Iceland Title Chances 2015

Beat Australia 3-0, title odds up 15.8 to 23.5%

5 points 1-1 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday, 3/8	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	League	100.0*	Average seed
Australia 0 Iceland 3	+3.4		+3.4		+0.5
Spain 1 Slovenia 3	+0.7		+0.7
Belgium 0 Mexico 5	-0.3		-0.3		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday, 3/10	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	League	100.0*	Average seed
Spain vs Iceland	-19.9-6.1-6.1+8.0+8.0+16.6		-19.9-6.1-6.1+8.0+8.0+16.6		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.6
Slovenia vs Mexico	-1.7+3.3+3.3+3.1+3.1+1.3		-1.7+3.3+3.3+3.1+3.1+1.3		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Iceland finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	wins title		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	Count

14	3	-	0	0		-	0	Yes		Yes		100						5,309,646,124
13	2	-	1	0		-	0	77.6	%	77.6	%	78	22					1,359,860,953
12	2	-	0	0		-	1	36.5		36.5		36	63	0				1,040,602,042
	1	-	2	0		-	0	35.0		35.0		35	65					116,372,905
11	2	-	0	1		-	0	6.6		6.6		7	73	21				12,162,205,098
	1	-	1	0		-	1	13.2		13.2		13	73	13				178,155,235
	0	-	3	0		-	0	22.7		22.7		23	74	3				3,320,222
10	1	-	1	1		-	0	1.5		1.5		2	43	53	2			2,081,905,338
	1	-	0	0		-	2	0.7		0.7		1	32	62	5			53,260,034
	0	-	2	0		-	1	0.7		0.7		1	35	61	4			7,620,019
9	1	-	0	1		-	1	0.0		0.0		0	9	67	24	0		1,245,255,874
	0	-	2	1		-	0	0.0		0.0		0	8	69	23			89,103,386
	0	-	1	0		-	2	0.0		0.0		0	9	77	14			4,563,110
8	1	-	0	2		-	0	0.0		0.0		0	1	36	63	0		7,278,065,528
	0	-	1	1		-	1	0.0		0.0		0	2	45	53	0		106,599,810
	0	-	0	0		-	3	0.0		0.0		0	2	47	51	0		414,982
7	0	-	1	2		-	0	No		No			0	17	81	2	0	623,053,923
	0	-	0	1		-	2	No		No			0	15	82	3	0	14,589,478
6	0	-	0	2		-	1	No		No			0	3	75	22	0	170,718,411
5	0	-	0	3		-	0	No		No				0	41	58	1	679,270,952

Total:								23.5	%	23.5	%	23	34	23	18	1	0	32,524,583,424

Points

Chance Will Win Championship