How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Bridgeport 4 Springfield 3 (ot)-0.3
Hartford 0 Hershey 1 (ot)-0.2
Providence 3 Portland 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
St. John's vs Binghamton+0.0-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Worcester vs Hartford+0.0-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Albany vs W-B/Scranton+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
117-150In99.9%1007,510*
1165314-6In99.610001,344*
1155214-7In99.610002,275*
1145215-6In99.510003,808*
1135115-7In99.510006,352*
1125116-6In99.1100009,944*
1115016-7In98.81000015,482*
1105017-6In98.51000023,574*
1094917-7In97.3991035,457*
1084918-6In95.8991052,456*
1074818-7In93.99820075,989*
1064718-8In91.197300108,044*
1054719-7In87.195401151,040*
1044619-8In82.0936010207,184*
1034620-7In75.2908010278,616*
1024520-8In67.28612020368,764*
1014521-7In57.481161300481,792*
1004421-8In46.374211500616,504*
994422-7In35.065262700772,525*
984322-8In24.456313900957,189*
974323-7In15.145365121001,164,862*
964223-8In8.2344081610001,395,041*
954224-7100.0%3.724401220300001,641,646*
944124-8In1.41538172450001,902,315*
934125-7100.00.493321261010002,167,472*
924025-8100.00.1425252715300002,439,646*
914026-7100.00.02172724227100002,689,485*
903926-8100.00.0010261927143000002,920,858*
893927-799.8No0523132722820003,127,355*
883827-899.1No02187232817510003,299,463*
873828-796.6No011331428261230003,421,450*
863728-889.4No00917213022920003,487,778*
853729-774.9No050212262918610003,512,977*
843629-853.5No030151629281441003,478,265*
833630-731.2No0100182131251120003,386,839*
823530-814.6No0100031125312171003,257,162*
813531-75.4No000014152929164103,078,018*
803431-81.7No000001721322611202,871,257*
793432-70.5No00000312273220612,633,993*
783332-80.1No00000151832291222,380,395*
773333-70.0No0000021127352142,117,772*
763233-80.0No000001519363091,854,712*
753234-70.0No000002123238161,603,981*
743134-80.0No00000172542251,362,353*
733135-70.0No0000031843351,141,614*
723035-8OutNo0002124145940,681*
713036-7OutNo000183656764,717*
702936-8OutNo00053065611,396*
692937-7OutNo0032473481,178*
682837-8OutNo00011980373,627*
672838-7OutNo011485285,741*
662738-8OutNo001090214,959*
652739-7OutNo00793159,334*
642639-8OutNo00595116,585*
632640-7OutNo049683,154*
622540-8OutNo029858,746*
612541-7OutNo029841,073*
602441-8OutNo019928,163*
592442-7OutNo19919,207*
582342-8OutNo010012,499*
572343-7OutNo01008,322*
562243-8OutNo01005,241*
552244-7OutNo01003,322*
542144-8OutNo01002,095*
532145-7OutNo01001,276*
522146-6OutNo100786*
512046-7OutNo0100460*
4-50OutNo1006,480*
Total:55.9%3.6%78866777776666670,731,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
TuesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-150100
1195412-71000
1185413-61000
1175313-71000
1165314-61000
1155214-71000
1145215-69900
1135115-71000
1125116-6991
1115016-79910
1105017-69820
1094917-79730
1084918-69640
1074818-794600
1064718-891900
1054719-78712100
1044619-88217100
1034620-775223000
1024520-86728500
1014521-757348100
1004421-84638132000
994422-735401951000
984322-8243926920000
974323-71533311551000
964223-882532221030000
954224-74162827177200000
944124-818202723135100000
934125-703112126211141000000
924025-8015132225191141000000
914026-700151321241911410000000
903926-80001512202319125200000000
893927-700014101823201362100000
883827-800001391622211583101000
873828-7000012613202218104130000
863728-80000014101822191148200000
853729-700001371420191016720000
843629-80000002511181720168210000
833630-70000014101716211794100000
823530-8000013107172219125200000
813531-700001428162221157310000
803431-800000102715212217941000
793432-700000026132023191141000
783332-800000002512202420114100
773333-70000000251221252011410
763233-80000000025132226201030
753234-7000000261524271871
743134-8000000028182826143
733135-700000013112431237
723035-800001617313113
713036-700000311273821
702936-8000016214031
692937-700003153942
682837-80001103653
672838-700163163
662738-800032571
652739-70021979
642639-80011584
632640-7011189
622540-800892
612541-70694
602441-80496
592442-70397
582342-80298
572343-7199
562243-8199
552244-7199
542144-80100
532145-70100
522146-60100
512046-70100
501946-80100
4-49100
Total:444444444433333344333333333333