How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester vs Adirondack+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Grand Rapids vs Lake Erie+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
San Antonio vs Iowa+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Utica-5.2-1.0-0.9+3.7+4.2+4.6
-0.9-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.8+0.8
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Adirondack vs Albany-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
Texas vs Iowa+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Rochester vs Hamilton+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Rockford vs Milwaukee+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
San Antonio vs Oklahoma City+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Lake Erie vs Grand Rapids+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Chicago vs Charlotte+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
123-152InYes1008,075*
1225711-8In98.3%98258*
117-121In99.91002,309*
1165515-6In99.810001,758*
1155415-7In99.7100003,037*
1145416-6In99.610004,963*
1135316-7In99.4100008,038*
1125317-6In99.21000012,576*
1115217-7In98.91000019,511*
1105117-8In98.5991029,846*
1095118-7In97.5991044,602*
1085018-8In96.39910065,356*
1075019-7In94.39820094,437*
1064919-8In91.697301134,056*
1054920-7In88.0954010185,606*
1044820-8In82.9936010253,989*
1034821-7In76.5899020341,851*
1024721-8In68.38512030453,754*
1014722-7In58.88016140591,215*
1004622-8In47.773201600755,526*
994623-7In36.464252800952,857*
984523-8In25.555303110001,181,256*
974524-7In16.144355151001,441,228*
964424-8In8.834388192001,729,154*
954425-7In4.12438112340002,044,893*
944325-8In1.51536152771002,377,499*
934326-7100.0%0.483119291120002,726,616*
924226-8100.00.1424222917400003,080,666*
914227-7100.00.02162326248100003,420,483*
904127-8100.00.0010222029154000003,746,125*
894128-799.80.00519132923920004,035,899*
884028-899.2No02157242917510004,288,954*
873928-996.9No0111315292612300004,487,962*
863929-890.4No00718223121820004,626,865*
853829-976.9No050313272917510004,700,024*
843830-856.6No030151830271330004,700,196*
833730-934.5No010029233123920004,632,744*
823731-816.9No0100031327301961004,499,644*
813631-96.7No0000015173028143004,306,219*
803632-82.2No00000292332249104,060,994*
793532-90.6No00001414293117403,773,688*
783533-80.2No00000172133271013,461,008*
773433-90.0No00000031329341833,120,230*
763434-80.0No0000001722362772,775,742*
753334-90.0No000003153435132,434,365*
743335-80.0No0000182841212,107,775*
733235-90.0No000052144301,792,268*
723236-80.0No000021542401,505,027*
713136-9OutNo00011039511,243,689*
703137-8OutNo0000633601,014,363*
693037-9OutNo00032769814,506*
683038-8OutNo00022276644,235*
672938-9OutNo0011782502,246*
662939-8OutNo0011387386,864*
652839-9OutNo00991292,367*
642840-8OutNo00793217,879*
632841-7OutNo0595160,418*
622741-8OutNo0397116,179*
612742-7OutNo029882,807*
602642-8OutNo019957,265*
592643-7OutNo019940,273*
582543-8OutNo19927,404*
572544-7OutNo010018,445*
562444-8OutNo010011,948*
552445-7OutNo01007,802*
542345-8OutNo01005,016*
532346-7OutNo01003,259*
522246-8OutNo1002,044*
512247-7OutNo01001,155*
502147-8OutNo0100701*
492148-7OutNo100448*
482048-8OutNo0100246*
0-47OutNo1008,337*
Total:53.3%3.3%77777777777777796,680,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Utica+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.9-1.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-152100
1225711-8982
119-121100
1185614-61000
1175514-71000
1165515-61000
1155415-71000
1145416-61000
1135316-7991
1125317-6991
1115217-7991
1105117-89820
1095118-79820
1085018-89640
1075019-794600
1064919-892800
1054920-7881110
1044820-88316100
1034821-777212000
1024721-868274000
1014722-7593371000
1004622-84838122000
994623-736401841000
984523-8263925920000
974524-71634301541000
964424-89263221920000
954425-7417282716620000
944325-82921282313510000
934326-70312222620114100000
924226-8015132225191041000000
914227-7001613212418104100000000
904127-80002513202319115200000000
894128-7000015111923201362000000
884028-800001491722211583101000
873928-900012714202217104130000
863929-800002511182219114820000
853829-9000013815211910156200000
843830-80000002512191819157210000
833730-900000014111815201694100000
823731-80000014127172119125200000
813631-90000001528162221147310000
803632-800000202715212217931000
793532-9000010026132123181041000
783533-800000002612202419114100
773433-900000000251221242011410
763434-800000000025132226201030
753334-900000000261524261871
743335-800000028182826143
733235-90000013112431237
723236-80000001617313113
713136-90000311273722
703137-800016214032
693037-900003153943
683038-80001103553
672938-900163063
662939-800032472
652839-90021979
642840-80011485
632841-70001089
622741-800792
612742-700595
602642-80496
592643-70298
582543-80298
572544-70199
562444-80199
552445-70100
542345-80100
532346-70100
522246-80100
512247-7199
502147-80100
492148-70100
482048-80100
0-47100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333