Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
Utica392175-51592.9%+0.116.8%+0.027191311865432110003.6-0.044Utica Comets
Oklahoma City363166-41088.2+0.110.7-0.11917189876543211004.315at CharlotteOklahoma City Barons
Rockford39188-31988.1+0.19.7-0.0171714101087543211004.4+0.047Rockford IceHogs
AdirondackWChicago 4-1371810-1281.6+4.35.8+1.3111081512108764321105.4+0.438Adirondack Flames
San Antonio324158-2376.3+0.24.6+0.09101311998775432115.8+0.019San Antonio Rampage
ChicagoLAdirondack 1-43121410-31361.9-5.71.7-0.9466891010998764317.3-0.5312Chicago Wolves
Milwaukee294139-3961.8+0.11.9-0.046689109998764317.3+0.0223at Lake ErieMilwaukee Admirals
Grand Rapids2741210-3350.1+0.10.9-0.02446889999987538.4+0.0122Grand Rapids Griffins
Lake Erie2831210-4-1350.0+0.20.8-0.023468999109987538.4+0.0217MilwaukeeLake Erie Monsters
Texas274108-7-649.4+0.20.9-0.0246678891010987538.4+0.0124Texas Stars
HamiltonSt. John's2921210-5548.9+0.10.8-0.02336889101010987538.5-0.0125Hamilton Bulldogs
Toronto2331013-3-1722.3+0.10.1+0.00112345689111313131010.9+0.0129Toronto Marlies
Charlotte203915-2-2211.7+0.10.0001112345791216192012.1+0.0130Oklahoma CityCharlotte Checkers
RochesterSyracuse2121016-1-1011.6+0.10.0-0.00011123457101316191912.1+0.0127Rochester Americans
Iowa182817-2-225.0+0.10.000000112346914213713.2+0.0128Iowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Chicago 1 Adirondack 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+0.1
-0.0
Rockford*-0.1
+0.0
Adirondack+4.3
+1.3
+0.4
San Antonio+0.2
Chicago-5.8
-0.9
-0.5
Milwaukee+0.2
Grand Rapids+0.2
Lake Erie+0.2
Texas+0.2
Hamilton+0.2
Toronto*+0.1
Charlotte*+0.1
Hamilton vs St. John'sIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica3.63.7*3.6*3.6*3.63.6
Oklahoma City87.9*88.1*88.1*88.5*88.388.5
Rockford87.8*87.9*87.9*88.4*88.288.5
Adirondack81.280.9*81.5*81.5*81.482.1
5.55.5*5.5*5.4*5.45.4
San Antonio75.9*76.075.8*76.6*76.376.8
Chicago61.4*61.661.0*61.5*62.262.5
7.4*7.47.4*7.4*7.37.3
Milwaukee61.2*61.3*61.8*62.1*62.162.4
Grand Rapids49.5*49.849.2*50.1*50.350.8
Lake Erie49.5*49.749.3*50.0*49.950.7
Texas49.048.7*49.2*49.2*49.350.0
Hamilton54.054.353.0*48.447.742.7
1.01.01.10.60.60.5
8.18.18.18.68.69.0
Toronto22.021.7*21.9*22.4*22.522.8
Charlotte11.511.2*11.7*11.7*11.812.0
Rochester11.4*11.4*11.7*11.5*11.611.9
Iowa4.8*4.8*5.0*5.1*5.25.2
Rochester vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica17.1*16.9*16.8*16.5*16.616.6
Oklahoma City11.0*11.1*10.6*10.4*10.510.5
Rockford9.9*9.7*9.7*9.7*9.59.5
Adirondack81.4*81.1*81.5*81.4*81.881.9
*5.55.5*5.4*5.4*5.55.4
San Antonio4.8*4.5*4.8*4.5*4.64.5
Chicago61.6*61.4*61.4*62.2*62.062.2
Milwaukee61.5*62.0*61.6*61.8*61.862.1
Grand Rapids49.8*49.7*50.0*50.2*50.150.4
Lake Erie49.8*49.949.4*49.7*50.150.4
Rochester14.214.113.610.911.08.7
11.711.711.812.1*12.112.4
Iowa4.9*4.8*4.9*5.0*5.25.1
Portland vs ManchesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica17.3*17.0*17.016.216.116.4
Oklahoma City11.0*10.9*10.9*10.710.310.4
Rockford10.0*9.9*9.7*9.39.39.5
Adirondack6.0*5.8*5.9*5.7*5.75.6
San Antonio4.8*4.7*4.7*4.6*4.54.5
Chicago1.8*1.7*1.8*1.7*1.71.7
Milwaukee2.0*1.9*2.0*1.8*1.91.8
Hamilton0.8*0.8*0.8*0.7*0.80.7
Thursday
Lake Erie vs MilwaukeeIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford4.44.5*4.54.54.54.4
Chicago*61.8*61.361.1*61.9*61.562.1
7.3*7.4*7.4*7.47.47.3
Milwaukee55.760.960.665.966.167.0
1.2*1.91.72.42.52.5
7.9*7.47.47.06.96.9
Lake Erie55.754.954.048.648.243.6
1.11.21.1*0.8*0.80.5
7.98.08.08.58.58.9
Charlotte vs Oklahoma CityHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica17.2*16.9*16.6*16.7*16.516.4
Oklahoma City85.087.8*87.990.390.990.9
8.19.99.912.612.813.0
4.74.34.34.03.93.9
Rockford9.9*9.5*9.9*9.4*9.79.5
Adirondack5.9*5.9*6.0*5.7*5.75.7
San Antonio5.7*5.85.85.95.95.9
Milwaukee2.0*2.0*1.9*1.9*1.81.8
Texas8.3*8.4*8.48.48.48.4
Toronto10.910.910.910.9*10.910.8
Charlotte14.414.213.710.810.88.7
11.711.711.812.212.212.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.