Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
OntarioLSan Jose 2-46092811-43099.3%-0.37.2%-2.84936461210000001.9-0.175Ontario Reign
Milwaukee5972814-31497.1-0.12.3+0.223192151429321000003.4+0.074Milwaukee Admirals
Rockford6262711-81393.9-0.20.8+0.0121620717414632100004.4+0.0612Rockford IceHogs
Grand Rapids5472617-22190.5-0.20.5+0.081018620417743110005.0+0.053Grand Rapids Griffins
TexasWManitoba 7-6 (so)622818-62685.0+3.60.1+0.0351327723964311005.5+0.3811Texas Stars
CharlotteLSan Antonio 2-35452518-4-272.1-5.80.1-0.024831432415117531007.0-0.4321Charlotte Checkers
Lake Erie5742516-7170.6-0.20.0+0.013731342514118642007.2+0.0215ChicagoLake Erie Monsters
San DiegoLBakersfield 2-444102119-2-1450.1-9.00.0-0.0134154168101211107008.0-0.7310San Diego Gulls
BakersfieldWSan Diego 4-24692118-4147.7+6.50.0022143178101212107008.2+0.4418Bakersfield Condors
Chicago4862220-4-533.5-0.10.00121411212161514128109.4-0.0626at Lake ErieChicago Wolves
Stockton39121819-3-923.2-1.10.0-0.001162958121518212010.1-0.1525Stockton Heat
San JoseWOntario 4-24882016-8-721.1+3.80.000151859131619212010.3+0.3119San Jose Barracuda
San AntonioWCharlotte 3-25122221-7-615.8+2.90.0000216710121620243010.7+0.2724San Antonio Rampage
Iowa3441428-6-380.0-0.0No0000000000015534014.3+0.0230Iowa Wild
ManitobaLTexas 6-7 (so)3251227-8-660.0-0.0No000000000003385914.5-0.0929Manitoba Moose

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail. This season is a bit of a mess since all teams do not play the same number of games. The AHL playoff structure is as follows: the playoffs "will feature the top four teams in each of the AHL's four divisions as ranked by points percentage (points earned divided by points available), with one possibility for a "crossover" in each conference: if the fifth-place team in the Atlantic or Central Division finishes with a better points percentage than the fourth-place team in the North or Pacific Division, it would compete in the other division's bracket."

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
San Diego 2 Bakersfield 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas-0.1
San Diego-7.6
-0.6
Bakersfield+7.9
+0.6
Charlotte 2 San Antonio 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.1
+0.0
Rockford+0.2
+0.1
Grand Rapids+0.2
+0.1
Texas-0.1
Charlotte-4.9
-0.1
-0.4
Lake Erie+0.5
+0.0
San Diego-0.1
Bakersfield*-0.1
Chicago+0.7
Stockton-0.0
San Jose-0.1
-0.0
San Antonio+3.8
+0.4
San Jose 4 Ontario 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Ontario-0.2
-2.8
-0.2
Milwaukee-0.1
+0.1
Rockford-0.2
+0.1
Grand Rapids-0.2
Texas-0.7
Charlotte-0.4
Lake Erie-0.4
San Diego-0.7
Bakersfield-0.5
-0.0
Chicago-0.3
-0.0
Stockton-0.4
-0.1
San Jose+4.5
+0.4
San Antonio-0.4
-0.1
Manitoba 6 Texas 7 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford-0.3
Texas+4.4
+0.4
Charlotte*-0.5
Lake Erie*-0.1
San Diego-0.8
-0.1
Bakersfield-0.8
-0.1
Chicago*-0.5
Stockton-0.6
-0.1
San Jose-0.7
San Antonio*-0.1
Manitoba-0.1
Thursday
Lake Erie vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee97.2*97.2*97.3*97.1*97.197.1
Rockford94.0*94.1*94.2*93.8*93.993.8
4.44.4*4.44.34.34.3
Grand Rapids90.6*90.6*90.6*90.4*90.590.4
Texas84.9*84.8*85.1*85.2*85.185.1
Charlotte72.3*72.5*72.4*72.2*72.071.9
Lake Erie77.676.876.764.063.663.8
6.76.86.87.77.77.7
Chicago26.526.626.539.539.840.5
9.89.89.89.09.09.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.