YaroslavlLokomotiv Playoff Chances 2010

Beat Torpedo 2-0, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99999%

83 points 22-5 11-7 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Average seed
SKA 3 Lokomotiv 1	-0.2
Severstal 1 MVD 3	-0.1
Sibir 1 Dynamo M 4	-0.0
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	+0.0

Friday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Lokomotiv finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

116		11	-	0	0		-	0	0		In		19	81											827
115		10	-	1	0		-	0	0		In		9	91											137
114		9	-	2	0		-	0	0		In		5	95											280	*
113	.5	10	-	0	0		-	0	1		In		6	94											235
113		9	-	1	0		-	1	0		In		4	96											939	*
112	.5	9	-	1	0		-	0	1		In		3	97											819
112		9	-	1	1		-	0	0		In		2	98											1,937	*
111	.5	8	-	2	0		-	0	1		In		2	98											1,979	*
111		8	-	2	1		-	0	0		In		1	99	0										4,337	*
110	.5	8	-	1	0		-	1	1		In		1	99											5,409	*
110		8	-	1	1		-	1	0		In		1	99	0										8,837	*
109	.5	8	-	1	1		-	0	1		In		0	100	0										10,598	*
109		8	-	1	2		-	0	0		In		0	100	0	0									16,176	*
108	.5	7	-	2	1		-	0	1		In		0	100	0	0									20,082	*
108		8	-	0	1		-	0	2		In		0	100	0	0									29,422	*
107	.5	7	-	1	1		-	1	1		In		0	100	0	0									36,905	*
107		7	-	1	1		-	0	2		In		0	100	0	0									48,628	*
106	.5	7	-	1	2		-	0	1		In		0	99	0	0									58,212	*
106		6	-	2	1		-	0	2		In		0	99	1	0									73,839	*
105	.5	6	-	2	2		-	0	1		In		0	98	1	0									90,208	*
105		6	-	1	1		-	1	2		In		0	98	1	1									113,703	*
104	.5	6	-	1	2		-	1	1		In		0	97	2	1	0								131,829	*
104		6	-	1	2		-	0	2		In		0	96	3	2	0								154,656	*
103	.5	5	-	2	2		-	1	1		In		0	94	3	3	0								175,053	*
103		5	-	2	2		-	0	2		In		0	92	4	4	0								204,053	*
102	.5	5	-	2	3		-	0	1		In		0	90	5	5	0	0							230,110	*
102		5	-	1	2		-	1	2		In		0	87	5	8	0	0							258,330	*
101	.5	5	-	1	3		-	1	1		In		0	84	6	10	0	0							278,927	*
101		5	-	1	3		-	0	2		In			80	6	13	1	0							298,657	*
100	.5	4	-	2	3		-	1	1		In			75	7	17	1	0							318,393	*
100		4	-	2	3		-	0	2		In			70	7	21	2	0							337,867	*
99	.5	4	-	1	2		-	1	3		In			65	7	26	2	0							354,233	*
99		4	-	1	3		-	1	2		In			59	6	31	4	0							362,220	*
98	.5	4	-	1	3		-	0	3		In			53	6	35	6	0							362,118	*
98		4	-	1	4		-	0	2		In			47	5	39	8	0							359,931	*
97	.5	4	-	0	3		-	1	3		In			41	5	43	11	1							354,660	*
97		4	-	0	4		-	1	2		In			35	4	45	15	1	0						348,529	*
96	.5	3	-	1	3		-	1	3		In			29	3	46	19	2	0						334,732	*
96		3	-	1	4		-	1	2		In			24	2	47	24	3	0						313,725	*
95	.5	3	-	1	4		-	0	3		In			19	2	45	29	5	0						287,488	*
95		3	-	1	5		-	0	2		In			15	1	43	34	7	0						263,250	*
94	.5	3	-	0	4		-	1	3		In			12	1	40	39	9	0						240,284	*
94		2	-	1	3		-	1	4		In			9	1	35	43	13	0						216,246	*
93	.5	2	-	1	4		-	1	3		In			6	0	31	46	16	0						188,420	*
93		2	-	1	5		-	1	2		In			4	0	26	48	21	0						160,077	*
92	.5	2	-	1	5		-	0	3		In			3	0	22	48	26	0						134,292	*
92		2	-	0	4		-	1	4		In			2	0	18	48	32	0						111,934	*
91	.5	2	-	0	5		-	1	3		In			1	0	14	46	38	1	0					92,772	*
91		1	-	1	4		-	1	4		In			1	0	11	43	44	1	0					74,945	*
90	.5	1	-	1	5		-	1	3		In			0	0	8	40	50	2	0					58,815	*
90		1	-	1	6		-	1	2		In			0		6	36	55	3	0					43,949	*
89	.5	1	-	1	6		-	0	3		In			0		4	31	61	4	0					32,978	*
89		1	-	0	5		-	1	4		In			0		3	27	65	6	0					24,389	*
88	.5	1	-	0	6		-	1	3		In			0		2	22	69	7	0					17,951	*
88		1	-	0	6		-	0	4		In			0		1	18	71	10	0					12,370	*
87	.5	1	-	0	7		-	0	3		In					1	14	72	13	0					8,317	*
87		0	-	1	6		-	0	4		In					1	10	74	15	0					5,215	*
86	.5	0	-	0	5		-	1	5		In					0	8	71	21	0					3,143	*
86		0	-	0	6		-	1	4		99.9	%				0	6	70	23	1	0				1,954	*
85	.5	0	-	0	7		-	1	3		In					0	5	64	30	1					1,212	*
85		0	-	0	7		-	0	4		In						3	60	36	2					629	*
84	.5	0	-	0	8		-	0	3		In						2	54	41	3					296	*
84		0	-	0	9		-	0	2		In						1	42	55	2					99	*
83	.5	0	-	0	10		-	0	1		In							33	67						12
83		0	-	0	11		-	0	0		In						1	34	58	8					800

Total:											100.0	%	0	51	4	25	14	6	0	0	0				7,683,369

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
SKA 3 Lokomotiv 1	+0.4
Severstal 1 MVD 3	+0.2
Sibir 1 Dynamo M 4	+0.1
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	-0.1
CSKA 1 Salavat 3	-0.0

Friday	None

What If

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

116		11	-	0	0		-	0	0		13	6	78	3
115		10	-	1	0		-	0	0		4	5	83	7
114		9	-	2	0		-	0	0		3	2	87	9
113	.5	10	-	0	0		-	0	1		1	5	77	17
113		9	-	1	0		-	1	0		1	3	76	19
112	.5	9	-	1	0		-	0	1		0	3	70	26
112		9	-	1	1		-	0	0		0	2	65	33
111	.5	8	-	2	0		-	0	1		0	2	60	38
111		8	-	2	1		-	0	0		0	1	55	44	0
110	.5	8	-	1	0		-	1	1		0	1	49	50
110		8	-	1	1		-	1	0		0	1	42	58	0
109	.5	8	-	1	1		-	0	1			0	37	62	0
109		8	-	1	2		-	0	0		0	0	30	69	0		0
108	.5	7	-	2	1		-	0	1			0	26	74	0		0
108		8	-	0	1		-	0	2			0	21	79	0		0
107	.5	7	-	1	1		-	1	1		0	0	17	83	0		0
107		7	-	1	1		-	0	2			0	13	86	0		0
106	.5	7	-	1	2		-	0	1			0	10	89	0		0
106		6	-	2	1		-	0	2			0	8	91	1		0
105	.5	6	-	2	2		-	0	1			0	6	93	1	0	0
105		6	-	1	1		-	1	2			0	4	94	1	0	1
104	.5	6	-	1	2		-	1	1			0	3	94	2	0	1		0
104		6	-	1	2		-	0	2			0	2	94	3	0	2		0
103	.5	5	-	2	2		-	1	1			0	1	93	3	0	3	0	0
103		5	-	2	2		-	0	2			0	1	91	4	0	4	0	0
102	.5	5	-	2	3		-	0	1			0	1	90	4	0	5	0	0		0
102		5	-	1	2		-	1	2			0	0	87	5	0	8	0	0		0
101	.5	5	-	1	3		-	1	1			0	0	84	5	1	10	0	0		0
101		5	-	1	3		-	0	2				0	80	6	1	13	0	1		0
100	.5	4	-	2	3		-	1	1				0	75	6	1	17	0	1		0
100		4	-	2	3		-	0	2				0	70	6	1	21	0	2		0
99	.5	4	-	1	2		-	1	3				0	65	5	2	26	0	2		0
99		4	-	1	3		-	1	2				0	59	4	2	30	1	4	0	0
98	.5	4	-	1	3		-	0	3				0	53	4	2	34	1	6	0	0
98		4	-	1	4		-	0	2				0	47	3	2	38	2	8	0	0
97	.5	4	-	0	3		-	1	3				0	41	2	2	40	3	11	0	1
97		4	-	0	4		-	1	2				0	35	2	2	41	4	15	0	1		0
96	.5	3	-	1	3		-	1	3					29	1	2	41	5	19	0	2		0
96		3	-	1	4		-	1	2				0	24	1	2	39	7	24	0	3		0
95	.5	3	-	1	4		-	0	3					19	0	1	36	9	29	0	5		0
95		3	-	1	5		-	0	2					15	0	1	32	11	34	0	7		0
94	.5	3	-	0	4		-	1	3					12	0	1	27	13	38	1	9		0
94		2	-	1	3		-	1	4					9	0	0	22	14	42	1	13		0
93	.5	2	-	1	4		-	1	3					6	0	0	16	14	44	2	16		0
93		2	-	1	5		-	1	2					4	0	0	12	14	45	3	21		0
92	.5	2	-	1	5		-	0	3					3	0	0	8	13	45	4	26		0
92		2	-	0	4		-	1	4					2	0	0	6	12	43	5	32		0
91	.5	2	-	0	5		-	1	3					1		0	4	10	39	7	38		1		0
91		1	-	1	4		-	1	4					1		0	2	9	35	8	44		1		0
90	.5	1	-	1	5		-	1	3					0		0	1	7	30	10	50		2		0
90		1	-	1	6		-	1	2					0			1	5	25	11	55	0	3		0
89	.5	1	-	1	6		-	0	3					0			0	4	19	11	61	0	4		0
89		1	-	0	5		-	1	4					0			0	3	15	12	65		6		0
88	.5	1	-	0	6		-	1	3					0			0	2	11	11	69	0	7		0
88		1	-	0	6		-	0	4					0			0	1	7	10	71	0	10		0
87	.5	1	-	0	7		-	0	3									1	5	9	72	0	13		0
87		0	-	1	6		-	0	4									1	3	7	74	0	15		0
86	.5	0	-	0	5		-	1	5									0	2	6	71	0	21		0
86		0	-	0	6		-	1	4									0	1	5	70	0	23		1		0
85	.5	0	-	0	7		-	1	3									0	1	4	64	0	30		1
85		0	-	0	7		-	0	4										0	3	59	0	36		2
84	.5	0	-	0	8		-	0	3											2	53	1	41		3
84		0	-	0	9		-	0	2											1	41	1	55		2
83	.5	0	-	0	10		-	0	1												33		67
83		0	-	0	11		-	0	0											1	32	1	58		8

Total:											0	0	1	50	3	1	21	4	13	1	6	0	0		0		0