Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Grand RapidsWIowa 3-2 (ot)5332510-338100.0%+0.022.6%-0.5691611220000000001.5+0.086.657ChicagoGrand Rapids Griffins
Chicago512313-52699.8+0.10.9-0.3754316151112000000003.7-0.0512.606at Grand RapidsChicago Wolves
MilwaukeeWCharlotte 4-3 (ot)4832212-4498.8+1.30.2+0.021197332826000000005.0+0.288.537Milwaukee Admirals
San Jose429199-43298.4-0.24.6-1.320535114330100000002.6-0.0210.661at San DiegoSan Jose Barracuda
OntarioLTucson 1-4447199-6674.8-10.10.1-0.31771811111721283100006.2-0.895.538Ontario Reign
Stockton4071812-41472.9-1.60.1-0.01751710131731383110006.3-0.013.580BakersfieldStockton Heat
TucsonWOntario 4-1448209-4272.0+10.10.1+0.01761611111721393100006.3+0.824.518Tucson Roadrunners
ClevelandLRockford 0-13851715-4-764.1-3.20.0-0.0001136846248864219.1-0.4419.495RockfordCleveland Monsters
TexasWManitoba 4-34141915-3-339.4+3.50.001155716326188421008.4+0.3515.511at IowaTexas Stars
San Diego3791712-3-135.0-1.60.0-0.0011657132182212742108.8+0.0116.511San JoseSan Diego Gulls
IowaLGrand Rapids 2-3 (ot)401819-4-1420.8+1.40.0-0.0000001218251316161410411.7-0.1527.456TexasIowa Wild
CharlotteLMilwaukee 3-4 (ot)3511621-3-218.0+0.10.0-0.000000007138121619221113.2-0.2325.433Charlotte Checkers
ManitobaLTexas 3-43531518-5-227.7-0.10.0-0.000000007138121619211313.2-0.2730.437at San AntonioManitoba Moose
Bakersfield3381414-5-46.1-0.10.0-0.000010131712191715128411.8+0.1421.501at StocktonBakersfield Condors
San Antonio3621619-4-191.5-0.10.0-0.000000010371416171816712.9+0.1018.440ManitobaSan Antonio Rampage
RockfordWCleveland 1-03411420-6-370.8+0.50.0000000010013510215915.2+0.2928.384at ClevelandRockford IceHogs

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Tucson 4 Ontario 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Ontario-3.9
-0.2
-0.4
Stockton-0.5
Tucson+5.9
+0.4
Texas-0.8
San Diego-0.6
Bakersfield-0.1
Cleveland 0 Rockford 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.2
+0.1
Cleveland-5.9
-0.4
Iowa+2.7
+0.1
Charlotte+1.3
Manitoba+1.3
Rockford+0.3
+0.2
Texas 4 Manitoba 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.1
San Jose-0.1
Ontario-0.5
Stockton-0.9
-0.0
Tucson-0.9
-0.0
Cleveland+0.8
Texas+3.7
+0.3
San Diego-0.9
Iowa+0.4
Charlotte+0.2
Manitoba-1.5
No
-0.2
Bakersfield-0.2
San Antonio-0.1
Iowa 2 Grand Rapids 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids+1.7
+0.1
Chicago-0.0
Milwaukee+0.2
San Jose-0.3
Cleveland+1.5
+0.0
Iowa-2.4
No
-0.2
Charlotte+0.3
+0.0
Manitoba+0.4
+0.0
Bakersfield+0.0
San Antonio+0.0
Charlotte 3 Milwaukee 4 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago-0.1
Milwaukee+0.7
+0.2
Cleveland+0.8
Iowa+0.3
Charlotte-1.9
No
-0.3
Hershey 3 W-B/Scranton 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids-2.3
Chicago-0.2
San Jose-0.8
Ontario-0.1
Friday
Iowa vs TexasIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee98.7*98.8*98.799.098.998.9
San Jose98.598.598.598.398.398.3
Ontario75.975.975.973.773.673.7
6.16.16.16.26.26.2
Stockton74.274.273.971.771.971.6
6.36.36.36.46.46.4
Tucson73.173.473.370.871.070.9
6.36.36.36.46.46.4
Cleveland61.962.762.966.666.266.3
9.29.29.29.09.19.1
Texas34.334.134.544.244.244.4
8.88.88.88.18.18.1
San Diego36.136.035.834.233.833.9
Iowa24.423.423.216.917.417.3
0.0No*No*NoNoNo
11.411.411.412.112.112.1
Charlotte7.47.57.58.68.58.5
13.213.213.213.113.113.1
Manitoba7.27.27.28.28.48.3
Bakersfield6.46.36.45.75.75.8
San Antonio1.61.61.61.41.41.4
Rockford0.70.70.7*0.80.90.8
Stockton vs BakersfieldHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose98.4*98.4*98.4*98.5*98.598.5
Ontario74.5*74.674.375.675.275.3
6.26.26.26.16.16.1
Stockton76.976.376.766.466.466.2
6.06.16.16.86.86.9
Tucson71.671.771.772.972.972.8
6.46.46.46.26.26.3
Texas38.438.638.340.841.041.0
San Diego34.534.6*34.635.736.135.8
Manitoba13.213.213.213.313.313.3
Bakersfield4.54.54.68.48.38.8
NoNoNo*NoNo0.0
12.112.112.111.411.411.4
San Antonio1.41.4*1.4*1.61.61.6
San Diego vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids22.923.023.1*22.3*22.422.3
San Jose97.697.697.698.998.999.0
3.02.93.15.95.85.7
2.82.82.82.42.42.4
Ontario73.573.973.775.475.575.6
Stockton71.871.871.773.673.773.6
Tucson70.771.271.173.072.872.9
Texas37.837.837.740.340.340.4
8.58.58.58.48.48.4
San Diego41.540.640.930.830.930.8
8.38.48.49.19.19.1
Bakersfield5.75.9*5.96.46.26.3
San Antonio1.31.31.31.61.61.6
Cleveland vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee98.7*98.8*98.899.098.998.9
Cleveland67.566.266.358.258.058.0
0.0NoNo*NoNoNo
8.99.09.09.69.69.6
Iowa19.220.120.023.523.823.5
11.811.711.711.711.711.7
Charlotte7.37.57.59.39.29.3
Manitoba7.07.07.19.09.09.0
Rockford0.40.50.51.31.31.4
No*No*No*No*No0.0
15.315.315.315.015.015.0
San Antonio vs ManitobaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee98.9*98.9*98.998.798.798.7
Stockton72.8*72.8*72.6*73.2*73.073.0
Cleveland65.065.064.963.363.363.0
Texas39.2*39.3*39.3*39.5*39.639.5
Iowa21.221.321.320.320.220.1
Charlotte8.28.38.3*7.87.87.7
Manitoba6.16.05.99.49.59.9
NoNo*No*NoNo0.0
13.513.513.512.912.912.8
San Antonio1.91.81.80.90.90.9
0.0No*No*NoNoNo
12.612.612.613.213.213.2
Grand Rapids vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids100.0100.0In*100.0100.0100.0
26.124.624.717.517.517.4
1.41.41.41.71.71.7
Chicago99.899.899.899.999.999.9
0.50.50.61.41.41.5
3.93.93.93.53.53.5
Milwaukee5.05.04.95.05.15.1
San Jose4.44.34.45.05.15.0
Lehigh Valley vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids23.924.324.421.821.820.8
Chicago1.01.01.0*0.9*0.90.8
San Jose5.05.04.94.14.24.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.