How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester 3 Binghamton 2 +3.5
+0.3
St. John's 3 Syracuse 5 +1.3
+0.0
Utica 4 Lehigh Valley 7 +0.4
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Binghamton+0.8+0.9+0.8-1.6-1.7-1.8
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Albany vs Utica+0.5+0.3+0.5*-0.3-0.4-0.8
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rochester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
92240-0InNo991756
90231-0InNo1004
89221-1InNo50502
88222-0InNo901010*
87212-1InNo6335246*
86213-0InNo54416145*
85203-1InNo33501501325*
84204-0InNo274822021,027*
83194-1InNo154137071,816*
82195-0InNo1038420104,918*
81185-199.8%No32450023008,215*
80186-099.9No219500290018,160*
79176-199.3No084504600028,427*
78177-098.5No063905401055,549*
77167-195.9No022706713079,178*
76168-092.9No01210711600136,469*
75158-185.6No01107421210178,577*
74148-278.8No08071218100278,217*
73149-165.4No03063229400334,806*
72139-256.1No02054135710470,923*
711310-139.2No0391441420517,481*
701210-220.8No0210482740320,851
1311-039.8No03914214300344,207*
691211-116.6No01704332810671,798*
681111-25.1No05028442030440,554*
1212-020.4No0200472840349,967
671112-14.4No04025432350731,224*
661012-20.8No10114038110377,004
1113-04.7No5026412260411,442*
651013-10.6No1083440161666,283*
64913-20.0No021744342362,006*
1014-00.8No10103939110298,902
63914-10.0No0011543383508,571*
62814-20.0No011138455463,002*
61815-10.0No004285810323,880*
60816-00.0No003226114271,657*
59716-1OutNo01116523169,969*
58717-0OutNo0086229129,860*
57617-1OutNo03554273,024*
56618-0OutNo02504751,217*
55518-1OutNo0396024,953*
54519-0OutNo0356516,017*
53419-1OutNo024766,802*
52420-0OutNo20803,921*
51320-1OutNo13871,411*
50321-0OutNo1189717*
49221-1OutNo595191*
48222-0OutNo69499*
46-47OutNo10024*
44024-0OutNo0100756
Total:20.2%No00201802121191639,135,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rochester 3 Binghamton 2 -0.7
St. John's 3 Syracuse 5 -0.1
Utica 4 Lehigh Valley 7 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Binghamton-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Albany vs Utica-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
92240-019910
90231-0100
89221-15050
88222-09010
87212-163352
86213-05423932
85203-1331498801
84204-02714781402
83194-1150411027070
82195-010038103200100
81185-13246440021100
80186-0201964400272000
79176-108342003970000
78177-006237004112010000
77167-102026004324121000
76168-00102100383313210000
75158-1001100274715521000
74148-2008020511575210000
73149-10030954051010621000
72139-202064804101310521000
711310-10138028161712520000
701210-2001902820241772000
1311-012440210181672000
691211-1001600171823191041000
681111-20050016172725135100
1212-000200021022251551000
671112-100400151525251672000
661012-210003122529208200
1113-005001619292511300
651013-1100021023292210300
64913-2000182232261010
1014-01000313273118510
63914-1000171931271220
62814-20000141427311940
61815-10001519353181
60816-000003143136132
59716-100152343235
58717-00041841298
57617-1018364115
56618-0005314321
55518-101194634
54519-001154440
53419-1073657
52420-0053361
51320-1022276
50321-021880
49221-111089
48222-011188
46-47100
44024-0199
Total:00000200315012468101010109631