How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. John's 1 Utica 3 +0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence vs Rochester-3.3-3.2-3.2+5.7+6.0+7.0
NoNoNo*No*No+0.0
-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.4+0.5
Hartford vs Toronto+1.4+1.5+1.6-0.6-0.9-1.0
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Syracuse vs Binghamton+0.3+0.3*+0.2*-0.5*-0.3-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rochester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
109370-0In76.5%8020456
98-101InNo1005*
97305-2InNo86147*
96306-1InNo10014*
95296-2InNo94633*
94297-1InNo93775*
93287-2InNo8521011162*
92288-1InNo8311510333*
91278-2InNo7502311692*
90279-1InNo63132121,161*
89269-2InNo56038232,176*
882610-1InNo4504636003,621*
872510-2InNo36050410006,354*
862511-1100.0%No270524170009,940*
852411-2InNo200514241116,176*
842412-1100.0No124833321024,383*
832312-299.9No8042342230036,187*
822313-199.8No40342513500050,329*
812213-299.5No30271554900071,993*
802214-198.7No11915851610094,982*
792114-297.3No1130564232100126,245*
782115-194.5No070514323200157,577*
772015-290.6No0404334045100198,267*
762016-184.3No0203424768200232,288*
751916-276.5No01026149713400275,736*
741917-166.0No017148719710304,551*
731817-255.2No00110436241220341,006*
721818-142.6No0603652919400355,980*
711718-232.5No0402942926810375,190*
701719-121.6No01020228331320370,652*
691619-214.8No01014123372030369,551*
681620-18.1No008117392870344,245*
671520-25.0No050123635110324,572*
661521-12.2No02073142181286,048*
651421-21.2No01042444252253,331*
641422-10.4No00021644353210,100*
631322-20.2No0011140435175,739*
621323-10.1No00634528136,655*
611223-20.0No004275612108,521*
601224-1OutNo0220601879,233*
591124-2OutNo0115602458,660*
581125-1OutNo009593240,200*
571025-2OutNo06544027,925*
561026-1OutNo03484917,752*
55926-2OutNo02435511,688*
54927-1OutNo135646,904*
53827-2OutNo029704,285*
52828-1OutNo023772,281*
51728-2OutNo018811,318*
50729-1OutNo1288672*
49629-2OutNo1288380*
48630-1OutNo793145*
47530-2OutNo59578*
35-46OutNo100506*
Total:36.8%0.0%000301212121418161125,517,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. John's 1 Utica 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Providence vs Rochester+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.9-0.9-1.1
Hartford vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Stockton vs Bakersfield-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Syracuse vs Binghamton-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109370-077420
98-101100
97305-2711414
96306-16436
95296-233616
94297-1276751
93287-2256028211
92288-117661013210
91278-2106500158001
90279-16570117151120
89269-22540017211130
882610-11440016301241000
872510-20350104013730000
862511-102607451310700000
852411-202004471311131010
842412-112246031221111000
832312-28014103123012200000
822313-14003402104112410000
812213-230027018481372000000
802214-110180155314115000000
792114-210130452041581110000
782115-10070249041914122100000
772015-20040142032020123210000
762016-10200340219271354210000
751916-201002501173213674210000
741917-10017113350271084200000
731817-200011093502612128310000
721818-10060531015121613731000
711718-2004032600310171712621000
701719-1001011900171520171152000
691619-2010113001411192116941000
681620-1000800171522211572100
671520-2005001410182320125100
661521-100200151322241910300
651421-20010013817242415610
641422-1000014112127231120
631322-20000261626281751
621323-1000002922312591
611223-200016163031142
601224-10002102636215
591124-2000162037288
581125-1000313353613
571025-2019304019
561026-1004234329
55926-2002184436
54927-101124146
53827-20083655
52828-1053164
51728-2032671
50729-121880
49629-221682
48630-1991
47530-21288
44-46100
43433-02080
35-42100
Total:00000003001110161501246788776421