MinskDynamo Playoff Chances 2010

Beat Avtomobilist 4-0, playoff odds up 2.4 to 3.9%

53 points 14-5 23-1 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	+2.6		+0.2
Torpedo 1 Avangard 2	+0.8
Severstal 1 MVD 3	+0.4		+0.0
Amur 2 Dinamo R 4	-0.4		-0.1
CSKA 1 Salavat 3	+0.1
Atlant 2 Spartak 4	-0.1

Friday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Dynamo Mn finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

92		13	-	0	0		-	0	0		In					5	36	47	12						798
90		11	-	2	0		-	0	0		In							100							1
89		10	-	3	0		-	0	0		In						50	50							2	*
88	.5	11	-	1	0		-	0	1		In							50	50						2
88		11	-	1	1		-	0	0		In						10	30	50	10					10	*
87	.5	11	-	0	0		-	1	1		In							13	81	6					16	*
87		11	-	0	0		-	0	2		In						7	28	59	7					29	*
86	.5	11	-	0	1		-	0	1		In						3	32	59	6					34	*
86		10	-	1	1		-	1	0		In							14	68	18					88	*
85	.5	10	-	1	1		-	0	1		In							12	76	12					99	*
85		10	-	1	2		-	0	0		In							9	75	15					213	*
84	.5	9	-	2	1		-	0	1		99.1	%						6	76	18	1				234	*
84		9	-	2	2		-	0	0		99.6						0	5	69	25	0				472	*
83	.5	9	-	1	1		-	1	1		98.4						0	3	67	28	2				633	*
83		9	-	1	1		-	0	2		98.1							3	64	32	2				965	*
82	.5	8	-	2	1		-	1	1		97.2							2	56	39	3				1,254	*
82		8	-	2	1		-	0	2		96.1							1	52	43	4				2,001	*
81	.5	8	-	1	1		-	2	1		93.3							0	45	48	7	0			2,609	*
81		8	-	1	1		-	1	2		90.9							0	39	52	9	0			4,033	*
80	.5	8	-	1	2		-	1	1		88.8							0	34	55	11	0			5,231	*
80		7	-	2	1		-	1	2		84.2							0	27	57	16	0			7,442	*
79	.5	7	-	2	2		-	1	1		80.6							0	22	58	19	0			9,528	*
79		8	-	0	2		-	1	2		75.3							0	17	58	24	1	0		13,409	*
78	.5	7	-	1	2		-	2	1		70.5							0	14	56	28	1	0		17,323	*
78		7	-	1	2		-	1	2		64.2								10	54	34	2	0		22,941	*
77	.5	7	-	1	3		-	1	1		58.0								8	50	39	3	0		28,245	*
77		6	-	2	2		-	1	2		51.6							0	6	46	44	4	0		36,326	*
76	.5	6	-	2	3		-	1	1		44.9								4	41	49	6	0		45,244	*
76		6	-	1	2		-	2	2		38.2								3	36	54	8	0		56,783	*
75	.5	6	-	1	2		-	1	3		31.5								2	30	57	11	0		69,150	*
75		6	-	1	3		-	1	2		25.9								1	25	59	15	1		83,601	*
74	.5	6	-	1	4		-	1	1		21.0								1	20	59	19	1		99,082	*
74		5	-	2	3		-	1	2		16.1								0	16	59	23	2		116,993	*
73	.5	5	-	1	2		-	2	3		12.3								0	12	57	28	3		136,910	*
73		5	-	1	3		-	2	2		9.0								0	9	53	33	4		159,391	*
72	.5	5	-	1	3		-	1	3		6.4								0	6	49	38	6		181,024	*
72		5	-	1	4		-	1	2		4.4								0	4	44	43	9		205,631	*
71	.5	4	-	2	3		-	1	3		2.9								0	3	38	47	12		226,964	*
71		4	-	2	4		-	1	2		1.9								0	2	33	49	16		250,758	*
70	.5	4	-	1	3		-	2	3		1.1								0	1	27	51	21	0	273,433	*
70		4	-	1	4		-	2	2		0.7								0	1	22	51	26	0	296,014	*
69	.5	4	-	1	4		-	1	3		0.4									0	17	51	31	0	313,484	*
69		4	-	1	5		-	1	2		0.2									0	13	49	38	0	328,144	*
68	.5	4	-	0	4		-	2	3		0.1									0	10	46	44	0	339,259	*
68		3	-	2	5		-	1	2		0.0									0	7	42	51	0	349,116	*
67	.5	3	-	1	4		-	2	3		0.0									0	5	38	57	0	354,059	*
67		3	-	1	5		-	2	2		0.0									0	3	33	64	0	354,384	*
66	.5	3	-	1	5		-	1	3		0.0									0	2	28	70	0	348,872	*
66		3	-	1	6		-	1	2		0.0									0	1	24	75	0	338,067	*
65	.5	3	-	0	5		-	2	3		0.0									0	1	19	80	0	324,894	*
65		3	-	0	5		-	1	4		Out										0	15	84	0	308,631	*
64	.5	2	-	1	5		-	2	3		Out										0	12	88	0	289,153	*
64		2	-	1	5		-	1	4		Out										0	9	91	0	265,850	*
63	.5	2	-	1	6		-	1	3		Out										0	7	93	0	238,846	*
63		2	-	1	7		-	1	2		Out										0	5	95	0	212,240	*
62	.5	2	-	0	6		-	2	3		Out										0	3	97	0	186,041	*
62		2	-	0	6		-	1	4		Out										0	2	98	0	161,893	*
61	.5	2	-	0	7		-	1	3		Out										0	2	98	0	137,285	*
61		1	-	1	6		-	1	4		Out											1	99	0	114,135	*
60	.5	1	-	1	7		-	1	3		Out											1	99	0	91,830	*
60		1	-	0	6		-	2	4		Out											0	100	0	72,524	*
59	.5	1	-	0	7		-	2	3		Out											0	100	0	56,977	*
59		1	-	0	7		-	1	4		Out											0	100	0	43,800	*
58	.5	1	-	0	8		-	1	3		Out											0	100	0	32,445	*
58		1	-	0	9		-	1	2		Out											0	100	0	23,251	*
57	.5	0	-	1	8		-	1	3		Out												100	0	16,071	*
57		0	-	0	7		-	2	4		Out												100	0	10,474	*
56	.5	0	-	0	8		-	2	3		Out											0	100	0	6,814	*
56		0	-	0	8		-	1	4		Out												99	1	4,381	*
55	.5	0	-	0	9		-	1	3		Out												99	1	2,612	*
55		0	-	0	10		-	1	2		Out												98	2	1,344	*
54	.5	0	-	0	10		-	0	3		Out												99	1	547	*
54		0	-	0	11		-	0	2		Out												96	4	188	*
53	.5	0	-	0	12		-	0	1		Out												94	6	36
53		0	-	0	13		-	0	0		Out												95	5	806

Total:											3.9	%				0	0	0	0	3	15	27	53	0	7,683,369

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Metallurg Nk 1 Dynamo Mn 4	-0.4
Amur 2 Dinamo R 4	+0.1
Severstal 1 MVD 3	-0.0
Torpedo 1 Avangard 2	-0.0

Friday	None

What If

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:											Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

92		13	-	0	0		-	0	0								2	3	33	3	47		12
90		11	-	2	0		-	0	0												100
89		10	-	3	0		-	0	0										50		50
88	.5	11	-	1	0		-	0	1												50		50
88		11	-	1	1		-	0	0										10		30		50		10
87	.5	11	-	0	0		-	1	1												13		81		6
87		11	-	0	0		-	0	2											7	28		59		7
86	.5	11	-	0	1		-	0	1											3	32		59		6
86		10	-	1	1		-	1	0												14		68		18
85	.5	10	-	1	1		-	0	1												12		76		12
85		10	-	1	2		-	0	0												9		75		15
84	.5	9	-	2	1		-	0	1												6		76		18		1
84		9	-	2	2		-	0	0											0	5		69		25		0
83	.5	9	-	1	1		-	1	1											0	3		67		28		2
83		9	-	1	1		-	0	2												3		64		32		2
82	.5	8	-	2	1		-	1	1												2		56		39		3
82		8	-	2	1		-	0	2												1		52		43		4
81	.5	8	-	1	1		-	2	1												0		45		48		7	0
81		8	-	1	1		-	1	2												0		39		52		9	0
80	.5	8	-	1	2		-	1	1												0	0	34		55		11	0
80		7	-	2	1		-	1	2												0		27		57		16	0
79	.5	7	-	2	2		-	1	1												0		22		58		19	0
79		8	-	0	2		-	1	2												0		17		58		24	1	0
78	.5	7	-	1	2		-	2	1												0		14		56		28	1	0
78		7	-	1	2		-	1	2														10		54		34	2	0
77	.5	7	-	1	3		-	1	1														8	0	50		39	3	0
77		6	-	2	2		-	1	2													0	6	0	46		44	4	0
76	.5	6	-	2	3		-	1	1														4	0	41		49	6	0
76		6	-	1	2		-	2	2														3	0	36		54	8	0
75	.5	6	-	1	2		-	1	3														2	0	30		57	11	0
75		6	-	1	3		-	1	2														1	0	25		59	15	1
74	.5	6	-	1	4		-	1	1														1	0	20		59	19	1
74		5	-	2	3		-	1	2														0	0	16		59	23	2
73	.5	5	-	1	2		-	2	3														0	0	12		57	28	3
73		5	-	1	3		-	2	2														0	0	9	0	53	33	4
72	.5	5	-	1	3		-	1	3														0	0	6	0	49	38	6
72		5	-	1	4		-	1	2														0		4	0	44	43	9
71	.5	4	-	2	3		-	1	3														0	0	3	0	38	47	12
71		4	-	2	4		-	1	2														0	0	2	0	33	49	16
70	.5	4	-	1	3		-	2	3														0	0	1	0	27	51	21	0
70		4	-	1	4		-	2	2														0		1	0	22	51	26	0
69	.5	4	-	1	4		-	1	3																0	0	17	51	31	0
69		4	-	1	5		-	1	2																0	0	13	49	38	0
68	.5	4	-	0	4		-	2	3																0	0	10	46	44	0	0
68		3	-	2	5		-	1	2																0	0	7	42	51	0	0
67	.5	3	-	1	4		-	2	3																0	0	5	38	57	0	0
67		3	-	1	5		-	2	2																0	0	3	33	63	0	0
66	.5	3	-	1	5		-	1	3																0	0	2	28	69	1	0
66		3	-	1	6		-	1	2																0		1	23	74	1	0	0
65	.5	3	-	0	5		-	2	3																0	0	1	19	78	2	0	0
65		3	-	0	5		-	1	4																		0	14	81	4	0	0
64	.5	2	-	1	5		-	2	3																		0	11	82	6	1	0
64		2	-	1	5		-	1	4																		0	8	82	9	1	0
63	.5	2	-	1	6		-	1	3																		0	5	79	14	2	0	0
63		2	-	1	7		-	1	2																		0	4	75	18	3	0	0
62	.5	2	-	0	6		-	2	3																		0	2	68	24	5	0	0
62		2	-	0	6		-	1	4																		0	1	61	29	8	1	0
61	.5	2	-	0	7		-	1	3																			1	52	34	12	1	0
61		1	-	1	6		-	1	4																			0	43	38	16	2	0
60	.5	1	-	1	7		-	1	3																			0	35	40	21	4	0
60		1	-	0	6		-	2	4																			0	27	40	27	6	0
59	.5	1	-	0	7		-	2	3																			0	19	38	32	9	1
59		1	-	0	7		-	1	4																			0	14	35	37	13	1
58	.5	1	-	0	8		-	1	3																			0	9	30	41	18	2
58		1	-	0	9		-	1	2																				6	25	42	24	3
57	.5	0	-	1	8		-	1	3																				3	20	41	30	5	0
57		0	-	0	7		-	2	4																				2	15	41	35	8	0
56	.5	0	-	0	8		-	2	3																				1	11	36	40	12	0
56		0	-	0	8		-	1	4																				1	7	30	45	17	0
55	.5	0	-	0	9		-	1	3																				0	4	26	47	22	0
55		0	-	0	10		-	1	2																				0	3	21	48	27	0
54	.5	0	-	0	10		-	0	3																					1	14	51	34	0
54		0	-	0	11		-	0	2																					2	10	41	46	2
53	.5	0	-	0	12		-	0	1																						8	39	53
53		0	-	0	13		-	0	0																					0	5	35	57	3

Total:																	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	15	27	45	6	2	1	0	0