How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas 4 Manitoba 3 -0.1
Hershey 3 W-B/Scranton 5 -0.8
Iowa 2 Grand Rapids 3 (ot)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs San Jose-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.5+0.5+0.6
-1.7-1.7-1.5+1.2+1.2+1.1
-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2
Iowa vs Texas+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Stockton vs Bakersfield-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
Lehigh Valley vs W-B/Scranton+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.5-0.4-0.4
Grand Rapids vs Chicago-0.2-0.3-0.2+0.4+0.5+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
109-114InYes100603*
108333-0In97.2%1000353*
107323-1In95.31000593*
106324-0In92.89911,680*
105314-1In87.09912,630*
104315-0In85.69826,259*
103305-1In77.49649,382*
102306-0In71.895519,135*
101296-1In61.3919026,064*
100297-0In55.18911047,220*
99287-1In41.68317060,016*
98288-0In35.77921098,279*
97278-1In23.4712900116,231*
96279-0In18.9663400173,309*
95269-1In10.4564400193,290*
942610-0In7.85049000263,255*
932510-1In3.339601000275,460*
922410-2In2.333652000347,384*
912411-1In0.7227431000342,236*
902311-2In0.4167942000402,026*
892312-1In0.058464000373,456*
882212-2In0.048186100408,535*
872213-1100.0%No27510122000357,015*
862113-2100.0No16811173000366,652*
852114-1100.0No0561126510000303,898*
842014-2100.0No0471031831000291,472*
832015-199.9No0328391363000227,604*
821915-299.6No02463916105000207,670*
811916-198.8No0123371917110100152,763*
801816-297.3No082311821160300129,842*
791817-193.6No3120162726160090,832*
781717-288.5No20151226322101073,109*
771718-177.8No0067233941930048,137*
761618-267.1No0044183752760036,591*
751619-149.2No0111031737131022,817*
741519-237.9No016237402020016,494*
731520-119.7No001117433251009,625*
721420-213.1No00175374191006,441*
711421-14.3No0132747183103,703*
701321-24.2No0131946255102,327*
691322-11.1No0111423211201,131*
681222-20.9No01734401440660*
671223-1OutNo323412481353*
661123-2OutNo22234281131194*
651124-1OutNo7343617686*
641125-0OutNo72027341144*
631025-1OutNo222230131323*
62925-2OutNo1829242917*
61926-1OutNo204020205
59-60OutNo1003*
42036-0OutNo199456
Total:98.4%4.6%20535114330100000005,517,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs San Jose+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.3-0.3-0.3
Stockton vs Bakersfield+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-114100
108333-09730
107323-19540
106324-09361
105314-187121
104315-086132
103305-177194
102306-072235
101296-1613090
100297-055341100
99287-1424117000
98288-0364421000
97278-12347290000
96279-01947340000
95269-11045440000
942610-08424910000
932510-133658110000
922410-2231622110000
912411-112169512100000
902311-201570813200000
892312-105701515400000
882212-2046417176010000
872213-12532219110100000
862113-214523110161210000
852114-103124011241321000000
842014-202423010283443010000
832015-10131908345676020000
821915-209150633661010041000
811916-103903298613170920100
801816-2026022385142101240300
791817-102113831326118816100
781717-20109621025120122010200
771718-10003306211211840174100
761618-20002204161171950238200
751619-1001018211207030164000
741519-200015171670292381000
731520-10011110612533174100
721420-200000165118342682000
711421-10012192934174100
701321-20012152235228310
691322-1001213323015520
681222-2000282531191131
671223-13142429179210
661123-221221242114331
651124-11142128191331
641125-029925252072
631025-149131722269
62925-26241235186
61926-120204020
60927-0100
59827-1100
42036-0595
Total:515421114101123021001000000000000