How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto 1 Hamilton 5 -0.1
Albany 5 Bridgeport 2 +0.2
Hershey 0 St. John's 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica vs Syracuse+0.7+0.7+0.6-0.1-0.2-1.1
+2.5+2.5+2.0-1.1-1.1-3.9
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Adirondack vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Rochester vs Grand Rapids*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Oklahoma City*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Chicago+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0
-0.1-0.3-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.2
Rockford vs Iowa-0.6-0.6-0.4+0.4+0.4+1.1
Lehigh Valley vs Springfield+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
126-143In99.9%1008,722*
125477-4In99.810001,026*
123-124In99.91006,123*
122458-5In99.810007,270*
121459-4In99.8100012,861*
120449-5In99.7100022,206*
1194410-4In99.6100036,702*
1184310-5In99.5100059,025*
1174311-4In99.11000093,240*
1164211-5In98.7991142,501*
1154212-4In98.19910212,925*
1144112-5In97.19820309,305*
1134113-4In95.898200438,537*
1124013-5In93.896400605,792*
1114014-4In91.295500817,052*
1103914-5In87.7937001,074,807*
1093915-4In83.29010001,385,808*
1083815-5In77.586140001,741,141*
1073816-4In70.681190002,140,690*
1063716-5In62.575240002,574,864*
1053616-6In53.468311003,030,941*
1043617-5In43.7603811003,490,357*
1033517-6In34.0514521003,937,715*
1023518-5In24.8425142004,345,113*
1013418-6In16.7335763004,700,924*
1003419-5In10.225611041004,975,437*
993319-6In5.617621461005,171,005*
983320-5In2.7116019830005,260,599*
973220-6In1.165524951005,247,928*
963221-5In0.4348291082005,131,382*
953121-6100.0%0.123933101240004,917,066*
943122-5100.00.013035101671004,626,912*
933022-6100.00.002236820122004,264,994*
923023-5100.00.0014356211940003,861,885*
912923-699.90.009314202591003,421,979*
902924-599.8No0526217301630002,980,367*
892824-699.2No0321112312471002,546,255*
882825-597.6No116082831132002,133,012*
872725-693.9No0110422352261001,753,988*
862726-586.8No0702143430112001,416,150*
852626-675.7No040182736194001,121,362*
842627-561.0No020041936289100870,527*
832527-644.7No0100111313517300664,088*
822528-529.5No010016233726710496,082*
812428-617.3No000214343313200364,852*
802429-59.1No00018273721500261,836*
792329-64.1No00041937309100185,965*
782330-51.8No00021232361630128,659*
772230-60.7No001625392460087,713*
762231-50.3No003173731101058,473*
752131-60.1No001113237163038,178*
742132-50.0No00162540235024,841*
732032-60.0No00318373110115,527*
722033-50.0No0011233371529,426*
711933-6OutNo1727392245,965*
701934-5OutNo00420412963,304*
691834-6OutNo002133737111,967*
681835-5OutNo0193343151,184*
671735-6OutNo15293926673*
661736-5OutNo04194828322*
651737-4OutNo144541204*
641536-7OutNo195436110*
631537-6OutNo7435044*
621538-5OutNo5296721*
611539-4OutNo188211*
601338-7OutNo29717*
27-59OutNo1007,733*
Total:97.0%17.8%25331646643210000093,253,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Utica vs Syracuse-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.7
Rockford vs Iowa+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-143100
128496-3991
127486-4100
126487-3991
125477-41000
124478-31000
123468-41000
122458-51000
121459-41000
120449-51000
1194410-41000
1184310-59910
1174311-49910
1164211-59910
1154212-49820
1144112-59730
1134113-49640
1124013-594600
1114014-491900
1103914-5881200
1093915-4831610
1083815-57821200
1073816-47126300
1063716-56332500
1053616-6533791000
1043617-54441132000
1033517-634431930000
1023518-525422571000
1013418-61738311120000
1003419-51032351851000
993319-66233525920000
983320-5315303016510000
973220-6182331231030000
963221-504142728177200000
953121-6017192824135100000
943122-500311222721114100000
933022-600151323261993100000
923023-50002615242517831000000
912923-60000271624241682100000
902924-50000271623231682100000
892824-6000028162323168200100
882825-500002715232316720200
872725-6000027152223167251000
862726-50000261421221561120000
852626-6000026132122131761000
842627-50000151321202112410000
832527-600015142319191141000
822528-5000027201321191251000
812428-600031461623201241000
802429-5001829182421114100
792329-6000413102125201141000
782330-50020151322261993100
772230-6010016142426188200
762231-5000027172625155100
752131-60000131020282312300
742132-5000015132428208200
732032-60001717272715510
722033-50001311232923920
711933-60151528301651
701934-502924332391
691834-6015163129153
681835-502112632235
671735-601618332913
661736-51213343812
651737-417313525
641536-715224923
631537-62165032
621538-5141967
611539-46436
601338-72971
27-59100
Total:1815131087544322211111000000000000