How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto 3 Hamilton 4 (ot)-0.1
Springfield 1 Providence 2 +0.2
Hershey 3 Binghamton 2 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rockford vs Utica-0.3*+0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
-2.4-0.4-0.4+2.3+2.5+2.8
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Iowa vs Grand Rapids+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
120-126InYes100291*
119323-1In98.1%98253*
117-118In99.8100428*
116304-2In98.8991650*
115294-3In97.89911,247*
114295-2In97.09822,411*
113285-3In94.59734,509*
112286-2In90.996407,498*
111276-3In86.894612,737*
110277-2In80.39010020,406*
109267-3In72.98614030,781*
108268-2In63.28119044,219*
107258-3In52.974260061,498*
106259-2In42.366331082,587*
105249-3In31.2574120106,167*
1042410-2In21.9494830131,025*
1032310-3In14.2395560155,674*
1022210-4In8.130591000180,413*
1012211-3In4.122621600199,939*
1002111-4In1.815612410216,590*
992112-3In0.79563310224,951*
982012-4In0.254944200227,429*
972013-3In0.033955300221,988*
961913-4In0.0129645100209,542*
951914-3In0.0019726300192,011*
941814-4InNo011757510170,271*
931815-3InNo067489300146,741*
921715-4InNo0370714610122,332*
911716-3100.0%No1625161230098,661*
901616-4100.0No0523171981077,791*
891617-399.7No042213241530058,888*
881517-498.8No032192524910043,965*
871518-395.9No0220521311840030,993*
861418-489.0No1402143128101021,721*
851419-377.3No90172536194014,700*
841319-459.9No5031736309109,511*
831320-340.6No2019293818406,031*
821220-423.7No104193929813,733*
811221-311.5No0110323717202,174*
801121-45.4No0005233728601,278*
791122-31.4No1133535151700*
781022-4OutNo52743232375*
771023-3OutNo223402951173*
76923-4OutNo7324714110*
75924-3OutNo2265020250*
74925-2OutNo9642722*
73825-3OutNo1733331712*
72725-4OutNo1001
71625-5OutNo1002*
70828-0OutNo50502*
54036-0OutNo892259
Total:99.3%8.7%1834372322100000003,145,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Springfield 1 Providence 2 -0.1
Hershey 3 Binghamton 2 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rockford vs Utica+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.6
ThursdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-126100
119323-1982
118313-2100
117303-31000
116304-2991
115294-3982
114295-29730
113285-39450
112286-29190
111276-387130
110277-2801910
109267-3732520
108268-2633240
107258-35339800
106259-242441310
105249-3314620200
1042410-2224528500
1032310-3144035910
1022210-48324116300
1012211-342341246100
1002111-4214373212200
992112-3182836216100
982012-403183429123000
972013-3011026332181000
961913-4004163029165100
951914-30017213125113000
941814-40031124302192000
931815-3014132528197200
921715-400151526271772000
911716-3001616262516720000
901616-4002716252516720000
891617-300271624251772000
881517-400261524251772100
871518-300026142326186310
861418-40015152428158310
851419-300151628271273100
841319-4017203213149410
831320-3002102810181810300
821220-400419514222110400
811221-3110282126218300
801121-40051212252818610
791122-31061323301771
781022-4062129261530
771023-321224282383
76923-41102635235
75924-32222828146
74925-218412714
73825-3332542
72725-4100
71625-55050
70828-05050
54036-0892
Total:9131614119754322111000000000000000