How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas 4 Manitoba 3 -1.5
No
-0.2
Cleveland 0 Rockford 1 +1.3
Iowa 2 Grand Rapids 3 (ot)+0.4
+0.0
Charlotte 3 Milwaukee 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio vs Manitoba-1.7-1.7-1.8+1.7+1.8+2.2
NoNo*No*NoNo+0.0
-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.4
Cleveland vs Rockford-0.7-0.7-0.6+1.3+1.3+1.3
Iowa vs Texas-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.6+0.6
Stockton vs Bakersfield+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manitoba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
111380-0In72.8%991456
100314-3InNo1001
98305-3InNo33673*
97306-2InNo5013388*
96307-1InNo71297*
95297-2InNo168601625*
94298-1InNo17105641348*
93288-2InNo117651818102*
92289-1InNo8104310281254*
91279-299.3%No27381930200439*
902710-199.4No1427253581795*
892610-298.8No004162737141001,572*
882611-197.0No03102737212102,620*
872511-294.7No0162530334104,609*
862512-192.5No1221254452007,671*
852412-288.9No01171852731012,099*
842413-183.8No001214579610018,918*
832313-277.2No008105811830028,769*
822314-169.5No0057581112610041,057*
812214-261.2No00345410151120058,438*
802215-151.4No00214881817510079,705*
792115-243.1No01141518239200105,960*
782116-133.3No00333162914300136,459*
772016-225.9No002621231217100172,382*
762017-117.6No001819312812200208,446*
751917-212.5No001205263218510250,125*
741918-17.3No0703203425910283,057*
731818-24.6No05011432311530321,091*
721819-12.3No200827352260344,601*
711719-21.3No01005203528101368,059*
701720-10.5No002133235162371,991*
691620-20.2No000182638233375,615*
681621-10.1No00041939326358,867*
671521-20.0No000213363910342,080*
661522-10.0No0017304615308,734*
651422-20.0No0004244922278,214*
641423-1OutNo002175031235,629*
631323-2OutNo01124740199,772*
621324-1OutNo0074250159,822*
611224-2OutNo0043659127,005*
601225-1OutNo02296995,170*
591125-2OutNo01237671,603*
581126-1OutNo00168349,943*
571026-2OutNo00128835,281*
561027-1OutNo079323,007*
55927-2OutNo059514,905*
54928-1OutNo3979,168*
53828-2OutNo2985,603*
52829-1OutNo1993,129*
51729-2OutNo1991,796*
50730-1OutNo0100878*
49630-2OutNo0100489*
35-48OutNo100883*
Total:7.7%0.0%0000000713812161921135,517,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Texas 4 Manitoba 3 +0.5
Cleveland 0 Rockford 1 -0.0
Iowa 2 Grand Rapids 3 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
San Antonio vs Manitoba+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.6-0.6-0.7
Iowa vs Texas+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Syracuse vs Binghamton-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Stockton vs Bakersfield-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
111380-073261
100314-3100
98305-33367
97306-250132513
96307-114571414
95297-2168441616
94298-117102333484
93288-21175125268171
92289-18822022102621
91279-22521226190246200
902710-113162125026881
892610-20021313261251214100
882611-1011192612116210210
872511-20111523215153204100
862512-10002192101544042100
852412-20001142612521541000
842413-10001033115626631000
832313-20000632955378520000
822314-1003216535610841000
812214-20002203468511128200000
802215-1001101381131016135100000
792115-20010129132816189310000
782116-10000191416152114621000
772016-20001213031222191152000
762017-1000611018202317941000
751917-20003901414222114731000
741918-101600291923201262100
731818-20140015132122171041000
721819-10200271622221683100
711719-2001001410182321136200
701720-10000151321252011310
691620-2000012816242417710
681621-100013102027231230
671521-200000261525281861
661522-1000029213126101
651422-2000015152932163
641423-100292536235
631323-200151935319
621324-100212333814
611224-20018284320
601225-10004214629
591125-2002164537
581126-101104347
571026-20063855
561027-1033265
55927-2022672
54928-112079
53828-211684
52829-101189
51729-20991
50730-1694
49630-2496
48631-1397
35-47100
Total:0000000000000043012467891011111184