Atlanta Gladiators Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 1.4%

30 points 14 23-2 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
FLA 3 GVL 4	+0.2
SAV 1 JAX 6	+0.2				+0.0
SC 7 WIC 1	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
ORL vs ATL	-0.6-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.4+0.6		NoNoNoNoNo+0.0		-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
SC vs WIC	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
FLA vs GVL	-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
JAX vs SAV	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ATL finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		Brabham		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

96		33	0		-	0	0		In		34.3	%	60	39	1	0											1,718
92		30	1		-	2	0		In		No		33	33	33												3
91		30	2		-	1	0		In		No		17	67	17												6	*
90		29	2		-	2	0		In		No		19	50	31												16	*
89		29	3		-	1	0		In		No		3	29	66	2											58	*
88		28	3		-	2	0		In		No		5	31	50	13	1										182	*
87		28	4		-	1	0		In		No		1	22	52	23	2	0									380	*
86		27	4		-	2	0		99.6	%	No		0	11	50	32	6	1			0						984	*
85		27	5		-	1	0		99.7		No		0	6	37	42	13	1	0		0						2,046	*
84		26	5		-	2	0		98.8		No		0	2	24	44	25	4	0		1						4,439	*
83		25	5		-	3	0		95.9		No			1	13	37	34	11	1	0	4	0					8,538	*
82		25	6		-	2	0		89.4		No		0	0	5	25	39	17	2	0	10	0					16,170	*
81		24	6		-	3	0		79.2		No			0	2	14	33	24	6	0	19	2					28,599	*
80		24	7		-	2	0		64.9		No				0	5	22	26	10	1	30	5	0	0			49,196	*
79		23	7		-	3	0		48.1		No				0	2	11	20	13	3	42	10	0				79,287	*
78		23	8		-	2	0		32.4		No				0	0	4	12	12	4	48	19	0	0			123,755	*
77		22	8		-	3	0		19.5		No					0	1	5	8	5	48	31	1	0			184,744	*
76		22	9		-	2	0		10.4		No					0	0	2	4	5	40	44	5	0	0		267,425	*
75		21	9		-	3	0		4.9		No					0	0	0	1	3	29	52	13	2	0	0	368,433	*
74		21	10		-	2	0		2.1		No						0	0	0	2	17	51	24	6	1	0	491,832	*
73		20	10		-	3	0		0.8		No							0	0	1	8	41	35	14	2	0	631,873	*
72		20	11		-	2	0		0.3		No							0	0	0	3	27	39	25	6	0	786,168	*
71		19	11		-	3	0		0.1		No								0	0	1	14	35	35	14	2	939,492	*
70		19	12		-	2	0		0.0		No									0	0	7	26	40	23	4	1,092,931	*
69		18	12		-	3	0		0.0		No									0	0	2	16	38	34	9	1,219,712	*
68		18	13		-	2	0		0.0		No									0	0	1	9	32	42	17	1,325,672	*
67		17	13		-	3	0		Out		No										0	0	4	23	45	27	1,383,149	*
66		17	14		-	2	0		Out		No										0	0	2	15	44	38	1,410,225	*
65		16	14		-	3	0		Out		No											0	1	9	40	50	1,377,786	*
64		16	15		-	2	0		Out		No											0	0	5	33	61	1,315,038	*
63		15	15		-	3	0		Out		No											0	0	3	26	71	1,205,121	*
62		15	16		-	2	0		Out		No											0	0	1	19	79	1,075,189	*
61		14	16		-	3	0		Out		No												0	1	14	86	923,098	*
60		14	17		-	2	0		Out		No												0	0	9	90	773,750	*
59		13	17		-	3	0		Out		No												0	0	6	94	624,411	*
58		13	18		-	2	0		Out		No													0	4	96	489,173	*
57		12	18		-	3	0		Out		No													0	2	98	367,814	*
56		12	19		-	2	0		Out		No													0	1	99	269,537	*
55		11	19		-	3	0		Out		No													0	1	99	189,750	*
54		11	20		-	2	0		Out		No													0	0	100	129,876	*
53		10	20		-	3	0		Out		No														0	100	85,295	*
52		10	21		-	2	0		Out		No														0	100	54,697	*
51		9	21		-	3	0		Out		No														0	100	33,531	*
50		9	22		-	2	0		Out		No														0	100	19,802	*
49		8	22		-	3	0		Out		No														0	100	11,165	*
48		8	23		-	2	0		Out		No														0	100	6,068	*
47		7	23		-	3	0		Out		No														0	100	3,250	*
45	-46								Out		No															100	2,451	*
44		6	25		-	2	0		Out		No														0	100	384	*
30	-43								Out		No															100	1,989	*

Total:									1.4	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	9	14	23	43	19,376,208

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
SAV 1 JAX 6	-0.1
KC 1 ALN 3	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
ORL vs ATL	+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5

What If

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28

96		33	0		-	0	0		34	45	18	3	0
92		30	1		-	2	0				67		33
91		30	2		-	1	0			17	33	33	17
90		29	2		-	2	0			19	19	25	31	6
89		29	3		-	1	0				16	28	43	10	3
88		28	3		-	2	0			2	8	26	35	23	6	2
87		28	4		-	1	0				2	11	29	34	18	5	1	0
86		27	4		-	2	0				1	4	19	35	27	11	3		0						0
85		27	5		-	1	0				0	1	8	26	33	22	8	2	0						0
84		26	5		-	2	0					0	3	14	27	31	18	6	1	0					1
83		25	5		-	3	0					0	0	5	15	28	27	15	5	1	0				4	0
82		25	6		-	2	0						0	1	6	17	26	23	12	4	1	0	0		10	0
81		24	6		-	3	0						0	0	1	6	16	23	20	10	3	0	0		19	2	0
80		24	7		-	2	0							0	0	1	6	14	19	16	7	2	0	0	29	5	0	0
79		23	7		-	3	0								0	0	1	5	11	14	11	5	1	0	38	13	1	0
78		23	8		-	2	0									0	0	1	3	8	10	7	3	0	38	24	5	0	0	0
77		22	8		-	3	0										0	0	1	2	5	6	4	1	31	35	13	2	0	0
76		22	9		-	2	0										0	0	0	0	2	3	3	1	18	37	25	8	1	0	0
75		21	9		-	3	0											0	0	0	0	1	2	1	8	27	34	19	6	1	0	0
74		21	10		-	2	0													0	0	0	1	1	2	14	30	30	16	5	1	0	0	0
73		20	10		-	3	0													0	0	0	0	1	0	5	18	30	27	14	5	1	0	0	0
72		20	11		-	2	0															0	0	0	0	1	7	19	29	25	13	4	1	0	0
71		19	11		-	3	0															0	0	0	0	0	2	8	20	28	24	13	4	1	0	0
70		19	12		-	2	0																0	0	0	0	0	2	10	21	28	23	11	3	0	0
69		18	12		-	3	0																0	0		0	0	1	3	11	23	29	22	9	2	0
68		18	13		-	2	0																	0		0	0	0	1	4	14	26	29	19	6	1
67		17	13		-	3	0																				0	0	0	1	6	18	30	28	14	3
66		17	14		-	2	0																					0	0	0	2	10	24	34	24	6
65		16	14		-	3	0																					0	0	0	1	4	16	33	33	13
64		16	15		-	2	0																						0	0	0	2	9	27	40	22
63		15	15		-	3	0																							0	0	1	4	19	42	34
62		15	16		-	2	0																								0	0	2	12	40	46
61		14	16		-	3	0																								0	0	1	7	34	58
60		14	17		-	2	0																									0	0	4	28	68
59		13	17		-	3	0																									0	0	2	21	77
58		13	18		-	2	0																									0	0	1	15	84
57		12	18		-	3	0																										0	0	10	89
56		12	19		-	2	0																										0	0	7	93
55		11	19		-	3	0																										0	0	4	96
54		11	20		-	2	0																											0	3	97
53		10	20		-	3	0																											0	2	98
52		10	21		-	2	0																												1	99
51		9	21		-	3	0																											0	1	99
50		9	22		-	2	0																												0	100
49		8	22		-	3	0																												0	100
48		8	23		-	2	0																												0	100
47		7	23		-	3	0																												0	100
46		7	24		-	2	0																												0	100
45		6	24		-	3	0																												0	100
44		6	25		-	2	0																												0	100
43		5	25		-	3	0																												1	99
30	-42																																			100

Total:									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	4	5	7	8	10	13	17	24