How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

ThursdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Springfield vs Bridgeport+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Hartford vs W-B/Scranton+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Syracuse vs Providence+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Belleville vs Manitoba+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2
Rochester vs Toronto+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Charlotte finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
125-133InYes10038,921*
124444-1In99.5%991397*
123445-0In99.29911,035*
122435-1In98.49822,149*
121425-2In98.39825,017*
120426-1In97.297309,831*
119416-2In95.89640021,729*
118417-1In94.09460039,150*
117407-2In91.29190077,830*
116408-1In87.5871200130,918*
115398-2In83.48316100240,020*
114399-1In77.67821100378,577*
113389-2In71.37127200641,627*
1123810-1In64.064323010956,801*
1113710-2In56.4563850101,507,581*
1103711-1In48.14843801002,124,324*
1093611-2In40.040471102003,145,740*
1083612-1In32.032491503004,197,765*
1073512-2In24.825502005005,847,123*
1063513-1In18.318492607007,412,969*
1053413-2In13.01346320900009,758,500*
1043414-1In8.7941380120000011,757,958*
1033314-2In5.5535430161000014,664,335*
1023315-1In3.2328460201010016,833,542*
1013215-2In1.8221481242020019,950,177*
1003216-1100.0%0.91154712840300021,852,420*
993116-2100.00.401045131700500024,631,936*
983117-1100.00.2064023311007000025,776,333*
973017-2100.00.10434332151011000027,675,943*
963018-1100.00.00227330202016001027,685,291*
952918-2100.00.001203252430221010028,376,608*
942919-1100.00.000143192650282030027,163,034*
932819-299.90.00093142670343050026,600,497*
922820-199.80.000528239038500900024,352,334*
912720-299.40.00032518100399001401022,802,974*
902721-198.7No0112121013713002101020,005,403*
892621-297.4No001189132171028003017,925,225*
882622-195.1No000046125192036005015,069,684*
872522-291.6No0000241172030431080012,915,007*
862523-186.5No0001211017504810130010,404,868*
852423-280.0No000011513605030020008,549,935*
842424-171.6No00000029614850028106,598,158*
832324-262.3No00000155141800362005,196,222*
822325-152.0No000000241321210444003,837,690*
812225-241.7No000121221320517002,896,575*
802226-131.8No00001112134054131002,051,249*
792126-223.1No00000161051532130001,484,594*
782127-115.7No00002651473071001,006,678*
772027-210.2No000013423637143000697,814*
762028-16.1No00013224382371000451,069*
751928-23.4No000121332301651000299,314*
741929-11.7No000115213125124100186,492*
731829-20.9No0001210232921103100118,199*
721830-10.4No00004132427199310069,381*
711730-20.1No00015152425188200042,329*
701731-10.0No0001715252517720024,211*
691631-2OutNo002817252415620014,132*
681632-1OutNo0039182524145107,578*
671532-2OutNo001311212622114104,201*
661533-1OutNo014122626209202,188*
651433-2OutNo02715272716601,158*
641434-1OutNo039203123122542*
631334-2OutNo002132635185279*
621335-1OutNo191836279141*
611235-2OutNo11240361077*
601236-1OutNo1224323225*
591237-0OutNo19315016*
581137-1OutNo75254*
35-57OutNo10038,676*
Total:96.0%2.9%310211161130164101010030000000000000466,560,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs