How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany 3 Bridgeport 2 -5.2
-1.0
-0.5
Adirondack 4 Lehigh Valley 2 +0.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport vs Springfield+4.4+4.0+3.5-1.1-1.2-5.6
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.6
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.6
Hartford vs Hershey+0.0-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Providence vs Portland+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
118-148In100.0%10019,263*
1175413-5In99.810001,162*
115-116In99.41005,691*
1145214-6In99.2100006,121*
1135114-7In99.21000010,289*
1125115-6In98.41000016,836*
1115015-7In97.41000027,127*
1105016-6In96.4991042,799*
1094916-7In94.69910066,062*
1084917-6In92.398100100,345*
1074817-7In89.0972010149,324*
1064818-6In84.8963010217,519*
1054718-7In79.1944020310,687*
1044719-6In72.0916020437,907*
1034619-7In63.7889030603,794*
1024519-8In53.98312050817,650*
1014520-7In43.5771617001,089,202*
1004420-8In32.76920110001,423,296*
994421-7In22.860252130001,832,303*
984321-8In14.350293171002,312,256*
974322-7In8.040325212002,870,236*
964222-8In3.8293482630003,508,367*
954223-7In1.52033113060004,212,943*
944123-8100.0%0.5123014341010004,971,141*
934124-7100.00.1624173515200005,780,469*
924024-8100.00.0318193322510006,611,479*
914025-7100.00.011119282910200007,432,075*
903925-8100.00.00617213318510008,223,044*
893926-799.8No031413312710200008,956,705*
883826-899.0No011062432196100009,597,270*
873827-796.1No0073153028133000010,133,458*
863727-888.7No0041722322392000010,517,098*
853728-774.2No0302122731196100010,750,697*
843628-853.5No0101517302814410010,822,949*
833629-732.0No01001822312410200010,722,617*
823529-815.6No00000312263120710010,453,217*
813530-76.2No0000151730291440010,038,120*
803430-82.0No00000292332249209,497,851*
793431-70.6No00000414293117408,845,628*
783331-80.2No00000172133261018,113,693*
773332-70.0No00000031330331737,321,060*
763232-80.0No000001723362676,505,748*
753233-70.0No0000003153435125,697,579*
743133-80.0No00000192941194,911,829*
733134-70.0No0000152243284,170,735*
723034-80.0No000031643383,484,595*
713035-7OutNo00011140482,867,702*
702935-8OutNo0001735582,325,271*
692936-7OutNo000429671,855,076*
682836-8OutNo000223741,458,519*
672837-7OutNo00118801,126,909*
662737-8OutNo011485857,327*
652738-7OutNo0001089644,023*
642638-8OutNo00792474,783*
632639-7OutNo00595344,163*
622539-8OutNo00496246,222*
612540-7OutNo0397173,185*
602440-8OutNo0298119,903*
592441-7OutNo019981,953*
582341-8OutNo19954,456*
572342-7OutNo010036,524*
562242-8OutNo010023,361*
552243-7OutNo0010014,965*
542143-8OutNo01009,264*
532144-7OutNo01005,817*
522044-8OutNo1003,506*
512045-7OutNo01002,086*
501945-8OutNo01001,186*
491946-7OutNo0100693*
4-48OutNo10018,850*
Total:51.0%1.9%555777777777776216,385,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Albany 3 Bridgeport 2 +1.1
Adirondack 4 Lehigh Valley 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport vs Springfield-0.9-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-148100
1185412-61000
1175413-51000
1165313-6991
1155213-7991
1145214-69910
1135114-7991
1125115-6982
1115015-79730
1105016-69640
1094916-795500
1084917-692700
1074817-7891100
1064818-6851410
1054718-77919200
1044719-672253000
1034619-764305100
1024519-8543691000
1014520-743391430000
1004420-833412051000
994421-72339261020000
984321-81433311651000
974322-782532229300000
964222-8416292716620000
954223-72921282312410000
944123-80413232619103100000
934124-701615242517931000000
924024-8002716232316831000000
914025-700028162323168310000000
903925-800012715222317931000000
893926-7000027142123181041000000
883826-80000025122023191251010000
873827-7000014101822201351300000
863727-80000138152221145920000
853728-7000012613202012167200000
843628-80000015111818201682100000
833629-70000014101716221793100000
823529-8000001411818231911410000
813530-7000001531018232012620000
803430-80000213918232114620000
793431-700001013917232215720000
783331-80000001381723231572000
773332-70000000139172423156200
763232-8000000013918252314510
753233-7000000014112126221130
743133-80000000151424281971
733134-7000000027182827143
723034-80000013112432226
713035-700001618323012
702935-80000312293719
692936-7000017234028
682836-80014174137
672837-70002123847
662737-8000183457
652738-700052966
642638-80032473
632639-700021980
622539-80011485
612540-7001189
602440-800892
592441-70694
582341-80496
572342-70397
562242-80298
552243-70199
542143-8199
532144-7199
522044-80100
512045-7199
501945-80100
491946-70100
481947-60100
471847-7100
461848-6199
4-45100
Total:223333333344444444444444433332