"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy
Binghamton 2 Utica 3 +0.3
-0.1
Lehigh Valley 1 W-B/Scranton 2 (ot)-0.3
Albany 4 Springfield 2 +0.3
-0.1
Worcester 3 Portland 4 +0.2
Milwaukee 2 Iowa 4 +0.1
Adirondack 7 San Antonio 6 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy
Syracuse vs Rochester-0.4-0.3-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Utica vs Binghamton+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.3
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Norfolk vs W-B/Scranton+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Manchester vs Hershey-0.1-0.3-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Portland vs St. John's+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
118-147In100.0%1008,209*
1175112-6In99.7100001,316*
1165113-5In99.4100002,342*
1155013-6In98.6100004,047*
1144913-7In98.4100006,706*
1134914-6In97.8990011,078*
1124814-7In96.39900117,450*
1114815-6In94.79810127,333*
1104715-7In92.5971241,839*
1094716-6In89.49620262,191*
1084616-7In85.294203091,522*
1074617-6In80.2923040132,377*
1064517-7In73.7894060185,963*
1054518-6In65.9856080256,162*
1044418-7In56.88090110347,344*
1034419-6In47.074110140462,019*
1024319-7In37.067151180603,690*
1014320-6In27.3591812200776,801*
1004220-7In18.7502122700978,226*
994221-6In11.64124332101,207,840*
984121-7In6.33126437201,469,087*
974122-6In3.123266423001,754,180*
964022-7In1.215258466002,059,834*
954023-6In0.49221049101002,373,251*
943923-7In0.15171149162002,692,960*
933924-6100.0%0.021312462340003,001,311*
923824-7100.00.01812403081003,292,107*
913724-8100.00.00511313614200003,548,320*
903725-7100.00.0029223822610003,758,312*
893625-899.8No0171334301220003,919,463*
883626-799.1No005726352161004,018,667*
873526-896.8No00331633291330004,052,604*
863527-791.0No0218253322810004,023,044*
853427-879.6No010315303016410003,926,523*
843428-762.4No000172232251020003,770,159*
833328-842.4No000031227311961003,565,466*
823329-724.5No000151831281330003,316,266*
813229-811.9No000021024322281003,035,129*
803230-74.9No000014163030164002,734,085*
793130-81.7No0000282232249202,421,545*
783131-70.5No00000414293117402,110,425*
773031-80.2No0000018223425911,813,078*
763032-70.0No000041531321531,529,513*
752932-80.0No0002925362351,270,540*
742933-70.0No00015183631101,038,934*
732833-80.0No0000212323816836,557*
722834-70.0No00017264223662,257*
712734-8OutNo0004204332515,596*
702735-7OutNo0002144242395,902*
692635-8OutNo00193851297,722*
682636-7OutNo00063360221,502*
672536-8OutNo0042868161,334*
662537-7OutNo0022275116,363*
652538-6OutNo01188181,970*
642438-7OutNo01148656,838*
632439-6OutNo00108938,659*
622339-7OutNo079326,358*
612340-6OutNo069417,162*
602240-7OutNo049611,261*
592241-6OutNo02987,243*
582141-7OutNo2984,490*
572142-6OutNo1992,725*
562042-7OutNo1991,689*
552043-6OutNo0100943*
541943-7OutNo199536*
531843-8OutNo0100307*
9-52OutNo1006,988*
Total:66.9%2.6%65414111098766543279,183,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-147100
1185212-51000
1175112-61000
1165113-5991
1155013-6991
1144913-7982
1134914-69820
1124814-79640
1114815-69550
1104715-793700
1094716-6891000
1084616-7851410
1074617-68018100
1064517-77423300
1054518-66629500
1044418-757348100
1034419-6473912200
1024319-73741184000
1014320-627402471000
1004220-71937291230000
994221-61231331861000
984121-762332241131000
974122-6315282917720000
964022-7182129241241000
954023-604132427209310000
943923-701616252516720000
933924-600281825231462000000
923824-7001310192522135200000
913724-8000141120242112510000000
903725-7000014112024211252000000
893625-800001411192421135200000
883626-700001410182321136201000
873526-80000139172322146130000
863527-700001381622221457200000
853427-800001271422221213510000
843428-70000261421191812510000
833328-800001514211719136200000
823329-70000171610202115721000
813229-800002941321221683100000
803230-70000141614212317931000
793130-80002026142123181041000
783131-7000000026142123181031000
773031-80000000261422241893100
763032-7000000027152324178200
752932-800000013817252416610
742933-70000013101926231340
732833-800000151223282181
722834-700000027172828153
712734-800013112432237
702735-70001617323113
692635-80000311283720
682636-70017224029
672536-800004174039
662537-7002113750
652538-600173359
642438-70042768
632439-6022275
622339-7011782
612340-6011386
602240-70990
592241-600793
582141-70595
572142-6397
562042-70397
552043-6199
541943-7199
531843-8199
521844-70100
9-51100
Total:334444555554444433333332222111