Balashikha HCMVD Playoff Chances 2010 50/50

Lost to CSKA 1-2 (so), playoff odds unchanged at 99.9999%

82 points 25-0 13-7 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Average seed
Severstal 1 MVD 3	+0.3
SKA 3 Lokomotiv 1	+0.1
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	+0.0

Friday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the MVD finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

115		11	-	0	0		-	0	0		In		46	54											815
114		10	-	1	0		-	0	0		In		41	59											44
113		9	-	2	0		-	0	0		In		32	68											120	*
112	.5	10	-	0	0		-	0	1		In		27	73											90
112		9	-	1	0		-	1	0		In		20	80	0										334	*
111	.5	9	-	1	0		-	0	1		In		18	82											324
111		9	-	1	1		-	0	0		In		13	87											770	*
110	.5	8	-	2	0		-	0	1		In		12	88											743	*
110		8	-	2	1		-	0	0		In		9	91	0										1,818	*
109	.5	8	-	1	0		-	1	1		In		6	94											2,216	*
109		8	-	1	1		-	1	0		In		5	95	0										3,981	*
108	.5	8	-	1	1		-	0	1		In		4	96	0										4,623	*
108		8	-	1	2		-	0	0		In		3	97	0	0									7,489	*
107	.5	7	-	2	1		-	0	1		In		2	98	0	0									9,399	*
107		7	-	2	2		-	0	0		In		2	98	0	0									14,867	*
106	.5	7	-	1	1		-	1	1		In		1	99	0	0									18,498	*
106		7	-	1	1		-	0	2		In		1	99	1	0									25,754	*
105	.5	7	-	1	2		-	0	1		In		0	99	1	0									31,133	*
105		6	-	2	1		-	0	2		In		0	98	1	0									42,153	*
104	.5	6	-	2	2		-	0	1		In		0	98	2	0									52,437	*
104		6	-	1	1		-	1	2		In		0	97	2	1									68,465	*
103	.5	6	-	1	2		-	1	1		In		0	96	3	1	0								81,755	*
103		6	-	1	2		-	0	2		In		0	94	4	2	0								99,963	*
102	.5	5	-	2	2		-	1	1		In		0	93	5	2	0								116,074	*
102		5	-	2	2		-	0	2		In		0	90	6	4	0								140,689	*
101	.5	5	-	1	2		-	2	1		In		0	88	7	5	0	0							163,907	*
101		5	-	1	2		-	1	2		In			84	8	7	0								191,468	*
100	.5	5	-	1	3		-	1	1		In			81	9	10	0	0							211,766	*
100		5	-	1	3		-	0	2		In			77	10	13	0	0							236,356	*
99	.5	4	-	2	3		-	1	1		In			72	10	17	1	0							260,409	*
99		5	-	0	3		-	1	2		In			67	11	21	1	0							288,199	*
98	.5	4	-	1	2		-	1	3		In			62	11	25	2	0							312,771	*
98		4	-	1	3		-	1	2		In			56	10	30	4	0							332,910	*
97	.5	4	-	1	4		-	1	1		In			50	10	35	5	0							343,078	*
97		4	-	1	4		-	0	2		In			44	9	39	8	0							353,396	*
96	.5	4	-	0	3		-	1	3		In			38	8	43	11	1							362,252	*
96		4	-	0	4		-	1	2		In			32	7	46	14	1	0						370,346	*
95	.5	3	-	1	3		-	1	3		In			27	5	47	19	2	0						369,257	*
95		3	-	1	4		-	1	2		In			22	4	47	23	3	0						359,986	*
94	.5	3	-	1	4		-	0	3		In			17	3	46	29	4	0						342,867	*
94		3	-	1	5		-	0	2		In			13	2	44	34	6	0						327,434	*
93	.5	3	-	0	4		-	1	3		In			10	2	41	38	9	0						309,151	*
93		3	-	0	5		-	1	2		In			8	1	37	42	12	0						290,355	*
92	.5	2	-	1	4		-	1	3		In			5	1	32	46	16	0						263,828	*
92		2	-	1	5		-	1	2		In			4	0	27	48	21	0						232,931	*
91	.5	2	-	1	5		-	0	3		In			2	0	22	49	26	0						203,690	*
91		2	-	0	4		-	1	4		In			2	0	18	48	32	0						177,646	*
90	.5	2	-	0	5		-	1	3		In			1	0	14	46	38	1						153,598	*
90		2	-	0	6		-	1	2		In			1	0	11	43	44	1	0					128,948	*
89	.5	1	-	1	5		-	1	3		In			0	0	8	40	50	2	0					104,808	*
89		1	-	1	6		-	1	2		In			0	0	6	36	56	2	0					82,384	*
88	.5	1	-	0	5		-	2	3		In			0		4	31	62	3	0					64,397	*
88		1	-	0	5		-	1	4		In			0		3	26	66	5	0					50,078	*
87	.5	1	-	0	6		-	1	3		In			0		2	22	70	6	0					38,071	*
87		1	-	0	7		-	1	2		In			0		1	17	73	9	0					28,289	*
86	.5	1	-	0	7		-	0	3		In			0		1	13	75	11	0					19,363	*
86		0	-	1	7		-	1	2		In					0	10	75	14	0					12,718	*
85	.5	0	-	0	6		-	2	3		100.0	%				0	8	74	18	1	0				8,337	*
85		0	-	0	6		-	1	4		In					0	5	73	21	1					5,348	*
84	.5	0	-	0	7		-	1	3		In					0	4	69	26	1					3,431	*
84		0	-	0	7		-	0	4		In						2	65	30	3					1,942	*
83	.5	0	-	0	8		-	0	3		In						2	59	35	4					987	*
83		0	-	0	9		-	0	2		In							59	37	4					363	*
82	.5	0	-	0	10		-	0	1		In							52	43	4					67
82		0	-	0	11		-	0	0		99.5							47	44	8	0				817

Total:											100.0	%	0	40	5	27	19	9	0	0	0				7,732,503

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Severstal 1 MVD 3	-0.6
SKA 3 Lokomotiv 1	-0.1
Sibir 1 Dynamo M 4	+0.1
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	-0.1

Friday	None

What If

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

115		11	-	0	0		-	0	0		41	5	54	0
114		10	-	1	0		-	0	0		27	14	59
113		9	-	2	0		-	0	0		19	13	68	1
112	.5	10	-	0	0		-	0	1		16	11	68	6
112		9	-	1	0		-	1	0		11	9	76	4	0
111	.5	9	-	1	0		-	0	1		8	10	75	7
111		9	-	1	1		-	0	0		5	8	77	9
110	.5	8	-	2	0		-	0	1		4	8	75	12
110		8	-	2	1		-	0	0		3	6	75	16	0
109	.5	8	-	1	0		-	1	1		2	4	72	22
109		8	-	1	1		-	1	0		1	4	68	27	0
108	.5	8	-	1	1		-	0	1		1	4	65	31	0
108		8	-	1	2		-	0	0		0	2	58	39	0		0
107	.5	7	-	2	1		-	0	1		0	2	53	45	0		0
107		7	-	2	2		-	0	0		0	1	47	51	0		0
106	.5	7	-	1	1		-	1	1		0	1	42	57	0		0
106		7	-	1	1		-	0	2		0	1	35	64	1		0
105	.5	7	-	1	2		-	0	1		0	0	30	69	1		0
105		6	-	2	1		-	0	2		0	0	24	74	1	0	0
104	.5	6	-	2	2		-	0	1			0	20	78	2	0	0
104		6	-	1	1		-	1	2			0	15	82	2	0	1
103	.5	6	-	1	2		-	1	1			0	11	85	3	0	1		0
103		6	-	1	2		-	0	2			0	9	86	4	0	2		0
102	.5	5	-	2	2		-	1	1			0	6	87	5	0	2		0
102		5	-	2	2		-	0	2			0	4	86	6	0	4	0	0
101	.5	5	-	1	2		-	2	1			0	3	85	7	0	5	0	0		0
101		5	-	1	2		-	1	2				2	83	8	0	7	0	0
100	.5	5	-	1	3		-	1	1				1	80	8	1	10	0	0		0
100		5	-	1	3		-	0	2				1	76	9	1	13	0	0		0
99	.5	4	-	2	3		-	1	1				0	72	9	1	16	0	1		0
99		5	-	0	3		-	1	2				0	67	9	2	21	0	1		0
98	.5	4	-	1	2		-	1	3				0	62	9	2	25	0	2		0
98		4	-	1	3		-	1	2				0	56	8	2	30	0	4		0
97	.5	4	-	1	4		-	1	1				0	50	7	3	34	1	5		0
97		4	-	1	4		-	0	2				0	44	6	3	38	1	8	0	0
96	.5	4	-	0	3		-	1	3				0	38	5	3	41	2	11	0	1
96		4	-	0	4		-	1	2				0	32	4	3	43	2	14	0	1		0
95	.5	3	-	1	3		-	1	3				0	27	3	3	44	4	19	0	2		0
95		3	-	1	4		-	1	2					22	2	3	42	5	23	0	3		0
94	.5	3	-	1	4		-	0	3					17	1	2	40	7	28	0	4		0
94		3	-	1	5		-	0	2					13	1	2	36	8	33	0	6		0
93	.5	3	-	0	4		-	1	3					10	0	1	31	10	38	0	9		0
93		3	-	0	5		-	1	2					8	0	1	25	12	42	1	12		0
92	.5	2	-	1	4		-	1	3					5	0	1	20	12	44	1	16		0
92		2	-	1	5		-	1	2					4	0	0	15	12	46	2	21		0
91	.5	2	-	1	5		-	0	3					2	0	0	10	12	45	3	26	0	0
91		2	-	0	4		-	1	4					2	0	0	7	11	43	5	32	0	0
90	.5	2	-	0	5		-	1	3					1	0	0	5	10	40	7	38	0	1
90		2	-	0	6		-	1	2					1		0	3	8	35	8	44	0	1		0
89	.5	1	-	1	5		-	1	3					0		0	1	6	30	9	50	0	2		0
89		1	-	1	6		-	1	2					0		0	1	5	25	11	56	0	2		0
88	.5	1	-	0	5		-	2	3					0			0	3	19	11	62	0	3		0
88		1	-	0	5		-	1	4					0			0	3	15	12	66	0	5		0
87	.5	1	-	0	6		-	1	3					0			0	2	11	11	70	0	6		0
87		1	-	0	7		-	1	2					0			0	1	7	10	73	0	9		0
86	.5	1	-	0	7		-	0	3					0			0	1	5	9	74	0	11		0
86		0	-	1	7		-	1	2									0	3	7	75	0	14		0
85	.5	0	-	0	6		-	2	3									0	2	6	73	0	18		1		0
85		0	-	0	6		-	1	4									0	1	4	72	1	21		1
84	.5	0	-	0	7		-	1	3									0	1	3	68	1	26		1
84		0	-	0	7		-	0	4										0	2	64	1	30		3
83	.5	0	-	0	8		-	0	3											2	57	2	35		4
83		0	-	0	9		-	0	2												57	2	37		4
82	.5	0	-	0	10		-	0	1												48	4	43		4
82		0	-	0	11		-	0	0												41	5	44		8		0

Total:											0	0	2	38	4	1	23	4	17	1	9	0	0		0		0