Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPISaturday
Oklahoma CityLSan Antonio 2-47243315-61999.3%-0.416.4%-7.1432415843210000002.3-0.2712San AntonioOklahoma City Barons
UticaLAdirondack 0-47043216-62097.9-1.07.9-4.2232835233321100002.7-0.335at SyracuseUtica Comets
Grand RapidsWMilwaukee 4-07033217-64296.0+1.54.0+1.3151914161396421000003.9+0.4213at ChicagoGrand Rapids Griffins
RockfordWTexas 4-3 (ot)6833118-61690.8+2.61.5+0.571191817139743110005.0+0.3910at TexasRockford IceHogs
MilwaukeeLGrand Rapids 0-46642917-82085.2-5.60.9-0.958716161411964310005.6-0.7218Milwaukee Admirals
San AntonioWOklahoma City 4-26643018-6984.7+3.20.8+0.355519151411975310005.7+0.408at Oklahoma CitySan Antonio Rampage
TexasLRockford 3-4 (ot)6332517-13455.4-4.70.0-0.00117911131414131061008.0-0.2620RockfordTexas Stars
AdirondackWUtica 4-05962720-51153.5+4.50.1+0.0125579121313131181008.0+0.3416TorontoAdirondack Flames
Chicago6052720-61452.8-3.60.1+0.01225810121314131181008.1-0.1915Grand RapidsChicago Wolves
HamiltonWCharlotte 4-06132721-7841.2+4.40.0+0.00142471013151615112008.8+0.3325CharlotteHamilton Bulldogs
TorontoWRochester 4-3 (ot)5842521-8-1523.9+3.00.0+0.000112469121620216109.9+0.2724at AdirondackToronto Marlies
Lake ErieLIowa 1-2 (ot)5652421-8-2819.2-3.90.0-0.0000123571015202771010.3-0.2519IowaLake Erie Monsters
RochesterLToronto 3-4 (ot)532429-5-140.1-0.1No0000000013125923113.0-0.0328Rochester Americans
CharlotteLHamilton 0-44632029-6-470.0-0.0No00000000032267713.8-0.1530at HamiltonCharlotte Checkers
IowaWLake Erie 2-1 (ot)401937-2-59OutNo000189214.9+0.0429at Lake ErieIowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Utica 0 Adirondack 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City+0.9
Utica-0.8
-4.1
-0.3
Grand Rapids-0.3
+0.2
Rockford-0.5
Milwaukee-0.4
San Antonio-0.7
Texas-1.0
Adirondack+6.9
+0.5
Chicago-0.9
Hamilton-0.9
Toronto-0.7
Lake Erie-0.7
Hamilton 4 Charlotte 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids-0.3
Rockford-0.6
Milwaukee-0.4
San Antonio-0.7
Texas-1.1
Adirondack-1.1
Chicago-1.1
Hamilton+6.9
+0.4
Toronto-0.8
Lake Erie-0.8
Charlotte-0.1
Rochester 3 Toronto 4 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford-0.6
Milwaukee-0.4
San Antonio-0.6
Texas-0.8
Adirondack-0.7
Chicago-0.9
Hamilton-0.6
Toronto+5.3
+0.4
Lake Erie-0.5
Rochester-0.1
Oklahoma City 2 San Antonio 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City-0.3
-6.4
-0.3
Utica+0.9
Rockford-0.3
Milwaukee-0.3
San Antonio+4.8
+0.3
+0.5
Texas-0.7
Adirondack-0.6
Chicago-0.6
Hamilton-0.7
Toronto-0.5
Lake Erie-0.6
Texas 3 Rockford 4 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford+3.8
+0.4
+0.4
Milwaukee-0.3
San Antonio*-0.2
Texas-1.6
-0.1
Adirondack*-0.4
Chicago-0.5
Hamilton*-0.3
Toronto-0.3
Lake Erie*-0.1
Milwaukee 0 Grand Rapids 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids+2.1
+1.2
+0.5
Milwaukee-3.7
-0.9
-0.6
Texas+0.3
Adirondack+0.2
Chicago+0.2
Hamilton+0.2
Toronto+0.2
Lake Erie+0.2
Lake Erie 1 Iowa 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio*-0.2
Texas*+0.3
Adirondack*+0.4
Chicago+0.4
Hamilton*+0.1
Lake Erie-1.2
-0.1
Manchester 4 Hartford 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City-1.2
Utica-0.8
Syracuse 6 Albany 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City+1.1
Utica+0.6
Binghamton 1 Hershey 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City-1.0
Utica-0.6
Saturday
Adirondack vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Adirondack61.560.859.551.651.344.1
7.57.57.68.18.18.6
Toronto16.321.421.728.729.730.7
0.0No0.00.0*0.00.0
10.410.110.09.69.59.5
Texas vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford86.490.290.393.694.094.4
0.71.21.22.02.22.1
5.55.15.14.64.54.5
Texas63.262.861.953.853.846.1
7.57.57.68.18.18.5
Adirondack52.952.452.4*53.2*53.354.4
8.08.18.18.08.08.0
Chicago52.351.751.4*52.5*52.553.8
8.18.28.28.18.18.1
Hamilton40.740.140.2*40.940.742.2
8.88.88.88.88.88.7
Chicago vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids93.8*95.995.997.597.797.9
2.23.43.55.25.55.5
4.44.04.03.63.53.5
Texas54.654.154.2*55.5*55.456.6
8.08.08.08.08.07.9
Adirondack52.652.452.7*53.5*53.554.6
8.08.18.08.08.08.0
Chicago60.260.058.851.351.243.9
7.67.77.78.28.28.7
Hamilton40.540.240.4*41.0*41.142.3
Toronto23.222.923.1*23.9*24.024.8
9.910.09.99.99.99.9
Hamilton vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas54.354.254.4*55.5*55.556.8
8.08.08.0*8.08.07.9
Adirondack52.452.252.8*53.7*53.654.8
8.18.18.08.08.07.9
Chicago51.651.752.0*53.1*53.054.2
8.28.28.18.18.18.0
Hamilton48.448.447.139.939.932.6
8.38.38.48.88.89.3
Toronto23.023.323.1*24.1*24.024.9
10.09.99.99.99.99.8
Lake Erie18.418.418.6*19.4*19.320.0
10.310.310.310.310.310.2
Charlotte0.0Out0.0*0.0*0.00.0
13.913.813.813.713.713.7
Lake Erie vs IowaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas54.654.554.755.9*55.556.3
8.08.08.0*8.0*8.07.9
Lake Erie24.024.023.217.917.913.4
0.0*0.0*0.0NoNo0.0
9.99.910.010.410.410.7
Oklahoma City vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City99.799.799.6*99.3*99.398.8
20.920.819.815.115.111.1
2.02.02.12.42.42.7
San Antonio79.3*84.5*84.688.989.089.0
0.30.60.61.11.11.3
6.35.95.95.35.35.2
Syracuse vs UticaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica96.7*97.9*98.098.798.898.8
4.66.76.910.010.510.8
3.12.82.82.52.52.5
Portland vs ManchesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City18.016.816.715.314.915.0
Utica8.88.2*8.17.27.27.1
Hershey vs AlbanyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City15.415.215.5*16.6*16.617.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.