How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey vs W-B/Scranton-5.6-5.6-5.5+3.7+3.8+5.1
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Iowa vs Grand Rapids+3.0+3.0+3.1-0.9-0.9-1.7
Tucson vs Ontario+0.0+0.1*+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the W-B/Scranton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-133In99.9%10080,443*
122315-1In99.91000063,888*
121316-0In99.810000134,870*
120306-1In99.710000190,641*
119307-0In99.610000356,183*
118297-1In99.310000470,851*
117298-0In99.010000788,473*
116288-1In98.210000976,375*
115289-0In97.3100001,485,827*
114279-1In95.4990101,722,726*
113269-2In93.599012,403,468*
1122610-1In89.4980202,615,869*
1112510-2In85.7970303,372,844*
1102511-1In78.4940603,453,659*
1092411-2In72.5910904,137,352*
1082412-1In61.58501503,990,160*
1072312-2In53.980019004,455,849*
1062313-1In40.971028004,048,650*
1052213-2In33.4650350004,240,845*
1042214-1In21.6541450103,631,978*
1032114-2In16.3461520103,569,054*
1022115-1In8.5351620202,888,824*
1012015-2In5.8281670302,670,318*
1002016-1In2.3191740602,041,840*
991916-2In1.5141760801,778,684*
981917-1100.0%0.58177013001,281,452*
971817-2100.00.36175018001,056,526*
961818-1100.00.02170125010718,458*
951718-2100.00.02164131020557,834*
941719-1100.00.00053240040359,550*
931619-299.9No0046344060263,376*
921620-199.8No00344510110159,892*
911520-299.6No002745301600110,776*
901521-199.1No00174540240163,733*
891421-298.2No0012452030241,553*
881422-196.4No053471404022,733*
871322-294.6No434214505013,808*
861323-190.2No123125401007,140*
851223-286.4No112435701304,098*
841224-178.3No001436002101,985*
831225-074.3No01135822501,060*
821125-161.3No53512381463*
811126-058.6No063464401239*
801026-145.7No37952294*
79926-247.9No22404421048*
78927-119.0No19572421*
77928-07.1No7791414*
76828-133.3No33673*
75829-0OutNo1001
59037-0OutNo0541544,992
Total:100.0%48.3%670300300000000060,239,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Hershey vs W-B/Scranton+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-133100
126333-11000
125334-01000
124324-11000
123325-01000
122315-1100000
121316-0100000
120306-1100000
119307-0100000
118297-199100
117298-099100
116288-198200
115289-097200
114279-1954010
113269-2936001
1122610-18980200
1112510-2861100300
1102511-1781500600
1092411-2721800900
1082412-16124001500
1072312-254260019000
1062313-141310028000
1052213-2333100341000
1042214-12232104410100
1032114-21630105020100
1022115-18261058500200
1012015-26221060700300
1002016-121611621200600
991916-221311611500800
981917-1171155220013000
971817-20511492600170000
961818-102013733102410100
951718-202002935102820200
941719-1000017362035500400
931619-200012342137700600
921620-1000529213913001100
911520-20003242236170015000
901521-10011623292500221010
891421-2000121324280027320
881422-10051314331033730
871322-240210321034100500
861323-11023281135190910
851223-21012221230260012100
841224-100014112238001741
831225-000111216421018610
821125-150310421123132
811126-0060273922251321
801026-15327128224
79926-22223822132910
78927-119141933105
77928-0721213614
76828-1333333
75829-0100
59037-00312353911
Total:481900264002000000000000000000