How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

ThursdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Springfield vs Bridgeport+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Hartford vs W-B/Scranton+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Syracuse vs Providence+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hershey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
123480-0In99.4%99138,675
108-109InNo1002*
107397-2In16.71750336*
106398-1In28.6295014714*
105388-2In13.81441311429*
104378-3In10.01053281080*
103379-2In6.773939151165*
102369-3In3.9430481611382*
1013610-2In1.82224902421840*
1003510-3In1.11155022640301,719*
993511-2In0.50104822760503,372*
983411-3In0.106422311018006,481*
973412-2In0.00335331141120112,227*
963312-3100.0%0.0022732918201702022,211*
953313-299.90.0011932421302413039,880*
943213-399.8No013318235030206068,751*
933214-299.6No0731222603630100117,011*
923114-398.9No04271870395017010190,126*
913115-297.4No02131370388025030306,041*
903015-394.5No011186033110033050477,222*
893016-290.0No000451251210410100732,467*
882916-383.0No000023117121047001611,085,156*
872917-273.9No000120101120481024201,584,449*
862817-362.8No0000105820461033402,239,399*
852818-251.0No00000025203920041703,117,775*
842718-339.3No0000001220314004812004,209,844*
832719-228.8No00000110215005219005,592,523*
822619-319.9No000000101351053270007,211,901*
812620-213.1No000000751050351009,156,175*
802520-38.2No0000034104444300011,282,702*
792521-24.8No00000012103651810013,701,061*
782421-32.7No000000110265415200016,132,702*
772422-21.4No00000101751255100018,732,033*
762322-30.7No000000104133122000021,111,686*
752323-20.3No000005283721710000023,430,680*
742223-30.1No0000021632291551000025,247,835*
732224-20.1No00000172231241141000026,800,383*
722124-30.0No0000212242820931000027,628,895*
712125-20.0No0000151525271882000028,049,536*
702025-30.0No0000171726251672000027,640,193*
692026-20.0No0000028192624145100026,846,097*
681926-30.0No0000131020262212410025,268,927*
671927-20.0No000014122327201030023,456,714*
661827-30.0No00000161525271871021,100,116*
651828-2OutNo0000028182725144018,708,863*
641728-3OutNo00013112329229116,061,858*
631729-2OutNo0001516283016413,590,630*
621629-3OutNo000029233325811,132,078*
611630-2OutNo00014163234148,989,499*
601530-3OutNo000292739237,003,742*
591531-2OutNo000152041335,397,785*
581431-3OutNo00021339453,999,099*
571432-2OutNo0001835562,925,849*
561332-3OutNo000529662,060,098*
551333-2OutNo000222751,433,884*
541233-3OutNo0011782957,340*
531234-2OutNo011288630,375*
521134-3OutNo00892398,994*
511135-2OutNo00595248,404*
501035-3OutNo0396148,773*
491036-2OutNo029886,683*
481037-1OutNo019948,809*
47937-2OutNo19926,876*
46938-1OutNo19913,924*
45838-2OutNo01007,246*
44839-1OutNo01003,500*
43739-2OutNo01001,738*
42740-1OutNo0100720*
41640-2OutNo0100340*
27-40OutNo10038,910*
Total:3.3%0.0%0000000000002000813988777666543466,560,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs