How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton 2 Utica 3 +0.4
Worcester 3 Portland 4 *+0.1
+0.0
Milwaukee 2 Iowa 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester vs Hershey+4.5+4.1+3.6-1.0-1.0-5.3
+0.8+0.7+0.6-0.3-0.3-0.9
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
Syracuse vs Rochester-0.3-0.4-0.3*+0.1*-0.0+0.4
Utica vs Binghamton+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3
-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Portland vs St. John's+0.1-0.3-0.1-0.2-0.3+0.0
Norfolk vs W-B/Scranton+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.1-0.2*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
115-148In99.9%1003,674*
1145114-6In99.710001,041*
1135014-7In99.410001,785*
1125015-6In99.610002,840*
1114915-7In98.810004,614*
1104916-6In98.299107,107*
1094816-7In97.4991011,012*
1084817-6In96.19910016,484*
1074717-7In93.99820024,464*
1064718-6In91.19730035,229*
1054618-7In87.59540049,405*
1044619-6In82.29360169,145*
1034519-7In75.990901093,614*
1024520-6In67.68612020126,384*
1014420-7In58.180161300166,200*
1004320-8In47.57421140215,093*
994321-7In36.066272600273,364*
984221-8In25.256323800340,944*
974222-7In16.0463751110419,961*
964122-8In8.73541815100506,677*
954123-7In4.025421219200600,701*
944023-8In1.5163917235000702,774*
934024-7In0.493421269100806,571*
923924-8100.0%0.14272526153000912,269*
913925-7100.00.0218272421710001,014,985*
903825-8100.00.011126202713300001,109,740*
893826-799.9No0623132821710001,193,418*
883726-899.3No02187242815410001,263,386*
873727-797.2No0113316292511200001,316,087*
863627-890.9No00918223021710001,351,686*
853628-777.3No050313272917510001,361,854*
843528-856.7No030151830271330001,353,225*
833529-734.0No0100292231231020001,323,617*
823429-816.3No0100031226301961001,273,998*
813430-76.3No000015173028154001,207,801*
803330-81.9No00002822322410201,126,700*
793331-70.5No00000313283218501,033,494*
783231-80.1No0000016203328112936,777*
773232-70.0No000003122834194831,122*
763132-80.0No00000162036298730,757*
753133-70.0No00000313333715629,019*
743033-80.0No000017274223534,377*
733034-7OutNo0004204333446,448*
722934-8OutNo002134143368,261*
712935-7OutNo00183754297,592*
702835-8OutNo00053163238,756*
692836-7OutNo0032571186,948*
682736-8OutNo0022078144,368*
672737-7OutNo0011584110,353*
662637-8OutNo00118882,082*
652638-7OutNo0089260,829*
642538-8OutNo0069444,333*
632539-7OutNo049631,351*
622439-8OutNo039722,417*
612440-7OutNo029815,215*
602340-8OutNo19910,613*
592341-7OutNo01997,012*
582241-8OutNo1994,540*
572242-7OutNo01002,931*
562142-8OutNo01001,864*
552143-7OutNo01001,214*
542043-8OutNo100703*
532044-7OutNo0100479*
6-52OutNo1002,876*
Total:55.6%3.3%78867777777666627,064,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Binghamton 2 Utica 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Manchester vs Hershey-1.0-0.9-0.8+0.2+0.2+1.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-148100
1185312-6991
116-117100
1155214-51000
1145114-61000
1135014-7991
1125015-61000
1114915-7991
1104916-69820
1094816-79730
1084817-69640
1074717-79460
1064718-691900
1054618-7871210
1044619-6821710
1034519-77622200
1024520-66828400
1014420-758338100
1004320-84738122000
994321-73641184100
984221-825392582000
974222-71634301441000
964122-892632229200000
954123-7417292716620000
944023-82921282312510000
934024-704122226201141000
923924-801513222519104100000
913925-70016142224181041000000
903825-8000261321231911510000000
893826-700015111923201262000000
883726-80001491722211473101000
873727-70001371421221793120000
863627-800002511182219103720000
853628-700001381521191015620000
843528-8000002613191719157200000
833529-700001411181621169310000
823429-8000014118172218115200000
813430-70000152817222114721000
803330-80000202815222216931000
793331-7000000026142123181041000
783231-800000002613212419114100
773232-70000000251321252011410
763132-8000000002513222619920
753133-70000000261525261871
743033-80000028192826143
733034-7000014112431237
722934-80001617313113
712935-7000311273821
702835-80016214031
692836-700003154042
682736-80001103653
672737-700163063
662637-80032572
652638-70021979
642538-8011485
632539-701189
622439-800792
612440-70595
602340-80397
592341-70298
582241-80298
572242-7199
562142-8199
552143-70100
542043-80100
532044-70100
6-52100
Total:334444444443333333333333333333