Mexico Title Chances 2015 50/50
Beat Belgium 5-0, title odds up 5.5 to 18%
4 points 1-0 0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday, 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Belgium 0 Mexico 5 | +8.9 | +8.9 | +0.8 | |||
| Australia 0 Iceland 3 | -2.3 | -2.3 | ||||
| Spain 1 Slovenia 3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Tuesday, 3/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovenia vs Mexico | -16.5-8.5-8.5-1.3-1.3+17.3 | -16.5-8.5-8.5-1.3-1.3+17.3 | -0.8-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.8 | |||
| Spain vs Iceland | +4.6+3.7+3.7+1.5+1.5-5.0 | +4.6+3.7+3.7+1.5+1.5-5.0 | ||||
| Australia vs Belgium | -0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0 | -0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 89.5 | % | 89.5 | % | 89 | 11 | 943,610,814 | |||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 72.4 | 72.4 | 72 | 28 | 0 | 241,229,492 | ||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49 | 47 | 4 | 241,203,491 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 49 | 49 | 3 | 20,645,025 | |||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20 | 61 | 19 | 0 | 2,818,875,533 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 17 | 60 | 23 | 0 | 41,276,464 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 11 | 55 | 33 | 1 | 588,321 | ||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3 | 36 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 482,446,453 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 3 | 20,638,742 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 41 | 52 | 5 | 1,767,237 | ||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 31 | 1 | 482,448,391 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 28 | 1 | 20,638,999 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 17 | 59 | 23 | 1 | 1,766,422 | |||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 34 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 2,818,891,154 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 24 | 60 | 15 | 0 | 41,273,922 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 22 | 61 | 17 | 0 | 588,188 | |||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 37 | 52 | 8 | 241,238,171 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 7 | 49 | 41 | 3 | 20,645,044 | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 15 | 62 | 23 | 241,230,760 | |||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | 5 | 58 | 37 | 943,590,773 | ||||||||
| Total: | 18.0 | % | 18.0 | % | 18 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 9,624,593,396 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-29 12:42 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
