Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIFriday
Grand Rapids7153414-357100.0%+0.015.8%-0.1394566210000000001.9-0.045MilwaukeeGrand Rapids Griffins
San Jose66103111-45099.9+0.023.9-0.0483212521000000001.8-0.012at TucsonSan Jose Barracuda
San Diego60102814-42698.5+0.22.5-0.089372014731100000003.7-0.056TexasSan Diego Gulls
Milwaukee6543017-5597.5+0.20.3+0.0261624182244110000004.7-0.088at Grand RapidsMilwaukee Admirals
ChicagoWCleveland 4-26913117-73697.3+2.10.2+0.1161330152444110000004.8+0.3311Chicago Wolves
OntarioWTucson 3-06182714-71191.6+5.40.2+0.1121483418104421100005.5+0.447at BakersfieldOntario Reign
TexasLStockton 1-55162423-3-1242.9-5.00.0-0.0001144201317129754219.2-0.3821at San DiegoTexas Stars
Iowa5912622-7-1041.1+2.10.00002261220131311964219.5+0.0622Iowa Wild
TucsonLOntario 0-349102219-5-2434.9-6.50.0-0.0001155159161412974209.5-0.5016San JoseTucson Roadrunners
Charlotte5052324-4-1231.5+1.90.00001141016111112121074210.3+0.0820ClevelandCharlotte Checkers
ClevelandLChicago 2-45442422-6-1531.1-6.20.0-0.000011491612131311964110.1-0.4519at CharlotteCleveland Monsters
StocktonWTexas 5-145102021-5-115.4+4.60.000001266912141514117311.3+0.5613Stockton Heat
Bakersfield46102020-6-513.4+0.90.000001255912131515128311.4+0.0515OntarioBakersfield Condors
San Antonio4732127-5-343.4+0.4No00000012468111520201213.1+0.0425San Antonio Rampage
RockfordWManitoba 1-0 (so)532124-11-440.8+0.3No00000011135916273714.6+0.2428Rockford IceHogs
ManitobaLRockford 0-1 (so)4531927-7-380.7-0.4No00000011135915254114.7-0.3030Manitoba Moose

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Ontario 3 Tucson 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Diego+0.1
Ontario+5.1
+0.1
+0.4
Texas+2.0
Tucson-8.0
-0.5
Cleveland*+0.1
+0.0
Stockton+0.4
*No
Bakersfield+0.3
+0.0
San Antonio+0.2
Stockton 5 Texas 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Diego+0.1
Ontario+0.4
Texas-7.0
No
-0.4
Tucson+1.5
Stockton+4.1
+0.5
Bakersfield+0.7
San Antonio+0.2
Chicago 4 Cleveland 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.2
-0.1
Chicago+2.0
+0.1
+0.3
Iowa+2.1
Charlotte+1.8
+0.1
Cleveland-6.4
No
-0.5
Stockton+0.0
Rockford+0.1
Manitoba+0.1
Manitoba 0 Rockford 1 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford+0.3
+0.2
Manitoba-0.5
-0.3
Rochester 3 Utica 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Stockton*-0.3
Friday
Charlotte vs ClevelandIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee97.5*97.5*97.7*97.5*97.697.6
Iowa40.8*41.4*41.142.242.641.3
Charlotte39.438.738.323.523.823.7
0.0*No*No*No*NoNo
9.79.89.810.810.810.8
Cleveland23.623.624.137.837.438.7
10.610.610.69.69.79.6
Tucson vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids17.016.817.014.814.814.6
1.91.91.92.02.02.0
San Jose18.218.217.929.729.729.7
2.02.02.01.71.71.7
San Diego98.398.4*98.398.798.698.7
2.72.72.82.2*2.42.4
Ontario90.891.290.992.392.392.4
Texas39.739.839.746.246.046.0
9.39.39.39.19.19.1
Tucson41.641.141.428.128.228.3
0.0*No*0.0*No*NoNo
9.09.09.09.99.99.9
Charlotte10.310.310.310.210.210.2
Cleveland10.210.210.210.110.110.1
Stockton14.214.514.316.616.716.5
11.311.311.311.211.211.2
Bakersfield12.412.312.414.314.414.3
11.511.511.511.411.411.4
San Antonio3.03.03.03.93.83.8
San Diego vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids15.6*15.7*15.4*16.0*15.916.0
San Jose1.91.91.91.81.81.8
San Diego99.399.299.297.797.897.7
3.63.63.51.41.51.4
3.43.53.54.04.04.0
Ontario92.292.292.290.791.091.0
Texas36.737.137.448.848.849.0
9.69.69.68.88.88.8
Tucson37.137.336.833.132.632.8
9.49.49.49.59.59.5
Charlotte10.210.210.210.310.310.3
Stockton16.516.316.414.014.214.3
11.211.311.211.311.311.3
Bakersfield14.514.314.312.512.512.2
San Antonio3.7*3.53.7*3.33.23.1
Bakersfield vs OntarioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Diego3.63.63.63.83.83.8
Ontario88.388.788.694.794.694.9
0.10.10.10.20.30.3
5.85.85.85.15.15.1
Texas42.4*42.8*42.6*43.4*43.143.4
Tucson34.5*34.7*34.6*35.635.635.3
Cleveland10.210.210.210.110.110.1
Stockton15.5*15.3*15.7*15.4*15.515.2
Bakersfield17.616.816.89.09.19.2
10.911.011.011.911.911.9
San Antonio3.33.2*3.2*3.43.63.5
13.213.213.213.113.113.1
Grand Rapids vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids20.018.818.711.911.711.8
1.71.81.82.12.12.1
San Jose23.123.223.124.524.724.8
San Diego2.42.3*2.4*2.72.72.7
Milwaukee96.696.796.698.298.298.5
0.10.10.10.40.40.5
5.05.05.04.44.44.4
Chicago4.74.74.74.84.84.8
Iowa41.5*41.6*41.7*41.2*41.040.8
Charlotte31.8*31.6*31.8*31.2*31.131.2
Cleveland31.3*31.3*31.1*30.8*31.030.9
Utica vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids17.417.417.314.714.814.2
San Jose26.026.226.021.721.921.8
San Diego2.82.82.82.22.22.2
Milwaukee0.3*0.30.40.20.20.2
Springfield vs Lehigh ValleyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids16.816.616.6*15.515.214.8
San Jose24.825.024.623.023.123.1
San Diego2.7*2.6*2.72.3*2.52.4
Providence vs BridgeportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids16.216.2*15.9*15.4*15.515.5
San Jose24.5*24.2*24.423.2*23.723.4
San Diego2.6*2.5*2.6*2.6*2.52.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.