How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany 6 Syracuse 1 -0.5
No
-0.4
Utica 5 Toronto 2 -0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Springfield vs Utica+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Rochester vs Bridgeport-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2
Toronto vs Manitoba-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Albany vs W-B/Scranton-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Syracuse finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
111260-0In14.1%316937,211
110250-1In4.51288110
109251-0In2.411891,085*
108241-1In0.43972,240*
107242-0In0.239711,604*
106232-1In0.01990022,252*
105233-0In0.01990080,347*
104223-1In0.0010000136,420*
103224-0In0.0010000389,436*
102214-1InNo0990100598,728*
101215-0InNo09802001,411,587*
100205-1InNo09604001,985,285*
99206-0InNo09406004,006,124*
98196-1InNo88011005,170,111*
97197-0InNo84015009,172,778*
96187-1InNo7402501010,883,267*
95188-0InNo67029030017,208,521*
94178-1InNo53040060018,826,401*
93179-0InNo460440100026,848,925*
92169-1100.0%No31051018000027,108,307*
911610-0100.0No25050024000035,168,040*
901510-1100.0No14049037000032,828,336*
891511-0100.0No1145044010038,930,660*
881411-1100.0No5350580200033,596,173*
871412-0100.0No3300640300036,626,243*
861312-199.8No11907307000029,216,707*
851313-099.5No115074011000029,349,334*
841213-198.6No0772020010021,590,840*
831214-096.9No0506602603000020,057,858*
821114-192.3No01530381700013,592,094*
811115-087.0No014404211110011,677,411*
801015-173.9No002604812230007,251,985*
791016-064.3No02004412871005,779,724*
78916-142.8No0735040152003,280,935*
77917-033.8No0529041214002,422,906*
76817-114.5No1140393610001,249,517*
75818-010.8No110034401510852,182*
74718-12.4No02020462930395,947*
73719-01.7No02015433550251,146*
72619-10.2No00053351110103,228*
71620-00.1No04285314060,437*
70520-10.0No01145727121,943*
69521-00.0No01125531211,781*
68421-1OutNo03464653,596*
67422-0OutNo2424971,796*
66322-1OutNo1295614462*
65323-0OutNo1255321191*
64223-1OutNo7573730*
63224-0OutNo20671315*
62124-1OutNo1750336*
61125-0OutNo1001
59026-0OutNo1316937,157
Total:96.9%0.0%02102904008021000448,259,420

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Albany 6 Syracuse 1 +0.7
Utica 5 Toronto 2 -0.2
St. John's 4 Binghamton 6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Manitoba+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Albany vs W-B/Scranton+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
111260-01417626
110250-1576820
109251-0296028
108241-1035047
107242-0034551
106232-101297000
105233-00127730000
104223-10018810000
103224-00016840000
102214-10792001000
101215-005930010000
100205-1029400210000
99206-0019300330000
98196-108800570000
97197-0084005100000
96187-10740051900100
95188-006700524002000
94178-10530043700510000
93179-00460034100730000
92169-1031024900108000000
911610-0025014900121200000000
901510-1014004800132400000000
891511-01104400133100000000
881411-15035001148001000000
871412-0303000105400210000000
861312-1101900766005200000000
851313-0101500568007400000000
841213-100727000109010000000
831214-000501650011150111000000
821114-1010530011280232100000
811115-0010440093302442100000
801015-1000260543037853100000
791016-0002003410261095210000
78916-107135015131613721000
77917-0050280141016161152000
76817-1101400151523221351000
75818-0101001411202318103100
74718-102003112328219200
73719-00200028182624155100
72619-100001619312812200
71620-000001515273017400
70520-1000041735311210
69521-000031431331620
68421-100320403061
67422-00217393391
66322-1192845153
65323-0142638274
64223-17334713
63224-01353277
62124-117175017
61125-0100
59026-000114345
Total:000200012800733003500111000000000