Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIFriday
Oklahoma City6112810-52399.3%-0.131.5%-0.15222126321100000002.0-0.058Lake ErieOklahoma City Barons
Utica5432411-61294.6-0.38.3-0.11624315655321100003.5-0.034TorontoUtica Comets
Rockford562513-62291.6-0.44.4-0.01016121813107542110004.5-0.069ChicagoRockford IceHogs
Milwaukee5332412-52191.4-0.45.7-0.1121813161297532210004.4-0.0612Grand RapidsMilwaukee Admirals
San AntonioWTexas 3-2 (ot)5122314-5579.6+4.31.6+0.444421151210975421006.1+0.3714CharlotteSan Antonio Rampage
Adirondack5012316-4571.4-0.90.7-0.0261181112121197642106.7-0.0716Adirondack Flames
Grand RapidsWIowa 6-04822216-42463.8+5.40.4+0.1145811121211109753107.4+0.4120at MilwaukeeGrand Rapids Griffins
Chicago4712117-51150.4-1.10.2-0.01235810111212111085208.4-0.0715at RockfordChicago Wolves
Hamilton4612017-6142.4-1.20.1+0.0015358911121212107318.9-0.0525at IowaHamilton Bulldogs
TexasLSan Antonio 2-3 (ot)4611815-10-1040.1-2.50.1-0.0011568911121313117419.1-0.1523Texas Stars
Lake Erie4241816-6-1937.9-1.00.1+0.0012367910111212128519.3-0.0618at Oklahoma CityLake Erie Monsters
Toronto4231817-6-1829.2-1.00.0-0.0013235791112141411729.9-0.0527at UticaToronto Marlies
Charlotte3811621-6-304.5-0.30.0000001123591424261412.7+0.0230at San AntonioCharlotte Checkers
Rochester3711824-1-113.6-0.20.0000000123581323301512.8+0.0228at SyracuseRochester Americans
IowaLGrand Rapids 0-6321527-2-450.2-0.20.0-0.00000000001139216414.4-0.1729HamiltonIowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Iowa 0 Grand Rapids 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica-0.2
Rockford-0.2
Milwaukee-0.2
San Antonio-0.5
Adirondack-0.6
Grand Rapids+5.8
+0.1
+0.4
Chicago-0.7
-0.0
Hamilton-0.7
Texas-0.7
Lake Erie-0.7
Toronto-0.6
Charlotte-0.2
Rochester-0.1
Iowa-0.2
No
-0.2
Texas 2 San Antonio 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City*-0.1
Utica-0.1
Rockford-0.2
Milwaukee-0.1
San Antonio+4.7
+0.4
+0.4
Adirondack-0.3
Grand Rapids-0.4
Chicago-0.4
Hamilton-0.4
Texas-1.7
-0.1
Lake Erie-0.5
Toronto-0.3
Charlotte-0.1
Rochester-0.1
Friday
Rockford vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City31.2*31.131.0*31.8*31.831.9
Rockford94.394.193.791.391.288.4
5.85.85.53.84.02.8
4.14.14.24.64.65.0
Milwaukee91.7*91.4*91.391.191.291.3
4.44.44.44.44.44.3
San Antonio80.1*79.4*79.578.9*79.379.3
Adirondack71.9*71.3*71.370.870.871.0
Grand Rapids64.5*63.9*63.763.163.063.2
Chicago42.848.849.055.556.556.9
0.10.1*0.10.20.20.3
8.98.58.58.07.97.9
Hamilton43.141.9*42.5*42.141.742.0
Texas40.7*39.9*40.139.539.139.7
9.19.19.19.19.29.1
Lake Erie38.5*37.9*37.737.437.137.6
9.39.39.39.39.49.3
Toronto29.8*29.1*29.128.528.628.9
Milwaukee vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City31.230.9*31.2*31.6*31.631.9
Rockford91.8*91.6*91.5*91.591.291.5
4.3*4.3*4.4*4.5*4.44.5
4.54.64.64.54.54.5
Milwaukee94.093.893.591.191.188.4
7.37.47.05.25.23.8
4.04.04.14.54.54.8
San Antonio80.0*79.7*79.6*79.379.079.4
6.16.16.1*6.16.26.1
Adirondack71.9*71.0*71.370.970.871.1
Grand Rapids56.762.662.768.469.669.6
0.20.30.40.60.60.6
7.97.57.57.06.96.9
Chicago51.1*50.3*50.349.449.650.0
8.38.48.48.48.48.4
Hamilton43.0*42.1*42.441.941.742.1
Texas40.7*39.8*39.839.539.539.7
Lake Erie38.5*37.9*37.937.337.437.5
Toronto29.7*29.1*29.0*28.828.428.9
Iowa vs HamiltonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio80.3*79.8*79.679.279.179.1
Adirondack72.2*71.4*71.571.070.970.7
6.6*6.6*6.76.76.76.7
Grand Rapids64.7*63.9*63.863.163.163.0
Chicago51.3*50.7*50.649.749.449.6
8.38.3*8.38.48.48.4
Hamilton35.441.141.247.548.648.4
9.49.09.08.58.48.4
Texas40.9*40.1*40.339.639.239.3
9.19.19.19.29.29.1
Lake Erie38.7*38.1*37.937.2*37.537.2
Toronto29.9*29.5*29.428.628.328.7
9.99.99.910.010.09.9
Iowa0.30.20.30.10.10.1
14.314.314.314.414.414.5
Oklahoma City vs Lake ErieHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City99.699.799.6*99.3*99.398.9
36.836.435.730.530.525.3
1.91.91.92.12.12.3
Utica94.8*94.7*94.6*94.6*94.494.5
7.77.67.8*8.3*8.59.0
Rockford91.9*91.7*91.5*91.491.391.3
4.14.14.1*4.5*4.44.8
Milwaukee91.8*91.4*91.591.0*91.391.2
5.35.25.4*5.7*5.86.1
San Antonio80.2*79.7*79.7*79.479.279.1
1.41.4*1.5*1.5*1.61.7
Adirondack72.1*71.6*71.770.970.870.7
0.7*0.7*0.7*0.7*0.70.8
Grand Rapids64.5*63.9*64.0*63.463.063.1
0.40.4*0.4*0.5*0.40.5
Chicago51.2*50.6*50.549.849.749.7
Hamilton43.3*42.5*42.642.041.741.7
8.88.9*8.9*8.98.98.9
Texas41.0*40.2*40.139.139.139.4
9.19.19.19.29.29.1
Lake Erie31.236.636.642.443.543.6
9.89.49.49.08.98.9
Toronto29.9*29.1*29.428.828.728.7
Utica vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City30.8*31.3*31.3*31.6*31.732.2
Utica96.496.396.094.4*94.592.4
10.510.39.97.67.65.7
3.23.23.23.63.53.9
San Antonio80.1*79.679.279.1*79.479.3
*1.51.4*1.5*1.6*1.61.6
Adirondack72.0*71.3*71.470.670.871.0
6.76.76.76.76.76.6
Grand Rapids64.3*63.6*63.7*63.563.063.3
Chicago51.0*50.2*50.4*50.049.450.0
8.38.48.48.48.48.4
Hamilton43.0*42.4*42.541.841.942.1
Texas40.5*40.3*39.9*40.039.639.7
Lake Erie38.5*37.8*38.137.237.137.5
Toronto23.028.128.133.334.434.5
10.410.010.09.69.59.5
San Antonio vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City2.12.12.12.02.02.0
San Antonio83.983.883.479.179.074.3
2.12.22.11.41.40.9
5.75.75.76.26.26.6
Adirondack71.170.9*71.1*71.2*71.271.8
Grand Rapids63.5*63.463.1*63.9*63.864.2
Chicago50.149.9*50.2*50.2*50.250.8
Hamilton42.2*42.141.9*42.6*42.442.9
Texas39.739.639.6*40.0*40.040.6
Lake Erie37.6*37.837.3*37.9*37.838.3
Toronto29.028.728.8*29.2*29.329.6
Charlotte2.73.94.05.65.96.0
0.0*NoNo*No*No0.0
13.012.712.712.412.412.4
Rochester12.8*12.8*12.812.912.912.9
Syracuse vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City30.730.430.4*31.931.932.6
Utica8.08.08.0*8.4*8.38.6
Charlotte12.6*12.712.612.712.712.7
Rochester2.23.13.14.54.84.7
No*No*No*No*No0.0
13.212.912.912.612.612.6
Manchester vs PortlandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City30.530.430.4*31.7*31.732.8
Utica7.97.88.0*8.5*8.38.8
Milwaukee5.45.4*5.5*5.7*5.76.0
Springfield vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City31.0*31.1*31.2*31.8*31.732.1
Hartford vs BridgeportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City31.2*31.3*31.4*31.5*31.831.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.