Spain Title Chances 2015

Lost to Slovenia 1-3, title odds down 49.5 to 6.5%

3 points 1-0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday, 3/8	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	League	100.0*	Average seed
Spain 1 Slovenia 3	-37.2		-37.2		-0.7
Australia 0 Iceland 3	-1.1		-1.1
Belgium 0 Mexico 5	-0.9		-0.9		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday, 3/10	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	League	100.0*	Average seed
Spain vs Iceland	+8.7-4.1-4.1-6.0-6.0-6.5		+8.7-4.1-4.1-6.0-6.0-6.5		+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.5
Slovenia vs Mexico	-3.4-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5+3.7		-3.4-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5+3.7

Chances based on how well the Spain finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	wins title		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	Count

12	3	-	0	0		-	0	50.0	%	50.0	%	50	50					3,942,878,508
11	2	-	1	0		-	0	13.6		13.6		14	71	15				1,008,689,222
10	2	-	0	0		-	1	1.4		1.4		1	45	51	3			979,741,395
	1	-	2	0		-	0	1.2		1.2		1	47	50	1			86,314,312
9	2	-	0	1		-	0	0.0		0.0		0	7	65	27	0		11,449,507,539
	1	-	1	0		-	1	0.1		0.1		0	14	58	27	0		167,716,598
	0	-	3	0		-	0	0.1		0.1		0	24	57	19			2,462,667
8	1	-	1	1		-	0	0.0		0.0		0	1	34	64	0		1,959,815,607
	1	-	0	0		-	2	0.0		0.0		0	1	20	80	0		65,556,280
	0	-	2	0		-	1	0.0		0.0		0	1	21	78	0		7,177,874
7	1	-	0	1		-	1	No		No			0	8	91	1	0	1,532,289,068
	0	-	2	1		-	0	No		No			0	7	91	2	0	83,855,547
	0	-	1	0		-	2	No		No			0	8	91	1	0	5,609,977
6	1	-	0	2		-	0	No		No				1	89	10	0	8,954,317,970
	0	-	1	1		-	1	No		No			0	1	89	10	0	131,158,431
	0	-	0	0		-	3	No		No				2	90	8	0	667,880
5	0	-	1	2		-	0	No		No				0	78	22	0	766,464,744
	0	-	0	1		-	2	No		No					62	37	1	23,457,504
4	0	-	0	2		-	1	No		No					35	63	3	274,263,918
3	0	-	0	3		-	0	No		No					9	66	25	1,082,638,383

Total:								6.5	%	6.5	%	7	13	28	46	6	1	32,524,583,424

Points

Chance Will Win Championship