How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence vs St. John's+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport vs St. John's+4.4+4.0+3.4-1.0-1.0-5.3
+0.8+0.7+0.6-0.2-0.3-0.9
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
Adirondack vs Albany+0.4*+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Norfolk vs Hershey+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Syracuse vs Springfield+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
W-B/Scranton vs Lehigh Valley+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Portland vs Providence+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Binghamton vs Worcester+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
116-152In99.9%10012,216*
1155415-7In99.610003,065*
1145416-6In99.710004,919*
1135316-7In99.5100007,969*
1125317-6In99.31000012,563*
1115217-7In98.91000019,663*
1105117-8In98.41000029,456*
1095118-7In97.4991044,271*
1085018-8In96.09910065,432*
1075019-7In94.29820094,062*
1064919-8In91.597301134,363*
1054920-7In88.196401186,201*
1044820-8In82.9935010255,481*
1034821-7In76.4908020342,379*
1024721-8In68.48610030453,299*
1014722-7In58.78114040590,342*
1004622-8In47.774191600755,857*
994623-7In36.466232900953,151*
984523-8In25.55628312001,181,013*
974524-7In16.146335151001,441,577*
964424-8In8.8353671920001,728,372*
954425-7In4.12537112440002,044,538*
944325-8In1.51635152761002,381,284*
934326-7100.0%0.493019301110002,728,128*
924226-8100.00.1423223017300003,078,496*
914227-7100.00.0216232724810003,419,487*
904127-8100.00.019232129143000003,746,117*
894128-799.80.005201429228100004,041,472*
884028-899.2No021672429165100004,287,387*
874029-797.0No0112316292511300004,485,541*
863929-890.5No00818233021820004,623,671*
853829-977.1No050313272917510004,691,263*
843830-856.7No030151830271330004,697,635*
833730-934.4No020029223123920004,629,036*
823731-816.8No0100031226301961004,498,674*
813631-96.6No000015173028144004,309,966*
803632-82.1No00000292232249204,060,955*
793532-90.6No00000313283118503,775,851*
783533-80.2No00000172033271013,461,324*
773433-90.1No00000031229341943,126,331*
763434-80.0No000001621362882,778,949*
753334-90.0No000003143336142,433,400*
743335-80.0No00000182742222,106,288*
733235-90.0No000042043321,793,085*
723236-80.0No000021442421,504,816*
713136-9OutNo0001938521,245,689*
703137-8OutNo0000532621,013,865*
693037-9OutNo000032670813,810*
683038-8OutNo00022078645,038*
673039-7OutNo0011584501,704*
662939-8OutNo0001188386,137*
652940-7OutNo00891292,440*
642840-8OutNo00694218,281*
632841-7OutNo00496160,401*
622741-8OutNo0397115,922*
612742-7OutNo029883,063*
602642-8OutNo019958,539*
592643-7OutNo19939,781*
582543-8OutNo19926,949*
572544-7OutNo010018,630*
562444-8OutNo010012,030*
552445-7OutNo01007,946*
542345-8OutNo01005,092*
532346-7OutNo01003,194*
0-52OutNo10012,984*
Total:53.3%3.3%77777777777777796,680,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport vs St. John's-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.2+0.2+1.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-152100
1195714-51000
1185614-61000
1175514-71000
1165515-61000
1155415-71000
1145416-61000
1135316-7991
1125317-6991
1115217-7991
1105117-89820
1095118-79730
1085018-89640
1075019-794600
1064919-892800
1054920-7881110
1044820-88316100
1034821-77621200
1024721-868274000
1014722-759337100
1004622-84838122000
994623-736401841000
984523-8263925920000
974524-716343015410000
964424-89263222920000
954425-74172827166200000
944325-829212823135100000
934326-703122226201141000000
924226-8015132225191041000000
914227-70016132124181041000000
904127-80001513202319115200000000
894128-70000151119232013620000000
884028-8000014916222115831010000
874029-7000012714202217104130000
863929-800002511182219114720000
853829-9000013815211910156200000
843830-80000002512191819157210000
833730-9000001411181520169410000
823731-80000014127172219125200000
813631-900000152816222114731000
803632-800002027152122179310000
793532-9000010026132123181041000
783533-800000002612202419114100
773433-900000000251221242011410
763434-80000000025132226201030
753334-90000000261524261871
743335-8000000028182826143
733235-90000013112431237
723236-80000001617313113
713136-900000311273722
703137-8000016214032
693037-900003153943
683038-80001103653
672938-900163063
662939-800032472
652940-700021979
642840-80011485
632841-7001089
622741-800892
612742-700595
602642-80496
592643-70397
582543-80298
572544-7199
562444-8199
552445-70100
542345-80100
532346-70100
522246-80100
512247-70100
0-50100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333