Nizhny NovgorodTorpedo Playoff Chances 2010

Lost to Lokomotiv 0-2, playoff odds down 3 to 79.1%

62 points 19-2 22-1 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Torpedo 1 Avangard 2	-7.2		-0.2
Severstal 1 MVD 3	+3.6		+0.1
Amur 2 Dinamo R 4	-2.0		-0.1
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	-1.2
CSKA 1 Salavat 3	+0.4		+0.0
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	-0.2
SKA 3 Lokomotiv 1	+0.1

Friday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Torpedo finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

98		12	-	0	0		-	0	0		In			21	10	47	21	1	0						806
97		11	-	1	0		-	0	0		In			6		50	44								16
96		10	-	2	0		-	0	0		In			3	5	26	51	15							39	*
95	.5	11	-	0	0		-	0	1		In			3		30	60	7							30
95		10	-	1	0		-	1	0		In			3	1	20	53	21	1						135	*
94	.5	10	-	1	0		-	0	1		In			3	2	22	47	24	3						115
94		10	-	1	1		-	0	0		In			1		13	49	33	4						300	*
93	.5	9	-	2	0		-	0	1		In			1		12	48	32	8						290	*
93		9	-	2	1		-	0	0		In			1		8	41	41	9						792	*
92	.5	9	-	1	0		-	1	1		In			0	0	4	37	44	15	0					902	*
92		9	-	1	1		-	1	0		In			0		3	29	49	19	0					1,806	*
91	.5	9	-	1	1		-	0	1		In					2	26	48	24	0					2,163	*
91		8	-	2	1		-	1	0		In			0		1	20	48	31	0					3,588	*
90	.5	8	-	2	1		-	0	1		In					1	15	49	34	1					4,597	*
90		8	-	1	0		-	1	2		In					0	12	45	41	1					7,197	*
89	.5	8	-	1	1		-	1	1		In					0	9	41	48	2					9,446	*
89		8	-	1	1		-	0	2		In					0	6	37	54	3					13,457	*
88	.5	8	-	1	2		-	0	1		In					0	4	34	58	3					16,823	*
88		7	-	2	1		-	0	2		In					0	3	28	65	5					23,151	*
87	.5	7	-	2	2		-	0	1		100.0	%				0	2	23	68	7	0				29,467	*
87		7	-	1	1		-	1	2		100.0						1	19	71	9	0				39,339	*
86	.5	7	-	1	2		-	1	1		100.0					0	1	15	72	12	0				48,001	*
86		7	-	1	2		-	0	2		100.0						0	12	73	14	0				60,928	*
85	.5	6	-	2	2		-	1	1		100.0						0	9	73	18	0				73,299	*
85		6	-	2	2		-	0	2		100.0						0	7	72	22	0				90,065	*
84	.5	6	-	1	2		-	2	1		100.0						0	5	69	26	0				107,173	*
84		6	-	1	2		-	1	2		100.0						0	3	67	30	0				128,980	*
83	.5	6	-	1	3		-	1	1		99.9						0	2	63	35	0				147,839	*
83		5	-	2	2		-	1	2		99.9						0	2	59	39	0	0			170,794	*
82	.5	5	-	2	3		-	1	1		99.8						0	1	55	44	0	0			191,757	*
82		5	-	1	2		-	2	2		99.7						0	1	50	49	0				218,854	*
81	.5	5	-	1	2		-	1	3		99.5						0	0	45	54	1	0			243,843	*
81		5	-	1	3		-	1	2		99.2							0	40	59	1	0			266,574	*
80	.5	5	-	1	4		-	1	1		98.7							0	35	63	1	0			284,712	*
80		4	-	2	3		-	1	2		98.1							0	31	67	2	0			304,337	*
79	.5	5	-	0	3		-	1	3		97.3							0	26	71	3	0			322,325	*
79		4	-	1	3		-	2	2		96.1							0	22	74	4	0			339,751	*
78	.5	4	-	1	3		-	1	3		94.5							0	19	76	5	0			348,843	*
78		4	-	1	4		-	1	2		92.5							0	15	77	7	0			353,493	*
77	.5	4	-	1	4		-	0	3		90.1							0	12	78	10	0	0		351,641	*
77		3	-	2	4		-	1	2		87.2							0	9	78	12	0	0		348,323	*
76	.5	4	-	0	4		-	1	3		83.6							0	7	76	16	1	0		341,918	*
76		3	-	1	4		-	2	2		79.3								5	74	20	1	0		333,604	*
75	.5	3	-	1	4		-	1	3		74.3								4	71	24	2	0		315,820	*
75		3	-	1	5		-	1	2		68.7								3	66	28	3	0		294,679	*
74	.5	3	-	1	5		-	0	3		62.7								2	61	33	4	0		271,189	*
74		3	-	0	4		-	1	4		56.5								1	55	37	6	0		248,528	*
73	.5	3	-	0	5		-	1	3		50.1								1	49	41	9	0		225,553	*
73		2	-	1	4		-	1	4		43.2								0	43	44	12	1		200,365	*
72	.5	2	-	1	5		-	1	3		36.5								0	36	47	16	1		174,662	*
72		2	-	1	6		-	1	2		30.0								0	30	48	20	2		147,703	*
71	.5	2	-	1	6		-	0	3		24.2								0	24	48	25	3		123,695	*
71		2	-	0	5		-	1	4		19.1								0	19	47	29	5		103,410	*
70	.5	2	-	0	6		-	1	3		14.5								0	14	44	35	7		85,529	*
70		1	-	1	5		-	1	4		10.7								0	11	40	40	10	0	68,568	*
69	.5	1	-	1	6		-	1	3		7.3									7	36	44	13	0	53,214	*
69		1	-	1	7		-	1	2		5.0									5	30	47	18		40,185	*
68	.5	1	-	0	6		-	2	3		3.4									3	25	49	22		30,119	*
68		1	-	0	6		-	1	4		2.1									2	21	49	29	0	22,310	*
67	.5	1	-	0	7		-	1	3		1.2									1	16	47	35		15,939	*
67		1	-	0	7		-	0	4		0.8									1	11	46	42	0	11,092	*
66	.5	1	-	0	8		-	0	3		0.4									0	8	41	51	0	7,366	*
66		0	-	1	7		-	0	4		0.3									0	6	38	57	0	4,592	*
65	.5	0	-	0	6		-	1	5		0.0									0	4	33	63		2,900	*
65		0	-	0	7		-	1	4		Out										2	27	71		1,759	*
64	.5	0	-	0	8		-	1	3		Out										2	23	75		1,010	*
64		0	-	0	8		-	0	4		Out										0	17	82		539	*
63	.5	0	-	0	9		-	0	3		Out											15	85		248	*
63		0	-	0	10		-	0	2		Out											8	92		76	*
62	.5	0	-	0	11		-	0	1		Out												100		8
62		0	-	0	12		-	0	0		Out											4	96		798

Total:											79.1	%		0	0	0	0	1	22	56	15	5	1	0	7,683,369

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Torpedo 1 Avangard 2	+0.3
Severstal 1 MVD 3	-0.1
Amur 2 Dinamo R 4	+0.1
CSKA 1 Salavat 3	-0.1
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	+0.1
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	+0.1

Friday	None

What If

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

98		12	-	0	0		-	0	0					21	7	3	46	1	21		1		0
97		11	-	1	0		-	0	0					6			50		44
96		10	-	2	0		-	0	0					3	3	3	23	3	51		15
95	.5	11	-	0	0		-	0	1					3			20	10	60		7
95		10	-	1	0		-	1	0					3		1	16	4	53		21		1
94	.5	10	-	1	0		-	0	1					3	1	1	16	6	47		24		3
94		10	-	1	1		-	0	0					1			10	4	48	1	33		4
93	.5	9	-	2	0		-	0	1					1			7	5	47	1	32		8
93		9	-	2	1		-	0	0					1			4	4	41	1	41		9
92	.5	9	-	1	0		-	1	1					0		0	2	2	35	2	44		15		0
92		9	-	1	1		-	1	0					0			1	2	27	2	49		19		0
91	.5	9	-	1	1		-	0	1								0	2	24	2	48		24		0
91		8	-	2	1		-	1	0					0			0	1	18	2	48		31		0
90	.5	8	-	2	1		-	0	1								0	1	13	3	49		34		1
90		8	-	1	0		-	1	2								0	0	9	3	45		41		1
89	.5	8	-	1	1		-	1	1								0	0	6	2	41		48		2
89		8	-	1	1		-	0	2								0	0	4	2	37		54		3
88	.5	8	-	1	2		-	0	1									0	3	2	34		58		3
88		7	-	2	1		-	0	2									0	1	1	28	0	65		5
87	.5	7	-	2	2		-	0	1									0	1	1	23	0	68		7		0
87		7	-	1	1		-	1	2										0	1	19	0	71		9		0
86	.5	7	-	1	2		-	1	1									0	0	0	15	0	72		12		0
86		7	-	1	2		-	0	2										0	0	12	0	73		14		0
85	.5	6	-	2	2		-	1	1										0	0	9	0	73		18		0
85		6	-	2	2		-	0	2										0	0	7	0	72		22		0
84	.5	6	-	1	2		-	2	1										0	0	5	0	69		26		0
84		6	-	1	2		-	1	2										0	0	3	0	67	0	30		0
83	.5	6	-	1	3		-	1	1										0	0	2	0	63		35		0
83		5	-	2	2		-	1	2										0	0	1	0	59	0	39		0	0
82	.5	5	-	2	3		-	1	1											0	1	0	55		44		0	0
82		5	-	1	2		-	2	2											0	1	0	50	0	49		0
81	.5	5	-	1	2		-	1	3											0	0	0	45		54		1	0
81		5	-	1	3		-	1	2												0	0	40	0	59		1	0
80	.5	5	-	1	4		-	1	1												0	0	35	0	63		1	0
80		4	-	2	3		-	1	2												0	0	31		67		2	0
79	.5	5	-	0	3		-	1	3												0	0	26	0	71		3	0
79		4	-	1	3		-	2	2												0	0	22	0	74		4	0
78	.5	4	-	1	3		-	1	3												0	0	19	0	76		5	0
78		4	-	1	4		-	1	2												0	0	15	0	77		7	0
77	.5	4	-	1	4		-	0	3												0	0	12	0	78		10	0	0
77		3	-	2	4		-	1	2												0	0	9	0	78		12	0	0
76	.5	4	-	0	4		-	1	3												0		7	0	76		16	1	0
76		3	-	1	4		-	2	2														5	0	74		20	1	0
75	.5	3	-	1	4		-	1	3														4	0	71	0	24	2	0
75		3	-	1	5		-	1	2														3	0	66	0	28	3	0
74	.5	3	-	1	5		-	0	3														2	0	61	0	33	4	0
74		3	-	0	4		-	1	4														1	0	55	0	37	6	0
73	.5	3	-	0	5		-	1	3														1	0	49	0	41	9	0
73		2	-	1	4		-	1	4														0	0	43	0	44	12	1
72	.5	2	-	1	5		-	1	3														0	0	36	0	47	16	1
72		2	-	1	6		-	1	2														0	0	30	0	48	20	2
71	.5	2	-	1	6		-	0	3														0	0	24	0	48	25	3
71		2	-	0	5		-	1	4														0	0	19	0	47	29	5
70	.5	2	-	0	6		-	1	3														0	0	14	0	44	35	7
70		1	-	1	5		-	1	4														0	0	11	0	40	40	10	0
69	.5	1	-	1	6		-	1	3																7	0	36	44	13	0
69		1	-	1	7		-	1	2																5	0	30	47	18	0
68	.5	1	-	0	6		-	2	3																3	0	25	49	22	0
68		1	-	0	6		-	1	4																2	0	21	49	29	0
67	.5	1	-	0	7		-	1	3																1	0	16	47	36	0
67		1	-	0	7		-	0	4																1	0	11	45	43	1	0
66	.5	1	-	0	8		-	0	3																0	0	8	40	51	1	0
66		0	-	1	7		-	0	4																0	0	5	36	56	2	0
65	.5	0	-	0	6		-	1	5																0		3	31	61	4	0
65		0	-	0	7		-	1	4																		2	24	68	6	0	0
64	.5	0	-	0	8		-	1	3																		2	19	68	10	1		0
64		0	-	0	8		-	0	4																		0	12	70	16	2
63	.5	0	-	0	9		-	0	3																			10	58	27	4	1
63		0	-	0	10		-	0	2																			4	53	36	7	1
62	.5	0	-	0	11		-	0	1																				75	13	13
62		0	-	0	12		-	0	0																			1	32	41	23	3

Total:														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	22	0	56	0	15	5	1	0	0	0	0