How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hershey 3 W-B/Scranton 5 +2.7
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield vs Bridgeport-4.7-4.6-4.6+5.1+5.1+5.2
-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.3
Providence vs Rochester-0.7-0.6-0.6+1.3+1.4+1.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Bridgeport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120400-0In99.8%100054,272
114-116InYes1004*
113363-1In66.767333*
112353-2In83.3831712*
111354-1In61.9712942*
110344-2In58.867321131*
109345-1In50.162371341*
108335-2In37.4510472925*
107336-1In24.5405642,079*
106326-2In20.63405974,827*
105327-1In11.6230661110,059*
104317-2In8.21806616021,951*
103318-1In3.511065023042,349*
102308-2In2.28062030083,665*
101309-1In0.740560400148,425*
100299-2100.0%0.4304904700273,022*
992910-1100.00.1104105710455,860*
982810-2100.00.0103406320780,460*
972811-1100.00.000260700301,219,931*
962711-2100.00.000210740501,946,257*
952712-199.90.000140770902,862,621*
942612-299.80.00010076013004,288,906*
932613-199.50.00060740190005,937,469*
922513-299.0No0040690260108,352,070*
912514-198.0No00206103402010,926,330*
902414-296.3No00105304104014,486,222*
892415-193.6No104304906017,914,532*
882315-289.9No0035054010022,417,275*
872316-184.4No0025159016026,220,699*
862216-278.1No00181590220031,033,580*
852217-169.8No001115803000034,364,887*
842117-261.6No00715303810038,489,024*
832118-151.6No00414714710040,393,421*
822018-243.2No002139155200042,843,014*
812019-133.6No001030263400042,606,213*
801919-226.6No000023367600042,845,041*
791920-119.1No0001537110000040,372,196*
781820-214.2No001047015100038,479,731*
771821-19.3No00646721200034,348,129*
761721-26.5No00336128410031,041,190*
751722-13.8No00135135910026,241,607*
741622-22.5No001241401430022,475,147*
731623-11.3No00129422261017,981,756*
721523-20.8No001203928111014,583,596*
711524-10.3No00113335183011,033,709*
701424-20.2No006263725608,476,813*
691425-10.1No0021736341016,043,038*
681325-20.0No0011131401614,394,147*
671326-10.0No00524442422,953,457*
661226-20.0No00318433242,027,456*
651227-10.0No00110404171,280,484*
641127-20.0No0007354612828,391*
631128-1OutNo003275218490,096*
621028-2OutNo002215324298,445*
611029-1OutNo01145233164,672*
60929-2OutNo0010494094,238*
59930-1OutNo05435148,722*
58830-2OutNo04385925,967*
57831-1OutNo02296912,245*
56731-2OutNo125746,116*
55732-1OutNo017832,697*
54632-2OutNo014861,264*
53633-1OutNo1288485*
52533-2OutNo397218*
51534-1OutNo69464*
40-50OutNo10054,325*
Total:40.8%0.0%001011028141114210654,786,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Hershey 3 W-B/Scranton 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Springfield vs Bridgeport+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.6-0.6-0.6
Providence vs Rochester+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120400-010000
114-116100
113363-16733
112353-28317
111354-1621029
110344-2598321
109345-15012371
108335-237140472
107336-124155504
106326-2211305907
105327-11212065111
104317-281000641160
103318-1380063302300
102308-2260058403000
101309-1130051504000
100299-20200437047000
992910-101003380056110
982810-201002690062120
972811-10000179006820300
962711-20000129007040500
952712-100007800707009000
942612-20000460066100013000
932613-100002500591400190000
922513-200013005018002500100
912514-10000200392300331002000
902414-2000100292500392004000
892415-10100182600455006000
882315-2000011240046900100000
872316-1000052000441400151000
862216-20000315003921001920000
852217-10001100130270025510000
842117-200007012232002882000000
832118-100003011334103114300000
822018-200002017321031206100000
812019-1000100327112926101000000
801919-2000000222212630143000000
791920-1000001152221332151000000
781820-200001022163126102100000
771821-100006129273116520000000
761721-200003125213122103100000
751722-1000112213282716731000000
741622-200010217212721125210000
731623-100010313242518105200000
721523-20001017172322159410000
711524-1000002918232114731000
701424-20000015121922191262000
691425-10000001614212319114100
681325-200000138162223168200
671326-1000013919252314510
661226-200002513222620920
651227-10000271727271651
641127-20000141123292281
631128-100015173030143
621028-20013112633215
611029-100162035299
60929-2000415333414
59930-10018284022
58830-20015224130
57831-102154241
56731-202103850
55732-1053263
54632-2042869
53633-132077
52533-211485
51534-1991
50434-2298
46-49100
40040-00100
Total:00000000560013151116141164321110000