How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Hartford vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley vs Hershey+3.5+3.2+3.2-1.4-1.4-4.8
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.4-0.4-1.1
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.1
San Antonio vs Ontario-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Utica+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Iowa vs Milwaukee+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Syracuse vs Rochester+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
W-B/Scranton vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Providence vs Springfield+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Binghamton vs Bridgeport+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Stockton vs San Jose+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Tucson vs San Diego+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lehigh Valley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
119-152InYes10053,272*
1185715-4In99.8%1000658*
1175716-3In99.910001,216*
1165717-2In100.010002,157*
1155617-3In99.910003,676*
1145517-4In99.910006,244*
1135518-3In99.8100010,587*
1125418-4In99.8100017,605*
1115419-3In99.7100028,121*
1105319-4In99.7100044,321*
1095320-3In99.599169,115*
1085220-4In99.2991106,205*
1075221-3In98.99910159,093*
1065121-4In98.49820236,328*
1055122-3In97.79820343,354*
1045022-4In96.597300491,605*
1035023-3In94.995500692,098*
1024923-4In92.693700961,472*
1014924-3In89.48910001,311,323*
1004824-4In85.385141001,768,457*
994825-3In79.9801820002,337,048*
984725-4In73.07324300003,051,033*
974726-3In64.76530500003,918,104*
964626-4In55.155359100004,959,699*
954627-3In44.6453914200006,179,368*
944527-4100.0%33.83441205100007,601,943*
934528-3100.023.624392692000009,200,059*
924428-4100.014.915343115410000010,978,322*
914429-3100.08.28263322920000012,903,740*
904329-4100.03.941729281661000014,960,526*
894330-399.91.519222923114100000017,081,967*
884230-499.30.504132427199310000019,252,121*
874231-396.90.1016152525178210000021,372,467*
864131-489.70.00027162424167210000023,396,260*
854132-373.60.00002816242316721000025,240,208*
844032-448.60.0000027162323168310000026,869,608*
834033-323.20.000000261422231893100000028,181,160*
823933-47.2No00002513202419115100000029,175,565*
813934-31.3No000001410192321136200000029,752,390*
803834-40.1No00000138162222168310000029,952,856*
793835-30.0No00000261321231810410000029,720,067*
783735-40.0No00000141119232013620000029,096,919*
773736-30.0No000000138162222168310000028,065,490*
763636-4OutNo00000126142123181041000026,714,547*
753637-3OutNo00000025122023201251000025,057,070*
743537-4OutNo00000014101824211362000023,220,096*
733538-3OutNo000001391824221462000021,173,156*
723438-4OutNo00000139172423156200019,067,927*
713439-3OutNo00000013918252314510016,927,385*
703339-4OutNo000001391926231341014,816,407*
693340-3OutNo0000001411222822102012,793,917*
683240-4OutNo0000015142629186110,884,464*
673241-3OutNo000000271930271229,141,543*
663141-4OutNo0000131226332157,564,189*
653142-3OutNo000001619343096,177,658*
643042-4OutNo00003123138164,971,042*
633043-3OutNo000172542243,943,713*
622943-4OutNo0000041843343,082,130*
612944-3OutNo00021241442,376,222*
602844-4OutNo001837541,808,908*
592845-3OutNo000531631,352,986*
582745-4OutNo00032672999,968*
572746-3OutNo0012078725,882*
562646-4OutNo0011584520,443*
552647-3OutNo001288368,509*
542547-4OutNo00891255,274*
532548-3OutNo00694176,412*
522448-4OutNo0496118,197*
512449-3OutNo039779,153*
502349-4OutNo029851,286*
492350-3OutNo019933,359*
482250-4OutNo19921,320*
472251-3OutNo19913,345*
462151-4OutNo001008,065*
452152-3OutNo01004,861*
442052-4OutNo01003,041*
432053-3OutNo01001,698*
421953-4OutNo1001,011*
411954-3OutNo0100542*
401854-4OutNo0100337*
0-39OutNo10052,930*
Total:31.7%4.1%444444444444444333333333333222634,062,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs