How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester 4 Syracuse 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica vs Adirondack+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.3
+2.4+2.3+1.7-1.6-1.6-4.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Oklahoma City vs San Antonio-0.6-0.6-0.3+0.4+0.3+1.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Manchester vs Hartford-0.7-0.7-0.5+0.6+0.6+1.7
Binghamton vs Hershey+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.6
Syracuse vs Albany-0.1-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.2
Milwaukee vs Grand Rapids+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
114-116In99.8%1001,141*
113211-1In99.510001,120*
112212-0In98.610003,664*
111202-1In97.19918,021*
110192-2In94.999118,573*
109193-1In90.798235,234*
108183-2In84.4964066,469*
107184-1In75.39280107,611*
106174-2In63.9881200173,220*
105175-1In50.3811800245,253*
104165-2In36.2732610344,367*
103166-1In24.3653410230,858
155-3In21.9623620202,834*
102156-2In12.9534430303,836
167-0In12.7524430234,608*
101157-1In6.5425160307,516
146-3In5.4395470298,989*
100147-2In2.33058120514,325*
136-4In1.827591400158,976*
99148-1In0.720592100334,324
137-3In0.618592300353,369*
98138-2In0.111553300382,075
127-4In0.110543600152,383
149-0In0.212563300152,235*
97139-1In0.0647470000301,775
128-3In0.054549000334,682*
96129-2In0.0234631000576,427*
951210-1InNo123741000226,409
119-3InNo121761100257,588*
941110-2InNo012842100220,965
109-4InNo0128422000177,705*
931111-1InNo068823100304,548*
921011-2100.0%No0286254100227,855*
911012-1100.0No0181168310158,008*
90912-299.8No07215119200107,779*
89913-198.9No06003121681068,552*
88813-295.3No047019211740042,351*
87814-185.8No350051927132024,368*
86714-269.5No230213322560013,963*
85715-148.0No1317283614107,103*
84615-227.0No702174128403,507*
83616-113.5No20113642801,612*
82516-24.7No1042550182783*
81517-11.8No21444365332*
80417-20.8No13646152127*
79418-1OutNo4323825253*
78419-0OutNo26433023*
77319-1OutNo50506*
76320-0OutNo50502*
70023-0OutNo6868636
Total:99.7%10.2%273534011100000007,688,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rochester 4 Syracuse 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Utica vs Adirondack-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.8
Binghamton vs Hershey-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Syracuse vs Albany+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Manchester vs Hartford+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs Grand Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Worcester vs St. John's+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115-116100
114221-01000
113211-1991
112212-0991
111202-19730
110192-29550
109193-191900
108183-2841510
107184-1752320
106174-26431400
105175-15039910
104165-2364417200
103166-1244426610
155-3224328710
102156-213373513200
167-013373514200
101157-162638236100
146-3625382471000
100147-2215333214300
136-4214333215300
99148-11724352481000
137-316213526102000
98138-202122932185100
127-402122832196100
97139-1015183228133000
128-3004163130154100
96129-20017213225102000
118-4001721322511200
951210-10021125322171000
119-3002924322392000
941110-20031326301971000
931111-10014142829176100
921011-200151628281651000
911012-100161728271551000
90912-200161728271551000
89913-10016172827154110
88813-20016172826143400
87814-1001617272491220
86714-2001618261823710
85715-1002618223018400
84615-20181827311220
83616-10211203424710
82516-2048283618500
81517-1231628321531
80417-213183725133
79418-1417252517112
78419-04223026134
77319-16733
76320-05050
70023-0173042191
Total:10141514121086432110000000000000000