"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester vs Hershey+0.3+0.3+0.4-0.3-0.3-0.4
Hartford vs St. John's-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.4+0.4
Providence vs Albany-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.4+0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport vs Providence+4.0+2.9+2.9-4.8-4.8-5.0
+0.7+0.5+0.5-0.8-0.8-0.9
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.5-0.5-0.5
Binghamton vs Hershey+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.3-0.4
W-B/Scranton vs Hartford-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0
Lehigh Valley vs Springfield-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
117-152In100.0%10022,518*
1165616-4In99.61000988*
1155617-3In99.91001,590*
1145517-4In99.610002,703*
1135518-3In99.810004,743*
1125418-4In99.5100007,588*
1115419-3In99.41000012,322*
1105319-4In99.11000019,300*
1095320-3In98.51000029,896*
1085220-4In97.910000045,795*
1075221-3In96.9991068,556*
1065121-4In95.59910101,807*
1055122-3In93.698110147,909*
1045022-4In91.1982100211,198*
1035023-3In87.796210295,909*
1024923-4In83.3953200411,727*
1014924-3In78.19352000560,722*
1004824-4In72.19064000754,932*
994825-3In65.28695000994,747*
984725-4In57.58211700001,294,270*
974726-3In49.176149000001,661,927*
964626-4In40.0691812010002,097,625*
954627-3In30.7612116110002,609,782*
944527-4100.0%22.25325201200003,200,677*
934528-3100.014.94428242300003,862,390*
924428-4100.09.235302735000004,597,468*
914429-3100.05.226313057010005,388,249*
904329-4100.02.61830318101100006,236,571*
894330-3100.01.212283012141200007,102,946*
884230-499.90.472528161824000007,985,893*
874231-399.90.142023192147100008,840,822*
864131-499.60.02161822237112000009,655,101*
854132-399.10.01111223241115310000010,390,781*
844032-498.00.007721221521510000011,028,860*
834033-395.80.004418181826731000011,533,864*
823933-492.00.003214132131952100011,911,116*
813934-385.8No01110821341184200012,112,919*
803834-477.0No01064193512117310012,159,385*
793835-365.7No000421534111411620012,021,958*
783735-452.8No000211130916161041011,733,274*
773736-339.7No0010725715201582011,286,374*
763636-427.8No00004194132121124110,713,291*
753637-318.2No00002132102025188210,019,720*
743537-411.2No000019161726241239,250,226*
733538-36.4No000015041325281858,415,245*
723438-43.5No0000302821312597,551,149*
713439-31.8No0002015173131146,685,902*
703339-40.9No0001003122836215,831,069*
693340-30.4No000000172339295,014,100*
683240-40.2No00000141840374,259,922*
673241-30.1No00000021338463,558,728*
663141-40.0No000001934552,940,169*
653142-30.0No000001630642,388,643*
643042-40.0No00000425711,917,233*
633043-30.0No0000220771,513,595*
622943-40.0No0000116831,179,628*
612944-30.0No00011287908,434*
602844-40.0No0000990685,173*
592845-30.0No000793511,065*
582745-40.0No000595376,991*
572746-3OutNo0397273,673*
562646-4OutNo0298194,888*
552647-3OutNo0298137,675*
542547-4OutNo019994,686*
532548-3OutNo019964,929*
522448-4OutNo019943,782*
512449-3OutNo0010028,892*
502349-4OutNo010018,969*
492350-3OutNo010012,132*
482250-4OutNo01007,867*
472251-3OutNo01004,709*
0-46OutNo10028,433*
Total:60.9%3.3%777777144567777257,038,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Rochester vs Hershey-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1
Providence vs Albany+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Hartford vs St. John's+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport vs Providence-0.9-0.6-0.6+1.0+1.1+1.1
Binghamton vs Hershey-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-152100
1185715-4991
1175716-31000
1165616-410000
1155617-31000
1145517-410000
1135518-310000
1125418-499000
1115419-399100
1105319-499100
1095320-398100
1085220-4982000
1075221-397210
1065121-4953100
1055122-394510100
1045022-4916201000
1035023-388920100
1024923-48312302000
1014924-378155020000
1004824-4721860300000
994825-36521805000000
984725-4582411170000000
974726-34927131910000000
964626-440291621110010000
954627-331311831421010000000
944527-4223119516410200000000
934528-31529208186203000000000
924428-49251911189304100000000
914429-35211713181241610010000000
904329-431614161615628200100000000
894330-31111117131884941020000000000
884230-407817919106117214100000000000
874231-30451661710911103161100000000000
864131-402313315101210134382110000000000
854132-301110111814816651141100000000000
844032-400171761551678147221100000000000
834033-30004044153158111511342110000000000
823933-400020221211171415163622111000000000
813934-300101191861514203833321100000000
803834-400100060441511243945543210000000
793835-3000004022138252946664321100000
783735-4000002011105251846887542110000
773736-3000010017322163681010864311000
763636-40000000411704247101111107531100
753637-3000000211302125811131211853100
743537-400000010901013691214141295310
733538-300000105000013610131515139520
723438-40000003000001371115171613841
713439-3000002000000247121618171372
703339-40000100000124813182018114
693340-30000000000012510162122167
683240-400000000001261220252211
673241-300000000013817262817
663141-4000000001512243224
653142-30000000138213533
643042-4000000015163542
633043-3000013123451
622943-400000283159
612944-30000162767
602844-40000042373
592845-3000021979
582745-4000011584
572746-30011188
562646-4000891
552647-300694
542547-400495
532548-30397
522448-40298
512449-30199
502349-40199
492350-30199
482250-40100
472251-30100
462151-40100
452152-30100
442052-40100
432053-30100
421953-4100
411954-3199
0-40100
Total:343434353525591312233333333333