How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton 3 W-B/Scranton 4 +3.1
+2.6
+0.7
Rochester 4 Hartford 2 +0.5
-0.1
+0.1
Laval 2 Lehigh Valley 5 -0.5
+0.1
-0.1
Springfield 4 Charlotte 0 +0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Providence 1 Hershey 4 +0.1
+0.0
Manitoba 6 Chicago 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica vs Hartford+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Bridgeport vs Charlotte+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1
+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Toronto vs Syracuse-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.4
Binghamton vs Rochester+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
San Antonio vs Texas-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Milwaukee+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Rockford vs Grand Rapids-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the W-B/Scranton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
125-147InYes10032,104*
1244910-3In99.4%991159*
122-123InYes1001,010*
1214812-2In99.810001,330*
1204712-3In99.910002,423*
1194713-2In99.710004,395*
1184613-3In99.910007,584*
1174614-2In99.9100013,672*
1164514-3In99.91000022,372*
1154515-2In99.9100037,376*
1144415-3In99.81000060,511*
1134416-2In99.81000095,752*
1124316-3In99.810000147,407*
1114317-2In99.810000225,624*
1104217-3In99.7100000335,559*
1094218-2In99.6100000490,894*
1084118-3In99.499100700,439*
1074119-2In99.199100986,290*
1064019-3In98.6991001,352,892*
1054020-2In97.9982001,836,917*
1043920-3In96.89730002,427,285*
1033921-2In95.2954001003,165,077*
1023821-3In92.9936001004,038,379*
1013822-2In89.69080020005,078,593*
1003722-3In85.38511003006,251,518*
993723-2In79.580151040007,589,169*
983623-3In72.3722010600009,011,360*
973624-2100.0%63.463253090000010,569,331*
963524-3In53.25329401200000012,123,509*
953525-2100.042.14233701700100013,719,178*
943425-3100.030.931341012110100015,212,213*
933426-2100.020.72132141262003000016,626,943*
923326-3100.012.312281833050050000017,817,278*
913327-2100.06.362119432810800000018,827,761*
903227-3100.02.63141963014201200100019,492,036*
893228-299.90.917167251940181002000019,925,652*
883128-399.80.2031171722702430050000019,947,022*
873129-299.30.001769211212760090010019,713,106*
863029-398.10.00035415152261210141020019,086,618*
853030-295.50.000131814320184021200400018,242,012*
842930-390.60.000010310412208026500910017,073,877*
832931-282.3No001016451513126111015200015,769,553*
822831-370.2No000002218132201740236100014,286,395*
812832-255.4No0000110310211198028143000012,757,778*
802732-339.6No00001015241412126239200011,174,301*
792733-225.5No000000022171211929186100009,650,916*
782633-314.6No00000110292102627166100008,172,223*
772634-27.5No000000152416272514510006,819,782*
762534-33.4No00000002117182724145100005,584,362*
752535-21.4No000001102819272413510004,509,274*
742435-30.5No000000003920272313410003,564,593*
732436-20.2No000000013102027221241002,780,050*
722336-30.1No0000000014112127221131002,121,785*
712337-20.0No000000141223272092001,596,662*
702237-30.0No000000015142527187101,177,308*
692238-20.0No0000271828271540856,025*
682138-30.0No000031022312491607,224*
672139-20.0No000014142932173426,955*
662039-3OutNo000282235266292,631*
652040-2OutNo001415343512197,821*
641940-3OutNo0029284220130,590*
631941-2OutNo001521442985,173*
621841-3OutNo000215443954,350*
611842-2OutNo0019405034,146*
601742-3OutNo006345920,858*
591743-2OutNo003286912,544*
581643-3OutNo0223757,376*
571644-2OutNo118824,274*
561544-3OutNo113862,432*
551545-2OutNo010901,383*
541445-3OutNo0694744*
531446-2OutNo0595393*
521346-3OutNo299200*
511347-2OutNo29895*
23-50OutNo10032,017*
Total:82.7%17.9%181062116318420631053221111100000385,024,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs