How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas vs Chicago-3.9-0.5-0.5+4.3+4.2+4.6
-0.9-0.2-0.2+1.0+1.0+1.1
-0.9-0.1-0.1+1.0+1.0+1.0
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Hartford vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Stockton vs Bakersfield+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas vs Chicago-3.9-0.5-0.5+4.2+4.2+4.6
-0.9-0.2-0.2+1.0+1.0+1.1
-0.9-0.1-0.1+1.0+1.0+1.0
San Antonio vs Ontario-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Iowa vs Milwaukee+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Lehigh Valley vs Hershey+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Laval vs Belleville+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Providence vs Springfield+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
W-B/Scranton vs Charlotte+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Binghamton vs Bridgeport+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Syracuse vs Rochester+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Utica+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Rockford+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Tucson vs San Diego+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
119-152InYes10053,318*
1185816-2In99.9%1000694*
1175716-3InYes1001,255*
1165616-4In99.910002,209*
1155617-3In99.810003,665*
1145517-4In99.810006,384*
1135518-3In99.8100010,656*
1125418-4In99.7100017,575*
1115419-3In99.7100028,217*
1105319-4In99.61000044,440*
1095320-3In99.499169,137*
1085220-4In99.29910105,955*
1075221-3In98.89910159,170*
1065121-4In98.39820236,874*
1055122-3In97.49730343,231*
1045022-4In96.296400491,822*
1035023-3In94.595500693,057*
1024923-4In92.292800960,866*
1014924-3In89.08911001,312,726*
1004824-4In84.785141001,770,256*
994825-3In79.179192002,338,951*
984725-4In72.1722530003,053,123*
974726-3In63.7643050003,917,228*
964626-4In54.054369100004,960,591*
954627-3In43.5434014200006,183,681*
944527-4100.0%32.83341205100007,600,877*
934528-3100.022.723392792000009,196,919*
924428-4100.014.21434311541000010,975,101*
914429-3100.07.882533229200000012,905,614*
904329-4100.03.6416292816610000014,961,614*
894330-399.81.4192229231241000017,092,405*
884230-499.20.404132427209310000019,246,571*
874231-396.80.1016152425178310000021,363,324*
864131-489.50.00027162424167210000023,400,570*
854132-373.30.000027162423168210000025,237,081*
844032-448.30.0000027162323168310000026,872,793*
834033-323.0No0000261422231894100000028,200,001*
823933-47.1No00002512202419115100000029,182,437*
813934-31.3No00000141019232113620000029,759,999*
803834-40.1No000000138162222168310000029,963,891*
793835-30.0No000000261321231810410000029,712,428*
783735-40.0No000000141119232013620000029,079,345*
773736-30.0No000000138162222168310000028,060,185*
763636-4OutNo00000126142123181041000026,708,522*
753637-3OutNo000000025122023201251000025,062,855*
743537-4OutNo00000014101824211362000023,196,809*
733538-3OutNo000001391724221562000021,172,130*
723438-4OutNo00000139172423156200019,077,276*
713439-3OutNo0000013918252415610016,922,861*
703339-4OutNo000001391926231341014,818,786*
693340-3OutNo000001411212822102012,790,147*
683240-4OutNo0000015142529196110,891,624*
673241-3OutNo0000271830281329,137,524*
663141-4OutNo0000131125332257,564,156*
653142-3OutNo000016183431106,170,747*
643042-4OutNo00003123038174,972,229*
633043-3OutNo0000172442263,942,472*
622943-4OutNo000031743363,086,789*
612944-3OutNo00021240472,377,746*
602844-4OutNo0001735571,809,450*
592845-3OutNo000430661,351,521*
582745-4OutNo00022473998,579*
572746-3OutNo0011980725,410*
562646-4OutNo0011485521,380*
552647-3OutNo001189368,253*
542547-4OutNo00792256,262*
532548-3OutNo0595175,732*
522448-4OutNo0496118,407*
512449-3OutNo039778,250*
502349-4OutNo029851,333*
492350-3OutNo019932,842*
482250-4OutNo19921,159*
472251-3OutNo19913,092*
462151-4OutNo01007,981*
452152-3OutNo01004,953*
442052-4OutNo01002,765*
432053-3OutNo01001,722*
421953-4OutNo199957*
411954-3OutNo100592*
401854-4OutNo0100327*
0-39OutNo10052,944*
Total:31.7%4.0%444444444444444333333333333222634,062,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs