"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW 5 ALN 3 -2.2
-0.2
TUL 3 Steelheads 4 +1.6
RC 8 UTA 3 +1.2
WIC 3 COL 1 -0.2
KAL 4 QC 5 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW vs ALN-2.1+0.6+0.6+2.8+3.1+3.1
-0.0-0.0NoNoNo+0.0
-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
TUL vs COL-2.2-2.3-1.8+0.2+0.2+1.8
-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
RC vs UTA+0.6*+0.1+0.3-0.6-0.6-0.6
QC vs CIN+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ALN finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsBrabham1234567891011121314Count
109320-0In60.8%1000633
105302-0InNo1002
104292-1InNo67333*
103282-2In12.563191916*
102283-1In5.644431354*
101273-2In1.43644181146*
100263-3In0.82250254366*
99264-2In0.514413690933*
98254-3In0.1837421301,872*
97255-2InNo4274720203,772*
96245-3InNo1194630407,177*
95246-2InNo111403981013,347*
94236-3InNo063245152022,914*
93237-2InNo0323472340037,836*
92227-3InNo0114433391059,457*
91228-2InNo0073540162089,526*
90218-3InNo00325422550127,097*
89219-2100.0%No011539331010174,877*
88209-3100.0No00831391820230,336*
872010-2100.0No00422412850290,796*
861910-399.9No002143837100352,870*
851911-299.9No01831441700413,004*
841811-399.7No00422472700463,683*
831812-299.2No00214453910504,024*
821712-398.5No0183951100523,243*
811612-497.2No0043063300528,030*
801613-395.3No022272410512,001*
791513-492.2No0114786200478,637*
781514-388.1No008807400431,018*
771414-482.6No04799810375,704*
761415-375.7No027491230315,152*
751416-267.4No016791860255,783*
741316-357.7No057823111199,264*
731317-247.8No0486271820150,050*
721217-337.9No0384282740108,561*
711218-228.3No028226368076,594*
701118-319.9No0201224413051,500*
691119-213.1No130174822033,794*
681019-38.1No80124832120,950*
671020-24.2No4084443212,811*
66920-32.0No205365347,339*
65921-21.1No12286274,059*
64821-30.4No012168102,205*
63822-20.1No001470161,132*
62722-3OutNo66727537*
61723-2OutNo460360251*
60623-3OutNo35739119*
59624-2OutNo445639*
58524-3OutNo326819*
57525-2OutNo307010*
56425-3OutNo20805*
55224-6OutNo1001
45032-0OutNo2773633
Total:88.8%0.0%001361222453431006,884,182

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
FW 5 ALN 3 +0.5
WIC 3 COL 1 +0.0
TUL 3 Steelheads 4 -0.0
REA 4 BRM 3 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
FW vs ALN+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7
TUL vs COL+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
REA vs BRM+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
QC vs CIN-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
WOR vs WHL-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627
109320-061390
104-105100
103282-213501325
102283-163144154
101273-212540277
100263-31154231102
99264-21832372030
98254-30423382870
97255-2113363414200
96245-317273823500
95246-2031736321010
94236-3019303718400
93237-20042038279100
92227-30211313518400
91228-200521352710200
90218-30212293318510
89219-2015203428112000
88209-30021128342061000
872010-2015183329122000
861910-3002926342261000
851911-200041632311420000
841811-3001824352361000
831812-200031532331420010
821712-30017243724500100
811612-40031434331210300
801613-30017263821304100
791513-40031637307062000
781514-301829371317400
771414-4003193820288100
761415-300110332658124000
751416-2005242997168100
741316-302152813519144000
731317-20082317318219100
721217-300316192142516410
711218-20191819252410200
701118-3041505202919610
691119-202110213282713300
681019-3018017223122810
671020-2040031329311640
66920-302017213426810
65921-21021330341730
64821-3001621372860
63822-2002113338142
62722-3172344215
61723-221443338
60623-3117354313
59624-235213833
58524-3115832
57525-23070
56425-32080
55224-6100
45032-02773
Total:00001135710121415137233211000000