Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Kilpatrick Trophy		Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	RPI

Toronto	114		54	16		-	6	103	In			Yes		100															1.0		1	Toronto Marlies
W-B/Scranton	92		43	27		-	6	27	In			No			100														2.0	+0.89	8	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Albany	102		46	20		-	10	45	In			No				100													3.0		4	Albany Devils
Hershey	98		43	21		-	12	39	In			No					100												4.0	-0.89	9	Hershey Bears
Portland	90		41	27		-	8	8	In			No						100											5.0	+1.50	12	Portland Pirates
Utica	88		38	26		-	12	7	In			No							100										6.0		15	Utica Comets
Providence	95		41	22		-	13	40	In		+50.0	No								100									7.0	+0.50	7	Providence Bruins
Rochester	72		34	38		-	4	-50	In		+100.0	No									100								8.0	+2.25	22	Rochester Americans

Hartford	85		41	32		-	3	3	Out		-100.0	No										100							9.0	-1.50	10	Hartford Wolf Pack
Bridgeport	87		40	29		-	7	-11	Out		-50.0	No											100						10.0	-2.50	13	Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Lehigh Valley	75		34	35		-	7	-7	Out			No												100					11.0	+0.25	20	Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Syracuse	79		32	29		-	15	-27	Out			No													100				12.0	-0.50	25	Syracuse Crunch
St. John's	75		32	33		-	11	-31	Out			No														100			13.0		19	St. John's IceCaps
Binghamton	69		31	38		-	7	-37	Out			No															100		14.0		26	Binghamton Senators
Springfield	60		26	42		-	8	-71	Out			No																100	15.0		28	Springfield Falcons

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail. This season is a bit of a mess since all teams do not play the same number of games. The AHL playoff structure is as follows: the playoffs "will feature the top four teams in each of the AHL's four divisions as ranked by points percentage (points earned divided by points available), with one possibility for a "crossover" in each conference: if the fifth-place team in the Atlantic or Central Division finishes with a better points percentage than the fourth-place team in the North or Pacific Division, it would compete in the other division's bracket."

Big Games

Friday
Portland 2 Bridgeport 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hershey	-0.1
Portland	-1.2		-0.8
Providence	-9.2
Hartford	-5.5
Bridgeport	+16.0		+0.7

St. John's 1 Hartford 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hershey	-0.1
Portland	-0.4		-0.2
Providence	-6.9		-0.2
Hartford	+15.6		+0.7
Bridgeport	-8.2		-0.2

Rochester 0 Albany 5
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Utica	In
Rochester	Out		-0.3
Lehigh Valley			+0.2

Utica 3 Syracuse 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Utica	In
Rochester	Out
Syracuse			-0.2

Binghamton 4 Hershey 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
W-B/Scranton			+0.2
Hershey	-0.1		-0.6
Portland			+0.2

Lehigh Valley 1 W-B/Scranton 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
W-B/Scranton			+0.3
Hershey			-0.2
Rochester			+0.2
Lehigh Valley			-0.3

Saturday
Albany 3 Bridgeport 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hershey	In		+0.2
Portland	In		+0.3
Providence	+11.8
Hartford	In		+0.3
Bridgeport	-20.6		-0.9

W-B/Scranton 1 Providence 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
W-B/Scranton			-0.2
Hershey	-1.0
Portland	-3.1
Providence	+13.8		+0.5
Hartford	-4.7
Bridgeport	-5.0		-0.2

St. John's 2 Hartford 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hershey	In		+0.2
Portland			+0.4
Providence	+0.7		+0.2
Hartford	-4.7		-1.1
Bridgeport	+3.0		+0.3
St. John's			+0.2
Binghamton			-0.2

Springfield 3 Portland 2 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hershey	+0.3		+0.2
Portland	-3.2		-0.9
Providence	*+0.3
Hartford	+1.5		+0.3
Bridgeport	+1.1		+0.3

Hershey 4 Lehigh Valley 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
W-B/Scranton			-0.2
Hershey	In		+1.0
Portland			-0.3
Providence	-0.2
Rochester			+0.2
Hartford			-0.2
Bridgeport	-0.8		-0.2
Lehigh Valley			-0.3

Toronto 3 Rochester 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-0.3
Lehigh Valley			+0.2

Syracuse 3 Utica 4 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Syracuse			-0.2

Sunday
Bridgeport 1 Providence 6
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Providence	In		+1.5
Bridgeport	Out		-1.5

Springfield 1 Portland 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Portland			+1.5
Providence			-0.5
Hartford			-0.5
Bridgeport			-0.5

Hershey 2 W-B/Scranton 1 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
W-B/Scranton			+0.9
Hershey			-0.9

Lehigh Valley 5 Syracuse 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-0.3
Lehigh Valley			+0.8
Syracuse			-0.5

Toronto 4 Rochester 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-0.2
Lehigh Valley			+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.