How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester vs Hershey-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.5+0.4
Hartford vs St. John's+0.3+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.3-0.4
Providence vs Albany+0.3+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.3-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Utica-4.0-3.9-3.9+4.1+4.1+5.3
-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.7+0.7+0.9
-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.4+0.4+0.5
Binghamton vs Hershey-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.5+0.4
Syracuse vs Rochester-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0
Albany vs St. John's-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
115-152In100.0%10024,999*
1145517-4In99.710002,660*
1135518-3In99.6100004,571*
1125418-4In99.4100007,577*
1115419-3In99.51000012,295*
1105319-4In99.11000019,273*
1095320-3In98.61000029,936*
1085220-4In97.91000046,050*
1075221-3In97.0990068,914*
1065121-4In95.59910101,418*
1055122-3In93.69811147,448*
1045022-4In91.1982100211,008*
1035023-3In87.6972100296,483*
1024923-4In83.4953200412,098*
1014924-3In78.29343000559,136*
1004824-4In72.19064000751,859*
994825-3In65.386850000994,618*
984725-4In57.68211700001,294,463*
974726-3100.0%49.2761410000001,660,531*
964626-4100.040.1691713010002,098,295*
954627-3100.030.86221161100002,610,218*
944527-4100.022.25324201200003,198,868*
934528-3100.015.04427242300003,865,013*
924428-4100.09.235292835000004,601,155*
914429-3100.05.226303057010005,389,536*
904329-499.92.6183031811110006,236,066*
894330-399.81.112283112141300007,110,682*
884230-499.50.47242816182400007,987,829*
874231-398.90.142023192147100008,841,205*
864131-497.80.02151822247112000009,656,364*
854132-395.80.0111122324111541000010,387,136*
844032-492.50.00772122152061000011,028,216*
834033-387.40.004418181825102000011,535,615*
823933-480.10.003214132128154100011,907,283*
813934-370.2No0111082129207200012,110,376*
803834-458.3No0106419282512410012,154,297*
793835-345.2No0004215242817720012,027,060*
783735-432.3No00021111828231141011,734,196*
773736-320.9No001071226261782011,286,858*
763636-412.3No000047212822124110,710,833*
753637-36.4No000024152626188210,023,130*
743537-43.0No00001292128241239,249,646*
733538-31.2No0001151526281868,414,579*
723438-40.5No0000021023312597,551,505*
713439-30.2No000016173131146,678,431*
703339-40.1No000003122836215,834,513*
693340-30.0No0000182339295,018,606*
683240-40.0No0000141840374,260,856*
673241-30.0No0000021338463,558,282*
663141-40.0No000001934552,936,027*
653142-30.0No00001630642,388,961*
643042-40.0No00000425711,918,232*
633043-30.0No0000220781,514,582*
622943-4OutNo000116831,179,867*
612944-3OutNo0011287905,273*
602844-4OutNo00991686,854*
592845-3OutNo000793511,880*
582745-4OutNo00595376,529*
572746-3OutNo00397272,404*
562646-4OutNo0298195,072*
552647-3OutNo0298136,891*
542547-4OutNo019995,048*
532548-3OutNo019964,841*
522448-4OutNo19943,294*
512449-3OutNo010028,937*
502349-4OutNo010018,749*
492350-3OutNo010012,075*
482250-4OutNo01007,523*
472251-3OutNo01004,892*
0-46OutNo10028,203*
Total:53.4%3.3%777777111087777257,038,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Rochester vs Hershey+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Hartford vs St. John's-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Providence vs Albany-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Utica+0.9+0.8+0.8-0.9-0.9-1.1
Binghamton vs Hershey+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-152100
1225913-4955
119-121100
1185715-41000
1175716-31000
1165616-41000
1155617-31000
1145517-410000
1135518-3100000
1125418-499100
1115419-399000
1105319-499100
1095320-399100
1085220-498200
1075221-397200
1065121-4953100
1055122-3945101
1045022-4917201000
1035023-3889201000
1024923-48312302000
1014924-378154030000
1004824-4721860400000
994825-36521805000000
984725-4582410170000000
974726-34927131910000000
964626-44029152121001000000
954627-331311731420010000000
944527-422311951641020000000
934528-3152919818620300000000
924428-49251910199304100000000
914429-35211713181241610010000
904329-4316141516156282001000000
894330-3111111713188410410200000000
884230-407717919106117214100000000
874231-304515617109111031611000000000
864131-402313315101210134383200000000000
854132-30111011181481665105310000000000
844032-4000717615516771195210000000000
834033-3000404415315811121373110000000000
823933-4000202212111714121795321000000000
813934-30010119186151019118532100000000
803834-40010006044158201110853211000000
793835-300000040221351911121186421100000
783735-400000020111031581212119642110000
773736-3000100171116101313121075311000
763636-400000004073711131413108531100
753637-30000002041471113141311853100
743537-40000001020247111415141295310
733538-3000001010124711141615139520
723438-400000000012471115171613841
713439-3000000001248121618171372
703339-400000000124814182018114
693340-3000000012510162122167
683240-4000000001261220252211
673241-3000000013817262817
663141-40000000001512243224
653142-3000000138213533
643042-400000015163542
633043-3000013123451
622943-40000283159
612944-3000162767
602844-400042373
592845-30021979
582745-400011584
572746-30011188
562646-400891
552647-300694
542547-40496
532548-30397
522448-40298
512449-30199
502349-4199
492350-30199
482250-40100
472251-30100
462151-40100
452152-30100
442052-40100
432053-3100
421953-4199
411954-3199
0-40100
Total:3434342535254733333333333333