How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey vs W-B/Scranton+1.7+1.7+1.7-1.0-1.1-1.5
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Iowa vs Grand Rapids+1.6+1.5+1.5-0.5-0.5-0.9
Tucson vs Ontario+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lehigh Valley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-130In99.9%10022,723*
119335-1In99.81000017,338*
118336-0In99.71000038,841*
117326-1In99.31000061,325*
116327-0In99.010000118,964*
115317-1In98.110000174,732*
114307-2In97.19901308,198*
113308-1In94.79802419,255*
112298-2In92.297030676,596*
111299-1In87.095050862,082*
110289-2In82.0920801,271,787*
1092810-1In73.08601401,530,486*
1082710-2In65.78101902,086,024*
1072711-1In53.57302702,357,932*
1062611-2In45.16603402,995,389*
1052612-1In32.35504503,187,877*
1042512-2In25.2470520003,785,301*
1032513-1In15.2360630103,799,616*
1022413-2In10.8291690104,225,660*
1012414-1In5.2201770204,012,082*
1002314-2In3.4151810304,194,721*
992315-1In1.291850503,761,596*
982215-2In0.871850703,707,079*
972216-1100.0%0.23184012003,144,198*
962116-2100.00.120810150002,930,668*
952117-1100.00.010751220102,352,929*
942017-2100.00.010691270102,066,991*
932018-1100.00.000602350301,572,328*
921918-299.90.000523410501,307,771*
911919-199.8No0040448080939,918*
901819-299.6No003245101200740,518*
891820-199.1No0021554019010504,407*
881720-298.3No0015553025020376,553*
871721-196.6No8449134030240,789*
861621-294.3No5343241060171,307*
851622-190.3No22342490100104,620*
841522-285.5No1227352014069,753*
831523-177.6No0117455122039,959*
821423-271.3No01133531281025,306*
811424-160.2No063492381013,831*
801324-252.9No00434334538,304*
791325-140.4No1133455404,110*
781225-234.3No1228559702,396*
771226-123.4No011676313001,124*
761126-218.9No0117631700602*
751127-112.5No57592620279*
741027-28.2No26532891146*
731028-11.4No145391471*
72928-29.4No36383413632*
71929-1OutNo2256229
70930-0OutNo1003*
69830-1OutNo1002*
52039-0OutNo010904,992
Total:99.8%20.1%310580901000000060,239,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Hershey vs W-B/Scranton-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-130100
122354-01000
121344-11000
120345-01000
119335-1100000
118336-0100000
117326-199100
116327-099100
115317-198200
114307-297201
113308-195402
112298-29250300
111299-18780500
110289-2821000800
1092810-17313001400
1082710-26616001900
1072711-15319002700
1062611-24521003400
1052612-13222004400
1042512-2252200521000
1032513-11521006120100
1022413-21118006630100
1012414-15150072500200
1002314-23120073800300
992315-118007213005000
982215-21600681700700
972216-10300612300110000
962116-202005328001500000
952117-101004035102110100
942017-201003238102520100
932018-10000194020314003000
921918-20000143821337005000
911919-10006342136120080000
901819-20004282233180012000
891820-100120232925001810100
881720-200115132330002230200
871721-10814153510286003000
861621-205031033113011005000
851622-10202430113019009100
841522-21022251227250012200
831523-10010171320350017410
821423-200101213153810207100
811424-100613841212512300
801324-2000402637212715510
791325-11014303228219100
781225-21012262323251430
771226-101016341528247200
761126-20011341028281221
751127-15345193022830
741027-22152162725128111
731028-113312525663
72928-2363693125636
71929-12222222211
70930-03367
69830-15050
52039-00043560
Total:201100461200720010000000000000000