How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

ThursdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester vs Toronto-5.3-1.2-1.1+4.0+4.0+4.2
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Belleville vs Manitoba+4.6+1.5+1.5-1.9-1.9-2.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Syracuse vs Providence+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Hartford vs W-B/Scranton+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Rockford+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
132-142InYes10049,287*
131455-1In100.0%100012,187*
130456-0In100.0100027,961*
129446-1In99.9100049,617*
128436-2In99.91000103,815*
127437-1In99.910000169,380*
126427-2In99.910000319,187*
125428-1In99.910000492,343*
124418-2In99.910000850,811*
123419-1In99.8100001,235,445*
122409-2In99.71000001,975,685*
1214010-1In99.5991002,702,067*
1203910-2In99.1991004,025,583*
1193911-1In98.6991005,226,289*
1183811-2In97.8982007,288,435*
1173812-1In96.7973008,970,733*
1163712-2In95.19550011,786,348*
1153713-1In92.99370013,784,107*
1143613-2In90.190100017,108,656*
1133614-1In86.4861300019,063,631*
1123514-2In82.1821800022,411,125*
1113515-1In76.777230000023,817,741*
1103415-2In70.771281000026,603,440*
1093416-1In63.764341010027,006,593*
1083316-2In56.356402010028,690,153*
1073317-1In48.248464020027,854,059*
1063217-2In40.3405160200028,211,014*
1053218-1In32.23254100400026,204,786*
1043118-2In24.825551405000025,332,818*
1033119-1In18.118542008000022,541,229*
1023019-2In12.6135026011000020,836,894*
1013020-1In8.184432014100017,764,630*
1002920-2In4.853638118200015,718,980*
992921-1In2.63284212140010012,852,275*
982821-2In1.312044224800100010,875,781*
972822-1In0.611343325131020008,531,616*
962722-2In0.20739424192040006,933,741*
952723-1In0.104345212640610005,219,662*
942623-2In0.002276173260820004,061,518*
932624-1In0.00120712361001130002,935,126*
922524-2In0.0001477371501270002,189,935*
912525-1InNo096435201141200001,520,126*
902425-2100.0%No0552292421319100001,089,880*
892426-1100.0No034122263112720100723,931*
882326-2100.0No013015264936401000498,692*
872327-1100.0No12092366428021000318,672*
862227-299.9No010519834413033000210,048*
852228-199.8No010213924220145000129,066*
842128-299.5No001891362834101000081,661*
832129-199.0No00048026336415101048,122*
822029-297.7No002601734113214021029,192*
812030-195.1No01408301622590320016,671*
801930-291.3No00024222012515144109,649*
791931-186.0No011132212123448205,196*
781831-278.8No007190152894124103,038*
771832-166.4No0021406291441611301,560*
761732-254.1No1194221731516920828*
751733-150.4No081182329191452421*
741633-239.8No417281101916103201*
731634-119.6No1216321221613597*
721534-219.1No2215217281713447*
711535-13.7No44151926227427*
701536-014.3No1429577*
691335-314.3No1414141414297*
681437-0OutNo1001
671337-1OutNo1001
661237-2OutNo1001
40051-0OutNo010038,675
Total:100.0%48.6%4931111521010000000000000000000466,560,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs