How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose 5 Stockton 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley vs Bridgeport-4.3*-0.1*-0.3+4.6+4.8+5.1
-0.6-0.1-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.7
-0.9-0.0-0.1+0.9+0.9+1.0
Milwaukee vs Hershey-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Syracuse vs Binghamton+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Count
113-148InYes100487*
1125316-4In98.7%99175*
1115317-3InYes10085*
1105217-4In99.4991173*
1095218-3In99.61000266*
1085118-4In98.6991444*
1075119-3In97.9982631*
1065019-4In97.7982941*
1055020-3In96.797301,501*
1044920-4In93.794602,250*
1034921-3In92.092803,206*
1024821-4In88.8891014,604*
1014822-3In84.38415106,486*
1004722-4In78.47820209,120*
994723-3In71.6722530012,287*
984623-4In63.9643050016,456*
974624-3In54.8553591021,575*
964524-4In43.6444014200028,017*
954525-3In34.0344020510036,041*
944425-4In23.82440269200045,429*
934426-3In15.215343115410055,465*
924326-4In8.992733218200067,864*
914327-3In4.3418302714510081,766*
904227-4In1.9210232921103100096,511*
894228-3In0.6151526261772000112,651*
884128-4In0.202818262414620000129,411*
874129-3In0.00031020262213510000146,170*
864029-4In0.00014112025211251000163,224*
854030-3In0.0000141120252012510000179,489*
843930-4InNo00014112024201251000194,011*
833931-3100.0%No000141119242113620000207,396*
823831-499.9No00013918232214720000217,137*
813832-399.2No0013816232316831000225,347*
803732-495.5No00002714222318931000229,966*
793733-383.2No000025132024191141000231,384*
783633-459.2No0000141119242113620000229,370*
773634-331.0No0001391723221472000223,888*
763534-411.3No000013816232316831000216,787*
753535-32.8No00000271422241793100204,852*
743435-40.5No00026142224181031000191,371*
733436-30.1No0002513212519104100175,873*
723336-40.0No00002613222519103100160,026*
713337-30.0No0000261423251993000142,807*
703237-4OutNo000027152425177200126,970*
693238-3OutNo0002817262515510110,287*
683138-4OutNo001310212823112094,462*
673139-3OutNo00015142529196179,814*
663039-4OutNo0002719302712266,820*
653040-3OutNo001312273320454,855*
642940-4OutNo0017203529843,783*
632941-3OutNo000031432371435,274*
622841-4OutNo0001827412227,787*
612842-3OutNo01521443021,382*
602742-4OutNo00215434016,182*
592743-3OutNo0110395012,125*
582643-4OutNo0635589,053*
572644-3OutNo00429676,583*
562544-4OutNo0224744,692*
552545-3OutNo120793,313*
542445-4OutNo114852,409*
532446-3OutNo011891,665*
522346-4OutNo09911,096*
512347-3OutNo0694716*
502247-4OutNo0496462*
492248-3OutNo397317*
482148-4OutNo298192*
472149-3OutNo496103*
2-46OutNo100578*
Total:56.6%2.4%2333344444444444444444333332214,793,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs