"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids 7 Manitoba 5 -1.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany vs W-B/Scranton-7.6-7.5-7.6+3.9+3.9+4.7
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0
Stockton vs San Jose+3.1+3.1+3.1-1.8-1.8-1.9
Grand Rapids vs San Antonio-1.1-0.1-0.1+3.0+3.0+3.1
Lehigh Valley vs Hartford-0.3-0.2-0.2+1.0+1.0+1.0
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Bakersfield vs San Diego+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the W-B/Scranton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-127In100.0%1003,593,755*
120213-1In99.910002,547,859*
119214-0In99.910006,576,647*
118204-1In99.810007,013,461*
117205-0In99.8100010,847,519
194-2In99.110004,028,963*
116195-1In99.0100014,585,474*
115196-0In99.2100018,505,744
185-2In96.610007,849,399*
114186-1In96.2100023,823,056*
113187-0In96.9100025,543,986
176-2In90.01000011,974,589*
112177-1In89.010000031,299,797*
111178-0In90.7100029,040,294*
167-2In76.49802014,672,600*
110168-1In77.69802029,208,514
157-3In55.8930704,472,723*
109169-0In77.59802027,534,342
158-2In54.89307014,696,839*
108159-1In56.39307025,896,435
148-3In31.18201804,164,069*
1071510-0In56.19307021,966,777
149-2In30.281019012,162,406*
1061410-1In28.6790210022,427,401*
1051411-0In31.281019014,845,156*
1310-2In11.462038008,390,883*
1041311-1In10.6590400014,069,209*
1031312-0In11.862038008,526,338
1211-2In2.639059204,854,361*
1021212-1In2.4370610207,452,339*
1011213-0In1.8320650306,523,993*
1001113-1100.0%0.31807408003,332,931*
991114-0100.00.215074011002,695,836*
981014-1100.00.06073020101,258,470*
971015-0100.00.0507002410941,107*
96915-1100.00.0105803730399,722*
95916-0100.00.0105304150278,744*
94816-199.9No00360530110106,520*
93817-099.7No0032053014068,499*
92717-199.0No016055027123,488*
91718-098.4No014054031214,372*
90618-194.8No404404654,224*
89619-093.6No414104862,380*
88519-185.1No002505915612*
87520-084.3No1226116306*
86420-173.9No12622669*
85421-058.1No7514243*
84321-128.6No29717*
83322-040.0No40605*
77025-06.4No051931037,157
Total:100.0%66.9%8901000000000448,259,420

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Albany vs W-B/Scranton+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1
Lehigh Valley vs Hartford+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-127100
123232-01000
122222-11000
121223-01000
120213-110000
119214-010000
118204-110000
117205-010000
116195-19910
115196-09910
185-29730
114186-19640
113187-09730
176-29010000
112177-1891100000
111178-091900
167-2762200200
110168-1752300200
109169-0772100200
158-2553800700
108159-1533900800
1071510-0563700700
149-23051001900
1061410-129500021000
1051411-03150001800
1310-2115000362000
1041311-1114900382000
1031312-012500036200
1211-233600519200
1021212-12340051100200
1011213-02300052130300
1001113-101700512308000
991114-00150050240010000
981014-1060045280020010
971015-0050040300024010
96915-10100223600361300
95916-00100183500391500
94816-1006290049401100
93817-0005270048601400
92717-10115004511002701
91718-0011300411303102
90618-104002618004605
89619-004002417004706
88519-1001015057215
87520-0181460216
86420-11261126
85421-02544742
84321-1141471
83322-04060
77025-0014117120200
Total:67220091000000000000000