How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport 5 Lehigh Valley 2 +4.2
+0.5
+0.4
Springfield 4 Providence 5 (so)+1.3
+0.1
Hershey 3 W-B/Scranton 4 (ot)+1.1
+0.1
Binghamton 6 Hartford 3 +0.2
Toronto 1 St. John's 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tucson vs Manitoba-0.0*-0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport 3 Binghamton 2 (ot)+2.1
+0.5
+0.2
Hartford 4 Providence 3 (so)+0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
117-140In100.0%1006,462*
1164411-2In99.610001,506*
1154412-1In99.310002,674*
1144312-2In99.2100004,618*
1134212-3In98.899007,740*
1124213-2In98.2990112,764*
1114113-3In97.1980220,448*
1104114-2In95.89702032,898*
1094014-3In93.99613049,970*
1084015-2In91.29514075,421*
1073915-3In87.5921600110,090*
1063916-2In82.7892900158,554*
1053816-3In76.78531200221,934*
1043817-2In69.780416000306,011*
1033717-3In61.274520010411,060*
1023718-2In52.2676250100544,131*
1013618-3In42.3598310300697,240*
1003619-2In33.3519360400886,722*
993519-3In24.342104106001,089,090*
983520-2100.0%17.43411451100001,330,247*
973420-3100.011.425114821401001,577,352*
963421-2100.07.41810492190101,844,111*
953321-3100.04.112104842502002,099,310*
943322-2100.02.28844531040002,366,151*
933222-399.90.94739737160002,595,504*
923223-299.90.43532842190002,811,639*
913123-399.70.113249462140002,968,477*
903124-299.40.012189473190103,098,461*
893024-398.80.001129465260103,141,975*
883025-297.90.00178427330203,164,122*
872925-396.30.000463794014003,091,828*
862926-294.0No0025301145160002,995,248*
852826-390.6No0013221250390002,824,779*
842827-286.2No00021512524131002,638,350*
832727-380.3No0011011517191002,390,875*
822728-273.4No0016104710242002,149,927*
812628-365.2No0003841133040001,880,877*
802629-256.7No0001633163670001,629,515*
792529-347.4No0014251841111001,373,686*
782530-238.5No00002181843162001,146,148*
772430-330.0No001111743234000930,992*
762431-222.8No00171540297100748,653*
752331-316.2No000312353512200585,111*
742332-211.2No00029293818400453,261*
732232-37.2No0016223924710341,425*
722233-24.7No0041537311120254,285*
712133-32.7No0031032361730184,514*
702134-21.5No001626382350132,370*
692034-30.7No00131937309192,141*
682035-20.4No000213353513263,278*
671935-30.1No018303919342,363*
661936-20.0No005244025528,336*
651836-30.0No003174131818,277*
641837-20.0No0011337371211,588*
631737-30.0No00183341177,050*
621738-2OutNo062745234,376*
611638-3OutNo032145302,613*
601639-2OutNo011745361,495*
591539-3OutNo1124245844*
581540-2OutNo084348516*
571440-3OutNo053758258*
561441-2OutNo63065155*
551442-1OutNo3237470*
541342-2OutNo307030*
531343-1OutNo148621*
521243-2OutNo138715*
511244-1OutNo14867*
26-50OutNo1004,781*
Total:85.9%5.1%8317423523493100057,666,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport 5 Lehigh Valley 2 -0.8
Springfield 4 Providence 5 (so)-0.1
Hershey 3 W-B/Scranton 4 (ot)-0.1
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport 3 Binghamton 2 (ot)-0.4
Hartford 4 Providence 3 (so)-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-140100
1174511-11000
1164411-210000
1154412-19900
1144312-299000
1134212-399100
1124213-298101
1114113-397102
1104114-2962020
1094014-3942130
1084015-29131040
1073915-3875106000
1063916-2836209000
1053816-377830120000
1043817-2701140160000
1033717-36113502000100
1023718-252156025001000
1013618-342177030103000
1003619-2331880351004000
993519-3241891401006000
983520-217161014321090000
973420-31114914532014001000
963421-2711924452018000100
953321-3488241740240002000
943322-226623595030100400000
933222-3144228116035210600000
923223-20232201171393109000000
913123-301221311814052014000000
903124-201118108239830191001000
893024-3000148723512502420010000
883025-2000125532815612930020000
872925-3000013432017813361030000
862926-200002231317823511105100000
852826-3000011271583341620810000
842827-200000123127529234111200000
832727-30000118662328521441000000
822728-200001054616327316721000000
812628-30000032693285171151000000
802629-200000115529881715831000000
792529-3000010322371115181252100000
782530-20000000211761312191694100000
772430-30001011413818191373100000
762431-200010721351419171163100000
752331-3000003111310171916105210000
742332-20000021916131919159421000
732232-300106028152019148410000
722233-200040141017211813731000
712133-300030026131921181152000
702134-20001001381521211694100
692034-30001001410182221147210
682035-2000000261320231911410
671935-30013816232316820
661936-2000014112025211241
651836-30000271525251771
641837-20001410202723123
631737-300017162627175
621738-20013122429247
611638-302819313011
601639-201414323217
591539-30211253625
581540-216234227
571440-305164138
561441-25173445
551442-11103653
541342-24753
531343-151976
521243-22080
511244-11486
26-50100
Total:532112431176321492253211110000000