How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. John's vs Albany-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2
No*No*No*No*No+0.0
-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.3
Rochester vs Syracuse+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Binghamton vs Toronto-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0
+0.1+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1
Utica vs W-B/Scranton-0.0-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Albany finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inKilpatrickChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
104210-0In6.5%3664596
103200-1InNo178324
102201-0In0.42179236*
101191-1In0.3793396*
100192-0In0.1595001,959*
99182-1InNo198002,979*
98183-0InNo1990010,594*
97173-1InNo0990115,202*
96174-0InNo0980140,660*
95164-1InNo0960352,055*
94165-0InNo095040116,140*
93155-1InNo910900135,059*
92156-0InNo920800167,315
145-2InNo810190087,513*
91146-1InNo8002000269,680*
90147-0InNo8201800282,594
136-2InNo6503401160,603*
89137-1InNo6303601427,190*
88138-0InNo6603301387,751
127-2InNo45051040234,007*
87128-1InNo4605003460,734
117-3InNo26620120082,223*
86129-0InNo46050030435,071
118-2InNo256201200271,712*
85119-1InNo2606201100473,334
108-3InNo1161280086,892*
841110-0InNo266201100401,841
109-2InNo116002900254,475*
831010-1100.0%No1059031000472,515*
821011-0InNo116102700306,886
910-2100.0No345500100193,980*
81911-1100.0No343520200325,613*
80912-0100.0No346490100195,407
811-299.9No1256707000119,344*
79812-199.8No02367090000184,378*
78813-099.5No019670130000161,808*
77713-198.2No0865025010084,390*
76714-096.6No0660030130067,822*
75614-190.3No14445181031,098*
74615-085.0No138461122023,080*
73515-168.4No01850124619,088*
72516-061.0No015461289106,196*
71416-135.1No43103722502,085*
70417-028.0No32503627811,279*
69317-110.2No102938203342*
68318-06.6No72637274197*
67218-1OutNo2228311932*
66219-0OutNo1126422119*
65119-1OutNo67333
62021-0OutNo2215621583
Total:99.7%0.0%037042019020000007,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 3 Syracuse 2 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
St. John's vs Albany+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.5-0.5-0.5
Binghamton vs Toronto-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.2
Rochester vs Syracuse-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104210-07304222
103200-1172558
102201-00203148
101191-1072073
100192-005217400
99182-1189000
98183-019900000
97173-105940010
96174-004940010
95164-101950031
94165-0019400310
93155-10900054000
92156-00920053000
145-208106120000
91146-1080006140000
90147-0082007110000
136-26505290010
89137-1063005310010
88138-006605280000
127-245024900310
87128-104602480021
117-32616205700
86129-046024800210
118-225162005700
85119-1260162005600
108-311061622000
841110-02616205600
109-21106006230000
831010-110059062500000
821011-011061006210000
910-230454460010000
81911-130434480020000
80912-03046445001000
811-21253640061000
79812-1023365007200000
78813-00192650094000000
77713-108165001510010000
76714-0060600015150110000
75614-1104414300332100
74615-01038123404542100
73515-10186440410962100
72516-001554103912942000
71416-14131161519157210
70417-0302515161815114200
69317-110131528211560
68318-0714122125171121
67218-119133419133
66219-021372616
65119-13367
62021-01724342770
Total:000370024000316001100000000000000