How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+3.5+3.2+3.2-1.4-1.4-4.8
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.4-0.4-1.1
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.1
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Hartford vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Stockton vs Bakersfield+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+3.5+3.2+3.2-1.5-1.4-4.8
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.4-0.4-1.1
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.1
San Antonio vs Ontario-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.1
W-B/Scranton vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Providence vs Springfield+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Binghamton vs Bridgeport+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Lehigh Valley vs Hershey+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Syracuse vs Rochester+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Utica+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Texas vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Iowa vs Milwaukee+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Stockton vs San Jose+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1*-0.0
Tucson vs San Diego+0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Grand Rapids finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
123-152InYes10052,587*
1226014-2In98.4%98261*
1215914-3InYes100109*
1205915-2In99.5991182*
1195815-3In99.71000392*
1185715-4In99.91000706*
1175716-3In99.810001,256*
1165616-4In99.910002,193*
1155617-3In99.810003,707*
1145517-4In99.810006,347*
1135518-3In99.7100010,523*
1125418-4In99.8100017,531*
1115419-3In99.7100028,066*
1105319-4In99.61000044,447*
1095320-3In99.5100068,441*
1085220-4In99.29910105,867*
1075221-3In98.89910159,272*
1065121-4In98.39820234,876*
1055122-3In97.59820341,786*
1045022-4In96.39640491,998*
1035023-3In94.795500692,626*
1024923-4In92.392700960,168*
1014924-3In89.189100001,312,025*
1004824-4In84.885141001,766,758*
994825-3In79.379192002,334,555*
984725-4In72.47224300003,052,659*
974726-3In64.06430500003,917,453*
964626-4In54.35436910004,964,634*
954627-3In43.8444014200006,185,424*
944527-4In33.0334120510007,602,051*
934528-3100.0%22.92339269200009,200,959*
924428-4100.014.31434311541000010,980,007*
914429-3100.07.88253322920000012,903,245*
904329-4100.03.7416292816610000014,964,372*
894330-399.91.419222923124100000017,088,755*
884230-499.20.404132427199310000019,251,467*
874231-396.90.1016152425178210000021,363,837*
864131-489.60.00027162424167210000023,398,510*
854132-373.40.0000271624231682100000025,237,682*
844032-448.40.0000027162323168310000026,880,780*
834033-323.00.000000261422231894100000028,192,301*
823933-47.1No00002512202419115100000029,175,994*
813934-31.3No000001410192321136200000029,747,088*
803834-40.1No00000138162222168310000029,953,426*
793835-30.0No000000261321231810410000029,717,150*
783735-40.0No000000141119232013620000029,084,955*
773736-30.0No00000138162222168310000028,063,679*
763636-4OutNo000001261421231810410000026,722,345*
753637-3OutNo00000025122023201251000025,056,646*
743537-4OutNo00000014101824211362000023,197,485*
733538-3OutNo0000001391724221562000021,169,569*
723438-4OutNo000000139172423156200019,062,331*
713439-3OutNo000013918252415610016,927,079*
703339-4OutNo000001391926231341014,823,786*
693340-3OutNo000001411222822102012,787,820*
683240-4OutNo0000015142529196110,897,815*
673241-3OutNo00000271830281329,137,908*
663141-4OutNo0000131125332257,571,679*
653142-3OutNo0000016193431106,177,486*
643042-4OutNo00003123038174,970,700*
633043-3OutNo0000172442263,942,979*
622943-4OutNo00041843363,083,413*
612944-3OutNo000021240462,376,581*
602844-4OutNo0001736561,805,726*
592845-3OutNo0000430651,355,093*
582745-4OutNo00032473998,802*
572746-3OutNo0011980727,698*
562646-4OutNo0011485520,586*
552647-3OutNo001189366,868*
542547-4OutNo00892255,401*
532548-3OutNo00694175,033*
522448-4OutNo0496118,350*
512449-3OutNo039779,056*
502349-4OutNo029851,330*
492350-3OutNo019933,545*
482250-4OutNo019921,255*
472251-3OutNo19913,080*
462151-4OutNo01008,067*
452152-3OutNo01005,048*
442052-4OutNo01002,863*
432053-3OutNo01001,669*
421953-4OutNo0100971*
411954-3OutNo0100620*
401854-4OutNo199307*
391855-3OutNo100176*
381856-2OutNo19989*
0-37OutNo10052,658*
Total:31.7%4.1%444444444444444333333333333222634,062,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs