MoscowSpartak Playoff Chances 2010 50/50

Beat Vityaz 5-3, playoff odds up 0.2 to 99.98%

76 points 20-6 14-4 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	+1.6		+0.4
Severstal 1 MVD 3	+0.5
Torpedo 1 Avangard 2	+0.4
Amur 2 Dinamo R 4	-0.3
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	-0.2
CSKA 1 Salavat 3	+0.2		+0.1

Friday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Spartak finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

112		12	-	0	0		-	0	0		In		36		64	0									806
111		11	-	1	0		-	0	0		In		24		76										17
110		10	-	2	0		-	0	0		In		13		88										32	*
109	.5	11	-	0	0		-	0	1		In		21		79										24
109		10	-	1	0		-	1	0		In		9		90	2									117	*
108	.5	10	-	1	0		-	0	1		In		7		89	4									101
108		10	-	1	1		-	0	0		In		5		91	4									318	*
107	.5	9	-	2	0		-	0	1		In		4		93	2									306	*
107		9	-	2	1		-	0	0		In		3	0	91	6									671	*
106	.5	9	-	1	0		-	1	1		In		3		91	5									840	*
106		9	-	1	1		-	1	0		In		2		89	9									1,635	*
105	.5	9	-	1	1		-	0	1		In		1		88	11									1,974	*
105		8	-	2	1		-	1	0		In		1	0	87	13									3,261	*
104	.5	8	-	2	1		-	0	1		In		0		84	16									3,968	*
104		8	-	2	2		-	0	0		In		0		80	20									6,590	*
103	.5	8	-	1	1		-	1	1		In		0	0	77	23									8,409	*
103		8	-	1	1		-	0	2		In		0		75	25	0								11,918	*
102	.5	8	-	1	2		-	0	1		In		0		71	29	0								15,190	*
102		7	-	2	1		-	0	2		In		0	0	66	34	0								20,702	*
101	.5	7	-	2	2		-	0	1		In		0	0	62	38	0								26,326	*
101		7	-	1	1		-	1	2		In		0	0	57	43	0	0							35,801	*
100	.5	7	-	1	2		-	1	1		In				52	47	1	0							43,562	*
100		7	-	1	2		-	0	2		In				47	52	1	0							54,738	*
99	.5	6	-	2	2		-	1	1		In				42	56	2	0							65,733	*
99		6	-	2	2		-	0	2		In				37	59	4	0							81,270	*
98	.5	6	-	1	2		-	2	1		In				32	63	5	0							98,335	*
98		6	-	1	2		-	1	2		In				27	65	8	0							117,559	*
97	.5	6	-	1	3		-	1	1		In				22	65	12	1							135,478	*
97		5	-	2	2		-	1	2		In				18	66	15	1							156,969	*
96	.5	5	-	2	3		-	1	1		In				14	64	20	2	0						178,343	*
96		5	-	1	2		-	2	2		In				11	61	26	3							204,324	*
95	.5	5	-	1	2		-	1	3		In				8	57	31	4	0						228,106	*
95		5	-	1	3		-	1	2		In				6	51	37	6	0						252,198	*
94	.5	5	-	1	4		-	1	1		In				4	45	42	8	0						270,969	*
94		4	-	2	3		-	1	2		In				3	39	47	12	0						292,144	*
93	.5	5	-	0	3		-	1	3		In				2	32	51	15	0						310,099	*
93		4	-	1	3		-	2	2		In				1	26	53	20	0						328,529	*
92	.5	4	-	1	3		-	1	3		In				1	20	54	25	0						341,940	*
92		4	-	1	4		-	1	2		In				0	15	54	31	0	0					348,699	*
91	.5	4	-	1	4		-	0	3		In				0	11	52	36	0	0					349,797	*
91		3	-	2	4		-	1	2		In				0	8	49	42	0	0					349,171	*
90	.5	4	-	0	4		-	1	3		In				0	5	46	48	1	0					348,446	*
90		3	-	1	4		-	2	2		In				0	4	41	54	1	0					340,754	*
89	.5	3	-	1	4		-	1	3		In				0	2	37	59	2	0					327,603	*
89		3	-	1	5		-	1	2		In				0	1	32	64	2	0					309,225	*
88	.5	3	-	1	5		-	0	3		In				0	1	27	69	3	0					286,784	*
88		3	-	0	4		-	1	4		In				0	0	23	72	5	0					265,720	*
87	.5	3	-	0	5		-	1	3		100.0	%			0	0	19	75	6	0	0				243,792	*
87		2	-	1	4		-	1	4		In					0	15	76	8	0					219,765	*
86	.5	2	-	1	5		-	1	3		In					0	12	77	11	0					192,320	*
86		2	-	1	6		-	1	2		In					0	10	76	14	0					165,959	*
85	.5	2	-	0	5		-	2	3		100.0					0	7	75	17	1	0				141,519	*
85		2	-	0	5		-	1	4		100.0					0	5	73	21	1	0				120,397	*
84	.5	2	-	0	6		-	1	3		100.0					0	4	70	25	2	0				100,262	*
84		1	-	1	5		-	1	4		100.0						3	66	29	3	0				81,649	*
83	.5	1	-	1	6		-	1	3		100.0						2	61	33	4	0				63,953	*
83		1	-	1	7		-	1	2		99.9						1	56	38	5	0				49,375	*
82	.5	1	-	0	6		-	2	3		99.9						1	50	42	7	0				37,812	*
82		1	-	0	6		-	1	4		99.7						0	44	45	10	0	0			28,612	*
81	.5	1	-	0	7		-	1	3		99.5						0	38	47	14	1				20,609	*
81		1	-	0	8		-	1	2		99.1						0	32	50	17	1	0			14,580	*
80	.5	0	-	1	7		-	1	3		98.3						0	27	50	21	2	0			9,728	*
80		0	-	0	6		-	2	4		97.4						0	21	50	26	3				6,325	*
79	.5	0	-	0	7		-	2	3		96.5							17	49	31	3	0			4,082	*
79		0	-	0	7		-	1	4		94.2							13	46	35	6	0			2,552	*
78	.5	0	-	0	8		-	1	3		90.3							8	41	42	9	0			1,538	*
78		0	-	0	8		-	0	4		86.1							5	35	46	13	1			827	*
77	.5	0	-	0	9		-	0	3		83.0							3	27	52	16	1			405	*
77		0	-	0	10		-	0	2		74.6							4	26	45	25	1			114	*
76	.5	0	-	0	11		-	0	1		71.4							5	43	24	24	5			21
76		0	-	0	12		-	0	0		56.7							0	12	44	36	7	0		806

Total:											100.0	%	0	0	6	22	31	37	4	0	0	0	0		7,732,503

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	-0.8
CSKA 1 Salavat 3	-0.1
SKA 3 Lokomotiv 1	-0.1
Sibir 1 Dynamo M 4	+0.1
Torpedo 1 Avangard 2	-0.0

Friday	None

What If

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

112		12	-	0	0		-	0	0		22	14			64		0
111		11	-	1	0		-	0	0		18	6			76
110		10	-	2	0		-	0	0		3	9			88
109	.5	11	-	0	0		-	0	1		4	17			79
109		10	-	1	0		-	1	0		2	7			90		2
108	.5	10	-	1	0		-	0	1			7			89		4
108		10	-	1	1		-	0	0			5			91		4
107	.5	9	-	2	0		-	0	1			4			93		2
107		9	-	2	1		-	0	0			3	0		91	0	6
106	.5	9	-	1	0		-	1	1		0	3			91		5
106		9	-	1	1		-	1	0		0	2			89		9
105	.5	9	-	1	1		-	0	1		0	1			88	0	11
105		8	-	2	1		-	1	0			1		0	86	0	13
104	.5	8	-	2	1		-	0	1		0	0			84	0	16
104		8	-	2	2		-	0	0			0			79	1	20
103	.5	8	-	1	1		-	1	1			0	0	0	76	1	23
103		8	-	1	1		-	0	2			0			73	1	25		0
102	.5	8	-	1	2		-	0	1			0			69	1	29		0
102		7	-	2	1		-	0	2			0		0	64	2	34		0
101	.5	7	-	2	2		-	0	1			0	0		59	2	38	0	0
101		7	-	1	1		-	1	2			0		0	53	3	43	0	0		0
100	.5	7	-	1	2		-	1	1						48	4	47	0	1		0
100		7	-	1	2		-	0	2						43	4	52	0	1		0
99	.5	6	-	2	2		-	1	1						37	5	56	0	2		0
99		6	-	2	2		-	0	2						31	6	59	0	4		0
98	.5	6	-	1	2		-	2	1						26	6	62	0	5		0
98		6	-	1	2		-	1	2						21	6	64	1	8		0
97	.5	6	-	1	3		-	1	1						16	6	64	1	12		1
97		5	-	2	2		-	1	2						12	6	64	2	15	0	1
96	.5	5	-	2	3		-	1	1						9	5	62	2	20	0	2		0
96		5	-	1	2		-	2	2						6	5	58	3	26	0	3
95	.5	5	-	1	2		-	1	3						4	4	52	4	31	0	4		0
95		5	-	1	3		-	1	2						2	3	46	5	37	0	6		0
94	.5	5	-	1	4		-	1	1						1	3	39	7	42	0	8		0
94		4	-	2	3		-	1	2						1	2	31	7	47	0	12		0
93	.5	5	-	0	3		-	1	3						0	1	24	8	50	0	15		0
93		4	-	1	3		-	2	2						0	1	18	8	53	1	20		0
92	.5	4	-	1	3		-	1	3						0	0	13	8	53	1	25		0
92		4	-	1	4		-	1	2						0	0	8	7	52	2	31	0	0		0
91	.5	4	-	1	4		-	0	3						0	0	5	6	49	3	36		0		0
91		3	-	2	4		-	1	2						0	0	3	5	45	4	42	0	0		0
90	.5	4	-	0	4		-	1	3						0	0	2	4	40	5	48	0	1		0
90		3	-	1	4		-	2	2							0	1	3	35	6	54	0	1		0
89	.5	3	-	1	4		-	1	3							0	0	2	29	7	59	0	2		0
89		3	-	1	5		-	1	2							0	0	1	24	8	64	0	2		0
88	.5	3	-	1	5		-	0	3							0	0	1	19	8	69	0	3		0
88		3	-	0	4		-	1	4							0	0	0	14	8	72	0	5		0
87	.5	3	-	0	5		-	1	3							0	0	0	11	8	74	0	6		0		0
87		2	-	1	4		-	1	4								0	0	8	8	76	0	8		0
86	.5	2	-	1	5		-	1	3								0	0	5	7	77	0	11		0
86		2	-	1	6		-	1	2									0	4	6	76	0	14		0
85	.5	2	-	0	5		-	2	3									0	2	5	75	0	17		1		0
85		2	-	0	5		-	1	4									0	1	4	72	1	21		1		0
84	.5	2	-	0	6		-	1	3									0	1	3	69	1	25		2		0
84		1	-	1	5		-	1	4										0	2	65	1	29		3		0
83	.5	1	-	1	6		-	1	3										0	2	60	2	33		4		0
83		1	-	1	7		-	1	2										0	1	54	2	38		5		0
82	.5	1	-	0	6		-	2	3										0	1	48	2	42		7		0
82		1	-	0	6		-	1	4										0	0	41	3	45		10		0	0
81	.5	1	-	0	7		-	1	3											0	35	3	47		14		1
81		1	-	0	8		-	1	2										0	0	28	4	50		17		1	0
80	.5	0	-	1	7		-	1	3											0	23	4	50	0	21		2	0
80		0	-	0	6		-	2	4											0	17	4	50	0	26		3
79	.5	0	-	0	7		-	2	3												13	4	49		31		3	0
79		0	-	0	7		-	1	4												9	4	46	0	35		6	0
78	.5	0	-	0	8		-	1	3												6	3	41		42		9	0
78		0	-	0	8		-	0	4												4	2	35		46		13	1
77	.5	0	-	0	9		-	0	3												2	1	27		52		16	1
77		0	-	0	10		-	0	2												2	2	26		45		25	1
76	.5	0	-	0	11		-	0	1													5	43		24		24	5
76		0	-	0	12		-	0	0													0	12	0	44		36	7	0

Total:											0	0	0	0	4	1	18	3	28	3	37	0	4	0	0		0	0	0