How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Springfield 1 Providence 2 -0.1
+0.5
Norfolk 2 W-B/Scranton 3 (ot)*-0.1
Rockford 3 Utica 0 +0.4
Syracuse 3 Hartford 2 *-0.1
Bridgeport 2 Portland 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley vs Albany+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Texas vs San Antonio+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
116-126In100.0%1003,419*
115274-3In99.510001,986*
114275-2In99.91004,320*
113265-3In99.710008,555*
112266-2In99.4100016,503*
111256-3In99.0100029,276*
110257-2In98.3100050,663*
109247-3In97.5100083,084*
108248-2In95.89910130,545*
107238-3In93.49910198,451*
106228-4In89.898200288,215*
105229-3In84.896400400,674*
104219-4In78.094600542,381*
1032110-3In69.390900705,121*
1022010-4In58.98614000880,641*
1012011-3In47.179200001,063,455*
1001911-4In34.9712811001,245,129*
991912-3In23.3613622001,405,376*
981812-4In13.7494533001,533,025*
971813-3In6.93752650001,619,792*
961713-4In2.825571071001,651,740*
951714-3In0.9155715103001,632,280*
941614-4In0.2851211261001,565,641*
931615-3In0.03422713113001,451,941*
921515-4100.0%0.013031121781001,302,319*
911516-3100.00.001931921153001,131,651*
901416-499.9No01028621249100952,159*
891417-399.4No052321630195100775,098*
881317-497.1No21619273013300611,670*
871318-389.7No010031833269100467,701*
861218-473.7No05018263420610346,137*
851219-350.1No0200214313215300246,626*
841119-427.0No0101520342710100170,230*
831120-310.8No00019273521510114,303*
821020-43.3No0003153332143073,529*
811021-30.7No0001622362681046,109*
80921-40.1No02123135173027,316*
79922-30.1No0052237288015,996*
78822-4OutNo021233361518,882*
77823-3OutNo0624402644,830*
76723-4OutNo0214383782,538*
75724-3OutNo183344131,152*
74725-2OutNo04215322606*
73625-3OutNo3174733270*
72626-2OutNo284743114*
71526-3OutNo6474736*
70527-2OutNo12127617*
69427-3OutNo20805*
68428-2OutNo1002*
67328-3OutNo1001
58034-0OutNo01001,890
Total:97.0%18.3%34301255532110000022,813,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Springfield 1 Providence 2 -0.0
Rockford 3 Utica 0 -0.0
Syracuse 3 Hartford 2 *-0.0
ThursdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-126100
117283-31000
116284-2100
115274-31000
114275-21000
113265-31000
112266-2991
111256-3991
110257-29820
109247-39730
108248-29640
107238-39360
106228-4901000
105229-38515100
104219-47820200
1032110-36927300
1022010-459346000
1012011-3474011100
1001911-43543183000
991912-323422681000
981812-41435331430000
971813-3726352382000
961713-431530291651000
951714-3172130251241000
941614-402112328211031000
931615-301413242720931000
921515-40015132326199310000
911516-3000151322252010310000
901416-4001411212521124100000
891417-3000139182422146200100
881317-400002716232316720300
871318-30002513212317729100
861218-4000141017211561961000
851219-300002713161128165100
841119-40001491225271551000
831120-300137142725156200
821020-4000351625241682000
811021-3001151423251893100
80921-40015132226199310
79922-300151322272010300
78822-40015132327209200
77823-301514252819710
76723-401517282915500
75724-3028203423121
74725-2051225331960
73625-31416373091
72626-21493237134
71526-381939286
70527-26186512
69427-3202060
68428-25050
67328-3100
58034-0397
Total:1816131087544322111011000000000000