How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester vs Hershey-0.4-0.2*-0.2+0.6+0.5+0.4
Hartford vs St. John's+0.3+0.3+0.5-0.4-0.4-0.4
Providence vs Albany+0.3+0.4+0.3*-0.2*-0.2-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Utica-4.0-3.9-4.1+4.2+4.1+5.2
-0.7-0.7-0.8+0.7+0.8+0.9
-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.4+0.4+0.5
Binghamton vs Hershey-0.4*-0.2*-0.3+0.7+0.6+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
113-152In99.9%1001,495*
1125519-2In99.11000339*
1115419-3In99.5100579*
1105319-4In98.31000931*
1095320-3In98.39911,326*
1085220-4In97.9100002,109*
1075221-3In97.199003,007*
1065121-4In95.999114,567*
1055122-3In93.798116,585*
1045022-4In91.498219,556*
1035023-3In87.69621013,210*
1024923-4In83.89532018,538*
1014924-3In78.19343025,133*
1004824-4In72.090640033,630*
994825-3In65.5868500044,615*
984725-4In57.38111700058,493*
974726-3In49.2761410000074,630*
964626-4In40.270171301093,632*
954627-3100.0%30.861211611000117,207*
944527-4100.022.253242012000143,536*
934528-3100.015.044272423000173,607*
924428-4100.09.3352927350000207,072*
914429-3100.05.2263030570100241,838*
904329-499.92.61830318101100280,653*
894330-399.81.112283112141300320,085*
884230-499.50.572428161824100358,211*
874231-398.90.1420231921471000397,908*
864131-497.80.02151822237112000433,513*
854132-395.90.011112232411154100465,841*
844032-492.60.00772122152061000495,704*
834033-387.4No044181818251020000516,321*
823933-480.0No022141321281541000535,195*
813934-370.3No01110821292072000543,523*
803834-458.4No1064192825124100546,152*
793835-345.2No00042152428177200539,485*
783735-432.3No00211118282311410527,973*
773736-320.9No0010712262617720507,282*
763636-412.3No0000472128221241480,155*
753637-36.4No0000241426261882450,031*
743537-43.0No000129212824123415,529*
733538-31.2No00115152628185378,988*
723438-40.5No000002102331259339,029*
713439-30.2No0001617313114300,753*
703339-40.1No000312283621262,262*
693340-30.0No00018233929225,832*
683240-40.0No00014183938192,242*
673241-30.0No0002133846160,284*
663141-40.0No000193555131,846*
653142-30.0No000163064107,485*
643042-4OutNo0004257186,245*
633043-3OutNo002207767,971*
622943-4OutNo001168353,028*
612944-3OutNo001128740,847*
602844-4OutNo099130,935*
592845-3OutNo0069323,034*
582745-4OutNo049516,871*
572746-3OutNo039712,139*
562646-4OutNo02988,810*
552647-3OutNo1996,275*
542547-4OutNo1994,224*
532548-3OutNo1992,831*
522448-4OutNo1991,820*
512449-3OutNo01001,247*
502349-4OutNo0100780*
492350-3OutNo0100544*
0-48OutNo1001,842*
Total:53.4%3.3%77777711108777711,547,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Hartford vs St. John's-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Rochester vs Hershey+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Providence vs Albany-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Utica+0.9+0.8+0.9-0.9-0.9-1.1
Binghamton vs Hershey+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114-152100
1135518-31000
1125519-29910
1115419-3991
1105319-49820
1095320-39811
1085220-498200
1075221-397200
1065121-496311
1055122-394511
1045022-491621
1035023-38892010
1024923-4841130200
1014924-3781540300
1004824-47218604000
994825-366218050000
984725-45724101700000
974726-3492713191000000
964626-4402915211100100
954627-3313117314200100000
944527-42231195164102000000
934528-31529197186203000000
924428-492519101993041000000
914429-35211713181241610010000
904329-43161415161562820010000
894330-3111111713188410410200000
884230-4077179191061172141000000
874231-3045156171091110316110000000
864131-402313314101210134383200000000
854132-30111011181481665105310000000
844032-4000717615516781295210000000
834033-30040441531581112137311000000000
823933-40020221211171411179532100000000
813934-3001011918615101911853210000000
803834-4010006044158201110853211000000
793835-30000040221351911121186421100000
783735-400020111031581212119642110000
773736-3000100171116101313121075311000
763636-40000004073711131413108531100
753637-30000002041471113141311853100
743537-400001020248111415141295310
733538-30001010124711141615139520
723438-400000000012471115171613841
713439-30000001248121619171372
703339-4000000124814182018114
693340-30000012510162122167
683240-40000001261220252311
673241-30000013817262817
663141-4000002512243324
653142-30000138213533
643042-4000015163542
633043-300013123451
622943-4000283159
612944-30152767
602844-40042274
592845-30021879
582745-4011584
572746-3011188
562646-40991
552647-300693
542547-40496
532548-3397
522448-40397
512449-3298
502349-4199
492350-30100
482250-4199
472251-30100
462252-2100
452152-3199
0-44100
Total:3434342535254733333333333333