How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte 3 Bridgeport 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton vs Lehigh Valley+2.3+2.1+2.2*-0.3-0.4-2.5
+2.5+2.3+2.1-0.9-0.9-2.6
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.3-0.2-0.8
Charlotte vs Bridgeport+0.1-0.5*-0.3-0.5-0.6*-0.0
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0
Springfield vs Hershey+0.2*-0.2-0.4*-0.2-0.3-0.1
Utica vs Rochester+0.3*-0.1*+0.0-0.4-0.3-0.3
Belleville vs Syracuse+0.3*-0.0*-0.0*-0.3-0.4-0.2
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the W-B/Scranton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
113-129InYes100665*
112318-1In99.5%1000407*
111308-2In99.2991788*
110309-1In98.298201,326*
109299-2In97.49732,394*
1082910-1In96.697303,751*
1072810-2In94.4945005,987*
1062811-1In91.9928008,818*
1052711-2In87.888120013,740*
1042712-1In83.383161018,944*
1032612-2In76.8772110127,785*
1022613-1In69.1692821036,624*
1012513-2In59.960344020049,518*
1002514-1In50.1504070300062,229*
992414-2In39.94044110500079,297*
982415-1In29.32946160800094,204*
972315-2In19.92045220111000113,672*
962316-1In12.012402911530100127,884*
952216-2In6.46333411860100146,544*
942217-1In3.032437221111300156,376*
932117-2100.0%1.211536320172050000170,057*
922118-1100.00.30831417244091000172,171*
912018-2100.00.1042451329901330100178,254*
902019-199.90.0011657281501860300170,751*
891919-299.80.000943232002012160000167,032*
881920-199.3No043114231191930110010152,951*
871820-298.0No02207201142570172020142,405*
861821-195.0No011021428241402450500123,284*
851721-289.4No00018231819026121010100108,933*
841722-179.5No00032191912318401830089,344*
831622-266.8No000110314215228025710075,498*
821623-150.5No0000182719130311530058,842*
811523-235.0No0003221215128259200046,845*
801524-120.9No0001115122203120610034,767*
791424-211.9No00017211272915410026,174*
781425-15.2No00003241829261331018,466*
771325-22.4No0011172130241130013,157*
761326-10.9No00010292329221031008,601*
751226-20.2No0003102228211131005,871*
741227-1OutNo01311212722113103,593*
731127-2OutNo01312212722103102,241*
721128-10.1No00131122282311201,328*
711028-2OutNo0412222823820809*
701029-1OutNo0141627281940467*
69929-2OutNo14162637152243*
68930-1OutNo491838237121*
67830-2OutNo252120341856*
66831-1OutNo37293435*
65731-2OutNo99453611*
64732-1OutNo2538388*
63733-0OutNo50504*
62633-1OutNo50502
61432-4OutNo1001
49040-0OutNo100225
Total:91.6%10.0%10141528107076306310421100000000002,723,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs