How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Providence vs St. John's+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Adirondack vs Albany+0.4*+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Norfolk vs Hershey+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Bridgeport vs St. John's+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3*+0.0
W-B/Scranton vs Lehigh Valley+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.2+0.1
Syracuse vs Springfield+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Portland vs Providence+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Binghamton vs Worcester+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
115-152In100.0%1005,239*
1145416-6In99.810001,689*
1135316-7In99.410002,738*
1125317-6In99.310004,453*
1115217-7In99.1100006,735*
1105117-8In98.2990010,337*
1095118-7In97.3991015,480*
1085018-8In96.29910022,699*
1075019-7In94.19820032,796*
1064919-8In91.59730046,070*
1054920-7In87.89540164,413*
1044820-8In82.693601088,052*
1034821-7In76.5908020118,125*
1024721-8In67.986110200156,568*
1014722-7In58.58115140202,694*
1004622-8In47.474201500260,515*
994623-7In36.366252800329,571*
984523-8In25.35630310000408,523*
974524-7In15.8463551410495,452*
964424-8In8.83538818200597,752*
954425-7In4.025381122300706,096*
944325-8100.0%1.51636152661000821,890*
934326-7100.00.49311929101000942,348*
924226-8100.00.1424222916300001,061,248*
914227-7100.00.0217242623710001,180,971*
904127-8100.00.011023212814300001,294,667*
894128-799.80.005201429228100001,392,786*
884028-899.2No02167242916510001,479,368*
873928-997.0No011131629251130001,547,304*
863929-890.5No00718233021820001,593,786*
853829-977.1No050313272917510001,621,100*
843830-856.6No030161830271330001,620,243*
833730-934.3No010029223123920001,598,550*
823731-816.7No0100031326301961001,551,163*
813631-96.5No0000015173028144001,485,237*
803632-82.1No00000292232249201,399,891*
793532-90.6No00000313283118501,304,086*
783533-80.2No00000172033271011,194,980*
773433-90.0No0000031229341941,076,737*
763434-80.0No00000162136288959,746*
753334-90.0No00000314333614841,638*
743335-80.0No000018274222727,244*
733235-90.0No00004204331617,858*
723236-8OutNo0002144242519,944*
713136-9OutNo000193852429,645*
703137-8OutNo000053262350,772*
693037-9OutNo00032670281,870*
683038-8OutNo00022178222,111*
672938-9OutNo0011683174,059*
662939-8OutNo011288133,249*
652940-7OutNo00891101,364*
642840-8OutNo0069475,419*
632841-7OutNo049655,346*
622741-8OutNo039740,354*
612742-7OutNo029828,589*
602642-8OutNo019920,268*
592643-7OutNo19913,888*
582543-8OutNo01009,469*
572443-9OutNo01006,361*
562444-8OutNo01004,200*
552445-7OutNo01002,707*
542345-8OutNo01001,765*
532346-7OutNo01001,145*
522347-6OutNo0100738*
0-51OutNo1003,799*
Total:53.3%3.3%77767777777777733,365,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
SaturdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116-152100
1155415-71000
1145416-61000
1135316-7991
1125317-6991
1115217-7991
1105117-8982
1095118-79730
1085018-89640
1075019-79460
1064919-891800
1054920-7881210
1044820-8831610
1034821-77621200
1024721-86827400
1014722-759337100
1004622-8473812200
994623-73640184100
984523-825392592000
974524-71634301541000
964424-89263222920000
954425-7416282716620000
944325-819212823135100000
934326-703122226201141000000
924226-8015132225191041000000
914227-700161321241810410000000
904127-8000251320231911520000000
894128-70000151119232013620000000
884028-800001491722211583101000
873928-900012714202217103130000
863929-800001511182219114720000
853829-9000013815211910156200000
843830-8000002512191819157210000
833730-9000001411181520169410000
823731-800001412717221912520000
813631-90000152816222114731000
803632-800000202715212217931000
793532-9000010026132123181041000
783533-800000002612202419114100
773433-90000000251221242011410
763434-8000000002513222620930
753334-90000000261524271871
743335-800000028182826143
733235-90000013112431237
723236-800001617313113
713136-90000311273821
703137-800016214031
693037-90003153942
683038-800001103553
672938-9000163063
662939-800032572
652940-70021979
642840-8011485
632841-7001189
622741-800892
612742-70594
602642-80496
592643-70297
582543-80298
572443-9199
562444-8199
552445-70100
542345-8199
532346-70100
522347-60100
0-51100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333