022445273735*
751120-317.7No017453150350*
741121-212.2No112384010181*
731021-33.4No3205817188*
72921-48.8No9185318334*
71922-35.0No5205052020*
701024-0OutNo1001
69823-3OutNo3333333*
68824-2OutNo3333333
67825-1OutNo1002
50034-0OutNo12574633
Total:99.7%0.6%728321795200000006,884,182

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
FW 5 ALN 3 -0.2
MAN 2 JAX 4 -0.1
KC 3 TOL 1 -0.1
TUL 3 Steelheads 4 +0.0
KAL 4 QC 5 (so)-0.0
NOR 3 SC 2 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
FW vs ALN-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5
KC vs TOL-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
MAN vs JAX+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627
118340-0973
117330-1100
116331-08119
115321-181172
114311-27228
113312-166341
112302-257413
111303-149455
110293-2395290
109294-12957140
108284-22258200
107285-115572710
106275-210523530
105276-164643500
104266-243750900
103256-3229541510
102257-2121542220
101247-30145130500
100248-2084538800
99238-30536441510
98239-202264622300
97229-3011744316000
962210-20010373912100
952110-3005284320400
942111-2021841298100
932011-301103435163000
922012-20052437258100
911912-30021433321530000
901913-2017243524810000
891813-30031430321640000
881814-20016213426102000
871714-3002122833195100
861715-2015183228122001
851615-3002925332271020
841616-20031530301430040
831516-3001721322381070
821517-20021127291530120
811417-30041729217102010
801418-201821261210272
791318-304132316303460
781319-201615175044110
771219-30291681431920
761220-2031372412760
751120-3017723635102
741121-263327401371
731021-3111163335111
72921-463122429243
71922-351020352010
701024-0100
69823-33367
68824-23367
67825-15050
50034-022771
Total:1617212013964211000000000000