Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
Utica8924119-730In+0.06.0%+0.0373430000001.93RochesterUtica Comets
San Antonio9014220-628In3.8+0.0293137120002.24San Antonio Rampage
Grand Rapids8824019-856100.0%3.1+0.026231929300002.611RockfordGrand Rapids Griffins
Rockford8533920-730100.00.7-0.09121256102000003.58at Grand RapidsRockford IceHogs
Oklahoma City8213723-81199.0+0.00.00021356197210005.213Oklahoma City Barons
Texas7823221-14983.1+0.0No001115332113853106.919AdirondackTexas Stars
Chicago7533425-71369.9-0.4No00192123161296307.6-0.0314at TorontoChicago Wolves
Toronto7333225-9-939.2-0.4No00028131616161613009.1-0.0523ChicagoToronto Marlies
Hamilton7513225-11436.1-0.3No001712161818161209.2-0.0525Hamilton Bulldogs
Adirondack7233226-8328.9-0.2No0001591416171919009.6-0.0620at TexasAdirondack Flames
MilwaukeeLLake Erie 1-2 (ot)763225-12-127.9-3.5No00149141720201509.6-0.1621at Lake ErieMilwaukee Admirals
Lake ErieWMilwaukee 2-1 (ot)7223126-10-2716.0+4.9No00259121521360010.4+0.3517MilwaukeeLake Erie Monsters
Rochester6022734-6-21OutNo0005742013.426at UticaRochester Americans
Charlotte622835-6-57OutNo004258013.629Charlotte Checkers
Iowa4612143-4-70OutNo0010015.030Iowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
Lake Erie 2 Milwaukee 1 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago-0.4
-0.0
Toronto-0.3
-0.0
Hamilton-0.4
-0.1
Adirondack-0.3
-0.1
Milwaukee-3.5
-0.2
Lake Erie+4.9
+0.4
Wednesday
Toronto vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City*99.098.998.9*99.098.999.1
Texas*83.181.782.082.382.383.6
6.97.07.07.07.06.9
Chicago57.067.567.878.579.381.0
8.37.87.87.27.27.1
Toronto51.749.647.535.134.925.2
8.58.68.79.39.39.8
Hamilton*36.134.134.535.134.936.8
9.29.39.39.29.39.2
Adirondack*28.927.327.728.227.929.5
9.69.79.79.79.79.6
Milwaukee28.326.126.426.426.428.5
9.69.79.79.69.69.5
Lake Erie*16.014.815.315.515.416.5
10.410.510.410.410.410.4
Lake Erie vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City99.1*99.0*99.098.998.998.9
Texas83.782.8*83.082.482.182.6
Chicago71.169.369.468.468.469.3
7.67.77.77.77.77.7
Toronto40.038.538.938.137.838.8
9.19.29.29.29.29.1
Hamilton37.335.6*36.234.634.735.3
9.29.39.29.39.39.2
Adirondack30.128.428.627.627.628.1
9.69.79.79.79.79.6
Milwaukee14.423.823.837.738.639.8
10.39.89.89.19.09.0
Lake Erie24.222.621.212.312.17.3
9.910.010.110.610.611.0
Texas vs AdirondackHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City99.1*99.0*99.098.998.9*99.0
5.35.35.35.25.25.2
Texas91.390.589.881.981.973.2
6.46.56.57.07.07.5
Chicago70.869.569.568.768.469.5
7.77.77.77.77.77.6
Toronto40.038.538.537.937.538.9
9.19.29.29.29.29.1
Hamilton37.035.135.234.933.935.9
9.29.29.29.39.39.2
Adirondack16.724.824.835.838.039.9
10.29.89.89.39.29.1
Milwaukee28.826.927.526.526.427.7
9.59.69.69.79.79.6
Lake Erie16.515.615.815.415.015.9
10.310.410.410.410.510.4
Grand Rapids vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica5.95.9*5.9*6.1*6.16.2
2.02.02.01.91.91.9
San Antonio3.7*3.7*3.7*3.8*3.83.8
Grand Rapids5.04.94.22.22.21.1
2.22.32.42.82.83.1
Rockford100.0100.0100.0100.0In100.0
0.20.40.41.01.21.3
4.03.73.73.33.33.1
Utica vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica9.29.08.14.74.72.5
1.71.71.82.02.02.2
San Antonio3.53.53.5*3.8*3.94.1
2.32.32.32.22.22.1
Grand Rapids2.92.92.93.2*3.23.4
2.72.72.72.62.62.5
Rockford0.70.70.70.8*0.70.8
Rochester13.513.413.413.313.313.3
Charlotte13.513.613.613.713.713.7
Albany vs ManchesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica8.56.46.44.54.03.9
San Antonio5.5*3.8*3.92.52.42.4
Grand Rapids4.53.33.32.31.91.9
Rockford1.1*0.7*0.70.50.40.4
Hershey vs WorcesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica5.55.45.86.36.36.6
San Antonio3.43.43.43.93.94.3
Grand Rapids2.82.73.03.23.23.5
Rockford0.60.60.7*0.7*0.70.8
Syracuse vs BinghamtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica5.9*5.9*5.9*6.1*6.16.1
San Antonio3.63.63.7*3.8*3.84.0
Grand Rapids3.0*3.1*3.1*3.1*3.13.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.