Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

NovosibirskSibir Playoff Chances 2010

Beat Amur 4-3, playoff odds up 18.7 to 56.7%

50 points 11-7 23-3 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sibir 1 Dynamo M 4	-6.2		-0.2
Amur 2 Dinamo R 4	+1.3		+0.0
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	+0.7
Vityaz 5 Barys 1	+0.2

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Traktor 2 AK Bars 5	+2.4		+0.1
Metallurg Mg 6 Lada 0	+2.0		+0.1
Avtomobilist 2 Neftekhimik 1 (so)	-0.9		-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Sibir finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

86		12	-	0	0		-	0	0		In					2	36	62							798
83.5	-85										In							100							3	*
83		11	-	0	1		-	0	0		In						13	88							8	*
82	.5	10	-	1	0		-	0	1		In						14	86							7
82		10	-	1	1		-	0	0		In						4	88	8						26	*
81	.5	9	-	2	0		-	0	1		In						5	90	5						21	*
81		9	-	2	1		-	0	0		In						5	91	5						66	*
80	.5	10	-	0	1		-	0	1		In						4	92	4						71	*
80		9	-	1	1		-	1	0		In						2	88	10						185	*
79	.5	9	-	1	1		-	0	1		In						4	85	11						196	*
79		9	-	1	2		-	0	0		In						2	83	15						420	*
78	.5	8	-	2	1		-	0	1		In							82	18						526	*
78		8	-	1	0		-	1	2		In						1	79	20						991	*
77	.5	8	-	1	1		-	1	1		In						0	75	25						1,314	*
77		8	-	1	2		-	1	0		In						0	71	29						2,107	*
76	.5	8	-	1	2		-	0	1		In						0	68	32	0					2,807	*
76		7	-	2	2		-	1	0		In						0	64	36	0					4,133	*
75	.5	7	-	1	1		-	2	1		In						0	60	40	0					5,757	*
75		7	-	1	1		-	1	2		In						0	54	46	0					8,591	*
74	.5	7	-	1	2		-	1	1		In						0	49	51	0					10,803	*
74		7	-	1	2		-	0	2		In							45	55	1					14,844	*
73	.5	6	-	2	2		-	1	1		In						0	39	60	1					19,167	*
73		7	-	0	2		-	1	2		In							34	64	1					25,705	*
72	.5	6	-	1	2		-	2	1		100.0	%						29	68	2	0				32,994	*
72		6	-	1	2		-	1	2		100.0							25	72	3	0				43,198	*
71	.5	6	-	1	3		-	1	1		100.0							21	75	4	0				52,801	*
71		5	-	2	2		-	1	2		100.0							17	77	6	0				66,001	*
70	.5	5	-	2	3		-	1	1		99.9							14	78	8	0				79,766	*
70		5	-	1	2		-	2	2		99.9							11	78	10	0	0			99,640	*
69	.5	5	-	1	3		-	2	1		99.7							8	78	14	0	0			117,732	*
69		5	-	1	3		-	1	2		99.5							6	76	17	1	0			139,052	*
68	.5	5	-	1	4		-	1	1		99.1							4	73	21	1	0			160,588	*
68		4	-	2	3		-	1	2		98.6							3	70	26	1	0			184,976	*
67	.5	5	-	0	3		-	1	3		97.8							2	65	31	2	0			210,234	*
67		4	-	1	3		-	2	2		96.5							1	59	36	3	0			239,818	*
66	.5	4	-	1	3		-	1	3		95.0							1	53	41	5	0	0		263,682	*
66		4	-	1	4		-	1	2		92.7							0	46	46	7	0	0		287,313	*
65	.5	4	-	1	5		-	1	1		89.5							0	40	49	10	1	0		308,003	*
65		4	-	0	4		-	2	2		85.6							0	33	52	13	1	0		329,500	*
64	.5	4	-	0	4		-	1	3		80.7							0	27	54	18	2	0		347,331	*
64		3	-	1	4		-	2	2		74.9							0	21	54	22	3	0	0	363,322	*
63	.5	3	-	1	4		-	1	3		68.0							0	16	52	27	5	0	0	369,447	*
63		3	-	1	5		-	1	2		60.3							0	11	49	32	7	0	0	370,273	*
62	.5	3	-	0	4		-	2	3		52.3							0	8	44	37	10	1	0	367,365	*
62		3	-	0	5		-	2	2		44.2								5	39	40	14	1	0	361,373	*
61	.5	3	-	0	5		-	1	3		36.0								3	33	43	19	3	0	352,630	*
61		2	-	1	5		-	2	2		28.3								2	26	44	24	4	0	336,837	*
60	.5	2	-	1	5		-	1	3		21.5								1	20	42	29	7	0	312,984	*
60		2	-	1	6		-	1	2		15.8								1	15	39	34	10	1	286,558	*
59	.5	2	-	0	5		-	2	3		11.1								0	11	35	38	14	1	258,152	*
59		2	-	0	5		-	1	4		7.4								0	7	30	41	19	2	232,788	*
58	.5	2	-	0	6		-	1	3		4.8								0	5	25	42	25	4	204,836	*
58		2	-	0	7		-	1	2		3.0								0	3	19	41	31	6	177,062	*
57	.5	1	-	1	6		-	1	3		1.7								0	2	14	39	37	9	146,662	*
57		1	-	1	7		-	1	2		1.0								0	1	10	35	42	13	119,430	*
56	.5	1	-	0	6		-	2	3		0.4									0	7	30	46	18	95,808	*
56		1	-	0	6		-	1	4		0.2									0	4	24	48	24	75,930	*
55	.5	1	-	0	7		-	1	3		0.1									0	2	19	48	30	59,127	*
55		1	-	0	8		-	1	2		0.0									0	1	14	46	38	43,900	*
54	.5	1	-	0	8		-	0	3		0.0									0	1	10	43	47	31,176	*
54		0	-	0	6		-	2	4		0.0									0	0	6	39	54	21,175	*
53	.5	0	-	0	7		-	2	3		0.0									0	0	4	33	62	14,055	*
53		0	-	0	7		-	1	4		Out										0	3	28	69	9,270	*
52	.5	0	-	0	8		-	1	3		Out										0	1	23	76	5,673	*
52		0	-	0	9		-	1	2		Out											1	17	82	3,264	*
51	.5	0	-	0	9		-	0	3		Out											0	13	87	1,605	*
51		0	-	0	10		-	0	2		Out												10	90	540	*
50	.5	0	-	0	11		-	0	1		Out												3	97	136
50		0	-	0	12		-	0	0		Out												2	98	816

Total:											56.7	%				0	0	2	25	30	21	13	7	2	7,683,369

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sibir 1 Dynamo M 4	+0.5
Amur 2 Dinamo R 4	-0.1
Vityaz 5 Barys 1	-0.1
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	-0.0

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Traktor 2 AK Bars 5	-0.2
Metallurg Mg 6 Lada 0	-0.1
Avtomobilist 2 Neftekhimik 1 (so)	+0.1

What If

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

86		12	-	0	0		-	0	0									2	0	36	10	52
85		11	-	1	0		-	0	0													100
84		10	-	2	0		-	0	0												100
83	.5	11	-	0	0		-	0	1													100
83		11	-	0	1		-	0	0											13		88
82	.5	10	-	1	0		-	0	1											14		86
82		10	-	1	1		-	0	0											4		88		8
81	.5	9	-	2	0		-	0	1											5	5	86	5
81		9	-	2	1		-	0	0											5		91		5
80	.5	10	-	0	1		-	0	1											4		92		4
80		9	-	1	1		-	1	0											2		88	2	9
79	.5	9	-	1	1		-	0	1											4		85	2	9
79		9	-	1	2		-	0	0											2		83	3	12
78	.5	8	-	2	1		-	0	1													82	3	15
78		8	-	1	0		-	1	2											1		79	3	17
77	.5	8	-	1	1		-	1	1											0		75	3	23
77		8	-	1	2		-	1	0											0		71	2	27
76	.5	8	-	1	2		-	0	1											0	0	68	2	30		0
76		7	-	2	2		-	1	0											0		64	1	35	0	0
75	.5	7	-	1	1		-	2	1											0		60	1	39	0	0
75		7	-	1	1		-	1	2											0		54	1	45	0	0
74	.5	7	-	1	2		-	1	1											0		49	0	50	0	0
74		7	-	1	2		-	0	2													45	0	55	0	0
73	.5	6	-	2	2		-	1	1											0		39	0	60	0	1
73		7	-	0	2		-	1	2													34	0	64	0	1
72	.5	6	-	1	2		-	2	1													29	0	68	0	2	0
72		6	-	1	2		-	1	2													25	0	72	0	3	0	0	0
71	.5	6	-	1	3		-	1	1													21	0	75	0	4	0	0
71		5	-	2	2		-	1	2													17	0	77	0	6	0	0	0
70	.5	5	-	2	3		-	1	1													14	0	78	0	8	0	0	0	0
70		5	-	1	2		-	2	2													11		78	0	10	0	0	0	0
69	.5	5	-	1	3		-	2	1													8		78	0	14	0	0	0	0
69		5	-	1	3		-	1	2													6		76	0	17	0	0	0	0
68	.5	5	-	1	4		-	1	1													4		73	0	21	0	0	0	0	0
68		4	-	2	3		-	1	2													3		70	0	26	0	0	1	0	0
67	.5	5	-	0	3		-	1	3													2		65	0	31	0	1	1	1	0
67		4	-	1	3		-	2	2													1		59	0	36	0	1	2	1	0
66	.5	4	-	1	3		-	1	3													1		53	0	41	0	1	2	2	0	0
66		4	-	1	4		-	1	2													0		46	0	46	0	1	3	3	0	0
65	.5	4	-	1	5		-	1	1													0		40		49	0	1	4	5	0	0
65		4	-	0	4		-	2	2													0		33		52	0	1	5	8	1	0
64	.5	4	-	0	4		-	1	3													0		27		54	0	1	6	12	1	0
64		3	-	1	4		-	2	2													0		21		54	0	0	6	17	2	0	0
63	.5	3	-	1	4		-	1	3													0		16		52	0	0	6	22	3	0	0
63		3	-	1	5		-	1	2													0		11		49	0	0	6	28	6	0	0
62	.5	3	-	0	4		-	2	3													0		8		44		0	5	33	9	1	0
62		3	-	0	5		-	2	2															5		39	0	0	4	38	13	1	0
61	.5	3	-	0	5		-	1	3															3		33		0	3	41	17	2	0
61		2	-	1	5		-	2	2															2		26		0	3	42	23	4	0
60	.5	2	-	1	5		-	1	3															1		20		0	2	42	28	6	0
60		2	-	1	6		-	1	2															1		15		0	1	39	34	10	1
59	.5	2	-	0	5		-	2	3															0		11		0	1	35	38	14	1	0
59		2	-	0	5		-	1	4															0		7			0	30	41	19	2	0
58	.5	2	-	0	6		-	1	3															0		5			0	25	42	25	4	0
58		2	-	0	7		-	1	2															0		3			0	19	41	30	6	0
57	.5	1	-	1	6		-	1	3															0		2			0	14	39	37	9	0
57		1	-	1	7		-	1	2															0		1			0	10	35	41	13	0
56	.5	1	-	0	6		-	2	3																	0			0	7	30	45	18	0
56		1	-	0	6		-	1	4																	0			0	4	24	47	24	0
55	.5	1	-	0	7		-	1	3																	0			0	2	19	48	31	0
55		1	-	0	8		-	1	2																	0			0	1	14	46	38	0
54	.5	1	-	0	8		-	0	3																	0				1	9	43	47	0
54		0	-	0	6		-	2	4																	0				0	6	39	54	1
53	.5	0	-	0	7		-	2	3																	0				0	4	33	62	1
53		0	-	0	7		-	1	4																					0	2	27	68	2
52	.5	0	-	0	8		-	1	3																					0	1	22	74	3
52		0	-	0	9		-	1	2																						0	16	79	4
51	.5	0	-	0	9		-	0	3																						0	12	82	6
51		0	-	0	10		-	0	2																							9	81	10
50	.5	0	-	0	11		-	0	1																							2	94	4
50		0	-	0	12		-	0	0																							2	81	17

Total:																		0	0	0	0	2	0	25	0	30	0	0	3	19	13	7	2	0