Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
10/26PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
Milwaukee12260-01177.5%+0.110.3%+0.01812812986654433215.4+0.016IowaMilwaukee Admirals
Utica11151-11269.7+0.16.3-0.01112118777665544326.3+0.042at BinghamtonUtica Comets
San AntonioWHamilton 5-310152-0165.4+4.55.0+1.01011127777766655436.7+0.463at AdirondackSan Antonio Rampage
Texas7331-1161.1+0.14.2+0.089116777776665547.1-0.0123Oklahoma CityTexas Stars
Rochester8242-0661.0+0.24.0-0.08997777776665547.2+0.0319HamiltonRochester Americans
Chicago8231-2760.3+0.14.0+0.086510987776665547.4+0.0122Chicago Wolves
RockfordWLake Erie 5-29142-1460.2+4.73.9+0.886510988777665547.4+0.4710at Grand RapidsRockford IceHogs
Grand Rapids6332-0056.4+0.13.3+0.07649887777766657.8+0.0130RockfordGrand Rapids Griffins
Oklahoma City5322-1051.3+0.12.4+0.05785667777777778.2-0.015at TexasOklahoma City Barons
HamiltonLSan Antonio 3-56222-2-150.3-5.32.3-0.95676677777777778.3-0.5316at RochesterHamilton Bulldogs
Toronto6134-0-844.8+0.21.6-0.03555667778888888.9+0.0313Toronto Marlies
Lake ErieLRockford 2-55124-1-940.1-5.31.2-0.5332666777888910109.4-0.539Lake Erie Monsters
Charlotte4125-0-635.6+0.10.92353456678891011129.829Charlotte Checkers
Adirondack525-1-1234.7+0.20.8-0.02343456678891011129.9+0.0314San AntonioAdirondack Flames
Iowa2215-0-931.7+0.10.7+0.023434556778910121510.226at MilwaukeeIowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Rockford 5 Lake Erie 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.1
Utica+0.1
San Antonio+0.1
Texas+0.1
Rochester+0.1
Chicago+0.1
Rockford+4.6
+0.8
+0.5
Grand Rapids+0.1
Oklahoma City+0.1
Hamilton+0.1
Toronto+0.1
Lake Erie-5.4
-0.6
-0.5
Charlotte+0.1
Adirondack+0.1
Hamilton 3 San Antonio 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.1
Utica+0.1
San Antonio+4.4
+1.0
+0.5
Rochester+0.1
Chicago+0.1
Rockford+0.1
Grand Rapids+0.1
Oklahoma City-0.0
Hamilton-5.4
-0.9
-0.5
Toronto+0.1
Lake Erie+0.1
Adirondack+0.1
Worcester 4 Portland 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee-0.1
Hershey 3 Lehigh Valley 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.1
Wednesday
Rochester vs HamiltonIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica69.869.569.669.569.569.8
Texas61.260.860.960.960.861.1
Rochester65.565.264.660.160.055.7
5.04.94.83.83.82.9
6.76.86.87.37.37.8
Chicago60.360.060.060.060.060.3
Rockford60.259.959.959.959.960.2
Grand Rapids56.556.156.256.256.156.4
Oklahoma City51.351.051.051.051.051.3
Hamilton44.949.349.354.154.655.0
1.62.12.12.72.82.9
8.98.48.47.97.97.8
Toronto44.844.544.544.544.544.8
Lake Erie40.239.939.939.939.840.2
Charlotte35.735.435.435.435.435.7
Adirondack34.834.434.534.534.434.8
Texas vs Oklahoma CityHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio65.565.165.265.165.165.4
Texas65.565.264.660.260.155.8
5.25.15.03.93.93.1
6.76.76.87.27.27.7
Rochester61.160.860.860.860.761.1
Chicago60.360.060.160.060.060.3
Rockford60.259.960.059.959.960.2
Grand Rapids56.556.156.256.256.156.4
Oklahoma City45.850.250.254.955.555.9
1.72.22.22.93.03.1
8.78.38.37.87.77.7
Hamilton50.450.150.250.150.150.4
Toronto44.844.544.644.544.544.8
Lake Erie40.239.939.939.939.840.1
Charlotte35.735.435.435.435.435.7
Adirondack34.834.534.534.534.534.7
Grand Rapids vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester61.160.760.860.860.861.1
Chicago60.360.060.060.060.060.3
Rockford54.859.259.263.864.464.7
2.83.63.64.64.74.8
8.07.57.57.17.07.0
Grand Rapids60.960.660.055.455.451.0
4.24.14.03.13.12.4
7.37.47.47.97.98.3
Oklahoma City51.351.051.051.051.051.3
Hamilton50.450.150.150.150.150.4
Toronto44.844.544.544.544.544.8
Lake Erie40.239.839.939.939.840.2
Adirondack34.734.534.534.534.434.8
Adirondack vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica69.869.569.569.669.569.8
6.4*6.36.36.36.36.3
San Antonio60.364.564.568.869.469.7
3.74.74.75.96.06.1
7.26.86.86.36.36.2
Texas61.260.960.960.960.861.1
Rochester61.060.860.860.860.861.1
Chicago60.360.060.160.160.060.3
Rockford60.259.960.060.059.960.2
Oklahoma City51.451.051.051.051.051.3
Hamilton50.450.150.150.250.150.4
Toronto44.844.544.544.644.544.8
Charlotte35.735.435.435.435.435.7
Adirondack39.038.738.133.633.629.6
1.11.01.00.70.70.5
9.49.59.510.010.010.4
Milwaukee vs IowaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee81.080.880.476.976.973.4
12.312.212.09.99.98.1
5.15.15.15.55.55.9
San Antonio65.565.265.265.265.165.4
4.94.94.95.05.05.1
Texas61.260.960.960.960.861.1
4.14.14.14.2*4.24.3
Rochester61.160.860.960.860.861.0
4.04.04.04.14.04.1
Chicago60.460.160.160.060.060.3
4.04.04.0*4.0*4.04.1
Rockford60.360.060.060.059.9*60.2
3.83.83.83.9*3.93.9
Grand Rapids56.556.256.256.256.156.4
3.33.33.33.33.33.4
Oklahoma City51.451.151.151.051.051.2
2.42.42.42.52.52.5
Hamilton50.450.250.250.150.1*50.4
2.22.22.2*2.3*2.32.3
Toronto44.944.644.644.644.544.8
Lake Erie40.239.939.939.939.940.1
Charlotte35.835.535.535.435.4*35.6
Adirondack34.834.534.634.534.5*34.7
Iowa26.930.730.734.935.535.7
0.40.60.60.90.90.9
10.710.310.39.99.89.8
Binghamton vs UticaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee77.877.677.677.477.377.3
10.5*10.3*10.310.310.210.3
Utica65.169.269.273.073.573.5
4.76.06.07.47.67.7
6.86.36.35.95.85.8
San Antonio65.765.465.465.165.165.1
5.0*5.0*5.04.94.94.9
Texas61.461.161.160.860.860.8
Rochester61.461.061.060.860.760.7
7.17.27.27.27.37.3
Chicago60.660.360.360.060.060.0
Rockford60.560.260.259.959.959.9
Grand Rapids56.756.456.456.156.156.1
Oklahoma City51.651.351.351.051.051.0
Hamilton50.750.450.450.150.050.0
8.38.38.38.48.48.4
Toronto45.144.844.844.544.544.5
8.88.98.98.98.98.9
Lake Erie40.440.140.139.939.839.8
Charlotte36.035.735.735.435.435.4
Adirondack35.034.734.734.534.434.4
Iowa32.031.731.731.531.431.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.