Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsBrabhamChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPI3/17
ADKat WOR592288-304099.9%+0.032.1%-3.254319311000000001.7-0.027Adirondack Thunder
GVLTOL592911-101799.3+1.620.3+7.4373914621001000002.1+0.521at JAXGreenville Swamp Rabbits
ORL4642011-601581.6+4.41.2-0.241021181484214311005.0+0.228Orlando Solar Bears
SCTFLA 1-14622214-211473.8-1.30.5-0.526151816105218421105.8-0.286at SAVSouth Carolina Stingrays
JAX4712215-301971.9+5.90.4-0.126151715105220421105.8+0.269GVLJacksonville Icemen
FLATSC 1-14532012-511869.4-11.70.5-1.726151615105221521106.0-1.162Florida Everblades
NORat UTA4211917-401067.1+0.00.0-0.00136914171631096427.8+0.0920at UTANorfolk Admirals
WORADK4121816-50-1663.7-0.00.0-0.00136913161631097528.0+0.0816Worcester Railers
MNEREA3741616-50053.5-0.00.0-0.0002471114163111210738.7+0.0719REAMaine Mariners
NFL411717-70-2547.6+0.00.000135913164121311849.1+0.0618Newfoundland Growlers
REAat MNE3631618-40-1639.0-0.00.0-0.0001247111431214131169.7+0.0525at MNEReading Royals
TRBOI381720-40-3329.2-0.00.00001258123121516151010.4+0.0424Trois Rivieres Lions
SAV3311421-50-242.6+0.70.0000001115101217243012.2+0.0423SCSavannah Ghost Pirates
ATL3021423-20-261.4+0.40.00000000037914234312.7+0.0222TOLAtlanta Gladiators

Automation via bash scripting and the ECHL's Leaguestat XML. Updated script as of 2018-10-25 takes into account the current home win, OT, and SO percentages for the league once a minimum number of games has been reached (currently set to 100).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
TR 1 MNE 8
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NOR+0.1
WOR+0.2
MNE+6.6
+0.5
NFL+0.1
REA+0.1
TR-7.3
-0.5
TUL 2 BOI 4
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK-2.4
GVL+1.2
+7.4
ORL+2.2
JAX+3.0
FLA-3.7
SAV+0.4
ADK 4 NFL 0
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+4.6
+0.1
GVL-1.1
-0.0
NOR+1.1
+0.1
WOR+1.3
+0.1
MNE+1.4
+0.1
NFL-6.7
-0.5
REA+1.4
+0.1
TR+1.4
+0.1
WOR 6 NOR 3
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NOR-6.6
-0.5
WOR+6.4
+0.5
NFL+0.1
+0.0
REA+0.1
FLA 3 GVL 4
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.2
+0.0
GVL+0.2
+0.1
+0.1
ORL+2.4
+0.1
SC-3.2
-0.3
JAX+3.3
+0.2
FLA-3.4
-0.3
-0.3
SAV+0.5
ATL+0.2
SAV 1 JAX 6
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.2
GVL+0.3
+0.2
ORL+2.3
+0.1
SC-3.5
-0.3
-0.4
JAX+3.3
+0.2
FLA-3.0
-0.3
SAV+0.4
No
+0.0
ATL+0.2
+0.0
KC 1 ALN 3
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.4
GVL+0.4
+0.2
ORL+2.4
SC-3.8
-0.4
JAX+3.2
FLA-2.7
-0.8
REA 3 WHL 8
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NOR+1.2
+0.1
WOR+1.3
+0.1
MNE+1.3
+0.1
NFL+1.4
+0.1
REA-6.5
-0.5
TR+1.2
+0.1
UTA 2 RC 3
7:10 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.3
GVL+0.4
+0.2
ORL+2.3
SC-3.8
FLA-2.7
SC 7 WIC 1
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL-1.1
-0.1
SC+4.8
+0.2
+0.4
JAX-1.8
-0.1
FLA-1.2
-0.1
SAV-0.4
ATL-0.2
CIN 3 TOL 2 (ot)
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+0.2
GVL+0.1
Saturday
MNE vs NFLIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
MNE60.559.158.051.251.345.8
8.38.38.48.98.99.2
NFL39.545.545.653.153.454.8
9.79.39.38.88.78.7
WOR vs NORHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NOR59.965.565.471.772.473.5
8.37.97.97.57.47.4
WOR70.068.968.662.162.156.6
7.67.67.78.18.18.6
REA vs WHLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NOR66.066.066.467.467.368.4
7.97.97.97.87.87.8
MNE52.452.452.753.853.854.8
8.88.88.88.78.78.7
NFL46.446.446.4*47.7*47.749.0
9.29.29.2*9.19.19.1
REA44.444.443.237.937.932.6
9.39.39.49.89.810.1
ADK vs TRHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK37.237.136.831.331.226.1
1.61.61.61.71.71.9
GVL18.818.818.920.520.622.0
2.12.12.12.02.12.0
TR23.528.028.233.234.034.1
0.00.0No0.00.00.0
10.810.510.510.110.010.0
JAX vs SAVHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
SC72.572.372.9*73.9*73.975.4
5.85.85.85.85.85.7
JAX76.676.475.671.271.166.5
0.60.50.50.30.30.2
5.45.55.55.95.96.3
FLA68.167.968.2*69.5*69.371.0
6.06.06.06.06.05.9
SAV1.52.12.13.23.43.7
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
12.512.312.312.012.011.9
FLA vs GVLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK33.832.332.430.730.630.7
GVL98.999.299.299.699.699.7
15.619.419.423.624.324.4
2.32.12.11.91.91.9
ORL80.580.480.8*81.781.782.8
1.3*1.2*1.21.11.11.1
5.05.05.05.05.04.9
SC72.672.472.6*73.9*73.975.4
5.85.85.85.85.85.7
JAX70.570.470.4*72.1*72.073.7
5.95.95.95.85.85.8
FLA73.973.873.368.768.864.1
0.70.60.60.30.30.2
5.65.65.66.06.06.4
SC vs WICHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL80.580.580.7*81.7*81.682.8
5.05.05.0*5.05.04.9
SC78.278.277.473.373.368.6
0.70.60.60.40.40.2
5.45.45.55.85.86.2
JAX70.470.470.8*72.172.273.7
5.95.95.95.85.85.7
FLA68.068.068.2*69.569.571.0
6.06.06.0*6.06.05.9
ORL vs ATLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL85.185.084.681.181.177.4
1.61.61.51.11.00.7
4.64.64.75.05.05.4
ATL0.71.11.11.71.82.0
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
12.912.712.712.512.512.5
KC vs ALNHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK30.630.630.8*32.332.333.9
GVL19.119.219.520.620.621.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.