How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.0
Hartford vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Iowa vs Milwaukee-3.9-0.5-0.5+4.2+4.2+4.5
-0.9-0.2-0.2+1.0+1.0+1.1
-0.9-0.1-0.1+1.0+1.0+1.0
San Antonio vs Ontario-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Binghamton vs Bridgeport+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Providence vs Springfield+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Syracuse vs Rochester+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Utica+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Lehigh Valley vs Hershey+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
W-B/Scranton vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Tucson vs San Diego+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Milwaukee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
120-152InYes10052,952*
1195815-3In99.7%1000366*
1185816-2In99.91000699*
1175716-3In99.810001,207*
1165717-2In99.810002,159*
1155617-3In99.810003,787*
1145517-4In99.810006,400*
1135518-3In99.8100010,743*
1125418-4In99.8100017,281*
1115419-3In99.7100027,681*
1105319-4In99.6100044,333*
1095320-3In99.599169,131*
1085220-4In99.29910105,950*
1075221-3In98.99910159,689*
1065121-4In98.29820235,136*
1055122-3In97.59820342,855*
1045022-4In96.396400491,585*
1035023-3In94.695500691,902*
1024923-4In92.392700962,135*
1014924-3In89.18910001,314,838*
1004824-4In84.985141001,768,218*
994825-3In79.379192002,337,576*
984725-4In72.4722430003,053,869*
974726-3In64.06430500003,918,347*
964626-4In54.35436910004,964,236*
954627-3In43.8444014200006,182,440*
944527-4In33.1334120510007,602,579*
934528-3100.0%23.02339269200009,204,346*
924428-4100.014.41434311541000010,980,240*
914429-3100.07.98253322920000012,897,336*
904329-4100.03.7416292816610000014,960,670*
894330-399.91.4192229231241000017,084,995*
884230-499.30.404132427199310000019,251,971*
874231-396.90.101615242517821000021,362,018*
864131-489.60.00027162424167210000023,399,689*
854132-373.50.000027162423168210000025,242,383*
844032-448.50.0000027162323168310000026,877,556*
834033-323.1No000026142223189310000028,183,630*
823933-47.1No000002512202419115100000029,174,817*
813934-31.3No0000141019232113620000029,762,680*
803834-40.1No0000138162222168310000029,945,912*
793835-30.0No000000261321231810410000029,709,136*
783735-40.0No0000001411192321136200000029,085,934*
773736-30.0No0000013816222216831000028,058,670*
763636-4OutNo00000126142123181041000026,713,856*
753637-3OutNo00000025122023201251000025,068,144*
743537-4OutNo00000014101824211362000023,205,150*
733538-3OutNo0000001391824221462000021,169,754*
723438-4OutNo000000139172423156200019,070,385*
713439-3OutNo0000013918252315610016,919,634*
703339-4OutNo0000001391926231341014,824,552*
693340-3OutNo00001411222822102012,793,726*
683240-4OutNo00000015142529196110,891,678*
673241-3OutNo00000271930271329,143,203*
663141-4OutNo000131126332157,572,125*
653142-3OutNo0000016193430106,174,922*
643042-4OutNo000003123038174,969,072*
633043-3OutNo000172442253,941,962*
622943-4OutNo000041843353,084,375*
612944-3OutNo00021240462,377,537*
602844-4OutNo0001836561,807,321*
592845-3OutNo00530651,351,677*
582745-4OutNo00032573997,934*
572746-3OutNo00011979726,445*
562646-4OutNo0011585521,031*
552647-3OutNo001189367,478*
542547-4OutNo00892255,631*
532548-3OutNo00694175,294*
522448-4OutNo0496119,097*
512449-3OutNo039779,087*
502349-4OutNo029851,635*
492350-3OutNo19933,440*
482250-4OutNo19920,937*
472251-3OutNo19913,390*
462151-4OutNo01008,233*
452152-3OutNo01004,717*
442052-4OutNo01002,951*
432053-3OutNo01001,604*
421953-4OutNo0100995*
411954-3OutNo0100572*
401955-2OutNo0100301*
35-39OutNo100343*
341557-4OutNo20805
0-32OutNo10052,550*
Total:31.7%4.1%444444444444444333333333333222634,062,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs