How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy
Belleville vs Syracuse+0.6*+0.3+0.5*-0.1*-0.2-0.2
W-B/Scranton vs Lehigh Valley-0.3-0.3*-0.3*+0.3+0.4+0.5
Utica vs Rochester+0.2*-0.0*+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manitoba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
128-131InYes1001,576*
127352-0In100.0%10002,299*
126342-1InYes1003,224*
125343-0In100.0100010,982*
124333-1In100.0100014,204*
123334-0In99.9100037,626*
122324-1In99.8100044,435*
121325-0In99.7100097,994*
120315-1In99.4991109,352*
119316-0In98.9991204,953*
118306-1In97.998200215,231*
117307-0In96.697300355,999*
116297-1In94.394600350,155*
115298-0In91.692800518,034*
114288-1In87.1871300480,503*
113289-0In82.5831700644,047*
112279-1In75.57524000563,300*
1112710-0In69.26930000390,998
269-2In67.8683210299,653*
1102610-1In59.459401000570,659*
1092611-0In52.052462000355,928
2510-2In50.25048200290,653*
1082511-1In41.041563000504,875*
1072512-0In32.833625000532,688*
1062412-1In23.724689000392,954*
1052413-0In16.9177112000385,653*
1042313-1In10.8117118000270,046*
1032314-0In6.776924000247,641*
1022214-1In3.5363330000164,823*
1012215-0In1.9256410000141,332*
1002115-1In0.7147510110089,426*
992116-0In0.3038590110072,889*
982016-1In0.1028671120043,681*
972017-0In0.00207221410033,206*
961917-1In0.00127531630018,737*
951918-0In0.008735185000013,676*
941818-1InNo4678091100107,291*
931819-0InNo258110919011005,059*
921719-1InNo147140827013102,419*
911720-0InNo03214540115201,606*
901620-1InNo19175432066100774*
891621-0InNo11132445181411444*
881521-1InNo51114071119032221*
871522-098.4%No72510263815512127*
861422-198.3No251088388135260*
851423-092.9No414254112974428*
841323-175.0No13135013138*
831324-066.7No17173317176*
821224-150.0No50502
57037-0OutNo04215124703
Total:100.0%58.8%59346000000000000000000008,492,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs