How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba 5 Laval 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
San Jose vs Ontario-0.2*-0.2-0.5*-0.1*-0.3+0.4
-0.0-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Syracuse-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Texas+0.5*-0.2*-0.0-0.9-0.6-0.6
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Bakersfield vs San Antonio-0.1*-0.2*-0.3*-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Manitoba vs Laval-0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tucson finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
129550-0InYes100202
113467-2In66.7%67333*
112468-1InYes1003*
111458-2In93.393715*
110448-3In92.6934427*
109449-2In90.691953*
1084410-1In87.3871371*
1074310-2In85.285141162*
1064311-1In79.4791911291*
1054211-2In69.2692641546*
1044212-1In67.66828301843*
1034112-2In57.457355021,370*
1024113-1In49.750389132,085*
1014013-2In41.1414213143,269*
1004014-1In33.534441615004,802*
993914-2In24.52545212707,113*
983814-3In18.1184126491009,985*
973815-2In12.11237317111014,044*
963715-3In7.4732351014200018,857*
953716-2In4.54243714164000025,231*
943616-3In2.22173619177001032,049*
933617-2In0.911133241812101040,925*
923517-3In0.406282816163020050,272*
913518-2In0.1032131142160200061,715*
903418-3In0.00114331025101410072,370*
893419-2In0.001932725163520084,919*
883319-3In0.00052942323664000095,367*
873320-2InNo02252172711681000107,508*
863220-3100.0%No0120111281861230000116,760*
853221-2100.0No0015062525515711000126,011*
843121-3100.0No01102193131713211000132,747*
833122-299.9No07011234115206120000137,003*
823022-399.8No05073301026122310000136,902*
813023-299.6No0304290627221530000137,253*
802923-399.1No010124032333176100000132,349*
792924-298.0No11170116410611411000126,449*
782824-395.8No00110104405169121000118,090*
772825-292.2No00705430317171231000108,263*
762725-386.3No004023701152713442000097,358*
752726-277.9No00201290103502575210086,494*
742626-367.6No0102106400148962100074,268*
732627-255.2No001303380037121273100063,495*
722527-341.6No0080133001511161472100052,545*
712528-229.3No004025000281619167200043,434*
702428-318.6No0201701411202216720034,680*
692429-211.1No01010001615232315510027,356*
682329-35.9No0600281826231241021,059*
672330-22.8No0300141122282192015,653*
662230-31.2No010015152627175111,875*
652231-20.6No100292130251028,723*
642131-30.1No00141527321846,161*
632132-20.0No001822342784,366*
622032-30.0No0013133235153,028*
612033-20.0No00182640242,041*
601933-3OutNo051944321,290*
591934-20.1No002143945793*
581935-1OutNo0193456536*
571835-2OutNo0153262316*
561836-1OutNo032571217*
551736-2OutNo11486138*
541636-3OutNo1138575*
531637-2OutNo178347*
521537-3OutNo39729*
511437-4OutNo13888*
501438-3OutNo1003*
491540-0OutNo17836*
19055-0OutNo100202
Total:88.2%0.6%1241025813258140248001111111110002,462,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs