Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
11/19PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
ManitobaWLaval 5-224115-21594.6%+2.99.3%+1.89141814586335212310111100000000005.8+0.969.588LavalManitoba Moose
RockfordWChicago 4-3 (so)201107-0773.0+2.41.2-0.113554864495248314554322111000011.7+0.4010.545Rockford IceHogs
Milwaukee16387-0260.0-1.20.6-0.212343553384249415665433221110013.9-0.2111.539Milwaukee Admirals
Cleveland17474-3-355.3-1.10.4-0.101332542374249415776543322111014.7-0.1412.524Cleveland Monsters
Grand Rapids1888-2254.1-0.90.3-0.101232543374249415776543322111014.9-0.1014.544Grand Rapids Griffins
Iowa18286-2050.3-1.20.3-0.101232442374249415776544322211015.5-0.1413.527Iowa Wild
ChicagoLRockford 3-4 (so)10349-2-912.7-1.00.0-0.000000011011113212456677777887622.629.502TexasChicago Wolves

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Rockford 4 Chicago 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba*-0.2
-0.0
Rockford+3.0
+0.3
+0.6
Milwaukee*-0.6
-0.1
Cleveland*-0.4
-0.0
Grand Rapids-0.6
-0.1
Iowa*-0.6
-0.1
Chicago-0.7
-0.1
Manitoba 5 Laval 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba+1.3
+1.2
+0.5
Rockford-0.2
-0.1
Milwaukee-0.2
-0.0
Cleveland-0.3
-0.0
Grand Rapids-0.2
-0.0
Iowa-0.3
-0.0
Chicago-0.1
Toronto 3 Syracuse 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba-0.4
Rockford-0.1
Grand Rapids+0.0
Tuesday
Chicago vs TexasIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba94.594.694.694.794.794.8
Rockford72.772.772.773.173.273.5
Milwaukee59.659.659.660.160.160.5
Cleveland54.955.055.055.555.555.8
Grand Rapids53.853.853.854.354.354.6
Iowa50.050.050.050.550.550.8
Chicago14.514.414.411.811.810.0
22.122.122.122.922.923.4
Manitoba vs LavalHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba95.695.595.594.294.292.9
10.610.610.58.48.46.9
5.55.55.56.16.16.5
Rockford72.872.872.873.073.073.3
11.711.711.711.611.611.6
Milwaukee59.859.859.860.060.060.3
14.014.014.013.913.913.9
Cleveland55.155.155.255.455.455.6
14.714.714.714.714.714.6
Grand Rapids53.953.953.954.254.254.4
14.914.914.914.914.914.8
Iowa50.150.250.250.450.450.7
15.515.515.515.515.515.4
Chicago12.612.612.6*12.712.712.9
Bakersfield vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba9.59.49.49.29.29.2
Charlotte vs BellevilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba9.39.39.39.49.49.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.