Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
W-B/Scranton235112-12096.9%-0.127.1%-3.627221131442072004100210000000000004.3-0.201.596Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Charlotte202107-0675.0-0.42.8-0.5343114621155201441010532111100000010.9-0.124.551BellevilleCharlotte Checkers
ProvidenceWHershey 4-118485-2870.6+9.42.4+0.7243112521145201441011643211110000011.6+1.5321.560Providence Bruins
BridgeportWSpringfield 2-118397-0868.4+4.32.1+0.1232111521145201441012643211110000011.9+0.717.562Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Lehigh Valley222105-2062.7-1.21.5-0.423219421134201451013753221111000012.8-0.153.534Lehigh Valley Phantoms
HersheyLProvidence 1-418188-2-1212.9-8.60.0-0.100001100211042108988777665544220.9-1.568.489Hershey Bears
Hartford17178-3-139.4-0.80.0-0.000000000110032106877777776665421.9+0.1023.481Hartford Wolf Pack
SpringfieldLBridgeport 1-213612-1-94.2-2.60.0-0.0000000000000110034556677889910924.1-0.8030.495Springfield Thunderbirds

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Providence 4 Hershey 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte-0.0
Providence+3.8
+0.3
+0.6
Bridgeport-0.1
-0.0
Lehigh Valley*-0.1
-0.0
Hershey-3.4
-0.6
Hartford*-0.1
Springfield*-0.1
Bridgeport 2 Springfield 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.1
-0.0
Charlotte-0.4
-0.1
Providence-0.4
-0.1
Bridgeport+3.4
+0.4
+0.6
Lehigh Valley-0.6
-0.1
Hershey-0.3
Hartford-0.2
Springfield-1.5
-0.5
Toronto 3 Syracuse 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-1.1
Charlotte-0.2
Providence-0.2
Bridgeport-0.1
Lehigh Valley-0.1
Hershey+0.0
Manitoba 5 Laval 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.3
Charlotte-0.1
Providence-0.1
Bridgeport-0.1
Rockford 4 Chicago 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte*-0.0
Springfield*+0.0
Tuesday
Charlotte vs BellevilleIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton96.896.896.897.097.097.1
27.027.027.027.327.227.3
4.44.44.44.34.34.2
Charlotte77.777.577.573.773.770.3
3.43.33.32.52.51.9
10.410.410.411.111.111.7
Providence70.070.070.070.870.871.6
11.611.611.611.511.511.4
Bridgeport67.867.867.868.768.769.4
12.012.012.011.911.911.8
Lehigh Valley62.162.162.163.063.063.8
12.912.912.912.812.812.7
Hershey12.512.512.513.013.013.5
Hartford9.19.19.19.59.59.9
Springfield4.04.04.14.24.24.4
Manitoba vs LavalHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton26.826.826.827.427.427.8
Charlotte2.82.82.82.92.92.9
Providence2.32.32.32.42.42.5
Bridgeport2.02.02.02.12.12.1
Lehigh Valley1.51.51.51.51.51.6
Bakersfield vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton27.627.327.326.826.926.8
Charlotte2.92.92.92.82.82.8
Providence2.42.42.42.32.32.3
Bridgeport2.12.12.12.02.02.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.