How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto 3 Syracuse 2 (ot)+0.1
+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Binghamton vs Toronto-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.2
St. John's vs Albany+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
104220-0In2.5%3367687
103210-1In0.61090159
102211-0In0.111891,532*
101201-1InNo49602,178*
100202-0In0.03970010,195*
99192-1InNo1990012,784*
98193-0InNo1990042,732*
97183-1InNo0990148,726*
96184-0InNo09901125,388*
95174-1InNo0970300130,866*
94175-0InNo097030203,777
164-2InNo92080073,768*
93165-1InNo910900264,902*
92166-0InNo920800337,494
155-2InNo8201800138,056*
91156-1InNo8101900417,424*
90157-0InNo8201800449,370
146-2InNo6503301201,251*
89147-1InNo6603301460,226
136-3InNo46500563,145*
88148-0InNo65033010502,810*
137-2InNo46050050220,384
87138-1InNo45500500466,161
127-3InNo25610140067,089*
86139-0InNo45500500440,407
128-2InNo246001500219,022*
85129-1InNo236001700447,371*
841210-0InNo256001500329,840
119-2InNo105603400167,854*
831110-1100.0%No9540360100308,402*
821111-0InNo105603300206,283
1010-2100.0No339550400106,266*
811011-1100.0No237560400176,996*
801012-099.9No2325907000163,695*
79912-199.5No0176601600083,637*
78913-098.8No0146402101071,220*
77813-195.8No055338040032,868*
76814-092.8No0448041060025,660*
75714-180.7No027531172010,548*
74715-073.8No02252122407,439*
73615-149.8No7430381112,849*
72616-042.1No053704015301,851*
71516-116.3No115403671609*
70517-013.9No1133537112316*
69417-12.3No2283728586*
68418-05.9No6144335251*
67318-1OutNo7333320715*
66319-0OutNo67336*
63-64OutNo1002*
60022-0OutNo0136918583
Total:99.8%0.0%052035012010000007,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 3 Syracuse 2 (ot)-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Binghamton vs Toronto+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.3-0.3-0.3
St. John's vs Albany-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2
Rochester vs Syracuse-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104220-02313928
103210-1192565
102211-00112564
101201-1414820
100202-003148300
99192-118910000
98193-017920000
97183-102970010
96184-002970010
95174-10096002100
94175-0009700210
164-2092003500
93165-109100450000
92166-00920034000
155-208204140000
91156-1081004150000
90157-008204140000
146-206502310010
89147-106402320010
88148-006603300010
137-2450149003300
87138-145149003200
127-3250600410000
86139-045149003200
128-2240600411000
85129-1230600413000
841210-0250600511000
119-21005604290000
831110-190540431001000
821111-01005604290000
1010-23394510030000
811011-1237453004000000
801012-020323560051000000
79912-101716500124000000
78913-0014163001380100000
77813-10505319190211000
76814-004048017240331000
75714-1027124204752100
74715-0022943047852100
73615-17340029151572100
72616-0052350281515105200
71516-11150212212416620
70517-0113027212320940
69417-121016342296
68418-0626121829226
67318-12033132013
66319-0333333
64220-0100
63120-1100
60022-0052739244
Total:000520023300210001000000000000000