How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Hartford vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Stockton vs Bakersfield+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton vs Charlotte+3.5+3.2+3.2-1.4-1.4-4.8
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.4-0.4-1.1
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.1
San Antonio vs Ontario-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Binghamton vs Bridgeport+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Lehigh Valley vs Hershey+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Utica+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Syracuse vs Rochester+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Iowa vs Milwaukee+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Providence vs Springfield+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Stockton vs San Jose+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0
Tucson vs San Diego+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the W-B/Scranton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
117-152InYes10055,234*
1165616-4In99.9%10002,178*
1155617-3In99.910003,706*
1145517-4In99.910006,318*
1135518-3In99.8100010,479*
1125418-4In99.8100017,613*
1115419-3In99.7100027,856*
1105319-4In99.71000044,167*
1095320-3In99.5100068,757*
1085220-4In99.39910106,588*
1075221-3In99.09910159,025*
1065121-4In98.49820235,478*
1055122-3In97.69820342,329*
1045022-4In96.69730489,863*
1035023-3In95.0955000690,483*
1024923-4In92.793700960,505*
1014924-3In89.69010001,313,262*
1004824-4In85.485141001,766,140*
994825-3In80.0801820002,335,673*
984725-4In73.2732430003,051,521*
974726-3In64.96529500003,918,387*
964626-4In55.35535910004,962,658*
954627-3In44.7453914200006,181,719*
944527-4In33.9344120510007,598,065*
934528-3100.0%23.72439269200009,198,155*
924428-4100.014.91534311541000010,981,035*
914429-3100.08.38263322920000012,900,866*
904329-4100.03.9417292816610000014,962,132*
894330-399.91.52922292311410000017,079,370*
884230-499.30.504132427199310000019,258,741*
874231-396.90.1016152425178210000021,370,466*
864131-489.70.00027162424167210000023,403,720*
854132-373.60.000028162423167210000025,244,358*
844032-448.60.0000027162323168310000026,877,544*
834033-323.2No000026142223189310000028,189,062*
823933-47.2No00000251320241911510000029,187,909*
813934-31.3No00000141019232113620000029,755,094*
803834-40.1No00000138162222168310000029,949,401*
793835-30.0No00000261321231810410000029,703,220*
783735-40.0No000001411192320136200000029,081,342*
773736-30.0No00000138162222168310000028,056,804*
763636-4OutNo00000126142123181041000026,706,967*
753637-3OutNo000000251220232012510000025,065,516*
743537-4OutNo00000014101824211362000023,209,319*
733538-3OutNo000001391824221462000021,170,550*
723438-4OutNo00000139172423156200019,071,754*
713439-3OutNo00000013918252314510016,921,090*
703339-4OutNo000001391926231341014,822,638*
693340-3OutNo000001411222822102012,793,617*
683240-4OutNo0000015142629196110,898,823*
673241-3OutNo00000271930271229,141,790*
663141-4OutNo0000131226332157,569,916*
653142-3OutNo000001619343096,176,271*
643042-4OutNo000003123138164,977,129*
633043-3OutNo0000172542243,940,901*
622943-4OutNo000041843343,085,731*
612944-3OutNo00021241442,376,032*
602844-4OutNo0001837541,806,918*
592845-3OutNo000531641,350,871*
582745-4OutNo0032672998,645*
572746-3OutNo0012078725,292*
562646-4OutNo011584520,066*
552647-3OutNo001188367,059*
542547-4OutNo00891255,981*
532548-3OutNo00694174,686*
522448-4OutNo0496118,329*
512449-3OutNo039778,516*
502349-4OutNo029851,371*
492350-3OutNo019933,168*
482250-4OutNo019921,167*
472251-3OutNo19913,123*
462151-4OutNo01008,115*
452152-3OutNo01004,757*
442052-4OutNo01002,999*
432053-3OutNo01001,694*
421953-4OutNo199980*
411954-3OutNo0100578*
38-40OutNo100588*
371756-3OutNo29845*
0-36OutNo10052,605*
Total:31.7%4.2%444444444444444333333333333222634,062,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs