How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport 5 Hershey 1 +2.5
+0.1
+0.3
Providence 3 W-B/Scranton 2 -0.4
+0.0
-0.1
Utica 4 Lehigh Valley 7 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose vs Texas-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118250-0In99.8%100016,123
117240-1InYes10014
116241-0In97.71000217*
115231-1In97.0991507*
114232-0In94.79912,637*
113222-1In88.79735,510*
112223-0In83.896419,850*
111213-1In70.0919036,468*
110214-0In63.888120105,941*
109204-1In45.279210174,469*
108205-0In38.6740260420,223*
107195-1In21.2610391626,709*
106196-0In16.954045101,290,111*
105186-1In6.638058301,755,633*
104187-0In4.832062603,179,021*
103177-1In1.2180691303,960,202*
102178-0In0.81406801806,385,174*
101168-1In0.1606403007,295,612*
100169-0In0.15059036010,593,178*
99159-1100.0%0.010470511011,117,342*
981510-0100.00.010410572014,648,711*
971410-1100.00.0002806804014,138,343*
961411-0100.00.0002307007017,003,701*
951311-1100.0No0013074013015,092,127*
941312-099.9No0010071019016,638,013*
931212-199.8No004065030013,568,427*
921213-099.5No003059037013,749,807*
911113-198.8No10460520110,284,665*
901114-097.8No10390580209,598,936*
891014-195.1No00250700506,563,467*
881015-092.5No00200720705,654,381*
87915-186.3No001007601403,517,600*
86916-081.9No00807401802,794,015*
85816-171.4No00306802901,570,148*
84817-065.9No0206403401,151,947*
83717-152.6No00520470581,251*
82718-047.1No00460530392,952*
81618-133.7No00331660176,284*
80619-029.4No00281700109,732*
79519-118.5No0172811042,562*
78520-015.9No142831024,438*
77420-18.1No6288407,999*
76421-07.0No52875004,170*
75321-12.8No218412101,125*
74322-02.7No12821320559*
73222-1OutNo64333123*
72223-01.8No256271555*
71123-1OutNo2513638
70124-0OutNo67333
68025-0OutNo73040203016,110
Total:98.1%0.6%30230490220200000194,316,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport 5 Hershey 1 -0.5
Providence 3 W-B/Scranton 2 +0.1
Utica 4 Lehigh Valley 7 +0.1
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118250-010000
117240-1100
116241-09820
115231-19721
114232-09541
113222-18993
112223-084124
111213-1702190
110214-064241200
109204-145342100
108205-03936002600
107195-1213903901
106196-017370044010
105186-173200581300
104187-052700611600
103177-1117006631300
102178-01140063501800
101168-1060055903000
100169-004004811003600
99159-10100341300510100
981510-00100281300560200
971410-100001711006710400
961411-000001310006920700
951311-10005800704001300
941312-00003600666001900
931212-1001400569003000
921213-00003004811003700
911113-10100311500520010
901114-00100241500570020
891014-10000111400691050
881015-00000812007020070
87915-10002800724001400
86916-00001600695001800
85816-1000200599002900
84817-0002005211003400
83717-1000036160047100
82718-0000030170051100
81618-100015181063400
80619-000012171064600
79519-10413116713100
78520-0311116615200
77420-1061159266100
76421-004115429820
75321-10201313722520
74322-011129362183000
73222-11021282512121
72223-02525252975
71123-11313133825
70124-0333333
68025-0001516272717610
Total:130017600445002200020000000000