NizhnekamskNeftekhimik Playoff Chances 2010

Lost to Atlant 3-4, average seed down 0.1 to 3.6

78 points 23-3 15-3 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	*In
Sibir 1 Dynamo M 4	*In
Torpedo 1 Avangard 2	*In		-0.1
Vityaz 5 Barys 1	*In

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Traktor 2 AK Bars 5			-0.1
Avtomobilist 2 Neftekhimik 1 (so)			-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Neftekhimik finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	playoffs	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

114		12	-	0	0		-	0	0		In	38	17	45										803
113		11	-	1	0		-	0	0		In	26	24	50										34
112		10	-	2	0		-	0	0		In	21	21	57										75	*
111	.5	11	-	0	0		-	0	1		In	16	16	67										55
111		10	-	1	0		-	1	0		In	9	14	77										236	*
110	.5	10	-	1	0		-	0	1		In	5	19	76										189
110		10	-	1	1		-	0	0		In	4	14	83										539	*
109	.5	9	-	2	0		-	0	1		In	4	11	85										605	*
109		9	-	2	1		-	0	0		In	2	8	90										1,315	*
108	.5	9	-	1	0		-	1	1		In	1	9	90	0									1,564	*
108		9	-	1	1		-	1	0		In	1	6	93	0									2,966	*
107	.5	9	-	1	1		-	0	1		In	1	5	94	0									3,522	*
107		8	-	2	1		-	1	0		In	0	4	96	0									5,731	*
106	.5	8	-	2	1		-	0	1		In	0	3	97	0									7,482	*
106		8	-	1	0		-	1	2		In	0	2	97	0									11,205	*
105	.5	8	-	1	1		-	1	1		In	0	1	98	0									14,491	*
105		8	-	1	1		-	0	2		In	0	1	98	1									19,937	*
104	.5	8	-	1	2		-	0	1		In	0	1	98	1									24,771	*
104		7	-	2	1		-	0	2		In	0	1	98	1									33,500	*
103	.5	7	-	2	2		-	0	1		In	0	0	98	1									42,036	*
103		7	-	1	1		-	1	2		In		0	98	2									54,591	*
102	.5	7	-	1	2		-	1	1		In	0	0	97	3									65,742	*
102		7	-	1	2		-	0	2		In		0	96	4									81,700	*
101	.5	6	-	2	2		-	1	1		In	0	0	95	5									96,151	*
101		6	-	2	2		-	0	2		In	0	0	94	6	0								116,778	*
100	.5	6	-	2	3		-	0	1		In		0	93	7	0								137,334	*
100		6	-	1	2		-	1	2		In		0	91	9	0								160,431	*
99	.5	6	-	1	3		-	1	1		In		0	89	11	0								181,110	*
99		5	-	2	2		-	1	2		In		0	86	14	0								204,181	*
98	.5	5	-	2	3		-	1	1		In		0	83	17	0								227,422	*
98		5	-	2	3		-	0	2		In			80	20	0								253,369	*
97	.5	5	-	1	2		-	1	3		In			77	23	0								277,438	*
97		5	-	1	3		-	1	2		In			73	27	0								297,792	*
96	.5	5	-	1	3		-	0	3		In			69	31	1								313,103	*
96		4	-	2	3		-	1	2		In			64	35	1								328,157	*
95	.5	4	-	2	3		-	0	3		In			60	39	1								340,199	*
95		4	-	1	3		-	2	2		In			55	43	2								351,765	*
94	.5	4	-	1	3		-	1	3		In			50	48	3								354,824	*
94		4	-	1	4		-	1	2		In			45	52	4	0							352,323	*
93	.5	4	-	1	4		-	0	3		In			40	55	5								344,666	*
93		3	-	2	4		-	1	2		In			35	59	7	0							333,197	*
92	.5	4	-	0	4		-	1	3		In			30	61	9	0							322,023	*
92		3	-	1	3		-	1	4		In			25	63	11	0							306,583	*
91	.5	3	-	1	4		-	1	3		In			21	64	15	0							286,515	*
91		3	-	1	5		-	1	2		In			17	64	18	0							261,127	*
90	.5	3	-	1	5		-	0	3		In			14	64	22	0							234,692	*
90		3	-	0	4		-	1	4		In			11	62	27	0							211,057	*
89	.5	3	-	0	5		-	1	3		In			9	60	31	0							187,081	*
89		2	-	1	4		-	1	4		In			6	57	37	0							163,320	*
88	.5	2	-	1	5		-	1	3		In			5	53	42	0							139,088	*
88		2	-	1	6		-	1	2		In			3	49	48	0							114,760	*
87	.5	2	-	1	6		-	0	3		In			2	44	53	0							95,208	*
87		2	-	0	5		-	1	4		In			2	40	58	0							77,669	*
86	.5	2	-	0	6		-	1	3		In			1	35	64	0							62,362	*
86		1	-	1	5		-	1	4		In			1	30	69	0							49,343	*
85	.5	1	-	1	6		-	1	3		In			0	26	73	0							37,487	*
85		1	-	1	6		-	0	4		In			0	22	77	1							27,679	*
84	.5	1	-	0	5		-	1	5		In			0	18	81	1							20,343	*
84		1	-	0	6		-	1	4		In			0	15	84	1							14,865	*
83	.5	1	-	0	7		-	1	3		In			0	12	86	2							10,223	*
83		1	-	0	7		-	0	4		In			0	9	87	3							6,905	*
82	.5	1	-	0	8		-	0	3		In			0	7	89	4							4,510	*
82		0	-	1	7		-	0	4		In				5	89	6							2,721	*
81	.5	0	-	0	6		-	1	5		In				4	88	7							1,667	*
81		0	-	0	7		-	1	4		In				3	87	10							1,036	*
80	.5	0	-	0	8		-	1	3		In				3	86	11							574	*
80		0	-	0	8		-	0	4		In				1	86	13							251	*
79	.5	0	-	0	9		-	0	3		In				1	81	18							102	*
79		0	-	0	10		-	0	2		In					76	24							46	*
78	.5	0	-	0	11		-	0	1		In					100								4
78		0	-	0	12		-	0	0		In					67	33	0						799

Total:											In	0	0	49	40	11	0	0						7,683,369

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs