How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hartford vs Hershey-4.1-4.0-4.1+1.9+1.9+2.4
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Providence vs Bridgeport-1.9-1.8-1.7+3.0+2.8+2.8
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley+0.1*+0.1*+0.3*-0.2*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hershey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
109230-0In0.9%440551583
108220-1InNo50506
107221-0InNo9672569*
106211-1InNo466265111*
105212-099.9%No3533850694*
104202-199.8No133531401,170*
103203-099.7No1030521704,120*
102193-198.5No0120523426,518*
101194-096.9No01004740318,327*
100184-191.4No303356925,892*
99185-087.6No02028581258,286*
98175-175.4No00130622575,121*
97176-069.2No001105831146,452*
96166-152.5No00304948171,087*
95167-046.7No003044530290,516*
94157-131.2No001031690309,342*
93158-034.0No01033660274,320
147-216.8No000170830193,726*
92148-115.9No00160840453,483*
91149-017.5No000170830354,356
138-27.3No0070930260,292*
90139-16.9No0070930545,627*
891310-07.7No0080920381,964
129-22.7No030970288,025*
881210-12.5No20970541,963*
871211-02.8No030970343,480
1110-20.8No10990261,457*
861111-10.8No109900447,647*
851112-00.9No10990259,337
1011-20.2No009820195,893*
841012-10.2No0097200306,281*
831013-00.2No009810164,506
912-20.0No0091800120,148*
82913-10.0No008910100174,175*
81914-00.0No008414200148,667*
80814-10.0No0692640081,659*
79815-00.0No00613181063,634*
78715-1OutNo37431730031,818*
77716-0OutNo30422261022,536*
76616-1OutNo12373613209,784*
75617-0OutNo9333718306,618*
74517-1OutNo21539341012,434*
73518-0OutNo11334371411,422*
72418-1OutNo32042296472*
71419-0OutNo21943315261*
70319-1OutNo338421769*
69320-0OutNo227442741*
68220-1OutNo50504
67221-0OutNo75254*
63023-0OutNo0991583
Total:13.8%0.0%00001012084200007,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Hartford vs Hershey+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2
Providence vs Bridgeport+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109230-014304961
108220-15050
107221-09491725
106211-144422265
105212-03341938050
104202-111518511140
103203-0101317501170
102193-102100484342
101194-002800425403
100184-103002585609
99185-00020020758012
98175-1000076062025
97176-0000055058031
96166-10001200490480
95167-00001200440530
94157-1000100301690
93158-000100331660
147-20000015108300
92148-1000014208400
91149-0000001610820
138-2006209210
90139-1000520092100
891310-00006209210
129-20210095300
881210-11100944000
871211-0021009520
1110-2010086121000
861111-10100841410000
851112-00100891000
1011-20000613171000
841012-100005831820000
831013-000006529500
912-200026402482000
82913-100002438251031000
81914-000018332714620000
80814-10418302614520000
79815-000314252618104100
78715-102102228211141000
77716-00271824231583000
76616-1014132627188200
75617-001311212522125100
74517-101617312614410
73518-001515252718720
72418-131327292151
71419-03122327211030
70319-11925322212
69320-0727242715
68220-1502525
67221-0252550
63023-0184051
Total:0000000100012100728311000000000