How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Utica 2 Rochester 1 +2.1
+0.2
Toronto 1 St. John's 2 -0.4
Binghamton 6 Hartford 3 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto 3 St. John's 0 +0.2
Bridgeport 3 Binghamton 2 (ot)*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
106-129InYes100466*
1054111-2In69.2%851513*
1044011-3In66.783176*
1034012-2In72.0841625*
1023912-3In50.86929259*
1013913-2In36.670273123*
1003813-3In26.8524170213*
993814-2In17.7415081293*
983714-3In14.237491130529*
973715-2In9.827551341889*
963615-3In6.01859148101,541*
953616-2In2.812591611102,312*
943516-3In1.275716162103,665*
933517-2In0.545115253105,553*
923417-3In0.2245133253008,394*
913418-2100.0%0.013710397510012,111*
903318-3100.0No0307448910017,367*
893319-2100.00.002454781421024,299*
883219-399.9No017348820310032,732*
873220-299.8No012145728430043,742*
863120-399.4No081406345510057,579*
853121-298.9No50344407910073,677*
843021-397.7No3027343814200092,810*
833022-295.8No20212448213100114,850*
822922-392.8No10141427285200137,725*
812923-288.6No00100386357410165,234*
802823-383.2No0603244110610190,265*
792824-276.0No030253441210200217,908*
782724-367.7No020192451314400241,802*
772725-258.5No010131431419810264,411*
762625-348.7No009139132412200283,502*
752626-239.3No0005034112718400298,878*
742526-330.2No03027102924600306,810*
732527-222.7No02021729301100311,597*
722427-316.0No01015527361610307,448*
712428-211.1No00011323392220299,941*
702328-37.1No007218412930284,853*
692329-24.5No04114393650265,159*
682229-32.6No0319354381242,704*
672230-21.5No02063049121218,412*
662130-30.8No01042552172191,083*
652131-20.4No00021953233165,968*
642031-30.2No0011353285138,984*
632032-20.1No001949347115,699*
621932-30.0No000644401093,165*
611933-20.0No000438441473,889*
601833-30.0No00232471957,410*
591834-20.0No00126492443,852*
581734-3OutNo120483132,597*
571735-2OutNo015473723,736*
561635-3OutNo011444516,752*
551636-2OutNo08405211,762*
541536-3OutNo0535607,992*
531537-2OutNo0331665,314*
521437-3OutNo226723,432*
511438-2OutNo220782,114*
501338-3OutNo119811,413*
491339-2OutNo11584773*
481239-3OutNo1990456*
471240-2OutNo0792263*
461140-3OutNo1496189*
451141-2OutNo39880*
441041-3OutNo29841*
431042-2OutNo10025*
42942-3OutNo109010*
21-41OutNo100464*
Total:35.3%0.0%01040101195131818725,517,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Utica 2 Rochester 1 -0.6
Toronto 1 St. John's 2 +0.0
Cleveland 1 Milwaukee 2 (ot)*-0.0
Bakersfield 0 Stockton 2 -0.0
SundayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106-129100
1054111-2691515
1044011-3671717
1034012-27212124
1023912-351192722
1013913-237332523
1003813-3272537470
993814-21824428801
983714-3142241810130
973715-210174312112401
963615-361241181227010
953616-2393723124111100
943516-31631271151512010
933517-204232896223301000
923417-3021728662664130000
913418-201102746291051501000
903318-30625252915528110000
893319-2003201426215312210100
883219-3011602222644164211000
873220-201110117283421731200000
863120-3008011130242311325100000
853121-205006281322174381100000
843021-3030324022023341131100000
833022-20202190116283515521100000
822922-30100140111312518932100000
812923-2000900731152015442100000
802823-3006004281420214542100000
792824-20030022303172746642100000
782724-3002011802143237874210000
772725-2001001301934269974210000
762625-300090153415911118421000
752626-200005003311371213118410000
742526-3003012602510151512731000
732527-2002012001381317161162000
722427-300100150015111719161041000
712428-20000011001371419201582000
702328-30007001410182220125100
692329-2004000026142123188200
682229-30030013919252313400
672230-20020002614242719610
662130-301001392029251020
652131-200000151528301540
642031-3000031025342161
632032-2000017203426101
621932-300014153331143
611933-20002102935195
601833-300172536257
591834-2000419363010
581734-300214333515
571735-200110303920
561635-3016254127
551636-204204333
541536-302154042
531537-202113849
521437-3183556
511438-2053064
501338-3042769
491339-222474
481239-321881
471240-221187
461140-311089
451141-21594
441041-3595
431042-2100
42942-31090
411044-0100
40944-15050
21-37100
Total:0001001300270151412345677887521