How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba 5 Laval 2 -3.3
-0.2
-0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Toronto vs Syracuse+0.5*+0.2*+0.2*-0.6-1.0-1.0
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba vs Laval-3.5+0.6*+0.3+4.8+5.1+5.3
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.9+1.0+1.0
Charlotte vs Belleville+0.8*-0.0*+0.0-0.9-0.9-1.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Laval finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
109-136InYes100227*
1084313-2In86.7%8710330*
1074213-3In89.8907359*
1064214-2In78.37817583*
1054114-3In77.3771319150*
1044115-2In72.9731711218*
1034015-3In58.75927113390*
1024016-2In57.557272012649*
1013916-3In47.7482840190948*
1003917-2In37.13733702211,417*
993817-3In29.730338027102,205*
983818-2In20.3203113132203,239*
973718-3In13.41330152364004,817*
963719-2In7.4724193397016,759*
953619-3In4.341919540111109,438*
943620-2In1.921318639181020012,903*
933520-3In0.91916835253040016,759*
923521-2In0.304138293270500022,036*
913421-3In0.1021082137121810028,567*
903422-2100.0%0.001681437192103000036,064*
893322-3100.00.00047733274125010044,082*
883323-2100.00.00025325327121010100053,872*
873223-3100.0No0141163412111540200064,266*
863224-299.9No00208311691980410075,111*
853124-399.7No00104242062115152000085,809*
843125-299.3No01011621319233751010096,206*
833025-398.3No00009201142967930100105,830*
823026-296.4No000516083111614603100116,083*
812926-393.3No0021203271641613042000123,482*
802927-288.3No0018012019215222552000129,157*
792827-380.9No0050012191102945841000132,335*
782828-270.9No00306170631841094100133,386*
772728-359.4No01031303281231014104100131,199*
762729-246.9No0001801211517151693100127,993*
752629-334.8No0005013160413201782000121,940*
742630-223.7No003071402818231772000114,836*
732530-315.3No0010311014122224156100105,090*
722531-29.0No00001700161725231351000095,459*
712431-34.8No0004003920262111410083,930*
702432-22.5No0002001412232719920073,049*
692332-31.2No001001616252617710062,952*
682333-20.5No000000281927241341052,763*
672233-30.2No000141223292292043,450*
662234-20.1No00016162828165035,328*
652134-30.0No000392231259127,642*
642135-20.0No0001515293116321,444*
632035-30.0No00029243525616,762*
622036-2OutNo0151734341012,494*
611936-3OutNo002113040169,021*
601937-2OutNo0162544246,423*
591837-3OutNo0031945334,565*
581838-2OutNo0011441433,220*
571738-3OutNo01839522,057*
561739-2OutNo0431651,370*
551639-3OutNo032571926*
541640-2OutNo12376584*
531540-3OutNo1684331*
521541-2OutNo1090235*
511441-3OutNo1090123*
501442-2OutNo109079*
491342-3OutNo10033*
481343-2OutNo118918*
471344-1OutNo10012*
461244-2OutNo13888*
20-45OutNo100207*
Total:58.9%0.2%0111246624862495134455443322112,462,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs