Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPISaturday
MilwaukeeWChicago 3-2 (ot)10250-01074.4%+3.98.7%+1.51611711987655443325.8+0.445Lake ErieMilwaukee Admirals
RochesterWAdirondack 4-18241-01065.9+4.45.5+1.0101088887766555436.7+0.4415at AdirondackRochester Americans
UticaWSan Antonio 5-29141-1865.3+4.45.2+1.010989887766655436.8+0.442TorontoUtica Comets
ChicagoLMilwaukee 2-3 (ot)8230-2865.1-0.65.3-0.3108610987766655436.9-0.0814at RockfordChicago Wolves
TexasLOklahoma City 3-56331-0261.7-4.84.4-1.5910135666666665547.0-0.5020Oklahoma CityTexas Stars
HamiltonWToronto 4-16320-2361.0+4.54.3+0.88878887776665547.2+0.4410San AntonioHamilton Bulldogs
San AntonioLUtica 2-56232-0-356.5-5.13.2-1.278125666777766657.6-0.5117at HamiltonSan Antonio Rampage
Grand RapidsLLake Erie 4-56232-0056.3-5.13.3-1.27649887777766657.8-0.5426Grand Rapids Griffins
Rockford5222-1051.0+0.12.5+0.05547877777777768.3+0.018ChicagoRockford IceHogs
TorontoLHamilton 1-46133-0-450.2-5.42.3-0.95656777777777768.4-0.579at UticaToronto Marlies
Oklahoma CityWTexas 5-33312-1-146.7+4.51.9+0.44694566777788888.6+0.5023at TexasOklahoma City Barons
Lake ErieWGrand Rapids 5-44223-0-546.3+4.51.9+0.44437777777888888.8+0.443at MilwaukeeLake Erie Monsters
CharlotteWIowa 5-14124-0-341.0+4.41.3+0.335845567788899109.2+0.4922at IowaCharlotte Checkers
AdirondackLRochester 1-4315-1-1630.6-5.00.6-0.323334556778911121510.3-0.5319RochesterAdirondack Flames
IowaLCharlotte 1-50205-0-1227.9-4.70.5-0.312423455678911131810.6-0.4825CharlotteIowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Toronto 1 Hamilton 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester+0.1
Utica+0.1
Chicago+0.1
Texas+0.1
Hamilton+4.5
+0.8
+0.5
San Antonio+0.1
Grand Rapids+0.1
Rockford+0.1
Toronto-5.4
-0.9
-0.6
Oklahoma City+0.1
Lake Erie+0.1
Charlotte+0.1
Adirondack+0.1
Grand Rapids 4 Lake Erie 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester+0.1
Hamilton+0.1
San Antonio+0.1
Grand Rapids-5.2
-1.2
-0.5
Rockford+0.1
Toronto+0.1
Lake Erie+4.5
+0.4
+0.5
Iowa+0.1
Utica 5 San Antonio 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+4.4
+1.0
+0.4
Texas+0.1
+0.0
San Antonio-5.2
-1.2
-0.5
Oklahoma City+0.1
Charlotte+0.1
Iowa+0.1
Rochester 4 Adirondack 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester+4.4
+1.0
+0.5
Utica+0.1
Texas+0.1
Hamilton+0.1
Rockford+0.1
Toronto+0.1
Lake Erie+0.1
Adirondack-5.1
-0.3
-0.5
Oklahoma City 5 Texas 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas-4.9
-1.5
-0.5
Oklahoma City+4.5
+0.4
+0.5
Iowa 1 Charlotte 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte+4.3
+0.3
+0.5
Iowa-4.8
-0.3
-0.5
Chicago 2 Milwaukee 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+3.7
+1.4
+0.4
Rochester-0.2
Utica-0.2
Chicago-0.9
-0.4
-0.1
Texas-0.2
Hamilton-0.2
San Antonio-0.2
Grand Rapids-0.2
Rockford-0.3
Toronto-0.2
Oklahoma City-0.2
Lake Erie-0.3
Charlotte-0.2
Adirondack-0.2
Iowa-0.2
Saturday
Utica vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester6.76.86.7*6.86.86.7
Utica69.669.468.964.364.260.2
6.46.36.24.94.83.9
6.36.46.46.96.97.3
Hamilton7.27.3*7.37.37.37.2
Toronto44.749.349.154.154.754.9
1.6*2.22.12.82.82.9
8.98.58.58.07.97.9
Lake Erie8.8*8.88.9*8.88.88.8
Hamilton vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas7.0*7.0*7.07.07.17.0
Hamilton65.365.264.360.260.055.8
5.35.24.9*4.13.93.1
6.86.86.97.37.47.8
San Antonio51.055.555.560.260.761.1
2.32.93.03.83.84.1
8.17.77.77.27.27.1
Rockford vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago60.164.264.068.669.469.4
4.05.05.06.36.56.5
7.47.07.06.56.46.4
Texas7.0*7.07.1*7.0*7.0*7.0
Grand Rapids7.8*7.8*7.87.87.97.8
Rockford55.655.754.549.850.345.5
3.13.13.02.32.31.7
7.97.88.08.48.48.9
Lake Erie8.88.8*8.88.98.8*8.8
Milwaukee vs Lake ErieHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee78.177.977.373.473.670.1
10.410.410.38.38.36.8
5.45.45.55.95.96.3
Chicago6.96.96.96.9*6.96.8
Grand Rapids7.8*7.87.87.87.97.8
Rockford51.3*50.5*50.9*50.750.3*50.9
8.38.48.3*8.3*8.48.3
Lake Erie40.945.845.350.150.750.7
1.31.71.72.32.42.4
9.38.98.98.48.48.4
Charlotte41.240.4*40.9*40.6*40.7*41.0
Texas vs Oklahoma CityHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee5.85.85.9*5.85.85.8
Texas66.165.865.460.660.356.6
5.45.45.24.1*4.23.3
6.56.66.67.17.27.5
Oklahoma City41.445.545.750.450.951.2
1.31.81.72.42.42.4
9.28.78.78.28.28.1
Iowa vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte35.639.540.244.545.345.6
0.81.11.11.51.71.6
9.79.39.38.88.88.7
Iowa31.831.631.127.126.723.4
0.70.70.7*0.5*0.50.3
10.210.210.310.710.711.1
Adirondack vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester61.064.964.869.369.870.2
4.15.25.16.46.56.7
7.26.86.86.46.36.3
Adirondack34.734.433.729.629.825.8
0.90.80.80.5*0.60.4
9.910.010.010.410.410.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.