Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
Toronto262134-02299.8%+0.042.3%-0.84225158222101100000000000000000002.4-0.012.614at UticaToronto Marlies
Rochester20395-2-179.9+1.20.8-0.11121681111259713841223322211110011.9+0.1127.525at SyracuseRochester Americans
LavalLManitoba 2-3 (so)2197-3-661.5+1.60.2-0.0001124662497141051234544433221015.4+0.1319.510Laval Rocket
Utica13468-1-260.3+1.70.2-0.000112467248714961234444433221115.6+0.1715.526TorontoUtica Comets
Binghamton13468-1-450.5+1.60.1-0.000001245137613961245555544332117.2+0.1523.518ProvidenceBinghamton Devils
BellevilleLCharlotte 2-417189-1-1328.9-7.10.0-0.000000123014412751235667777665420.8-1.3321.481at CharlotteBelleville Senators
Syracuse11349-3-1419.2+1.00.000000012012301541134566778899722.8+0.1328.488RochesterSyracuse Crunch

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
Charlotte 4 Belleville 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto-0.2
Rochester+0.6
+0.1
Laval+0.8
+0.1
Utica+0.8
+0.1
Binghamton+0.8
+0.1
Belleville-3.5
-0.7
Syracuse+0.5
+0.0
Manitoba 3 Laval 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto-0.5
Laval+0.3
+0.1
Utica-0.1
Binghamton-0.1
Belleville-0.1
Bakersfield 2 San Antonio 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto-0.4
Wednesday
Binghamton vs ProvidenceIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto42.5*42.4*42.442.142.142.1
Rochester79.279.279.280.080.080.6
11.912.012.011.911.911.8
Laval60.560.460.561.761.762.6
15.515.515.515.415.415.3
Utica59.359.459.460.560.661.5
15.715.715.715.615.615.5
Binghamton54.654.554.449.649.645.7
16.516.516.517.417.418.1
Belleville28.128.128.129.129.129.9
20.920.920.920.820.820.7
Syracuse18.518.618.619.319.319.9
22.822.822.822.822.822.7
Utica vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto99.799.8*99.899.999.999.9
37.341.241.146.146.246.3
2.72.52.52.32.32.3
Rochester79.279.279.3*79.9*79.980.5
0.8*0.8*0.80.70.70.7
11.912.012.011.911.911.8
Laval60.560.460.5*61.5*61.562.4
15.515.515.515.415.415.3
Utica64.764.564.559.959.956.2
0.30.20.20.10.10.1
14.814.914.915.715.716.4
Binghamton49.449.549.5*50.650.751.5
17.317.317.317.217.217.2
Belleville28.028.028.0*29.029.029.7
20.920.920.920.820.820.7
Syracuse18.518.518.5*19.3*19.219.8
22.822.822.822.822.822.7
Syracuse vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto42.4*42.3*42.4*42.3*42.242.3
Rochester76.379.279.283.183.183.5
0.50.70.71.01.01.0
12.612.012.011.211.211.1
Laval61.561.061.061.061.061.5
15.415.515.515.515.515.5
Utica60.459.859.859.859.860.4
15.615.715.715.715.715.7
Binghamton50.649.949.950.049.9*50.5
17.217.317.317.317.317.3
Belleville29.028.528.428.428.528.8
20.820.820.920.920.920.8
Syracuse22.421.821.817.917.915.5
22.122.222.223.023.023.6
Charlotte vs BellevilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto42.142.142.1*42.542.542.7
Rochester80.4*79.8*79.879.279.179.1
11.811.911.911.911.911.9
Laval62.2*61.4*61.560.460.460.3
15.415.415.415.515.515.5
Utica61.0*60.3*60.359.459.359.3
15.615.615.615.715.715.7
Binghamton51.2*50.5*50.449.549.549.4
17.217.217.317.317.317.3
Belleville25.829.029.033.433.433.6
21.420.820.819.919.919.9
Syracuse19.6*19.2*19.218.418.518.5
22.722.8*22.822.922.822.9
W-B/Scranton vs Lehigh ValleyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto41.241.141.242.842.844.3
Rochester0.70.70.7*0.8*0.80.8
San Jose vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto43.042.542.541.841.841.7
Rockford vs IowaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto42.342.2*42.3*42.4*42.442.4
Ontario vs StocktonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto42.4*42.4*42.4*42.2*42.342.3
Tucson vs San DiegoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto42.3*42.3*42.4*42.4*42.442.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.