How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey 3 Lehigh Valley 4 (so)-1.3
*-0.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose vs Stockton+0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hershey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
112-147InYes1004,123*
1115417-2In98.7%99178*
1105317-3InYes100143*
1095217-4In98.7991231*
1085218-3In98.5991408*
1075118-4In97.6982702*
1065119-3In96.69731,077*
1055019-4In96.29641,830*
1045020-3In94.094602,843*
1034920-4In92.893704,496*
1024921-3In88.88911107,004*
1014821-4In85.686141010,509*
1004822-3In79.2791920015,702*
994722-4In72.6732430023,198*
984723-3In64.5653051033,667*
974623-4In55.15535910047,933*
964624-3In44.5453914200066,987*
954524-4In33.93441205100092,535*
944525-3In23.924392692000125,597*
934425-4In15.3153431154100167,683*
924426-3In8.7927332182000219,928*
914326-4In4.341830271551000286,068*
904327-3In1.82102329221031000364,872*
894227-4In0.61515252718820000457,988*
884228-3In0.102718262415620000566,385*
874128-4In0.0003919252313520000688,058*
864129-3In0.000131020252213510000828,548*
854029-4In0.0000141119242113520000979,822*
844030-3100.0%No00014101924211362000001,142,147*
833930-4100.0No0001391824221472000001,310,466*
823931-399.9No000138162323168310001,481,652*
813831-498.9No000027152223179310001,656,440*
803832-394.0No000025132024191141000001,817,374*
793732-479.3No0000014111923211362000001,967,700*
783733-353.0No00001391723221572100002,102,415*
773633-425.7No0000127152223178310002,211,860*
763634-38.6No000000261421241810410002,289,655*
753534-42.0No00002512212419114100002,341,929*
743535-30.3No00000151220242012410002,356,951*
733435-40.0No0000141120252112410002,341,742*
723436-30.0No0000141121252111410002,288,572*
713336-40.0No000015122226201031002,209,320*
703337-3OutNo0000151423261982002,096,688*
693237-4OutNo000027162626166101,962,236*
683238-3OutNo00013920282512301,808,062*
673138-4OutNo0001413253020611,646,030*
663139-3OutNo000271830281321,477,386*
653039-4OutNo000131226342141,302,876*
643040-3OutNo00001620352981,135,466*
632940-4OutNo000314323714975,236*
622941-3OutNo00018274221822,844*
612841-4OutNo0015214430684,497*
602842-3OutNo0002154339561,070*
592742-4OutNo001104049453,799*
582743-3OutNo00163558361,163*
572643-4OutNo00043066282,274*
562644-3OutNo0022473217,599*
552544-4OutNo0011979165,578*
542545-3OutNo011584123,646*
532445-4OutNo000128892,043*
522446-3OutNo089166,263*
512346-4OutNo0069447,268*
502347-3OutNo049533,108*
492247-4OutNo039722,680*
482248-3OutNo29815,534*
472148-4OutNo19910,293*
462149-3OutNo1997,018*
452049-4OutNo1994,372*
442050-3OutNo1992,952*
431950-4OutNo1991,765*
421951-3OutNo1991,088*
411851-4OutNo0100642*
401852-3OutNo0100397*
1-39OutNo1004,549*
Total:32.3%0.5%11111222222333334444555556666548,903,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs