Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
11/19PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIFriday
UticaWHamilton 3-227132-11991.7%+2.520.7%+2.83022137654332111003.5+0.381at RochesterUtica Comets
Milwaukee203103-01580.5+0.59.6-0.415116151197654332115.4+0.032ChicagoMilwaukee Admirals
Rockford23114-11480.3+0.58.6-0.314116151297654332115.4+0.034IowaRockford IceHogs
Chicago22104-21976.2+0.66.7-0.311951412108765433215.9+0.033at MilwaukeeChicago Wolves
San Antonio20106-0-266.6+0.63.6-0.2610185677776654326.6+0.048at TexasSan Antonio Rampage
Adirondack1996-1-261.8+0.72.9-0.15759999887665437.3+0.039SyracuseAdirondack Flames
Texas16264-4157.1+0.72.3-0.147144577887766547.5+0.0529San AntonioTexas Stars
Oklahoma City16264-4-157.1+0.62.3-0.147145677887776547.5+0.0530CharlotteOklahoma City Barons
Grand Rapids13366-1-647.8+0.71.4-0.13327888888888768.7+0.0622at Lake ErieGrand Rapids Griffins
Rochester1578-1040.7+0.70.8-0.02335677889999879.3+0.0526UticaRochester Americans
HamiltonLUtica 2-31468-2135.2-5.10.5-0.312245677899101010109.8-0.4924TorontoHamilton Bulldogs
Charlotte11258-1-932.0+0.60.4-0.0127234677891011111110.0+0.0627at Oklahoma CityCharlotte Checkers
Lake Erie11247-3-1431.2+0.60.4-0.0111456678891011111210.3+0.0720Grand RapidsLake Erie Monsters
TorontoLSt. John's 2-311159-1-1726.1-4.50.3-0.2112345567891012131510.7-0.4521at HamiltonToronto Marlies
Iowa81411-0-1715.7+0.40.1-0.0013122345681013172511.9+0.0625at RockfordIowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Utica 3 Hamilton 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+2.3
+3.0
+0.3
Milwaukee-0.3
Rockford-0.3
Chicago+0.3
-0.2
San Antonio+0.3
-0.1
+0.0
Oklahoma City-0.1
Grand Rapids+0.4
+0.0
Rochester+0.3
+0.0
Hamilton-5.5
-0.4
-0.5
Lake Erie+0.3
Toronto+0.2
Iowa+0.2
St. John's 3 Toronto 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+0.2
Milwaukee+0.4
Rockford+0.3
Chicago+0.3
San Antonio+0.3
Adirondack+0.3
Texas+0.4
Oklahoma City+0.4
Grand Rapids+0.5
Rochester+0.4
Hamilton+0.5
+0.0
Charlotte+0.3
+0.0
Lake Erie*+0.2
Toronto-4.7
-0.2
-0.5
Iowa+0.3
Manchester 5 Worcester 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica-0.1
Milwaukee-0.1
Rockford-0.1
Friday
Texas vs San AntonioIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio61.165.665.670.270.871.2
2.53.33.34.34.54.5
7.16.76.76.26.16.1
Adirondack61.861.561.561.561.561.9
Texas62.061.661.056.156.051.4
2.92.92.82.12.11.6
7.07.17.17.77.78.1
Oklahoma City57.256.856.856.956.857.2
Grand Rapids47.847.447.547.647.547.9
Rochester40.840.440.440.540.440.8
Hamilton35.334.935.035.035.035.4
Charlotte32.031.731.731.731.732.1
Lake Erie vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Adirondack61.961.561.661.661.561.8
Texas57.256.956.956.956.857.1
Oklahoma City57.256.856.956.956.857.1
Grand Rapids42.046.646.751.752.352.7
0.91.31.31.71.81.8
9.28.88.88.48.38.3
Rochester40.840.440.540.440.440.7
Hamilton35.435.035.035.035.035.3
Charlotte32.131.731.831.731.7*32.0
Lake Erie35.735.234.730.130.026.1
0.60.60.60.40.40.3
9.89.99.910.410.410.8
Oklahoma City vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio66.666.366.366.366.366.7
6.66.66.66.66.66.5
Adirondack61.861.561.561.661.561.9
Texas57.156.856.956.956.857.2
Oklahoma City61.961.661.056.156.051.4
2.92.92.82.12.11.6
7.17.17.27.77.78.1
Grand Rapids47.847.547.547.547.547.9
Rochester40.740.440.540.540.440.8
Hamilton35.335.035.035.135.035.4
Charlotte26.730.730.835.436.136.5
0.30.40.40.50.60.6
10.610.210.29.79.69.6
Hamilton vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio66.666.366.466.466.466.7
Adirondack61.861.561.661.661.661.9
Texas*57.156.856.956.956.957.2
Oklahoma City*57.156.856.956.956.957.2
Grand Rapids*47.847.547.647.647.547.9
Rochester*40.740.440.540.540.540.8
Hamilton39.939.638.934.134.129.8
0.70.70.70.50.50.3
9.49.49.59.99.910.4
Toronto21.324.925.029.229.830.1
0.20.20.20.30.40.4
11.210.910.910.410.410.3
Rochester vs UticaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica89.491.591.593.393.593.7
16.920.020.023.423.924.0
3.93.63.63.23.23.2
Milwaukee80.480.280.380.580.580.7
9.99.69.69.39.29.3
Rockford80.280.180.180.380.380.6
9.08.78.78.48.38.3
Chicago76.075.975.976.176.176.4
7.06.76.76.56.46.4
San Antonio66.466.366.366.566.566.9
3.73.63.63.53.43.4
Adirondack61.661.461.561.861.862.1
3.02.92.92.82.82.8
Texas56.956.756.857.157.057.4
2.42.32.32.22.22.2
Oklahoma City56.956.756.857.157.057.4
2.4*2.3*2.32.22.22.2
Grand Rapids47.647.447.547.847.748.1
1.5*1.4*1.41.41.41.4
Rochester45.445.244.539.739.735.1
1.11.11.00.70.70.5
8.88.98.99.49.49.8
Hamilton35.034.934.935.235.235.6
Charlotte31.831.631.731.931.932.3
Lake Erie31.030.930.931.231.231.5
Toronto25.925.825.826.026.026.3
Iowa15.515.415.5*15.615.615.9
Milwaukee vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica91.891.791.791.691.691.7
20.720.520.620.620.620.9
Milwaukee83.883.683.279.979.976.5
11.611.411.19.09.07.3
4.95.05.05.55.55.9
Chicago71.675.575.579.379.880.0
4.96.26.27.98.18.3
6.46.06.05.65.55.5
Rochester40.840.540.540.540.440.7
Adirondack vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica91.691.691.691.891.891.9
20.820.7*20.720.620.620.7
3.63.63.53.53.53.4
Milwaukee80.280.280.380.5*80.580.8
9.69.59.59.59.59.5
Rockford80.180.180.180.480.480.7
8.78.68.68.68.68.6
Chicago75.975.975.976.276.276.5
6.76.6*6.76.66.66.7
San Antonio66.366.366.366.666.667.0
Adirondack66.266.265.661.161.156.5
3.73.63.52.62.62.0
6.96.97.07.47.47.8
Texas56.856.756.857.257.257.6
Oklahoma City56.756.756.857.257.257.6
Grand Rapids47.447.447.547.947.948.3
Rochester40.340.340.440.840.841.2
Hamilton34.934.934.935.335.335.7
Charlotte31.631.631.732.032.032.4
Lake Erie30.930.930.931.331.331.6
Toronto25.725.725.826.126.126.4
Iowa15.415.515.5*15.715.715.9
Rockford vs IowaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica*91.791.691.791.791.691.8
20.420.420.520.820.821.1
Rockford83.783.683.279.879.876.3
10.410.410.18.28.26.6
5.15.15.15.55.55.9
Iowa12.214.814.917.918.418.6
12.312.012.011.611.511.5
Binghamton vs ManchesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica21.120.820.820.520.420.4
Springfield vs BridgeportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica20.9*20.7*20.820.520.520.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.