Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
W-B/Scranton59288-342100.0%-0.048.3%-0.06703003000000001.7-0.011.665at HersheyWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Lehigh Valley5222510-23899.820.1+0.33105809010000002.6+0.012.648Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Syracuse4722010-71099.1-0.00.2-0.015303309020000003.3+0.0314.571at AlbanySyracuse Crunch
Albany462215-2798.7+0.10.1+0.0041043011030100003.6+0.0813.540SyracuseAlbany Devils
Providence512210-71489.5-0.00.3-0.0109053126010100005.8-0.0111.575Providence Bruins
Toronto3321519-3073.5+0.50.0030121331242985207.4+0.1128.522Toronto Marlies
Hershey4711910-91871.8+0.60.0+0.0003024043124310007.0+0.038.589W-B/ScrantonHershey Bears
St. John'sLUtica 2-5431915-5-862.1-11.70.00207025127211128418.2-0.7820.479UticaSt. John's IceCaps
Bridgeport4031915-2-236.3-0.50.00010100241451142108.4-0.027.504Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Rochester351721-1-2236.2+1.90.0000301212121518161029.8+0.0323.437Rochester Americans
UticaWSt. John's 5-23811616-6-1820.7+8.50.0000106013213192218510.8+0.6326.450at St. John'sUtica Comets
Binghamton3511619-3-249.7+0.70.000000307171422341211.8-0.0221.421Binghamton Senators
Springfield3721515-7-132.7-0.10.000000201228201914511.0-0.0517.470Springfield Thunderbirds
Hartford321421-4-360.00.00000000125167513.6-0.0425.381Hartford Wolf Pack

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
St. John's 2 Utica 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+0.1
+0.1
St. John's-6.3
-0.4
Rochester+1.2
Utica+4.5
+0.4
Binghamton+0.4
Wednesday
St. John's vs UticaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. John's67.567.067.254.755.054.5
0.0NoNo*NoNoNo
7.97.97.98.78.78.7
Rochester35.535.735.637.937.637.1
9.89.89.89.79.79.8
Utica16.416.416.326.126.027.0
NoNoNo*NoNo0.0
11.111.111.110.410.410.4
Binghamton9.4*9.7*9.710.210.110.0
Hershey vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton42.742.742.851.852.053.3
1.81.81.81.71.71.6
Lehigh Valley21.721.721.719.119.018.5
2.62.52.52.62.62.7
Syracuse0.30.20.30.2*0.20.2
Albany0.10.10.2*0.1*0.10.1
Providence88.688.888.890.190.190.2
5.85.85.85.75.75.7
Hershey76.175.775.767.868.067.9
6.86.86.87.27.27.2
Bridgeport33.233.333.339.039.039.0
8.48.48.48.38.38.3
Springfield2.22.32.33.13.03.0
Albany vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse98.898.898.899.399.499.4
0.10.10.10.30.30.3
3.53.53.53.03.03.0
Albany99.299.199.198.398.298.2
0.2*0.1*0.10.00.00.0
3.33.43.43.93.93.9
Iowa vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton51.351.051.247.347.346.6
Lehigh Valley21.721.821.519.719.519.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.