How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester vs Syracuse-3.9-0.5-0.5+4.2+4.2+4.5
-0.9-0.2-0.2+1.0+1.0+1.1
-0.9-0.1-0.1+1.0+1.0+1.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Hartford vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse vs Rochester+3.5+3.2+3.2-1.4-1.4-4.8
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.4-0.4-1.1
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.1
San Antonio vs Ontario-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Binghamton vs Bridgeport+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Iowa vs Milwaukee+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Utica+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
W-B/Scranton vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Providence vs Springfield+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Lehigh Valley vs Hershey+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Syracuse finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
120-152InYes10052,958*
1195815-3In99.7%1000364*
1185816-2InYes100660*
1175716-3In99.810001,224*
1165717-2In99.810002,104*
1155617-3In99.710003,726*
1145517-4In99.910006,288*
1135518-3In99.8100010,688*
1125418-4In99.8100017,282*
1115419-3In99.7100027,724*
1105319-4In99.6100044,548*
1095320-3In99.51000069,139*
1085220-4In99.29910106,031*
1075221-3In98.999100158,392*
1065121-4In98.39820235,665*
1055122-3In97.69820343,515*
1045022-4In96.59630491,714*
1035023-3In94.995500690,822*
1024923-4In92.693700961,439*
1014924-3In89.489100001,314,152*
1004824-4In85.3851410001,767,036*
994825-3In79.980182002,340,063*
984725-4In73.0732430003,052,225*
974726-3In64.7653050003,919,437*
964626-4In55.155359100004,967,788*
954627-3In44.6453914200006,185,927*
944527-4In33.8344120510007,602,638*
934528-3100.0%23.62439269200009,198,813*
924428-4100.014.915343115410000010,982,154*
914429-3100.08.28263322920000012,897,288*
904329-4100.03.9417292816610000014,959,805*
894330-399.91.51922292311410000017,092,350*
884230-499.30.50413242719931000019,254,067*
874231-396.90.1016152425178210000021,367,095*
864131-489.70.000271624241672100000023,399,405*
854132-373.60.00002816242316721000025,251,924*
844032-448.60.0000027162323168310000026,875,931*
834033-323.2No000026142223189310000028,186,775*
823933-47.2No00002513202419115100000029,169,674*
813934-31.3No00001410192321136200000029,762,160*
803834-40.1No00000138162222168310000029,946,560*
793835-30.0No0000002613212318104100000029,705,061*
783735-40.0No000000141119232113620000029,087,042*
773736-30.0No00000013816222216831000028,055,724*
763636-40.0No0000001261421231810410000026,708,458*
753637-3OutNo000000025122024201251000025,059,077*
743537-4OutNo00000014101824211362000023,197,696*
733538-3OutNo0000001391824221462000021,173,389*
723438-4OutNo000000139172423156200019,072,038*
713439-3OutNo0000013918252414510016,919,213*
703339-4OutNo0000001391926231341014,826,152*
693340-3OutNo000001411222822102012,794,760*
683240-4OutNo0000015142629196110,894,388*
673241-3OutNo00000271930271229,140,349*
663141-4OutNo0000131226332157,571,711*
653142-3OutNo00001619343096,175,212*
643042-4OutNo000003123138164,973,396*
633043-3OutNo0000172542243,939,098*
622943-4OutNo000041843343,083,235*
612944-3OutNo00021341442,376,230*
602844-4OutNo0001837541,806,841*
592845-3OutNo000531641,353,629*
582745-4OutNo00032671999,122*
572746-3OutNo0012078725,704*
562646-4OutNo0011684520,502*
552647-3OutNo0001288368,100*
542547-4OutNo00991255,165*
532548-3OutNo00694175,199*
522448-4OutNo0496118,842*
512449-3OutNo039778,600*
502349-4OutNo029851,517*
492350-3OutNo019933,308*
482250-4OutNo19920,996*
472251-3OutNo19913,224*
462151-4OutNo1997,935*
452152-3OutNo01004,813*
442052-4OutNo01002,966*
432053-3OutNo01001,715*
422054-2OutNo01001,033*
411954-3OutNo0100566*
401955-2OutNo100331*
391855-3OutNo199190*
381856-2OutNo19995*
36-37OutNo10078*
351657-3OutNo79315*
0-34OutNo10052,555*
Total:31.7%4.1%444444444444444333333333333222634,062,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs