How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Average seed
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2
Utica vs W-B/Scranton-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0
Binghamton vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Springfield finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
97240-099.1%No849421583
95220-2InNo1001
94221-150.0No50502
93222-0InNo1004*
92212-138.9No633441718*
91213-034.8No33256966*
90203-117.6No186320131*
89204-014.3No0145927495*
88194-14.7No55639874*
87195-03.7No450462,449*
86185-11.1No1037624,375*
85186-00.6No1326709,829*
84176-10.1No002278016,067*
83177-00.1No0018811031,566*
82167-10.0No0118720046,997*
81157-20.0No0088740082,814*
80158-1OutNo486910113,798*
79148-2OutNo3801520179,105*
78149-10.0No016825500222,279*
77139-2OutNo15832910320,658*
761310-1OutNo039411720364,357*
751210-2OutNo018443260233,920
1311-0OutNo040381740242,635*
741211-1OutNo0143936100497,999*
731111-2OutNo32447241340,735*
1212-0OutNo018443260254,417
721112-1OutNo042648211412,619
1011-3OutNo0840465155,366*
711012-2OutNo0942454303,123
1113-0OutNo32344283319,510*
701013-1OutNo0941454396,181
912-3OutNo01216116145,574*
69913-2OutNo02226115262,947
1014-0OutNo0736479282,112*
68914-1OutNo01186020431,981*
67814-2OutNo075638217,652*
915-0OutNo02226116180,112
66815-1OutNo065341284,672*
65816-0OutNo044749241,399*
64716-1OutNo013564155,020*
63717-0OutNo012971119,771*
62617-1OutNo0178368,367*
61618-0OutNo0138748,897*
60518-1OutNo069424,335*
59519-0OutNo049515,667*
58419-1OutNo2986,612*
57420-0OutNo1993,890*
56320-1OutNo01001,359*
55321-0OutNo0100738*
49-54OutNo100902*
Total:0.0%No0000117172428137,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Stockton 5 Texas 1 +0.0
Ontario 3 Tucson 0 -0.0
Chicago 4 Cleveland 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.4+0.4+0.4
Binghamton vs Toronto+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Utica vs W-B/Scranton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Tucson vs San Jose+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
97240-0083811421
95220-2100
94221-15050
93222-0100
92212-16334417
91213-03293569
90203-11626320
89204-001225828
88194-14155400
87195-031494610
86185-1110356040
85186-0002962710
84176-1000186514200
83177-0000014592151000
82167-1064732113000
81157-2000437341762000
80158-111934271351000
79148-21122728199310000
78149-100314262718831000
77139-202919252214721000
761310-100171926231462000
751210-200141325281982000
1311-0002102431229200
741211-1000311222721114100
731111-2001719312713300
1212-00014142830175100
721112-1001617282716510
711012-200041531321530
1113-0000172133269100
701013-100031328321851
69913-2002133334142
1014-000041733311220
68914-1002123035174
67814-200316373311
915-0003153534121
66815-100214353514
65816-000210293821
64716-1003194236
63717-0002143944
62617-10053263
61618-0042670
60518-1011584
59519-011287
58419-10694
57420-00496
56320-1199
55321-0199
54221-1199
53222-0199
49-52100
Total:00000000023456791113131295