How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton 2 Utica 3 +1.6
+2.2
+0.2
Texas 5 Oklahoma City 4 (ot)*-0.1
Grand Rapids 1 Rockford 2 *+0.1
*-0.1
Milwaukee 2 Iowa 4 +0.4
Albany 4 Springfield 2 -0.4
Lehigh Valley 1 W-B/Scranton 2 (ot)*-0.2
Worcester 3 Portland 4 +0.2
Adirondack 7 San Antonio 6 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica vs Binghamton+1.2+1.2+1.1-0.3-0.4-2.0
+2.3+2.4+1.9-0.9-1.0-3.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Syracuse vs Rochester+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Lake Erie vs Texas+0.1*-0.0*+0.2*-0.0*+0.1-0.1
Manchester vs Hershey+0.2*-0.1*+0.0*-0.2*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
121-149In99.9%1001,509*
1205112-5In99.71000775*
1195012-6In99.810001,233*
1185013-5In99.510002,057*
1174913-6In99.310002,998*
1164914-5In99.510004,541*
1154814-6In98.910006,574*
1144815-5In98.610009,314*
1134715-6In98.11000013,208*
1124716-5In97.0991017,940*
1114616-6In95.6991024,186*
1104617-5In93.6981031,471*
1094517-6In90.89720041,153*
1084518-5In87.39630051,759*
1074418-6In82.89550163,838*
1064419-5In77.39260178,001*
1054319-6In70.189902093,481*
1044219-7In61.88512020109,341*
1034220-6In52.48016040126,493*
1024120-7In42.87421150142,999*
1014121-6In32.46626170159,083*
1004021-7In23.157312900173,551*
994022-6In15.1473641200185,919*
983922-7In8.93840616100196,045*
973923-6In4.62842919200203,815*
963823-7In2.019421323400206,797*
953824-6In0.812391725610207,916*
943724-7100.0%0.27342027101000204,194*
933725-6100.00.03272327163000198,352*
923625-7100.00.02192525227100188,447*
913626-6100.00.0113252027122000176,391*
903526-7100.0No07231529205100162,096*
893527-699.8No04209272711200147,193*
883427-799.1No0216521312061000131,136*
873428-696.9No0111213292813300115,435*
863328-791.3No0817223222710099,882*
853329-680.2No05031329301540084,455*
843229-762.8No030162032251020070,978*
833230-643.1No020021227321961057,905*
823130-725.1No100151831281330046,763*
813131-611.5No00002924332271037,373*
803031-74.9No000141630301540029,305*
793032-61.7No0001823332491022,615*
782932-70.5No0004153031163017,095*
772933-60.2No00282334258112,656*
762833-70.0No0141532321529,414*
752834-60.0No002926362256,640*
742734-70.0No001518363094,872*
732735-6OutNo02123338153,444*
722635-7OutNo0182641242,275*
712636-6OutNo052044311,562*
702536-7OutNo031443401,054*
692537-6OutNo1113751661*
682437-7OutNo163360449*
672438-6OutNo32571294*
662338-7OutNo22177183*
652339-6OutNo11881130*
642239-7OutNo158571*
632240-6OutNo118946*
622241-5OutNo59519*
612141-6OutNo79315*
13-60OutNo100343*
Total:93.3%18.1%31191012864322110003,989,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Binghamton 2 Utica 3 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Utica vs Binghamton-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-149100
1235311-4991
121-122100
1205112-51000
1195012-61000
1185013-5991
1174913-6991
1164914-5991
1154814-6991
1144815-5991
1134715-6982
1124716-59730
1114616-69640
1104617-59460
1094517-69190
1084518-5871210
1074418-6831610
1064419-57721200
1054319-67026300
1044219-76232610
1034220-6523710100
1024120-74340143000
1014121-63241205100
1004021-723392692000
994022-6153431154100
983922-7927332182000
973923-651931271441000
963823-721124292193100
953824-61516272616720000
943724-702920262313510000
933725-60141222262011410000
923625-700151322251910410000
913626-60002614222418103100000
903526-7000261422241894100000
893527-6000261421241810410000
883427-700002613202319114101000
873428-6000151119232012513000
863328-7000141018232012471000
853329-60013816222010145100
843229-7000127152117191251000
833230-600026142018201252000
823130-700027161220201462100
813131-600029514222215831000
803031-70014261521231683100
793032-60020271421231794100
782932-70000261422231810310
772933-600001261422241810300
762833-7000127142325178200
752834-6000012817252415620
742734-70001391826251341
732735-60141222282292
722635-70027142730174
712636-6003102331248
702536-702615303216
692537-60212234022
682437-7017223931
672438-613113946
662338-7193654
652339-682865
642239-713266
632240-622672
622241-51684
612141-61387
13-60100
Total:181311976554333222111111100000000