How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Laval 2 Lehigh Valley 5 +4.7
+0.4
+0.8
Rochester 4 Hartford 2 +0.4
Providence 1 Hershey 4 +0.4
+0.1
Springfield 4 Charlotte 0 +0.2
+0.1
Binghamton 3 W-B/Scranton 4 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport vs Charlotte-0.5-0.9-0.9-0.2-0.3+0.7
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Utica vs Hartford+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
Toronto vs Syracuse-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
San Antonio vs Texas-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lehigh Valley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
122-140InYes10014,659*
121499-1In92.3%92813*
120489-2InYes10031*
1194810-1In98.598265*
1184710-2InYes100165*
1174711-1In99.61000263*
1164611-2In99.81000548*
1154511-3In99.810001,079*
1144512-2In99.099101,947*
1134412-3In98.498103,557*
1124413-2In97.898206,351*
1114313-3In97.1972110,500*
1104314-2In96.19630117,931*
1094214-3In94.0944001029,586*
1084215-2In91.892602048,223*
1074115-3In88.488803075,183*
1064116-2In84.68510050115,549*
1054016-3In79.5801300700173,785*
1044017-2In73.4731710900256,892*
1033917-3In66.46620101200369,407*
1023918-2In58.358242016000522,702*
1013818-3In49.5492630210000719,638*
1003819-2In40.4402940260010979,537*
993719-3100.0%31.3312960310020001,299,404*
983720-2In23.023298037103001,698,253*
973620-3100.015.71626101422050002,164,254*
963621-2100.09.910221114530070002,721,665*
953521-3100.05.661712247500110003,335,145*
943522-2100.02.83121124680016001004,036,706*
933422-3100.01.31710342121022002004,764,288*
923423-299.90.50483351620280030005,549,998*
913323-399.90.10253261930341060006,308,178*
903324-299.60.001331719603930090007,079,604*
893224-399.10.000221017814150014001007,768,644*
883225-298.20.00011512913991020002008,407,297*
873125-396.30.00001278233141027104008,876,760*
863126-293.3No00013722417303420070009,265,737*
853026-388.5No000014214186038500111009,450,195*
843027-281.7No00002271581379001710009,506,958*
832927-372.7No00001139913214102430009,346,716*
822928-261.9No00000115822319303071009,072,673*
812828-349.9No000002521420603513200008,608,987*
802829-238.0No00000032616913421510008,067,023*
792729-327.0No00000011210111292912300007,376,680*
782730-217.9No00000011592213221710006,664,215*
772630-311.0No00000026212282815510005,879,544*
762631-26.2No00000032520292411310005,123,491*
752531-33.3No0000012210232921920004,365,453*
742532-21.6No00000111414252718720003,666,537*
732432-30.7No00001016172625166200003,007,999*
722433-20.3No00000002819262414510002,440,090*
712333-30.1No000000131021262212410001,930,664*
702334-20.0No00000014122226201030001,509,287*
692234-30.0No00000161524261882001,151,292*
682235-20.0No00002818262515510866,190*
672135-30.0No000013102128231120635,239*
662136-20.0No0000151426291861461,199*
652036-3OutNo00028203027122325,459*
642037-20.0No00014132733194227,325*
631937-3OutNo000172135288154,362*
621938-2OutNo001414323613103,970*
611838-3OutNo0002927412167,927*
601839-2OutNo01521433143,557*
591739-3OutNo00215434027,377*
581740-2OutNo019395116,856*
571640-3OutNo16336010,101*
561641-2OutNo00327696,048*
551541-3OutNo0223763,344*
541542-2OutNo0117821,954*
531442-3OutNo013861,098*
521443-2OutNo0991577*
511343-3OutNo793274*
501344-2OutNo496170*
491244-3OutNo49672*
481245-2OutNo39738*
46-47OutNo10027*
451046-3OutNo14867*
22-44OutNo10014,661*
Total:65.5%2.1%232195211352114520117432211110000176,759,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs