How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester 3 Utica 2 (ot)-4.1
-0.3
Toronto 3 Syracuse 2 (ot)*+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Utica vs W-B/Scranton+4.7+3.7+3.7-2.2-2.3-2.3
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2
St. John's vs Albany-1.5-1.4-1.4+1.5+1.5+1.5
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Binghamton vs Toronto-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.5+0.5+0.5
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0
Rochester vs Syracuse-0.6-0.4-0.3+0.6+0.6+0.5
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
97230-0InNo09109007,406
96220-1InNo1001
95221-0InNo75254*
94211-1InNo5046424
93212-0InNo494219129*
92202-1InNo2752120304*
91203-0InNo2450025011,277*
90193-1InNo114541022,801*
89194-0100.0%No8390470508,877*
88184-199.9No226580130017,261*
87185-099.8No221590180044,613*
86175-199.1No0105703201079,720*
85176-098.1No0751039010176,677*
84166-195.2No0239054140284,580*
83167-091.8No013105917000555,512*
82157-183.8No0018065214100808,789*
81147-276.8No00140632202001,400,845*
80148-162.5No0605713150001,855,999*
79138-252.9No0404913781002,889,715*
78139-135.6No0135145162003,488,033*
77129-227.5No0127144234004,911,064*
761210-114.0No0140413510105,402,863*
751110-24.4No040274620203,317,230
1211-014.9No0150413211203,596,298*
741111-13.4No030224326506,927,207*
731011-20.5No00835421504,462,850*
1112-04.3No040274621203,619,099
721012-10.4No000732431817,361,163*
71912-20.0No0115453624,278,727*
1013-00.5No10837411203,566,281
70913-10.0No0114433936,477,732*
69813-20.0No00110384656,313,209*
68814-10.0No0032858104,705,019*
67815-00.0No0022360154,189,652*
66715-1OutNo001263242,797,830*
65716-0OutNo00960302,273,907*
64616-1OutNo0453441,346,019*
63617-0OutNo0034750996,937*
62517-1OutNo013664515,851*
61518-0OutNo03168346,824*
60418-1OutNo02080153,585*
59419-0OutNo0178393,543*
58319-1OutNo099134,018*
57320-0OutNo89218,717*
56220-1OutNo3975,296*
55221-0OutNo2982,644*
54121-1OutNo199501*
53122-0OutNo199238*
52022-1OutNo10017
51023-0OutNo01007,412
Total:11.3%No000001010016212422689,344,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rochester 3 Utica 2 (ot)+0.7
Stockton 5 Texas 1 +0.0
Chicago 4 Cleveland 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Utica vs W-B/Scranton-1.0-0.8-0.8+0.5+0.5+0.5
St. John's vs Albany+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Binghamton vs Toronto+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Tucson vs San Jose+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
97230-0009100450000
96220-1100
95221-07525
94211-150464
93212-049240153
92202-1270521119
91203-024049091601
90193-1110451130020
89194-080390103700500
88184-122675100120000
87185-02021553001710000
86175-100104530029301000
85176-00724900337010000
84166-1021380039151310000
83167-00103100362214210000
82157-1000180029361752100000
81147-2000130023401785210000
80148-1006011460712105210000
79138-20040742051213105200000
78139-10123302101717115200000
77129-200112601714191610410000
761210-10014002819241810410000
751110-200400161828251341000
1211-000170021123251551000
741111-100300151626251662000
731011-2000003122630197100
1112-00040017203025112000
721012-1000002102430229200
71912-2000018233324810
1013-010003132931175000
70913-10000172132261120
69813-2000151528301740
68814-10001520352891
67815-000004153232143
66715-100162339256
65716-0000418373110
64616-10018314120
63617-00005254227
62517-101144343
61518-001113950
60418-10042967
59419-0032572
58319-1011486
57320-0011287
56220-10595
55221-00496
54121-1199
53122-0199
52022-1100
51023-00100
Total:000000000010028012357911121211952