How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Providence vs Bridgeport+2.6+2.5+2.3-3.9-3.8-3.8
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Hartford vs Hershey+3.3+3.2+3.3-1.4-1.5-2.0
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Providence finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
115230-0In64.6%982593
114220-1In43.894616
113221-0In28.58713179*
112211-1In15.06832286*
111212-0In11.4643511,377*
110202-1In4.0455132,374*
109203-0In2.839055608,074*
108193-1In0.32006613011,687*
107194-0In0.31706518031,516*
106184-1In0.0605835141,283*
105185-0In0.0505340392,337*
104175-1In0.010360568109,722*
103176-0100.0%0.01031058110208,547*
102166-1100.0No0015062220227,596*
101167-0100.0No0017064190236,518
156-299.9No005052430141,387*
100157-199.9No005050450375,530*
99158-0100.0No005053410336,866
147-299.3No10320661215,083*
98148-199.1No10310681501,782*
97149-099.5No10330651397,585
138-296.9No00150823265,688*
96139-196.3No00140824551,604*
951310-097.4No00160823391,908
129-290.6No00508609267,380*
941210-189.6No005085100502,627*
931211-091.4No0050869322,340
1110-279.3No01078210223,301*
921111-177.6No0010770220379,761*
911112-080.3No01079200222,559
1011-263.0No00630370153,606*
901012-161.3No00610390237,849*
891013-056.4No00560440216,970*
88913-143.0No00430570124,228*
87914-038.6No00380610104,512*
86814-126.4No026173053,810*
85815-023.1No022177041,672*
84715-113.7No13185119,213*
83716-011.8No102872013,495*
82616-16.3No5290405,554*
81617-05.0No41896003,544*
80517-11.7No11851211,237*
79518-01.5No01801710806*
78418-10.4No065277234*
77419-0OutNo5932711124*
76319-1OutNo226113423*
75320-0OutNo4545911*
74220-1OutNo50502
73221-0OutNo1001
69023-0OutNo11441377583
Total:88.4%0.0%005022061012000007,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Providence vs Bridgeport-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.6+0.6+0.6
Hartford vs Hershey-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115230-065332
114220-144506
113221-0285813
112211-11553320
111212-011533411
110202-14414933
109203-0337052360
108193-102000579130
107194-00170054111800
106184-106042163501
105185-0050037154003
104175-1010231305508
103176-0010018120571110
102166-1006900602220
101167-0007100621190
156-20014004754300
100157-10014004554500
99158-00014004954100
147-2010024806601
98148-10100228006801
97149-0010025806501
138-2000078008203
96139-1000077008204
951310-0000088008103
129-200140085109
941210-1001300841100
931211-00014008609
1110-200100762210
921111-10001007420220
911112-000100772200
1011-200005760370
901012-1000055703900
891013-00000488004300
88913-10003111005610
87914-00027110060100
86814-1014111071300
85815-00111110715000
84715-139107312100
83716-0371069163000
82616-1041153328100
81617-003114931123000
80517-1010123392410100
79518-0001020312714510
78418-10318322614410
77419-02163021168511
76319-1913302622
75320-018459189
74220-15050
73221-0100
69023-017253523810
Total:000032001840059200110000000000000