How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Ontario 3 Tucson 0 +1.4
+0.2
Stockton 5 Texas 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bakersfield vs Ontario-1.0-0.8-0.9+0.9+1.0+1.0
-0.0-0.0No*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2
San Diego vs Texas+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Tucson vs San Jose-0.3*-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1
Grand Rapids vs Milwaukee+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ontario finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
101200-0In40.9%521830599
100190-1In12.133214533
99191-0In16.12724490286*
98181-1In3.71220680509*
97182-0In3.9121870002,570*
96172-1In0.441282023,955*
95173-0In0.5311821414,004*
94163-1In0.01581310019,518*
93164-0In0.01477613052,172*
92154-1InNo01581625065,874*
91155-0InNo0152173010145,753*
90145-1InNo031214520165,652*
89146-0InNo0034214310204,822
135-2InNo013206080103,834*
88136-1InNo012196090318,251*
87137-0InNo013206070334,741
126-2InNo031362220180,911*
86127-1InNo0312612300477,363*
85128-0InNo031363200436,057
117-2InNo06514210247,631*
84118-1100.0%No0165241100490,288
107-3100.0No02336230082,210*
83119-0InNo1652411463,887
108-2100.0No023362300268,842*
82109-1100.0No023461300472,437
98-399.8No001774800079,353*
811010-0100.0No023461300400,885
99-299.8No0016749000231,848*
80910-199.7No00157410000428,220*
79911-099.9No0017748000283,395
810-298.4No0570203200161,037*
78811-197.7No0568214200269,524*
77812-098.9No067220110163,595
711-288.7No0043261910100088,625*
76712-186.7No0041252011200135,945*
75713-081.3No00352323154000115,642*
74613-162.6No0171333241120054,543*
73614-054.4No0131130251541042,356*
72514-128.2No332225301330017,152*
71515-023.8No321922291861011,886*
70415-15.5No00582836195004,142*
69416-04.2No0046243424812,645*
68316-10.1No0082837233748*
67317-00.6No11724362850496*
66217-1OutNo5264820198*
65218-0OutNo633372449*
64118-1OutNo1070101010*
63119-0OutNo67333
62019-1OutNo1001
61020-0OutNo12154231583
Total:98.1%0.0%0067374152100000007,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ontario 3 Tucson 0 -0.3
Stockton 5 Texas 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Bakersfield vs Ontario+0.4+0.3+0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4
San Diego vs Texas+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Grand Rapids vs Milwaukee-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
101200-041111830
100190-112212145
99191-01611244810
98181-148206340
97182-0481865500
96172-104126616020
95173-012116318130
94163-1015047343910
93164-00140393761020
92154-10109491601680
91155-0010744170171210
90145-1002302101926200
89146-0000232210202310
135-2000122001446800
88136-10001219013479000
87137-0000132001446700
126-2000312055722000
86127-10003120557230000
85128-0000313065820000
117-2051150420010
84118-101511514100000
107-301103361112000
83119-0015115141000
108-201103361112000
82109-10100346111200
98-300001769517000
811010-001003461112000
99-20000166951800000
80910-10000156861900000
79911-000001769517000
810-20055614119201100
78811-10055315120401100
77812-00006581311910100
711-2001528026181371000
76712-100142702519138100
75713-00012230232124113000
74613-10314013276521920000
73614-00211011247423134100
72514-1033148224281341000
71515-0032118221271772000
70415-10023072333218200
69416-000130620302411410
68316-100518302812510
67317-010415233118620
66217-14303519102
65218-0210273116122
64118-1103030101010
63119-06733
62019-1100
61020-0031128331950
Total:0000157043337405200100000000000