How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago 4 Cleveland 2 +1.4
+0.0
Ontario 3 Tucson 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte vs Cleveland+6.7+6.0+6.2-8.7-8.6-8.7
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5
Grand Rapids vs Milwaukee+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.1
Tucson vs San Jose-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Charlotte finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
100250-0In0.0%144421207,405
99240-1InNo1001
98241-0InNo101020402010*
97231-1InNo94839423
96232-0InNo748378132*
95222-1InNo329452200343*
94223-0InNo1254625121,214*
93213-1InNo0104138462,720*
92214-0InNo0836406108,202*
91204-1InNo0225421219016,112*
90205-0100.0%No01203915250041,234*
89195-1100.0No0102921400072,747*
88196-099.9No0724224700159,887*
87186-199.7No0313226110254,347*
86187-099.4No0292066310493,868*
85177-198.5No0041673610716,523*
84178-097.2No002137393001,241,173*
83168-194.3No01871156001,639,553*
82158-291.1No006671890002,556,990*
81159-184.3No00357251510003,093,330*
80149-278.4No00247291920004,375,545*
791410-166.9No0131352751004,861,487*
781310-258.8No00233630920006,271,753*
771311-144.0No0010343317510006,402,378*
761211-236.0No006293023920007,564,445*
751212-122.2No012123301761007,078,220*
741112-216.8No01161729241120007,686,421*
731113-17.8No008725322061006,591,581*
721013-25.5No0055193127122006,583,378*
711014-11.7No02182636225005,157,617*
70914-21.1No01051934309104,745,703*
69915-10.2No0018294119203,392,196*
68916-00.1No0015224126502,866,903*
67816-10.0No0011038401111,857,742*
66817-00.0No0001731431711,448,314*
65717-1OutNo0011848293840,715*
64718-0OutNo011444366602,727*
63618-1OutNo05354912311,713*
62619-0OutNo04295117204,295*
61519-1OutNo0117542892,940*
60520-0OutNo0113513555,420*
59420-1OutNo04435221,530*
58421-0OutNo03395711,598*
57321-1OutNo025743,833*
56322-0OutNo025751,877*
55222-1OutNo01287459*
54223-0OutNo1090230*
53123-1OutNo59541*
51-52OutNo10019*
50025-0OutNo1997,406
Total:32.7%0.0%000001141715131211952089,344,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 4 Cleveland 2 -0.1
Manitoba 0 Rockford 1 (so)*-0.1
Ontario 3 Tucson 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Charlotte vs Cleveland-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.9+0.9+0.9
Tucson vs San Jose+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
100250-0014402220120
99240-1100
98241-0101020401010
97231-1948394
96232-0613453744
95222-12112944171600
94223-01024451619121
93213-10010410434442
92214-00008351436664
91204-10022322411209100
90205-0001182137140101500
89195-10820292101129000
88196-00620232111037000
87186-10210132118531000
86187-00110919275930000
85177-10000413247060110
84178-000002102370901100
83168-10015217015023000
82158-20004216618036000
81159-100110562414111000
80149-20001104727241520000
791410-1000031314523510000
781310-20000233064268200000
771311-1000010259331165100000
761211-20000620102282193100000
751212-1001111012128187210000
741112-2001791152622135200000
731113-1002605202822115100000
721013-2001403142324179310000
711014-100200414252617931000
70914-2001002919242214720000
69915-10000271927241462000
68916-000001513222520114100
67816-1000003122428209200
66817-0000002818262515510
65717-100172031261220
64718-000151527291840
63618-10015193430101
62619-00004143034163
61519-10152040287
60520-000316373310
59420-1005294421
58421-0004254427
57321-11134344
56322-000114147
55222-142967
54223-012475
53123-121088
52124-02377
51024-11783
50025-00693
Total:00000000001001412521311108754321100