How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester 5 Portland 2 +4.5
+0.8
+0.5
Worcester 2 Syracuse 3 (ot)-0.2
W-B/Scranton 5 Springfield 0 +0.1
Lehigh Valley 4 Hershey 2 +0.1
Chicago 2 Milwaukee 3 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester vs Providence+4.4+4.1+3.3-1.0-0.8-5.2
+1.0+1.0+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.2
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6
Texas vs Oklahoma City*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
113-150In99.6%100491*
1124915-8In99.2991264*
1114916-7In98.31000406*
1104816-8In97.11000613*
1094817-7In97.1991827*
1084818-6In97.199101,294*
1074718-7In92.898201,853*
1064719-6In90.296402,489*
1054619-7In87.7955003,431*
1044519-8In80.9927014,715*
1034520-7In74.6909016,332*
1024420-8In66.886120208,176*
1014421-7In57.880161310,596*
1004321-8In47.1742114013,694*
994322-7In35.1662626016,563*
984222-8In24.0553338020,379*
974223-7In15.045375111024,395*
964123-8In8.335419151028,944*
954124-7In3.82442131920033,828*
944024-8In1.31539172350038,350*
934025-7In0.59342225910043,612*
923925-8In0.142626261430047,866*
913926-7100.0%0.02182723217100052,648*
903826-8100.00.01112719261430056,342*
893827-799.8No0523122722810059,559*
883727-899.2No02197222816510062,102*
873728-796.7No11431528251230063,494*
863628-889.6No0917213022820063,385*
853629-775.6No050312262918610063,666*
843529-854.1No0301517292714410061,922*
833530-731.3No0200182131241120059,478*
823430-814.7No1000311253120710055,745*
813431-75.7No000151529291641052,762*
803331-81.6No000017213226102048,113*
793332-70.5No00003122732206143,240*
783232-80.1No0001519332912238,949*
773233-70.0No0000211273521434,085*
763133-80.0No0015193630929,423*
753134-7OutNo0021233371624,801*
743034-8OutNo001726432420,947*
733035-7OutNo00419433417,341*
722935-8OutNo00212424513,950*
712936-7OutNo017365611,095*
702836-8OutNo01530658,736*
692837-7OutNo0324746,769*
682737-8OutNo0217815,143*
672738-7OutNo0114853,870*
662638-8OutNo0010892,835*
652639-7OutNo06932,098*
642539-8OutNo06941,403*
632540-7OutNo3971,036*
622440-8OutNo397756*
612340-9OutNo397477*
602442-6OutNo199330*
592342-7OutNo298196*
6-58OutNo100486*
Total:60.3%4.4%9997777766666551,276,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Manchester 5 Portland 2 -0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Manchester vs Providence-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
Texas vs Oklahoma City*+0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*-0.0
Iowa vs Charlotte*-0.0-0.0*+0.1-0.1*+0.1*+0.0
Utica vs Toronto*-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*-0.0
Binghamton vs Lehigh Valley*+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115-150100
1145115-6982
1135116-5100
1124915-8991
1114916-7982
1104816-8973
1094817-7973
1084818-6973
1074718-79370
1064719-690100
1054619-788121
1044519-8811810
1034520-7752330
1024420-86728400
1014421-75834810
1004321-847381320
994322-73541195100
984222-82439269200
974223-7153430164100
964123-882631229300
954124-741629271662000
944024-818202723135100
934025-703112226211141000
923925-8015132225191041000
913926-7001513212419104100000
903826-80001512202319115200000
893827-70001411182320136210000
883727-8000139162221158310100
873728-7001271420221710313000
863628-80000251118221911482000
853629-7001381520191015720000
843529-8000251218172016721000
833530-7000141016162217941000
823430-8000131081722191252000
813431-70015281622211473100
803331-8000102815222217831000
793332-7000002614212318104100
783232-8000002613212419114100
773233-700000251321242010410
763133-800002613222620920
753134-7000271525261771
743034-800028192826133
733035-70014112531226
722935-800001617323112
712936-7000311273721
702836-80017224030
692837-7003164042
682737-8001103653
672738-70173062
662638-8042670
652639-7022078
642539-8011782
632540-701189
622440-80991
612340-90891
602442-60496
592342-7694
582242-81397
572243-7100
562244-6397
6-55100
Total:444444444444333343333333333222