How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Texas vs Manitoba-0.2-0.2*-0.2+0.4+0.4+0.4
Tucson vs Ontario-0.1*-0.1*-0.2*+0.2*+0.1+0.1
Iowa vs Grand Rapids-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bakersfield finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
103350-0In80.7%955409
97323-0InYes1001
94304-1InNo1002*
93294-2InNo4444119*
92295-1InNo9553611*
91285-2InNo1753171330*
90286-1InNo95726969*
89276-2InNo34629201149*
88277-1InNo135293131294*
87267-2InNo1323029621579*
86268-1InNo022224210211,082*
85258-299.9%No0171646154202,071*
84259-199.7No01111462094003,574*
83249-299.5No07843221370006,105*
822410-198.5No34372419120109,915*
812310-296.6No1228222319130016,022*
802311-191.9No0118182726271023,642*
792211-285.1No00111325324132036,290*
782212-173.7No00572135621500050,518*
772112-260.8No00341531829910072,503*
762113-143.2No119239361730094,718*
752013-229.2No001514937267100127,701*
742014-114.9No00168343513200156,063*
731914-28.8No001352639214100195,650*
721915-13.2No0121739309100227,293*
711815-21.7No00111333615300267,610*
701816-10.4No0005254022610291,941*
691716-20.2No000217382911200323,709*
681717-10.0No0019323518400333,308*
671617-20.0No005253625810348,503*
661618-1OutNo021634321320337,065*
651518-2OutNo011029352040332,332*
641519-1OutNo00522372880302,451*
631419-2OutNo03153434131281,613*
621420-1OutNo0192940201239,748*
611320-2OutNo00152341283210,736*
601321-1OutNo0021540375168,037*
591221-2OutNo0110344410138,784*
581222-1OutNo005255218104,635*
571122-2OutNo00316542780,757*
561123-1OutNo007543856,200*
551023-2OutNo005504540,616*
541024-1OutNo02435526,756*
53924-2OutNo02376118,298*
52925-1OutNo1316911,060*
51825-2OutNo025746,851*
50826-1OutNo020803,778*
49726-2OutNo16842,333*
48727-1OutNo11891,161*
47627-2OutNo991643*
46628-1OutNo595265*
45528-2OutNo694144*
44529-1OutNo29849*
33-43OutNo100457*
Total:6.2%0.0%00011121611161716141034,954,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Iowa vs Grand Rapids+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
103350-081145
97323-0100
94304-1100
93294-244331111
92295-194591818
91285-217431010713
90286-194974229
89276-233313326201
88277-112312228301211
87267-2120123272814221
86268-1013101213935521
85258-20981164247740200
84259-1047010397912931000
83249-20240836881513061000
822410-1120428961818093010
812310-201022085182201261300
802311-1001117215261161127100
792211-20006511123116164011310
782212-100023072021519601871000
772112-200120414211198022124100
762113-100017261790252192000
752013-2000014131181222716510000
742014-10001105711731241030000
731914-20000034110272917610000
721915-1000121520322511310000
711815-2000010313272917720000
701816-100001620302412510000
691716-200000313252718931000
681717-100001618272415721000
671617-200003112125201252000
661618-10015142325181041000
651518-200281723231572000
641519-1000310202522135100
631419-20026142325199200
621420-1002718262515510
611320-20001412222821920
601321-1000161627281651
591221-2001311222923102
581222-100015142630195
571122-2000281834289
561123-100110353915
551023-2016294321
541024-1003234529
53924-2002174437
52925-101114147
51825-2083755
50826-1053164
49726-232670
48727-1021978
47627-211584
46628-101189
45528-21892
44529-1298
43429-2496
33-42100
Total:000000000010121036810101099875431