How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester 3 Utica 2 (ot)*-0.3
Toronto 3 Syracuse 2 (ot)*+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Binghamton vs Toronto+5.9+4.6+4.6-3.5-3.6-3.6
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2
St. John's vs Albany-2.1-1.6-1.4+2.0+2.0+2.0
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Rochester vs Syracuse-1.3-0.9-0.7+1.2+1.1+1.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Utica vs W-B/Scranton-1.0-0.7-0.9+0.6+0.6+0.5
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Binghamton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
95230-0InNo1000583
91212-0InNo1002*
90202-1InNo67336*
89203-0InNo693126*
88193-1InNo54301670*
87194-0InNo4839130231*
86184-1InNo2751211515*
85185-0InNo234529021,318*
84175-1InNo104343042,476*
83176-099.9%No8354809005,863*
82166-199.9No222570170010,243*
81156-299.6No217560250020,740*
80157-198.7No075104001032,424*
79147-297.1No054404812058,197*
78148-193.4No0130062150084,064*
77138-288.7No01230652910136,074*
76139-179.5No01206721720178,451*
75129-270.8No008063223300263,096*
741210-155.3No0352234810313,663*
731110-232.2No03214520300250,695*
1211-063.5No0460230400172,373
721111-128.6No002814323400462,711*
711011-211.5No012036381210336,059*
1112-035.0No0351461720231,574
701012-112.8No01303938910401,674
911-32.5No3017443060163,042*
69912-22.7No03019452950316,182
1013-010.5No010033361640318,288*
68913-11.9No20144033100575,722*
67813-20.2No042645241340,413*
914-02.6No3018452950250,241
66814-10.2No0032344282485,385*
65714-20.0No00938476255,861*
815-00.2No0042846211199,873
64715-10.0No00835497336,672*
63615-20.0No005295411289,586*
62616-10.0No001186219190,282*
61617-0OutNo01146025148,279*
60517-1OutNo06563886,637*
59518-0OutNo04524460,656*
58418-1OutNo01415830,214*
57419-0OutNo1366318,954*
56319-1OutNo024757,926*
55320-0OutNo021794,554*
54220-1OutNo12881,485*
53221-0OutNo1189779*
52121-1OutNo595162*
51122-0OutNo19967*
50022-1OutNo1008
49023-0OutNo199584
Total:19.7%No000301701921201647,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Stockton 5 Texas 1 +0.0
Chicago 4 Cleveland 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Binghamton vs Toronto-1.0-0.9-0.9+0.6+0.6+0.6
St. John's vs Albany+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Utica vs W-B/Scranton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Tucson vs San Jose+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Springfield vs Lehigh Valley+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0
Bakersfield vs Ontario+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
95230-01980
91212-0100
90202-16733
89203-06931
88193-154426106
87194-048038760
86184-12705111101
85185-0230451020002
84175-11004310330040
83176-080358400080000
82166-120225520016100
81156-22017452002230000
80157-107349003370100
79147-2052420036121110000
78148-1010300039231321000
77138-20102300333115310000
76139-10012024431774100000
75129-200080174617974100000
741210-1037460612138410000
731110-20131028182013620000
1211-00495107141041000
721111-100128017161915831000
711011-2001100161725211241000
1112-0013402102020103000
701012-1001300172027219200
911-3300031325291872000
69912-20020031224281982000
1013-000130172027219200
68913-12000310212721114100
67813-20001619302613300
914-030004132729175100
66814-10001516282716510
65714-200031430321740
815-0000172132261020
64715-1000031227321951
63615-20002821322691
62616-10002112936184
61617-000182337257
60517-100213353614
59518-0019303920
58418-103194435
57419-002144242
56319-10063460
55320-0043066
54220-111882
53221-011683
52121-11792
51122-0397
50022-1100
49023-00199
Total:0000003004130135789101098631