How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester 5 Worcester 1 +3.8
+1.6
+0.5
St. John's 3 Toronto 2 -0.3
-0.0
Utica 3 Hamilton 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton vs Manchester-4.1-0.6-0.5+2.8+3.2+3.4
-2.1-0.5-0.5+1.5+1.7+1.8
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Adirondack vs Syracuse+0.3+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Springfield vs Bridgeport*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1
+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Norfolk vs Portland+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.0
Lehigh Valley vs Worcester+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0
Providence vs Hartford+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Albany vs W-B/Scranton+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Rochester vs Utica+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Rockford vs Iowa-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2
Milwaukee vs Chicago-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Texas vs San Antonio+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
119-144In100.0%10030,497*
1184510-6In99.810005,872*
1174511-5In99.9100010,347*
1164411-6In99.8100018,163*
1154412-5In99.7100030,983*
1144312-6In99.51000051,768*
1134313-5In99.41000083,326*
1124213-6In99.0100000132,981*
1114214-5In98.510000206,308*
1104114-6In97.810000311,919*
1094115-5In96.7100000461,221*
1084015-6In95.299100667,153*
1074016-5In93.199100945,452*
1063916-6In90.0982001,307,680*
1053917-5In86.0973001,772,849*
1043817-6In80.79640002,354,451*
1033717-7In74.09460003,064,082*
1023718-6In65.89180103,898,525*
1013618-7In56.387120104,879,283*
1003619-6In45.6811602005,977,847*
993519-7In34.7742213007,178,207*
983520-6In24.2652825008,453,626*
973420-7In15.25534370009,763,846*
963421-6In8.4444051010011,062,951*
953321-7In3.9334481410012,300,917*
943322-6In1.522451318300013,420,723*
933222-7100.0%0.4134217216100014,367,524*
923223-6100.00.1735222310200015,096,690*
913123-7100.00.03272623164000015,580,281*
903124-6100.00.011827202392000015,769,356*
893024-7100.00.0010261526175100015,688,347*
883025-699.7No052292425123000015,311,983*
872925-798.4No0217418292181000014,671,157*
862926-694.0No0111192529175100013,814,615*
852826-782.6No0704152927133000012,760,281*
842827-662.6No0401720312510200011,576,669*
832727-738.6No0200210253121810010,323,252*
822728-618.6No0100031428301751009,036,799*
812628-77.0No0000016183128133007,769,344*
802629-62.1No00000292332249106,552,103*
792529-70.5No000000313293218405,427,976*
782530-60.1No00000162033281014,422,735*
772430-70.0No0000021128351943,541,332*
762431-60.0No000001620362982,774,381*
752331-70.0No000002133338152,137,852*
742332-60.0No0000172643241,617,614*
732232-70.0No000031944341,200,642*
722233-6OutNo0002124145875,376*
712133-7OutNo00183655627,403*
702134-6OutNo00043065440,436*
692034-7OutNo00022473303,218*
682035-6OutNo0011980205,438*
671935-7OutNo011485135,512*
661936-6OutNo00109088,454*
651836-7OutNo079256,262*
641837-6OutNo059535,458*
631737-7OutNo049621,681*
621738-6OutNo029813,098*
611638-7OutNo02987,629*
601639-6OutNo1994,330*
591640-5OutNo1992,483*
581540-6OutNo01001,386*
571440-7OutNo0100732*
561542-4OutNo100427*
551442-5OutNo0100237*
22-54OutNo10024,290*
Total:79.7%8.8%191611877655433221290,675,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Manchester 5 Worcester 1 -0.9
St. John's 3 Toronto 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Binghamton vs Manchester+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-144100
121479-51000
1204710-41000
1194610-51000
1184510-61000
1174511-51000
1164411-61000
1154412-51000
1144312-6991
1134313-5991
1124213-69910
1114214-59910
1104114-69820
1094115-59730
1084015-695500
1074016-593700
1063916-6901000
1053917-58613100
1043817-68118100
1033717-774232000
1023718-6662950000
1013618-7563581000
1003619-64640132000
993519-735421941000
983520-624402682000
973420-715353114410000
963421-68263322820000
953321-7417302715510000
943322-61922292311410000
933222-7041324271993100000
923223-60161524251783100000
913123-7002715232417831000000
903124-600027152223179310000000
893024-7000026142123181041000000
883025-60000151219232012520000000
872925-700001491722211472010000
862926-600001271421221782510000
852826-7000001511182217812410000
842827-60000013815201519124100000
832727-700000026131819211362000000
822728-60000001512112122168310000
812628-7000001641220231810410000
802629-6000002141119232013620000
792529-700000013917232215720000
782530-60000001381623231672000
772430-7000000138162324167200
762431-600000013817252416610
752331-70000001391926241441
742332-6000001411222923102
732232-70000015152730184
722233-6000282133279
712133-70001414303516
702134-600028254025
692034-700014194135
682035-60002123946
671935-700183556
661936-60052966
651836-70032374
641837-60011880
631737-7011386
621738-600990
611638-70793
601639-60595
591640-5397
581540-6397
571440-7298
561542-4199
551442-5199
22-54100
Total:987766554444333233222211111100