Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
W-B/Scranton7713714-352100.0%24.5%+0.27202304000001.71.660at UticaWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
TorontoWSyracuse 3-2 (ot)6012822-42099.8+0.10.0052035012010000003.3+0.2723.572at BinghamtonToronto Marlies
Lehigh Valley7033416-24299.7+0.04.6+0.0240490230400003.14.629at SpringfieldLehigh Valley Phantoms
Albany623023-2499.7+0.00.0037042019020000003.7-0.0212.521at St. John'sAlbany Devils
Bridgeport6843316-21698.1+0.00.5+0.030230490220200004.93.550at ProvidenceBridgeport Sound Tigers
SyracuseLToronto 2-3 (ot)6222617-10-296.9-0.70.0010022055090210005.5-0.2914.515at RochesterSyracuse Crunch
Providence6923014-92388.4+0.10.0+0.0005022061012000006.610.587BridgeportProvidence Bruins
St. John's5512423-7-1346.9-0.6No01070381211610519.4-0.0127.467AlbanySt. John's IceCaps
RochesterWUtica 3-2 (ot)4622229-2-2825.7+5.5No0003023022211713210.4+0.3526.431SyracuseRochester Americans
Binghamton4922327-3-3419.7+0.1No0003017019212016410.8+0.0217.407TorontoBinghamton Senators
Hershey6322616-111513.8-0.10.000001012084200008.79.564at HartfordHershey Bears
UticaLRochester 2-3 (ot)5122123-9-2311.2-4.5No00001010016212422611.3-0.3429.447W-B/ScrantonUtica Comets
Springfield4932023-9-180.0-0.0No00001171724281312.0+0.0118.457Lehigh ValleySpringfield Thunderbirds
Hartford4331928-5-440.0+0.0No00000126167513.6+0.0124.381HersheyHartford Wolf Pack

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Rochester 3 Utica 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse+0.2
*No
Rochester+4.2
+0.3
Binghamton*-0.3
Utica-4.1
-0.3
Toronto 3 Syracuse 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+0.1
+0.2
Syracuse-0.7
-0.3
St. John's*+0.2
Binghamton*+0.2
Utica*+0.2
Friday
St. John's vs AlbanyIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto3.23.23.23.43.43.4
Albany99.599.699.699.999.999.9
No*No*No*No*No0.0
4.04.04.03.53.53.5
Syracuse96.596.596.597.397.397.2
St. John's53.753.052.840.140.440.4
9.09.19.19.79.79.7
Rochester23.123.223.228.528.128.2
10.510.510.510.310.310.3
Binghamton17.718.218.321.721.821.7
10.810.810.810.710.710.7
Utica9.89.89.812.712.712.7
11.411.411.411.311.311.3
Rochester vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto3.23.23.23.33.33.3
Albany3.63.63.63.83.83.8
Syracuse95.495.495.398.198.198.2
5.85.85.85.25.25.2
St. John's44.645.244.549.248.948.9
Rochester31.530.230.520.620.720.7
10.110.210.110.710.710.7
Binghamton18.518.919.120.920.920.8
10.810.810.810.710.710.7
Utica10.610.8*11.111.711.911.8
11.411.411.311.311.311.3
Binghamton vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto99.799.799.699.999.999.9
3.53.53.53.13.13.1
Albany3.63.63.63.83.83.8
Syracuse96.596.596.597.297.297.1
5.45.45.45.55.55.5
St. John's44.145.145.348.548.548.6
9.59.49.49.39.39.3
Rochester24.024.424.326.626.726.7
10.510.510.510.410.410.4
Binghamton25.624.424.316.316.216.2
10.410.410.411.011.011.0
Utica10.410.410.211.811.811.7
11.411.411.411.311.311.3
Springfield12.112.112.112.012.012.0
Utica vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton17.317.217.127.427.428.2
1.81.81.81.61.61.6
Lehigh Valley5.04.94.9*4.54.54.5
3.03.03.03.23.23.2
Bridgeport0.60.60.6*0.50.50.5
4.94.94.95.05.05.0
Syracuse96.596.7*96.897.197.097.0
St. John's45.044.844.747.847.947.9
9.59.59.59.39.39.3
Rochester24.324.925.226.326.226.3
10.510.510.510.410.410.4
Binghamton18.719.018.920.320.320.2
10.910.810.910.710.710.7
Utica16.015.114.98.99.09.0
10.911.011.011.511.511.5
Springfield12.112.112.112.012.012.0
Hartford vs HersheyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley99.899.899.8*99.7*99.799.7
Bridgeport98.798.898.797.697.797.7
Providence91.791.691.787.086.986.4
6.56.56.56.66.66.6
Hershey9.79.89.715.715.716.2
8.88.88.88.78.78.7
Hartford0.0Out*OutOutOutOut
13.513.513.513.713.713.7
Providence vs BridgeportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley3.13.13.13.23.23.2
Bridgeport97.597.497.598.999.099.0
0.30.30.30.80.90.8
5.25.25.24.64.64.6
Providence90.990.990.784.584.684.6
6.46.46.46.96.96.9
Hershey11.912.012.116.816.616.6
8.88.88.88.78.78.7
Springfield vs Lehigh ValleyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton24.924.924.9*24.5*24.424.3
1.61.61.61.71.71.7
Lehigh Valley99.699.699.699.899.899.9
2.72.72.75.65.65.8
3.43.43.43.03.03.0
Bridgeport4.84.84.85.05.05.0
Rochester10.510.410.510.410.410.4
Binghamton10.810.810.810.710.710.7
Hershey13.9*13.9*14.1*13.6*13.713.7
Utica11.411.411.411.311.311.3
Springfield11.711.811.812.212.212.2
Grand Rapids vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton23.124.224.027.427.627.7
Lehigh Valley4.34.54.45.55.35.4
Bridgeport0.50.50.50.70.60.6
Tucson vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton28.628.628.523.022.722.9
Lehigh Valley5.85.85.94.14.24.1
Bridgeport0.60.60.6*0.50.50.5
San Diego vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley4.6*4.6*4.6*4.74.84.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.