How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St. John's 1 Utica 3 +6.4
+0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Providence vs Rochester+0.9+0.9+0.9-1.3-1.3-1.9
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Toronto+1.4+1.3+1.4-0.8-0.8-1.0
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Syracuse vs Binghamton+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.4-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Utica finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
114370-0In92.7%98238,076
106323-2InNo20805*
105324-1In22.256449*
104314-2InNo2374331*
103315-1InNo99195*
102305-2In0.849500260*
101306-1In0.229323573*
100296-2In0.1193241,396*
99297-1InNo09216003,026*
98287-2InNo087211007,047*
97288-1InNo0811170014,305*
96278-2InNo07512211030,069*
95279-1InNo06713011055,765*
94269-2InNo0581372200107,685*
932610-1InNo480442500187,588*
922510-2100.0%No40048390000335,482*
912511-1100.0No29052315000549,554*
902411-2100.0No2205232211000911,152*
892412-1100.0No1404933111001,400,054*
882312-299.9No9044239230002,172,457*
872313-199.7No5036248360003,135,941*
862213-299.2No302815341010004,558,810*
852214-198.3No102005641711006,190,658*
842114-296.5No1014054424210008,463,164*
832115-193.4No080494333300010,830,615*
822015-288.8No050413405510013,931,362*
812016-181.7No0203224661020016,803,235*
801916-273.3No01023148715400020,361,437*
791917-162.1No00015046721810023,186,534*
781817-251.3No000100417261320026,507,615*
771818-138.8No0050335302150028,464,299*
761718-228.9No030264302891030,699,123*
751719-118.8No0101822835142031,080,114*
741619-212.6No0101212338214031,644,510*
731620-16.8No000711739297030,224,225*
721520-24.1No004012363611029,046,148*
711521-11.7No00207304318126,120,119*
701421-21.0No0104244525223,672,291*
691422-10.3No0002164534320,044,029*
681322-20.2No0001114142517,123,916*
671323-10.0No000063550813,617,869*
661223-20.0No000429551210,949,412*
651224-10.0No0022160188,167,212*
641124-20.0No0011660246,174,793*
631125-10.0No0001058314,304,665*
621025-2OutNo00755383,051,366*
611026-1OutNo00449471,981,930*
60926-2OutNo00243541,314,808*
59927-1OutNo013663792,563*
58827-2OutNo013069491,372*
57828-1OutNo002376272,542*
56728-2OutNo01981156,585*
55729-1OutNo0138779,729*
54629-2OutNo0118942,519*
53630-1OutNo79319,901*
52530-2OutNo5959,646*
51531-1OutNo3974,048*
50431-2OutNo2981,746*
49432-1OutNo199620*
48433-0OutNo298262*
42-47OutNo100122*
40037-0OutNo010038,076
Total:30.6%0.0%00020101182141918133459,374,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. John's 1 Utica 3 -1.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Providence vs Rochester-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Hartford vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Syracuse vs Binghamton-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114370-09352
106323-2206020
105324-122333311
104314-22361133
103315-195635
102305-213623300
101306-10254391120
100296-20142511140
99297-103161116100
98287-20246311102000
97288-101467011240000
96278-209660115800000
95279-10562011614101000
94269-203560115211120000
932610-114700133012410000
922510-203900103812630000000
912511-10290074513860000000
902411-20220044803101200000000
892412-10140247031120111000000
882312-20901430210291120000000
872313-150036029391251000000
862213-2300280174613820000000
852214-110020005511412501000000
842114-21001400450041681110000000
832115-1008002470319141221000000
822015-20050014003202013431000000
812016-10020031021927135531000000
801916-20010023011631137852100000
791917-100001500123402712952100000
781817-200001000832026131384100000
771818-10005052901513171483100000
761718-20030323003101818126210000
751719-10010117001716211811520000
741619-20010111001411192117941000
731620-100007000171522221583100
721520-200040001410182321135100
711521-10002000151322251910300
701421-200100013817242416610
691422-100000013112127231120
681322-20000000261626281751
671323-10000002922312591
661223-2000016163031142
651224-100002102636215
641124-200000162037288
631125-10000314353513
621025-200029304019
611026-100005244427
60926-20003184335
59927-1001124146
58827-200183754
57828-10053164
56728-20032671
55729-1011979
54629-2011584
53630-101089
52530-20892
51531-1496
50431-20397
49432-1298
48433-0397
42-47100
40037-00100
Total:0000000200090051301246888887531