How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica vs Rochester-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Belleville vs Syracuse+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rochester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
119-126InYes100741*
118324-0In96.1%96476*
117314-1In83.483161181*
116315-0In84.584151425*
115305-1In73.473251762*
114295-2In70.07027021,929*
113296-1In60.26034063,266*
112286-2In51.151400906,746*
111287-1In40.84145114010,970*
110277-2In32.733471200020,142*
109278-1In23.123482027029,733*
108268-2In16.116453350150,333*
107269-1In10.2104040440170,377*
106259-2In6.3633505303108,755*
1052510-1In3.2326506005140,126*
1042410-2In1.7218506509201,675*
1032411-1In0.7112506710150243,559*
1022311-2In0.3074066102100323,996*
1012312-1In0.1043061202900368,955*
1002212-2In0.0022054403800455,115*
992213-1In0.0012044704700486,817*
982113-2In0.0001034905510564,266*
972114-1In0.000002311063200563,929*
962014-2InNo00015121684010614,251*
952015-1InNo00081110718010579,476*
941915-2InNo00049106815020589,876*
931916-1InNo00027206125040526,313*
921816-2100.0%No001520513615000503,325*
911817-1100.0No0003203748207100421,447*
901717-2100.0No011025564010200379,195*
891718-1100.0No011014599011500299,297*
881618-2100.0No0010756150129000254,800*
871619-1100.0No0003462301116100188,893*
861519-299.9No000134301922200151,052*
851520-199.8No0000213527296000104,873*
841420-299.5No0001136443213000079,319*
831421-199.1No0005317230240000051,900*
821321-298.4No022410124361110036,710*
811322-197.0No015130164851210022,473*
801222-295.4No08140852121220014,832*
791223-192.6No413044924133108,581*
781123-289.0No1111383702431005,536*
771124-184.1No080245101563102,962*
761024-277.9No05015581486301,777*
751025-169.7No3760003710820835*
74925-260.9No125825131180473*
73926-151.4No0249021217962214*
72826-245.0No4525122484100*
71827-125.0No252113023944*
70828-028.0No288162816425*
69728-128.6No29729142114*
68729-012.5No13131338258*
67528-3OutNo1001
66529-2OutNo1001
54036-0OutNo12871703
Total:99.9%0.7%1310225104016303210000000000000008,492,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs